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Actinogen Medical Limited (AU:ACW)
ASX:ACW

Actinogen Medical (ACW) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Actinogen Medical

(Sydney:ACW)

Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.00
▼(-100.00%Downside)
The company's strong revenue growth is overshadowed by ongoing profitability and cash flow challenges, leading to a cautious outlook. Technically, the stock shows a bearish trend without significant oversold conditions, and valuation metrics reflect typical biotech sector hurdles.

Actinogen Medical (ACW) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Actinogen Medical Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionActinogen Medical Limited (ACW) is an Australian biotechnology company focused on the development of innovative treatments for cognitive impairment associated with neurological diseases, including Alzheimer’s disease. The company is primarily engaged in the research and development of Xanamem, a novel drug designed to inhibit the production of cortisol in the brain, which is believed to contribute to cognitive decline in neurodegenerative conditions.
How the Company Makes MoneyActinogen Medical Limited generates revenue through the development and potential commercialization of its flagship product, Xanamem. The company primarily invests in clinical trials and research activities to advance Xanamem through the regulatory approval process. Revenue is expected to be derived from licensing agreements, strategic partnerships, and potential sales of Xanamem upon successful approval and market entry. Actinogen may also engage in collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies to co-develop or market Xanamem, leveraging these partnerships to enhance its financial position and market access.

Actinogen Medical Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Actinogen Medical Limited demonstrates strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow management, typical of the biotechnology industry where heavy R&D spending is prevalent. While the balance sheet reflects financial stability through low leverage and high equity, the negative cash flow and operating losses present a challenge for sustainable growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company shows a consistent increase in total revenue over the years, with a revenue growth rate of 103.2% from 2023 to 2024. Despite this growth, the company has been operating at a loss, evidenced by negative net income and EBIT margins. Gross profit margin remains strong as the cost of goods sold is negligible, but the high operating expenses lead to negative EBIT and net profit margins.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Stockholders' equity has increased over the years, indicating capital growth. The debt-to-equity ratio is very low, suggesting that the company is not heavily reliant on debt. However, the consistent negative net income impacts the return on equity negatively. The equity ratio is strong, highlighting financial stability with significant equity compared to total assets.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The company has a negative operating cash flow, which has increased in magnitude, indicating higher cash burn. Though the company has managed to raise financing cash flow to cover its cash needs, free cash flow remains negative. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is concerning, reflecting inefficiencies in converting revenue to cash.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.02M9.93M4.89M3.64M1.98M3.52M
Gross Profit9.02M9.93M4.48M3.24M1.60M3.10M
EBITDA-9.64M-12.92M-15.22M-12.72M-5.35M-8.20M
Net Income-9.66M-13.04M-10.75M-9.50M-3.92M-5.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.43M21.31M15.21M23.31M18.38M11.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.87M9.45M8.46M16.37M13.42M5.04M
Total Debt289.64K319.07K86.93K165.27K236.44K389.87K
Total Liabilities1.46M1.62M1.80M1.57M920.32K1.05M
Stockholders Equity23.97M19.70M13.41M21.74M17.46M10.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.73M-16.96M-8.73M-9.52M-1.73M-2.88M
Operating Cash Flow-8.72M-16.95M-8.70M-9.52M-1.72M-2.86M
Investing Cash Flow-9.03K-8.16K-36.60K-2.94K-6.19K-22.76K
Financing Cash Flow20.12M17.95M824.62K12.42M10.11M282.26K

Actinogen Medical Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.02
Negative
100DMA
0.03
Negative
200DMA
0.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
42.67
Neutral
STOCH
41.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ACW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, below the 50-day MA of 0.02, and below the 200-day MA of 0.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:ACW.

Actinogen Medical Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (48)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUEZZ
70
Outperform
AU$117.46M12.1145.86%2.46%71.65%152.89%
AUPTX
56
Neutral
AU$35.43M-36.95%11.11%
48
Neutral
AU$2.44B3.89-64.25%2.90%35.15%13.63%
AUACW
46
Neutral
$66.72M-55.44%49.25%
AUATH
45
Neutral
$91.27M-154.88%20.00%
AUALA
40
Underperform
AU$118.53M-85.35%315.11%51.16%
AURAD
34
Underperform
AU$54.39M-108.26%53.41%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ACW
Actinogen Medical
0.02
-0.04
-67.74%
AU:PTX
Prescient Therapeutics Limited
0.04
0.00
0.00%
AU:ATH
Alterity Therapeutics
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:RAD
Radiopharm Theranostics Limited
0.02
-0.02
-50.00%
AU:EZZ
EZZ Life Science Holdings Ltd.
2.40
0.59
32.60%
AU:ALA
Arovella Therapeutics Limited
0.11
-0.03
-21.43%

Actinogen Medical Corporate Events

BVF Partners Ceases Substantial Holding in Actinogen Medical
May 20, 2025

Actinogen Medical Limited has announced that BVF Partners L.P., along with its affiliates, has ceased to be a substantial holder in the company. This development follows a series of on-market sales of fully paid ordinary shares by BVF Partners and its associates, which took place between April 22 and May 19, 2025. The divestment of shares by BVF Partners may impact Actinogen Medical’s shareholder composition and could influence market perceptions of the company’s stock.

Actinogen’s Xanamem Shows Promise in Depression Treatment
May 19, 2025

Actinogen Medical announced positive results from a Phase 2 trial of its drug Xanamem, presented at the American Psychiatric Association’s 2025 meeting. The trial demonstrated that a 10 mg dose of Xanamem significantly improves symptoms of moderate Major Depressive Disorder, validating its mechanism of controlling brain cortisol levels. These findings not only highlight Xanamem’s potential as an effective antidepressant with a unique mechanism of action but also support its use in ongoing trials for Alzheimer’s Disease. The promising safety profile and durability of Xanamem’s benefits position it as a competitive candidate in the antidepressant market, potentially benefiting patients with Alzheimer’s who also suffer from depression.

Actinogen Medical Advances Alzheimer’s Treatment with Xanamem
May 15, 2025

Actinogen Medical announced a panel discussion featuring key company figures and experts to discuss advancements in Alzheimer’s treatments and the commercialization of Xanamem, their novel oral medication. The company is actively preparing for commercialization by designing pivotal trials, developing thought leaders, and refining communication strategies, which are crucial for maximizing future partnerships and addressing the significant unmet medical need for effective Alzheimer’s therapies.

Actinogen Medical Advances Alzheimer’s and Depression Trials with Regulatory and Manufacturing Milestones
Apr 30, 2025

Actinogen Medical has made significant progress in its XanaMIA phase 2b/3 clinical trial for Alzheimer’s disease, with accelerated patient screening and enrollment across multiple sites in the US and Australia. The company also achieved a successful regulatory meeting with the FDA regarding major depressive disorder, marking a major accomplishment that could enhance future partnerships and funding opportunities. Additionally, the World Health Organization granted a unique name to Xanamem, recognizing its novel mechanism of action, and the company continues to advance its manufacturing and strategic planning efforts.

Actinogen Medical Prepares for Xanamem Commercialization with Upcoming Forum
Apr 23, 2025

Actinogen Medical announced an upcoming Clinical Trials Science Forum to discuss advancements in Alzheimer’s treatments and the commercialization of Xanamem, their novel oral medication. The forum will highlight the company’s strategic planning for commercialization, including trial designs and stakeholder engagement, which are crucial for maximizing future partnerships and addressing the unmet need for effective Alzheimer’s therapies.

Actinogen Medical Sees Change in Substantial Holder’s Voting Power
Apr 23, 2025

Actinogen Medical Limited has seen a change in the interests of its substantial holder, BVF Partners L.P., which has reduced its voting power from 7.29% to 6.24% through a series of on-market sales of fully paid ordinary shares. This change in holdings may impact Actinogen’s market position and shareholder dynamics, as BVF Partners L.P. adjusts its investment strategy in the company.

Actinogen Medical Advances Alzheimer’s Research with Promising Xanamem Trial
Apr 2, 2025

Actinogen Medical announced that its Chief Medical Officer, Dr. Dana Hilt, presented an academic poster at the International Conference on Alzheimer’s & Parkinson’s Diseases. The poster highlighted the benefits of Xanamem treatment in patients with elevated blood pTau181, a biomarker for Alzheimer’s Disease, and informed the design of a new phase 2b/3 trial. This trial, currently recruiting in Australia and the USA, aims to evaluate the efficacy of Xanamem in slowing Alzheimer’s progression. Interim results are expected in late 2025, with final results anticipated in 2026. This development positions Actinogen as a key player in the Alzheimer’s treatment landscape, potentially impacting stakeholders by advancing therapeutic options for this debilitating condition.

Actinogen Advances Xanamem Development with FDA Meeting Success
Mar 27, 2025

Actinogen Medical announced the successful completion of a Type C meeting with the FDA regarding its major depressive disorder (MDD) program, reaching a consensus on the necessary clinical and nonclinical studies for future marketing approval of Xanamem. This development is a significant milestone for the company, enhancing its position in discussions with potential partners and supporting its ongoing efforts in clinical trials for Alzheimer’s and depression.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025