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Australian Vintage Ltd (AU:AVG)
ASX:AVG

Australian Vintage Ltd (AVG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:AVG

Australian Vintage Ltd

(Sydney:AVG)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.09
▼(-19.09% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance (negative profitability and negative operating/free cash flow) and a clearly bearish technical setup (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is not a strong offset because the negative P/E reflects ongoing losses and there is no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Vertical integration
Ownership of vineyard sourcing through packaging and distribution gives AVG durable control over input quality, supply timing and logistics. This vertical integration supports margin stability, cost management and faster go-to-market for brands across domestic and export channels over months.
Negative Factors
Negative profitability
Sustained negative EBIT and net profit margins indicate the core business is not generating operating returns. Over several months this erodes equity, constrains reinvestment and reduces ability to fund growth internally, making long-term recovery dependent on margin improvement or cost cuts.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Vertical integration
Ownership of vineyard sourcing through packaging and distribution gives AVG durable control over input quality, supply timing and logistics. This vertical integration supports margin stability, cost management and faster go-to-market for brands across domestic and export channels over months.
Read all positive factors

Australian Vintage Ltd (AVG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Australian Vintage Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Australian Vintage Ltd (AVG) is a prominent Australian wine producer known for its diverse portfolio of brands and products that cater to both domestic and international markets. Established in 1992, the company operates across various sectors of ...
How the Company Makes Money
AVG makes money primarily by selling wine and related beverage products through a mix of branded and commercial (non-branded) channels. Key revenue streams include: (1) Branded wine sales—revenue generated from marketing and selling company-owned ...

Australian Vintage Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials remain under pressure: revenue has been inconsistent, profitability margins (net profit and EBIT) are negative, and operating/free cash flow are negative. Rising leverage adds risk, despite some improvement in free cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue255.05M257.19M260.59M258.56M260.10M273.96M
Gross Profit65.65M69.36M27.69M75.11M85.35M86.20M
EBITDA-3.15M3.20M-62.28M12.77M35.41M38.33M
Net Income-31.02M-9.56M-93.03M4.01M17.33M19.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets417.56M431.35M415.43M498.04M515.60M493.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments758.00K8.88M6.02M6.90M2.55M3.65M
Total Debt217.83M142.05M137.27M128.89M125.37M98.86M
Total Liabilities240.19M240.34M201.83M206.92M215.75M180.85M
Stockholders Equity177.37M191.01M213.60M291.12M299.85M312.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-31.94M-14.65M-18.84M-23.48M4.00M38.61M
Operating Cash Flow-22.12M-7.66M-10.96M-12.72M15.35M45.03M
Investing Cash Flow-3.60M-811.00K-2.74M57.46M-9.70M-6.40M
Financing Cash Flow21.79M11.33M12.82M-40.39M-6.75M-42.63M

Australian Vintage Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.11
Price Trends
50DMA
0.09
Negative
100DMA
0.10
Negative
200DMA
0.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
39.56
Neutral
STOCH
7.69
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AVG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.09, above the 50-day MA of 0.09, and above the 200-day MA of 0.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.69 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AVG.

Australian Vintage Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
AU$1.71B-40.4114.44%1.55%6.09%166.89%
70
Outperform
AU$5.89B6.659.59%5.12%-2.04%-16.79%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
57
Neutral
AU$3.22B-1.63-10.03%7.42%6.47%281.30%
54
Neutral
AU$86.98M-18.17-8.39%2.62%-85.79%
54
Neutral
AU$35.84M22.20-53.68%-15.07%29.45%
45
Neutral
AU$27.02M-0.41-16.84%-1.31%92.08%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AVG
Australian Vintage Ltd
0.08
-0.03
-29.09%
AU:TWE
Treasury Wine Estates Limited
3.95
-4.68
-54.25%
AU:CBO
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd.
3.53
1.76
99.44%
AU:LRK
Lark Distilling Co. Ltd.
0.80
-0.06
-6.98%
AU:EDV
Endeavour Group Ltd
3.27
-0.61
-15.79%
AU:MBH
Maggie Beer Holdings Ltd.
0.07
0.02
35.19%

Australian Vintage Ltd Corporate Events

Australian Vintage director lifts indirect shareholding via on-market purchase
Mar 1, 2026
Australian Vintage Limited has disclosed a change in director James Williamson’s indirect interests in the company’s shares, as required under ASX listing rules. Williamson’s interests are held through Sandhurst Trustees Ltd and...
Australian Vintage Director Increases Indirect Shareholding
Feb 25, 2026
Australian Vintage Limited has disclosed a change in director James Williamson’s indirect interests in the company’s shares. The notice, lodged with the ASX, reflects regulatory requirements to keep the market informed of changes in di...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026