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AMP Limited (AU:AMP)
ASX:AMP
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AMP (AMP) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

AMP

(Sydney:AMP)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.50
▲(0.00%Upside)
AMP Limited's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial challenges, including high leverage and operational inefficiencies. While technical analysis shows bullish momentum, overbought indicators suggest caution. The valuation indicates fair pricing, contributing to a moderate overall score.
Positive Factors
Capital Management
Capital management opportunities outside of dividends provide potential for additional value.
Platform Trends
Stable positive net flows in Platforms with improving trends.
Negative Factors
Bank Performance
The bank appears to be structurally challenged, despite potential to perform better with lower interest rates.
Platform Risk
There is a risk to platform flows due to the sale of the advice business, with uncertainty in markets.

AMP (AMP) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

AMP Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAMP Limited is a financial services company based in Australia, primarily involved in wealth management, superannuation, and financial advice. The company offers a range of products and services including retirement savings accounts, investment solutions, and insurance products to both individual and institutional clients. AMP operates mainly in Australia and New Zealand, providing tailored financial advice and wealth management services through its network of financial advisors.
How the Company Makes MoneyAMP Limited generates revenue through a variety of channels, including fees from managing superannuation and investment funds, commissions from financial advisory services, and premiums from insurance products. A significant portion of its income is derived from the management and administration fees charged on its investment products, which include mutual funds, retirement accounts, and other investment vehicles. Additionally, AMP earns from its financial advice division by providing tailored advisory services to clients, which often involves a combination of upfront and ongoing fees. Insurance premiums collected from clients for life insurance and income protection policies also contribute to its revenue. AMP's earnings are further bolstered by its strategic partnerships and joint ventures in the financial services sector, which help expand its client base and product offerings.

AMP Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 13, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: -13.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive achievements and challenges. While the company experienced significant cost reductions, NPAT growth, and successful capital returns, there were challenges such as revenue decline and losses in the bank and Advice business. The transformation in the Advice business with new partnerships was a notable positive move.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong NPAT Growth
NPAT increased by 5.4% to $118 million, reflecting better-performing businesses.
Cost Reduction Achievement
Controllable costs decreased by 6.4% to $339 million, showing progress on the business simplification program.
Successful Capital Return
Announced a $0.02 per share dividend, 20% franked, and completed $963 million in capital return through buybacks.
Platforms and Superannuation Growth
Platforms NPAT up 22% to $54 million, with net cash flows up over 56% compared to 1H '23.
Transformation in Advice Business
Announced a partnership with Entireti and AZ NGA, expected to finalize by the end of the year.
Negative Updates
Bank NPAT Decline
Bank NPAT decreased to $35 million due to NIM compression and competitive environment.
Revenue Decline
Overall revenue fell by 4% on 1H '23, primarily due to NIM contraction in the bank.
Advice Business Loss
The Advice business posted a $15 million loss for the half.
Expected Accounting Loss in Advice Sale
The sale of the Advice business is expected to result in a $30 million accounting loss.
Company Guidance
In the Q2 2024 earnings call for AMP Limited (AMP.AX), several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives were discussed. AMP reported a net profit after tax (NPAT) increase of 5.4% to $118 million, attributed to better-performing business segments. Cost management was a highlight, with costs down by nearly 6.5%, aligning with their target to deliver $690 million in savings by the year's end, although adjustments are expected. The company announced a $0.02 per share dividend, 20% franked, as part of a broader capital return strategy, having returned $963 million for buyback and planning to complete $1.1 billion by year-end. AMP is also focusing on reducing debt to maintain credit ratings. A transformational transaction was announced for the AMP Advice business, expected to complete by the end of the year, with an anticipated accounting loss on sale of about $30 million. The company remains committed to strategic pillars focusing on performance, efficiency, and new revenue opportunities, particularly in the retirement space, while navigating a competitive banking environment with a focus on margin management.

AMP Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AMP Limited's financial performance reflects recovery signs with improved net income and free cash flow. However, the company faces significant challenges due to high leverage, operational inefficiencies, negative revenue growth, and weak cash flow stability. The overall outlook is cautious.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
AMP Limited's income statement shows fluctuating revenue with a significant decline in recent years. The net profit margin improved from a negative value to a positive 17.52% in 2024, indicating some recovery. However, the EBIT margin dropped to zero, which suggests operational inefficiencies. The gross profit margin remained strong at 100% in 2024, but the revenue growth rate has been negative, reflecting challenges in top-line growth.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet indicates a high debt-to-equity ratio of 7.86 in 2024, pointing to substantial leverage. The equity ratio remains low at 11.01%, suggesting limited financial cushioning. Although there was a slight increase in stockholders' equity, the high leverage poses a financial risk. Return on equity improved to 4.11% in 2024, reflecting better profitability compared to previous years, but overall stability is a concern.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
AMP's cash flow position shows some improvement with positive free cash flow in 2024. However, the operating cash flow remains volatile, previously showing negative values. The free cash flow growth rate is notable from negative to positive, indicating better cash management. Despite this improvement, the overall cash flow stability is weak due to past negative trends.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue856.00M2.98B1.55B1.65B2.50B
Gross Profit856.00M2.16B1.43B2.25B2.41B
EBITDA1.92B1.19B625.00M285.00M590.00M
Net Income150.00M265.00M-16.00M-252.00M177.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets33.16B33.88B34.95B32.20B32.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.18B1.44B1.82B2.92B2.43B
Total Debt28.71B28.92B29.53B26.25B25.13B
Total Liabilities29.51B30.00B30.77B28.22B27.88B
Stockholders Equity3.65B3.87B4.17B3.98B4.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow169.00M-137.00M933.00M1.63B-2.83B
Operating Cash Flow216.00M-105.00M963.00M1.68B-2.74B
Investing Cash Flow-478.00M1.25B-1.32B-565.00M3.21B
Financing Cash Flow201.00M-1.74B-511.00M-722.00M-1.99B

AMP Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1.31
Positive
100DMA
1.28
Positive
200DMA
1.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
77.35
Negative
STOCH
90.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AMP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.35, above the 50-day MA of 1.31, and above the 200-day MA of 1.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.35 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AMP.

AMP Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUMFG
74
Outperform
€1.67B7.7223.27%5.39%-9.29%12.94%
AUCNI
70
Outperform
AU$1.46B19.974.97%5.92%13.48%-8.15%
67
Neutral
$16.64B11.619.79%3.78%11.89%-8.13%
AUPNI
67
Neutral
AU$4.50B30.7820.18%3.03%36.76%70.74%
AUIFL
65
Neutral
$2.65B-7.21%2.35%-8.26%-259.91%
AUPPT
60
Neutral
€2.40B-24.47%5.81%5.36%-846.00%
AUAMP
53
Neutral
$3.87B21.584.84%1.31%19.36%1261.54%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AMP
AMP
1.53
0.41
36.12%
AU:MFG
Magellan Financial Group Ltd
9.66
0.51
5.53%
AU:IFL
Insignia Financial Ltd
3.85
1.47
61.76%
AU:PPT
Perpetual Limited
20.80
-0.27
-1.27%
AU:PNI
Pinnacle Investment Management Group Limited
21.82
6.46
42.06%
AU:CNI
Centuria Capital Group
1.74
0.18
11.54%

AMP Corporate Events

AMP Limited Increases Stake in Fineos Corporation
Jul 17, 2025

AMP Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding in Fineos Corporation Limited, increasing its relevant interest from 5.09% to 6.33%. This change reflects AMP’s strategic adjustments in its investment portfolio, potentially impacting its influence in Fineos Corporation and signaling a shift in its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMP) stock is a Buy with a A$1.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMP stock, see the AU:AMP Stock Forecast page.

AMP Limited Announces Cessation of Securities
Jul 9, 2025

AMP Limited has announced the cessation of 212,311 securities due to the lapse of conditional rights, as the conditions were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. This development may impact the company’s issued capital and reflects the company’s ongoing adjustments in its securities management.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMP) stock is a Buy with a A$1.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMP stock, see the AU:AMP Stock Forecast page.

AMP Limited Announces Change in Shareholding Structure
Jul 4, 2025

AMP Limited has announced a change in its shareholding structure under an exemption from the Corporations Act. The company’s current interest in its own shares has decreased, with a reduction in the total number of shares it controls. This adjustment in shareholding may impact AMP’s market positioning and influence its strategic decisions moving forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMP) stock is a Buy with a A$1.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMP stock, see the AU:AMP Stock Forecast page.

AMP Limited Issues Unquoted Equity Securities for Employee Incentive
Jul 3, 2025

AMP Limited has announced the issuance of 5,534,001 unquoted equity securities, specifically rights under the ASX code AMPAB, as part of an employee incentive scheme. This move is likely aimed at enhancing employee engagement and retention, potentially impacting the company’s operational efficiency and market positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMP) stock is a Buy with a A$1.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMP stock, see the AU:AMP Stock Forecast page.

AMP Limited Announces Substantial Holding in Judo Capital
Jun 20, 2025

AMP Limited has disclosed a substantial holding in Judo Capital Holdings Ltd, indicating a significant investment move. This announcement highlights AMP’s strategic interest in expanding its influence and investment portfolio within the financial sector, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMP) stock is a Buy with a A$1.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMP stock, see the AU:AMP Stock Forecast page.

AMP Limited Announces New Dividend Distribution for September 2025
Jun 16, 2025

AMP Limited has announced a new dividend distribution for its security, AMPPB – CAP NOTE 3-BBSW+4.50% PERP NON-CUM RED T-12-25. The distribution amount is AUD 1.9069 and will be paid on September 16, 2025, with a record date of September 8, 2025, and an ex-date of September 5, 2025. This announcement reflects AMP’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors, which may enhance its attractiveness in the financial market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMP) stock is a Buy with a A$1.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMP stock, see the AU:AMP Stock Forecast page.

AMP Limited Issues Unquoted Equity Securities for Employee Incentive
Jun 13, 2025

AMP Limited has announced the issuance of 2,904,842 unquoted equity securities under an employee incentive scheme, which are not intended to be quoted on the ASX. This move is part of AMP’s strategy to incentivize and retain talent within the company, potentially impacting its operational dynamics and stakeholder interests by aligning employee interests with company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMP) stock is a Buy with a A$1.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMP stock, see the AU:AMP Stock Forecast page.

AMP Limited Addresses Administrative Oversight in Director’s Interest Notice
Jun 13, 2025

AMP Limited announced a change in the director’s interest notice for Alexis George, involving the grant of performance rights as part of her long-term incentive for 2025. The grant was approved by shareholders during the AGM in April 2025, but due to an administrative oversight, the required notice was not lodged on time. AMP has implemented measures to prevent such oversights in the future.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMP) stock is a Buy with a A$1.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMP stock, see the AU:AMP Stock Forecast page.

AMP Director Increases Shareholding in Strategic Move
May 7, 2025

AMP Limited announced a change in the interest of its director, Kathleen Anne Bailey-Lord, who acquired 23,390 ordinary shares, increasing her total holding to 98,701 shares. This transaction, conducted as an on-market trade, reflects a strategic move within the company’s governance structure, potentially impacting shareholder confidence and market perception of AMP’s leadership stability.

Pinnacle Investment Acquires Significant Stake in AMP Limited
Apr 24, 2025

Pinnacle Investment Management Group Limited has become a substantial holder in AMP Limited, acquiring a 5.10% voting power through 129,070,526 ordinary fully paid shares. This acquisition marks a significant stake in AMP Limited, potentially influencing the company’s strategic decisions and impacting stakeholders by altering the dynamics of shareholder voting power.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 05, 2025