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BCAL Diagnostics Limited (AU:BDX)
ASX:BDX
Australian Market

BCAL Diagnostics Limited (BDX) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:BDX

BCAL Diagnostics Limited

(Sydney:BDX)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.09
▼(-14.00% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/14/26
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance, including severe revenue decline, deep losses, negative ROE, and negative operating/free cash flow. Technicals are also bearish due to price trading below major moving averages, though the extremely oversold RSI modestly offsets this. Valuation is constrained by ongoing losses and the absence of a dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Focused diagnostics business
BCAL's focused business model targeting blood-based breast cancer detection is a durable strategic niche. Specialization can enable deep clinical expertise, IP accumulation and clearer regulatory/commercial pathways versus diversified peers, supporting long-term product value.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue collapse and negative returns
A ~99% revenue decline and deeply negative margins/ROE indicate the core commercial engine is broken. This structural revenue weakness undermines scale economics, erodes investor and partner confidence, and makes multi‑quarter recovery dependent on successful product re‑commercialization.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Focused diagnostics business
BCAL's focused business model targeting blood-based breast cancer detection is a durable strategic niche. Specialization can enable deep clinical expertise, IP accumulation and clearer regulatory/commercial pathways versus diversified peers, supporting long-term product value.
Read all positive factors

BCAL Diagnostics Limited (BDX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

BCAL Diagnostics Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
BCAL Diagnostics Limited, a biotechnology company, engages in developing a non-invasive laboratory blood test for the detection of breast cancer. It develops BCAL test, a lipid biomarker blood test with the potential to be used for breast cancer p...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

BCAL Diagnostics Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial health is weak: revenue collapsed (-99.16%) with extremely negative profitability (net margin -334.66%) and negative returns (ROE -116.40%). Cash generation is also concerning with negative operating and free cash flow, despite only moderate leverage (debt-to-equity 0.38).
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.31M21.64K3.10M2.79M718.67K275.25K
Gross Profit915.90K21.64K3.10M2.79M698.06K275.25K
EBITDA-7.74M-6.19M-5.67M-7.72M-4.06M-1.80M
Net Income-7.16M-7.24M-6.40M-5.06M-3.39M-1.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.17M9.91M12.27M8.37M10.59M4.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.33M4.52M6.47M3.17M9.57M3.41M
Total Debt3.78M2.38M1.52M1.06M0.000.00
Total Liabilities4.68M3.69M3.68M3.16M950.42K525.60K
Stockholders Equity2.50M6.22M8.59M5.21M9.64M3.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.46M-6.92M-5.67M-6.41M-7.25M-1.21M
Operating Cash Flow-5.96M-6.14M-4.52M-6.05M-3.22M-1.21M
Investing Cash Flow-196.42K-787.67K-1.15M3.64M-4.03M-3.85K
Financing Cash Flow2.48M4.97M8.97M13.24K9.41M4.20M

BCAL Diagnostics Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.10
Price Trends
50DMA
0.11
Negative
100DMA
0.11
Negative
200DMA
0.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
37.90
Neutral
STOCH
31.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BDX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.10, below the 50-day MA of 0.11, and above the 200-day MA of 0.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:BDX.

BCAL Diagnostics Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
AU$64.67M-4.75-476.27%56.42%
46
Neutral
AU$168.57M-7.39-164.12%12.96%40.81%
43
Neutral
AU$11.28M-1.61142.99%-47.02%94.37%
42
Neutral
AU$33.18M-2.45-164.22%23.85%
38
Underperform
AU$49.98M-3.02-37.14%2.33%12.50%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:BDX
BCAL Diagnostics Limited
0.09
-0.01
-10.00%
AU:RHY
Rhythm Biosciences Ltd.
0.19
0.12
171.43%
AU:LDX
Lumos Diagnostics Holdings Ltd.
0.21
0.19
950.00%
AU:IBX
Imagion Biosystems Ltd.
0.02
0.01
76.92%
AU:IIQ
Inoviq Ltd
0.36
-0.03
-6.58%

BCAL Diagnostics Limited Corporate Events

BCAL seeks Medicare backing for Avantect pancreatic cancer blood test
Mar 31, 2026
BCAL Diagnostics has lodged an application with the Medical Services Advisory Committee seeking Medicare Benefits Schedule reimbursement for its Avantect Pancreatic Cancer Test, aiming to make the blood-based assay more broadly accessible to high-...
BCAL speeds national rollout of Avantect cancer blood tests
Mar 25, 2026
BCAL Diagnostics has expanded national access to its Avantect pancreatic and ovarian early detection blood tests via selected Sonic Healthcare pathology centres in New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland, and through a new agreement with Healius ...
BCAL Director Jayne Shaw Increases Shareholding via On‑Market Purchase
Mar 20, 2026
BCAL Diagnostics has disclosed a change in the interests of director Jayne Shaw, who has increased her holding in the company through an on-market purchase. Shaw acquired 225,000 additional ordinary shares over 19–20 March 2026, paying $21,8...
BCAL Director Jayne Shaw Increases Shareholding Via On-Market Purchase
Mar 19, 2026
BCAL Diagnostics has reported a change in the interests of director Jayne Shaw, who has both direct and indirect holdings in the company’s securities. Through entities she controls and in her own name, Shaw maintains substantial share and op...
BCAL director Jayne Shaw boosts stake with on-market share purchase
Mar 17, 2026
BCAL Diagnostics director Jayne Shaw has increased her shareholding in the company through an on-market purchase of 300,000 ordinary shares on 16 March 2026, paying $29,251 for the stake. The transaction, made via entities she controls, lifts her ...
BCAL Diagnostics Issues New Shares to Service Provider Under Cleansing Notice
Mar 6, 2026
BCAL Diagnostics has issued 615,651 new shares to a service provider at a deemed price of $0.09475 per share under ASX Listing Rule 7.1, expanding its share capital without undertaking a public disclosure document. The company confirmed it is up t...
BCAL Diagnostics Issues Shares to Settle Service Provider Invoice
Mar 6, 2026
BCAL Diagnostics has applied to the ASX for quotation of 615,651 new fully paid ordinary shares issued on March 5, 2026. The shares arise from an agreement with a service provider to settle part of an invoice in equity, indicating the company is u...
BCAL Director Jayne Shaw Increases Shareholding via On-Market Purchase
Feb 20, 2026
BCAL Diagnostics has disclosed a change in the interests of director Jayne Shaw, who increased her holding in the company through an on-market purchase of additional ordinary shares. The transaction, completed on 20 February 2026 for 192,000 share...
BCAL Diagnostics Accelerates Commercial Rollout of Cancer Blood Tests and Targets Broader Market for BREASTESTplus
Feb 4, 2026
BCAL Diagnostics has commenced the commercial rollout of its Avantect blood-based diagnostic tests for pancreatic and ovarian cancer, launching first at Sydney Breast Clinic, where it recorded about 1,000 enquiries, 60 bookings and 20 tests in the...
BCAL Diagnostics Ramps Up Cancer Test Launches as Clinical Data and Funding Strengthen Growth Plans
Jan 20, 2026
BCAL Diagnostics has completed preparations for the Australian launch of its Avantect blood tests for pancreatic and ovarian cancer, with initial availability from 19 January 2026 in Sydney and a national rollout planned later in the year, targeti...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026