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Amplitude Energy (AU:AEL)
ASX:AEL

Amplitude Energy (AEL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:AEL

Amplitude Energy

(Sydney:AEL)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
AU$2.50
▼(-7.06% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability and volatile/free-cash-flow weakness, alongside a technically weak price trend. These are partially offset by a strong latest earnings call featuring upgraded production guidance, record operating performance, and solid liquidity.
Positive Factors
Upgraded Production Guidance & Operational Outperformance
Management raised FY‑26 production guidance after Orbost delivered record daily and 14‑day averages. Sustained higher production increases revenue capacity and provides durable operating leverage, lowering per‑unit costs and underpinning multi‑period cash generation and contract fulfilment.
Reserves Upside and ECSP Project Optionality
Material prospective resources and reserve increases at Sole, plus ECSP’s >110 TJ/day plateau potential, create structural growth optionality. Success would extend asset life, materially boost production scale and contracted supply capacity, supporting durable revenue and long‑term project economics.
Strong Liquidity and Available Financing
A healthy cash balance, modest net debt and a fully available A$480m reserve‑based loan give the company financing flexibility for ECSP capex. Manageable leverage reduces refinancing risk and supports execution of multi‑year development spending without immediate dilution.
Negative Factors
Weak Profitability
A sustained negative net margin and falling gross margin indicate the business is not yet generating sufficient returns from operations. Over months this erodes retained earnings, constrains reinvestment capacity, heightens reliance on external funding and limits shareholder return prospects.
Poor Free Cash Flow & Cash Generation Volatility
Volatile operating cash with materially negative free cash flow growth undermines the company’s ability to self‑fund rising ECSP capex. Persistently weak FCF raises execution and funding risk, increases dependence on the RBL and could force trade‑offs between growth and balance‑sheet repair.
Exploration and Project Approval Risk
An exploration miss and seismic false positive introduce uncertainty over prospectivity, requiring re‑work and reducing hit rates. Combined with expected ~$20m of regulatory/approval costs and likely RBL draws as capex rises, these factors increase timetable, execution and funding risk for ECSP development.

Amplitude Energy (AEL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Amplitude Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmplitude Energy Limited engages in exploration, development, and production of natural gas and low-cost oil in Australia. Cooper Energy Limited and changed its name to Amplitude Energy Limited in November 2024. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Adelaide, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmplitude Energy generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily by selling the clean energy it produces to utility companies and large businesses under long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs). Additionally, the company engages in energy consulting services, helping organizations optimize their energy consumption and transition to renewable sources. A significant revenue stream also comes from government incentives and tax credits associated with renewable energy projects. Strategic partnerships with technology providers and other energy firms enhance AEL's capabilities and market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Amplitude Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational and financial momentum: record production, revenue and underlying EBITDAX, upgraded FY'26 production guidance, reserve uplifts at Sole, robust cash position and ECSP on schedule and budget. Key challenges include an exploration miss at Elanora (seismic interpretation work underway), near-term maintenance-driven cost increases, regulatory/approval costs for ECSP and some pending JV decisions. On balance the positives (record metrics, upgraded guidance, reserve increases, strong safety and liquidity and clear ECSP progress with imminent Isabella results) outweigh the negatives, though exploration and short-term cost risks merit monitoring.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial and Operational Results
Sales revenue of $141.5M, underlying EBITDAX of $100.3M (up 9% vs H1 FY'25), adjusted cash from operations of $85.6M (up 5% vs H1 FY'25) and underlying NPAT of $25.7M (vs $7.8M prior period, ~+229%).
Upgraded FY'26 Production Guidance
Group production guidance increased to 73–77 TJ/day (26.6–28.1 PJ equivalent) from prior 69–74 TJ/day, driven primarily by Orbost outperformance.
Orbost Production and Plant Performance
Orbost averaged a record 66.3 TJ/day for the half, hit a new 14-day average record of 70.9 TJ/day and a daily record of 71 TJ/day; trials consistently exceeded prior nameplate 68 TJ/day after regulatory capacity lift.
Reserves and Resource Upside at Sole
Sole field 1P reserves increased 19% and 2P reserves increased 9% (announced YE 2025); ongoing technical studies targeting further contingent resource booking based on strong reservoir deliverability.
Cost Control and Continuous Improvement
Production expenses for the half were ~$25M (down 14% vs prior comparable period) with unit production cost $1.79/GJ; continuous improvement program has 80+ initiatives targeting ~ $10M additional cash flow improvements this FY; net corporate G&A reduced to $5.2M.
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Cash at 31 Dec of $81.3M, net debt reduced to ~$34M and a $480M reserve-based loan facility fully available; RBL provides financing flexibility ahead of ECSP investment phase.
ECSP Progress and Material Upside
East Coast Supply Project (ECSP) on schedule and on budget; Isabella drilling underway (results imminent); project prospective resource: ~260 Bcf gross mean unrisked prospective plus 65 PJ gross 2C at Annie; target production plateau >110 TJ/day on success and potential to extend Athena life >10 years.
Safety and Environmental Performance
TRIFR of 3.18 (12 months to 31 Dec 2025), down from 3.34 prior period and well below industry benchmark 4.94; no recordable injuries, no Tier 1/2 process safety events and no reportable environmental incidents; over 2 years without a lost-time injury.
Higher Realized and Contracted Gas Prices
Contracting activity and greater spot exposure expected to increase weighted average contracted gas price by ~20% in calendar year vs 2025 (2025 avg ~ >$9/GJ); realized gas prices have risen consistently over ~3.5 years.
Operational Recovery in Cooper Basin and Upside at Athena
Cooper Basin production recovery with a 21% quarter-on-quarter increase late in the year; Athena average processing rate 8.2 TJ/day (net) and plan to restart Casino 4 to add ~1+ TJ/day gross; Athena F/E upgrades for ECSP complete.
Negative Updates
Elanora Exploration Failure
Elanora well was disappointing and did not encounter commercial gas in the targeted Waarre A sands; management is conducting post-mortem seismic and petrophysical studies to explain a seismic amplitude false positive and assess implications for other prospects.
Exploration Uncertainty and Seismic Risk
Seismic amplitude response produced a false positive at Elanora, prompting quantitative seismic re-evaluation; this introduces exploration risk and requires further analysis to validate probability of success for other prospects (though management notes those target Waarre C sands).
Near-Term Cost and Maintenance Pressures
Expect higher production costs in H2 FY'26 due to CHN field maintenance and a scheduled Athena shutdown in April; these will increase operating costs despite H1 cost reductions.
Project and Approval Costs / Funding Draw Expectations
Company expects to spend nearly $20M on environmental and regulatory approvals for ECSP and anticipates drawing on the RBL facility this calendar year as CapEx increases for ECSP development.
Oil Production Impacted by Flooding
Oil production declined in H1 FY'26, impacted by prior-year Cooper Basin flooding (management expects recovery in H2), which reduced contribution to H1 results.
Uncertain Slot Approval for Nestor & JV Timing
Nestor long-lead items acquired but JV has not yet called the drilling slot; final approval remains pending, adding timing uncertainty to potential ECSP upside.
Company Guidance
Amplitude upgraded FY‑26 group production guidance to 73–77 TJ/day (26.6–28.1 PJ), up from 69–74 TJ/day, driven by Orbost outperformance (new daily record 71 TJ and 14‑day average 70.9 TJ) and with FY‑26 guidance for production expenses, other cost of sales, cash expenses and capital expenditure unchanged; management expects contracted gas prices to rise ~20% from 1 Jan 2026 versus ~>$9/GJ in 2025, is on track to push Orbost sustainably above the prior 68 TJ nameplate and to drive Orbost unit costs below $2/GJ, and flagged ECSP targets a >110 TJ/day production plateau for the first four years (Athena capacity up to 150 TJ/day) that could supply ~800,000 Victorian homes from 2028, with Isabella drilling results and an FID imminent. H1 metrics further underpin guidance (underlying EBITDAX $100.3m, adjusted operating cash flow $85.6m), the continuous‑improvement program targets ~A$10m of cash benefits by year‑end, the $480m RBL is available as CapEx steps up, and net debt was ~$34m at 31 Dec.

Amplitude Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is growing, but overall profitability remains weak with net losses and a negative net margin; cash flow is volatile with very weak free cash flow, while leverage appears manageable but shareholder returns remain challenged (negative ROE).
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Amplitude Energy shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has achieved revenue growth, with an 8.57% increase in the most recent year. However, profitability remains a concern, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -15.42% and a declining gross profit margin. The EBIT margin is slightly positive, indicating some operational efficiency, but the overall profitability is hindered by high costs and negative net income.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80 suggests a manageable level of leverage, although it has increased compared to previous years. The equity ratio is healthy, indicating a solid base of stockholders' equity relative to total assets. However, the negative return on equity highlights ongoing challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals significant volatility. The company has improved its operating cash flow, but free cash flow remains weak with a negative growth rate of -114.46%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to convert earnings into cash, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating limited cash generation relative to net losses.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue275.83M268.06M219.05M196.94M203.85M131.64M
Gross Profit90.88M77.83M89.77M11.28M38.54M13.99M
EBITDA158.33M142.60M-48.81M-35.52M-4.58M-17.35M
Net Income-22.68M-41.33M-114.11M-68.46M-10.56M-30.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.13B1.18B1.22B1.34B1.20B978.54M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments81.30M62.19M14.33M77.13M247.01M91.31M
Total Debt118.83M300.12M254.92M154.60M168.86M230.00M
Total Liabilities583.67M799.17M805.54M847.50M701.55M652.75M
Stockholders Equity548.33M376.52M417.65M496.87M498.43M325.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow84.11M15.57M-166.24M-212.80M36.90M-26.52M
Operating Cash Flow119.85M89.31M-99.76M62.76M57.78M8.06M
Investing Cash Flow-42.32M-75.27M-66.48M-274.92M-20.44M-34.58M
Financing Cash Flow-46.96M33.75M105.54M41.17M116.86M-12.48M

Amplitude Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.69
Price Trends
50DMA
2.77
Negative
100DMA
2.74
Negative
200DMA
2.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
54.20
Neutral
STOCH
93.30
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AEL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.56, below the 50-day MA of 2.77, and above the 200-day MA of 2.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.30 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AEL.

Amplitude Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
AU$415.04M31.1716.49%14.63%-4.57%-52.65%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
55
Neutral
$1.02B-199.19-2.73%60.83%
52
Neutral
AU$806.68M-26.17-9.90%22.38%63.95%
52
Neutral
AU$1.03B-14.86-14.41%
49
Neutral
AU$329.68M-12.99-13.47%
45
Neutral
AU$359.94M-1.88-42.02%59.48%-1714.71%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AEL
Amplitude Energy
2.69
0.36
15.50%
AU:BMN
Bannerman Energy
4.90
2.67
119.73%
AU:BTL
Empire Energy Group Limited
0.27
0.08
43.24%
AU:HZN
Horizon Oil Limited
0.26
0.08
44.89%
AU:STX
Strike Energy Limited
0.10
-0.08
-45.95%
AU:TBN
Tamboran Resources Limited
0.22
0.04
22.22%

Amplitude Energy Corporate Events

Amplitude Energy outlines FY26 half-year metrics and risk framework
Feb 24, 2026

Amplitude Energy has released its FY26 half-year results update, outlining key financial and operating metrics using non-IFRS measures such as EBITDAX, EBITDA, EBIT, underlying profit and free cash flow. The company also reaffirmed its approach to reporting petroleum reserves and resources under the 2018 Petroleum Resources Management System and disclosed that its figures are subject to rounding and currency conversion conventions.

The release underscores the significant project and corporate risks inherent in the oil and gas sector, including commodity price volatility, regulatory approvals and operational uncertainties that may cause outcomes to differ from expectations. Amplitude Energy highlights that its reserves and resources estimates are prepared under qualified professional supervision and notes that forward-looking statements are not binding guidance, signalling a cautious stance for investors assessing future performance and project outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Amplitude Energy’s Elanora Well Disappoints as Focus Shifts to Isabella Prospect
Feb 9, 2026

Amplitude Energy has reported that its Elanora‑1 exploration well in the offshore Otway Basin reached total depth safely and ahead of schedule, but logging data showed no elevated gas readings in the primary Waarre A reservoir, which is interpreted as water‑bearing. The well will now be plugged, and the company will proceed with a planned sidetrack into the nearby Isabella prospect, which targets a different reservoir and remains central to its East Coast Supply Project.

Management said the disappointing Elanora outcome does not alter its assessment of the prospectivity of Waarre C sands targets such as Isabella, Juliet and Nestor. A successful Isabella sidetrack would be logged, flow‑tested and completed with subsea infrastructure for future development into the regional gas supply project, underscoring Amplitude’s continued push to secure new domestic gas volumes despite the Elanora setback.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Amplitude Energy Issues 142,785 Unquoted Performance Rights Under Incentive Scheme
Feb 3, 2026

Amplitude Energy Limited has issued 142,785 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, with the new securities recorded as being issued on 30 January 2026. The performance rights are subject to transfer restrictions and will not be quoted on the ASX until those restrictions lapse, signalling the company’s continued use of equity-linked incentives to align staff and management with shareholder interests and long-term performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Amplitude Energy Appoints New Director With No Current Equity Interests
Feb 3, 2026

Amplitude Energy Limited has appointed Matthew Vernon Ridolfi as a director effective 2 February 2026. According to the initial director’s interest notice filed with the ASX, Ridolfi holds no relevant interests in the company’s securities and has no interests in contracts related to issued securities, indicating no immediate change to the company’s capital structure or control arising from his appointment.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Vanguard Group Falls Below Substantial Holder Threshold in Amplitude Energy
Feb 2, 2026

Amplitude Energy Limited has disclosed that Vanguard Group, including its controlled entities such as Vanguard Investments Australia, has reduced its holding in the company to just under the substantial shareholder threshold. Vanguard now controls 4.997% of Amplitude Energy’s voting power, meaning it is no longer classified as a substantial holder under Australian corporate law, a move that may slightly reduce institutional influence over the company’s shareholder register but does not indicate any change in control or disclosed new associations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Amplitude Energy Adds Veteran Oil and Gas Executive Matthew Ridolfi to Board
Feb 1, 2026

Amplitude Energy has appointed veteran oil and gas executive Matthew Ridolfi as a non-executive director, adding more than 35 years of upstream experience across technical, operational and corporate leadership roles at BHP Petroleum and Woodside Energy. Ridolfi’s track record in delivering complex, multi-billion-dollar projects and his direct familiarity with the company’s Athena Gas Plant and broader operating footprint are expected to support Amplitude’s governance and execution capabilities as it advances its transformational East Coast Supply Project and consolidates its position in Australia’s constrained gas markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Amplitude Energy
Jan 30, 2026

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group has lodged a notice confirming it has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in Amplitude Energy Limited, after a series of transactions in late January involving fully paid ordinary shares in the company executed by an entity controlled by Morgan Stanley. The change in substantial holding status adjusts Amplitude Energy’s share register and may signal a shift in the mix of its institutional investors, though the filing does not detail any change to the company’s underlying operations or strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

First Sentier Group Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Amplitude Energy
Jan 29, 2026

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group’s asset management arm, First Sentier Group and a network of related entities, has filed notice that it has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in Amplitude Energy Ltd, an Australian-listed company. The change, lodged under Australia’s substantial holding provisions, indicates that the investor group’s voting power in Amplitude Energy has fallen below the reportable threshold, signaling an exit or major reduction of a once-significant institutional stake and potentially altering the company’s future shareholder base and governance dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

L1 Capital Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Amplitude Energy
Jan 27, 2026

Amplitude Energy Limited has disclosed that investment manager L1 Capital Pty Ltd has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the company, following changes in its relevant interest in Amplitude’s voting securities as recorded in a recent statutory notice. The move, formalised in a regulatory filing under Australia’s Corporations Act, signals a reduction in L1 Capital’s influence over Amplitude’s shareholder register and may alter the company’s institutional ownership profile and governance dynamics as the energy firm continues to engage with the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

MUFG Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Amplitude Energy as Morgan Stanley Entity Buys Shares
Jan 27, 2026

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) has lodged a notice stating it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Amplitude Energy Limited, following a series of transactions dated 20 January 2026 involving purchases of Amplitude Energy fully paid ordinary shares by an entity controlled by Morgan Stanley. The change in substantial holding status signals a reshaping of Amplitude Energy’s share register, with MUFG’s influence as a major shareholder diminishing and Morgan Stanley–related entities increasing their exposure, a development that may alter the balance of institutional ownership and governance dynamics for existing investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Amplitude Energy Starts Drilling Elanora-1 Well in Offshore Otway Basin
Jan 26, 2026

Amplitude Energy has begun drilling the Elanora-1 exploration well, the first well in its East Coast Supply Project, using the Transocean Equinox rig in the VIC/L24 permit area of the offshore Otway Basin, close to existing Casino, Henry, Netherby pipeline infrastructure. The well is targeting a gross mean prospective gas resource of 161 Bcf in the Waarre A reservoir, with Amplitude holding a 50% interest alongside joint venture partner O.G. Energy, and management highlighting a relatively high estimated chance of geological success that could underpin future tie-backs into the company’s established infrastructure and support gas supply to Australia’s East Coast domestic market. Drilling and evaluation of Elanora-1 are expected to run for several weeks before the well is plugged and a sidetrack is drilled into the nearby Isabella prospect, which, if successful, will be logged, flow-tested, and completed with a subsea tree for future development, potentially strengthening Amplitude’s resource base and strategic position in the tight East Coast gas market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

First Sentier Group Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Amplitude Energy
Jan 23, 2026

First Sentier Group Limited and a wide network of related entities, including various First Sentier Investors businesses and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group affiliates, have lodged a formal notice that they have ceased to be substantial holders in Amplitude Energy Ltd as of 21 January 2026. The change indicates that this institutional investor group has reduced its holding in Amplitude Energy below the substantial shareholder threshold, potentially altering Amplitude Energy’s register composition and reducing the influence of these investors in shareholder voting and governance matters.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Buy with a A$4.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Amplitude Energy Posts Record Quarter as Orbost Expansion and Otway Drilling Advance
Jan 21, 2026

Amplitude Energy reported record quarterly production of 7.03 PJe and record revenue of $71.6 million for the three months to 31 December 2025, driven by strong performance at the Orbost Gas Processing Plant and higher realised gas prices. The company achieved record spot gas sales into the Victorian and Sydney markets, secured regulatory approval to increase pipeline flow rates to Orbost, and has begun testing production above the plant’s 68 TJ/day nameplate capacity, setting a new daily output record of 70 TJ/day; at the same time, strong cash generation and an equity raising cut net debt sharply to $34.2 million. Operationally, the Gippsland Sole field continued to ramp up while Otway’s Casino, Henry and Netherby fields saw modest decline and Cooper Basin oil output rebounded as flood impacts eased, and in project development the Transocean Equinox rig has now arrived to start drilling the Elanora prospect in the Otway Basin, with front-end engineering nearing completion and a final investment decision on the expansion project anticipated in the coming quarter, underscoring Amplitude’s push to consolidate its position in Australia’s domestic gas supply chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Buy with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi UFJ Exits Substantial Holder Position in Amplitude Energy
Jan 21, 2026

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. has filed a notice that it has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in Amplitude Energy Limited, following a series of on‑market transactions dated 16 January 2026 involving fully paid ordinary shares undertaken by entities controlled by Morgan Stanley. The shift in holdings, comprising multiple small purchases and larger sales of Amplitude Energy shares, alters the company’s substantial holder register and signals a reduction in Mitsubishi UFJ’s influence over shareholder voting, a change that may affect perceptions of the stock’s institutional support and the future composition of the company’s investor base.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Buy with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi UFJ-Linked Investors Exit Substantial Holding in Amplitude Energy
Jan 20, 2026

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group and related First Sentier Investors entities have filed a notice that they have ceased to be substantial shareholders in Amplitude Energy Ltd as of 16 January 2026. The change, formalised under Australian substantial holding rules, signals that a major institutional investor group has reduced its position below the reporting threshold, potentially altering Amplitude Energy’s share register composition and free float, and may influence market perceptions of institutional support and liquidity in the stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Buy with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Vanguard Falls Below Substantial Holder Threshold in Amplitude Energy
Dec 30, 2025

Vanguard Group and its controlled entities have notified Amplitude Energy Limited that they have ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the company as of 23 December 2025. Following recent changes in Amplitude Energy’s issued voting shares, Vanguard’s holding has been diluted to 4.982% of the company’s voting power, formally dropping it below the substantial holder threshold and signalling a modest shift in the company’s institutional shareholder base.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Buy with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi UFJ Exits Substantial Holder Position in Amplitude Energy
Dec 29, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. has lodged a notice that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Amplitude Energy Limited, following a series of transactions in the company’s fully paid ordinary shares through entities controlled by Morgan Stanley and First Sentier Group Limited. The change reflects a reallocation and unwinding of positions, including purchases, sales and collateral returns, that have reduced Mitsubishi UFJ’s voting power below the substantial holding threshold, signalling a notable shift in Amplitude Energy’s share register and potentially altering the balance of institutional influence over the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Buy with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Amplitude Energy Cancels 8,832 Unvested Performance Rights
Dec 23, 2025

Amplitude Energy Limited has reported the cessation of 8,832 performance rights (AELAI) after the conditional rights to securities lapsed because their vesting conditions were not met or became incapable of being satisfied as of 16 December 2025. The lapse slightly reduces the company’s pool of potential equity-based remuneration, which may marginally affect dilution expectations for shareholders but does not alter the company’s existing issued capital structure in a material way.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Buy with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Amplitude Energy Seeks ASX Quotation for New Employee Incentive Shares
Dec 23, 2025

Amplitude Energy Limited has applied to the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) for quotation of 1,941,679 new fully paid ordinary shares, issued on 16 December 2025 under an employee incentive scheme. The move expands the company’s listed share capital and reflects its use of equity-based remuneration to attract and retain staff, aligning employees more closely with shareholder interests and potentially increasing liquidity in the stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Buy with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Amplitude Energy Announces Director’s Increased Stake in Incentive Plan
Dec 15, 2025

Amplitude Energy Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Jane Louise Norman acquiring 359,135 performance rights, bringing her total to 1,542,375 performance rights. This change was part of the company’s Equity Incentive Plan, which was approved by shareholders at the Annual General Meeting, indicating a strategic move to align management interests with company performance and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Buy with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Amplitude Energy Issues Performance Rights to Employees
Dec 15, 2025

Amplitude Energy Limited announced the issuance of 2,278,380 performance rights under an employee incentive scheme. These securities are unquoted and subject to transfer restrictions, reflecting the company’s strategy to incentivize employees and align their interests with long-term corporate goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Buy with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Amplitude Energy Addresses ASX Compliance Query
Dec 12, 2025

Amplitude Energy Limited addressed a query from the ASX regarding the late lodgement of an Appendix 3Y form, which was due to an administrative oversight. The company assured that its current processes are adequate to prevent future delays and ensure compliance with ASX Listing Rules, thus maintaining transparency and accountability in its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Buy with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Amplitude Energy Adjusts Director’s Interests Amid Equity Raising
Dec 8, 2025

Amplitude Energy Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Jane Louise Norman acquiring an additional 25,018 performance rights. This increase is intended to neutralize the impact of the company’s recent equity raising initiative announced in September 2025, reflecting the company’s strategic financial adjustments.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Buy with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Amplitude Energy Issues Unquoted Equity Securities Under Incentive Scheme
Dec 8, 2025

Amplitude Energy Limited announced the issuance of unquoted equity securities under an employee incentive scheme, including 34,274 share appreciation rights and 131,483 performance rights. These securities are subject to transfer restrictions and are not quoted on the ASX until the restrictions end, indicating a strategic move to incentivize employees and align their interests with the company’s growth objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Buy with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Ceases Substantial Holding in Amplitude Energy
Dec 1, 2025

Amplitude Energy Ltd has announced that Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. has ceased to be a substantial holder in the company. This change in substantial holding is due to the purchase of securities by entities controlled by First Sentier Group Limited and Morgan Stanley, impacting the voting securities and potentially altering the company’s shareholder dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AEL) stock is a Buy with a A$3.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude Energy stock, see the AU:AEL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026