tiprankstipranks
Avada Group Limited (AU:AVD)
ASX:AVD
Australian Market

Avada Group Limited (AVD) AI Stock Analysis

1 Followers

Top Page

AU:AVD

Avada Group Limited

(Sydney:AVD)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.10
▼(-27.86% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is pressured primarily by deteriorating profitability and higher leverage, despite improved FY2025 operating/free cash flow. Technicals also weigh heavily given the clear downtrend and negative MACD, while valuation is constrained by loss-making results and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Materially improved operating and free cash flow in FY2025 indicates stronger cash conversion and working-capital management versus the prior year. Durable cash generation supports day-to-day operations, services project needs, services interest, and funds reinvestment or bond requirements despite headline accounting losses.
Negative Factors
Profitability Volatility
A swing to a sizable net loss and negative margin in FY2025 signals volatile earnings quality and weak operating leverage. Persistent profitability volatility undermines reinvestment capacity, reduces cushion for project overruns, and makes long-term planning and credit discussions more challenging for management.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
Materially improved operating and free cash flow in FY2025 indicates stronger cash conversion and working-capital management versus the prior year. Durable cash generation supports day-to-day operations, services project needs, services interest, and funds reinvestment or bond requirements despite headline accounting losses.
Read all positive factors

Avada Group Limited (AVD) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Avada Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AVADA Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the traffic management operations in Queensland, New South Wales, and Victoria, Australia. It offers integrated traffic management services, including planning and permit, traffic con...
How the Company Makes Money
Avada Group Limited makes money primarily by offering specialized traffic management services and related solutions to clients in sectors such as construction and infrastructure. The company generates revenue through service contracts for traffic ...

Avada Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed and skew negative: FY2025 saw revenue decline and a sharp swing to a sizable net loss, while leverage increased (debt now slightly above equity). The main offset is improved operating and free cash flow in FY2025, but the gap between cash generation and reported losses suggests underlying volatility.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue193.42M183.09M204.54M177.00M72.93M0.00
Gross Profit14.00M19.02M16.39M156.51M65.02M-173.00K
EBITDA13.76M9.20M15.41M7.04M-8.94M0.00
Net Income-24.52M-17.60M1.51M-5.63M-12.54M-415.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets93.50M108.18M131.47M130.19M89.81M97.66M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.13M7.33M8.50M10.83M2.75M192.00K
Total Debt46.34M40.20M47.83M46.66M15.18M360.00K
Total Liabilities70.73M71.53M77.00M83.73M37.73M38.46M
Stockholders Equity22.76M36.65M54.47M46.46M52.09M59.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.96M7.63M3.03M3.42M-2.59M-169.00K
Operating Cash Flow4.12M10.33M6.71M4.96M-950.00K-169.00K
Investing Cash Flow-1.53M-3.38M-13.74M-26.78M-35.01M0.00
Financing Cash Flow-2.44M-8.01M4.86M31.90M36.31M361.00K

Avada Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.14
Price Trends
50DMA
0.11
Negative
100DMA
0.13
Negative
200DMA
0.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
29.82
Positive
STOCH
46.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AVD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.10, above the 50-day MA of 0.11, and below the 200-day MA of 0.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 29.82 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AVD.

Avada Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
AU$1.11B8.906.99%4.06%9.52%-8.76%
64
Neutral
AU$5.40B14.227.97%3.11%-4.53%97.67%
64
Neutral
AU$4.30B18.3547.41%3.56%1.48%25.46%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
43
Neutral
AU$8.92M-0.17-82.55%-10.48%-1025.87%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AVD
Avada Group Limited
0.11
-0.23
-68.18%
AU:DOW
Downer EDI Limited
8.18
2.95
56.35%
AU:VNT
Ventia Services Group Limited
5.22
1.28
32.39%
AU:KLS
Kelsian Group Limited
4.09
1.75
74.49%

Avada Group Limited Corporate Events

Avada Group Secures Improved $42.6m Refinancing with CBA to Support Growth
Mar 31, 2026
Avada Group Limited, a leading independent traffic management and ancillary services operator with a strong presence across eastern Australia and New Zealand, focuses on supporting government and major civil infrastructure contractors. Its operati...
Avada Group lifts revenue but books impairment as transformation gains traction
Feb 26, 2026
Avada Group reported an 11% rise in operating revenue to $101.5 million for the first half of FY26, driven by strong growth in Queensland and New South Wales and resilient demand for traffic management services. Despite this, the company posted a ...
Avada revenue rises but Victorian impairment deepens half-year loss
Feb 26, 2026
Avada Group Limited reported an 11% rise in half-year revenue to $101.5 million for the six months to 31 December 2025, but losses widened sharply as deteriorating conditions in its Victorian operations triggered a $15 million impairment on goodwi...
Avada Group lifts cash receipts and expands funding as it deepens national traffic management push
Jan 30, 2026
Avada Group Limited reported a solid second quarter of FY26, with cash receipts rising 24% from the prior quarter to A$52.0 million on the back of strong December sales, while operating cash expenditures increased 14.4% in line with higher revenue...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026