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Berkeley Energia Limited (AU:BKY)
ASX:BKY

Berkeley Energia (BKY) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:BKY

Berkeley Energia

(Sydney:BKY)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.54
▲(8.80% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/30/25
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (persistent operating losses and negative free cash flow despite a stronger, low-debt balance sheet). Technicals add a modest headwind with the stock trading below major moving averages and only neutral momentum. Valuation provides limited support given the negative P/E (loss-making) and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Low financial leverage
Zero reported debt and sizable equity provide durable financial flexibility for a development-stage miner. Lower leverage reduces bankruptcy risk and gives management optionality to fund permitting, capex or strategic partnerships without immediate refinancing pressure, supporting long-term project execution.
Strategic uranium development asset
Owning and advancing the Salamanca project provides structural exposure to secular nuclear fuel demand and a clear business model: develop and monetize a primary uranium asset. A near-term development focus creates long-lived optionality if uranium markets or contracting conditions improve over time.
Improving cash burn trend
A materially smaller operating and free cash outflow in 2025 versus prior years indicates improving operational efficiency and runway extension. If sustained, declining cash burn reduces near-term financing need and lowers dilution risk, helping the company progress development milestones with less external capital.
Negative Factors
Persistent operating losses
Consistent negative gross profit and recurring EBIT losses signal the business has not reached a viable operating model. For a development miner, prolonged unprofitable operations increase the chance of further capital raises or project delays, undermining the company's ability to self-fund progression to production.
Negative free cash flow
Persistent negative free cash flow forces reliance on external financing or equity, which can be dilutive and sensitive to capital-market conditions. Over time, this dependence raises execution risk for development milestones and can constrain the company’s ability to invest in permitting or mine build-out without new funding.
Small, volatile revenue base
A tiny, inconsistent revenue stream limits scale economies and makes margin improvement unlikely until large, stable sales exist. Revenue volatility complicates forecasting, weakens lender confidence for project finance, and lengthens the timeframe before the asset can generate sustainable operating cash flows.

Berkeley Energia (BKY) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Berkeley Energia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBerkeley Energia Limited engages in the exploration and development of uranium properties in Spain. It primarily holds interest in the Salamanca project located in western Spain. The company was formerly known as Berkeley Energy Limited and changed its name to Berkeley Energia Limited in November 2015. Berkeley Energia Limited was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBerkeley Energia Limited makes money through its efforts to develop and potentially produce uranium concentrate from its Salamanca Project. The company plans to generate revenue by extracting uranium ore and processing it into uranium concentrate, which it would then sell to utility companies and other entities in the nuclear energy sector. Key revenue streams include sales contracts with nuclear power operators and other end-users of uranium. Significant factors contributing to its earnings potential include the global demand for clean energy, which drives the need for nuclear power and, consequently, uranium as a fuel source. Additionally, partnerships with industry stakeholders and investment in efficient mining and processing technologies are crucial to its financial success.

Berkeley Energia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating profile remains weak: revenue has improved but is volatile, gross profit is negative in 2023–2025, EBIT is negative in every year shown, and net income is loss-making in most years (with 2022 appearing non-recurring). Balance sheet is a relative strength recently (no reported debt and sizable equity), but persistent losses and ongoing negative free cash flow (though moderating in 2025) keep overall financial performance below average.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Revenue is small and volatile (A$1.48m in 2020, down to A$23k–A$32k in 2021–2022, then recovering to A$1.05m in 2023 and A$3.55m in 2024 before slipping to A$3.02m in 2025). Profitability remains weak: gross profit is negative in 2023–2025 and operating losses persist (EBIT negative every year shown). Net income is generally loss-making in most years (2020, 2021, 2023–2025), with 2022 showing an outsized profit that appears non-recurring versus the broader loss trend. Overall, the income statement reflects a pre-profit business with improving revenue scale but no consistent path to operating profitability yet.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative strength recently: total debt is reported at A$0 from 2022–2025 and equity is substantial (roughly A$81m–A$88m) with assets around A$85m–A$90m, indicating low financial leverage. However, returns on equity are negative in 2023–2025 (consistent with ongoing losses), and the company previously showed elevated leverage and negative equity in 2021 (high debt and stockholders’ equity below zero), highlighting historical balance-sheet stress and the risk that continued losses could pressure equity again over time.
Cash Flow
34
Negative
Cash generation is consistently negative: operating cash flow and free cash flow are below zero in every year provided (including a very small outflow in 2025 versus much larger outflows in prior years). While the cash burn appears to be moderating materially by 2025, the business is still not self-funding and remains dependent on external capital or existing liquidity to sustain operations. Cash flow versus accounting earnings is not a current positive signal because free cash flow remains negative despite net income being negative in most years.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.02M3.55M1.05M32.00K23.00K
Gross Profit-1.13M-279.00K-2.32M-62.00K-460.00K
EBITDA0.00-2.52M-4.77M65.05M-48.64M
Net Income-5.43M-3.26M-1.37M65.04M-49.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets84.53M87.38M89.36M89.89M90.06M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments73.59M77.34M78.78M79.94M79.07M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.0096.49M
Total Liabilities3.16M2.48M2.04M2.26M103.40M
Stockholders Equity81.37M84.90M87.32M87.63M-13.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.61K-1.50M-4.14M-5.79M-5.69M
Operating Cash Flow-4.61K-1.50M-4.14M-5.79M-5.59M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.000.005.88M-95.00K
Financing Cash Flow0.000.000.00-93.00K-5.00K

Berkeley Energia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.50
Price Trends
50DMA
0.54
Negative
100DMA
0.54
Negative
200DMA
0.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
48.50
Neutral
STOCH
44.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BKY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.53, below the 50-day MA of 0.54, and below the 200-day MA of 0.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:BKY.

Berkeley Energia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
AU$994.74M-194.72-2.73%60.83%
58
Neutral
AU$6.12B-77.51-6.47%-163.65%
54
Neutral
AU$316.35M-8.30-7.01%-100.00%49.49%
50
Neutral
AU$172.41M-10.34-69.11%1.38%
46
Neutral
AU$236.54M-43.44-6.30%-67.12%
43
Neutral
AU$147.82M-8.19-26.26%-75.25%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:BKY
Berkeley Energia
0.53
0.14
34.18%
AU:PDN
Paladin Energy Ltd
13.61
6.95
104.35%
AU:AEE
Aura Energy
0.15
0.03
26.09%
AU:BMN
Bannerman Energy
4.79
2.60
118.72%
AU:PEN
Peninsula Energy
0.74
0.17
28.92%
AU:EL8
Elevate Uranium Ltd
0.37
0.15
68.18%

Berkeley Energia Corporate Events

Berkeley Energia Seeks US$1.25 Billion in ICSID Claim Against Spain Over Salamanca Project
Feb 5, 2026

Berkeley Energia’s wholly owned subsidiary, Berkeley Exploration Limited, has filed a Memorial of Claim at the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes in Washington, D.C., seeking around US$1.25 billion in compensation from the Kingdom of Spain over alleged violations of the Energy Charter Treaty related to the Salamanca uranium project. The filing sets out the factual background, legal basis, witness statements and expert reports underpinning the claim, and initiates a formal timetable for Spain’s response, while Berkeley stresses it remains committed to the Salamanca Project and open to an amicable, negotiated resolution of the permitting dispute with Spanish authorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BKY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.55 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Berkeley Energia stock, see the AU:BKY Stock Forecast page.

Berkeley Energia Advances Spanish Critical Minerals Project as Arbitration with Spain Progresses
Jan 28, 2026

Berkeley Energia reported further progress at its Conchas project in Spain, where recent metallurgical test work on lithium- and rubidium-bearing muscovitic leucogranite showed promising recoveries using flotation and magnetic separation, underpinning plans for 3D geological modelling and a second phase of metallurgical optimisation ahead of resource estimation. The company also updated on its US$1 billion arbitration claim against Spain over alleged Energy Charter Treaty breaches affecting the Salamanca uranium project, while noting it remains open to an amicable permitting resolution, and highlighted the intensifying debate over nuclear power in Spain amid potential life extensions for the Almaraz plant and a post-blackout reassessment of nuclear’s role in grid stability, all against a backdrop of a solid balance sheet with A$68 million in cash and no debt.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BKY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.56 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Berkeley Energia stock, see the AU:BKY Stock Forecast page.

Berkeley Energia Issues 496,428 New Shares Under ASX Quoted Class
Dec 24, 2025

Berkeley Energia Limited has issued 496,428 fully paid ordinary shares, which form part of its existing quoted class of securities on the ASX, as it continues to manage its capital structure. The company confirmed that the share issue was conducted without a prospectus under the relevant provisions of the Corporations Act, and that it remains compliant with its financial reporting and continuous disclosure obligations, with no excluded information that would need to be disclosed to the market.

Berkeley Energia Seeks ASX Quotation for Additional Ordinary Shares
Dec 24, 2025

Berkeley Energia Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 496,428 new fully paid ordinary shares, to be issued on 24 December 2025. The additional securities, arising from the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible instruments, will modestly increase the company’s free float and may provide incremental funding flexibility and liquidity for shareholders, although the scale of the issuance is relatively small in the context of the overall capital structure.

Berkeley Energia Reports A$184,945 in Spanish Government Payments for Salamanca Project
Dec 19, 2025

Berkeley Energia has published its annual report on payments to governments for the year to 30 June 2025, as required under UK disclosure and transparency rules. The filing shows that the group’s wholly owned Spanish subsidiaries made total payments of A$184,945 in permit and licence fees to Spanish federal, local and municipal authorities linked to the Salamanca project, with no reported production entitlements, royalties, income taxes or other categories of payments, underscoring the project’s current pre-production and permitting-focused stage.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025