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Actinogen Medical Limited (AU:ACW)
ASX:ACW
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Actinogen Medical (ACW) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ACW

Actinogen Medical

(Sydney:ACW)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.06
▲(6.67% Upside)
Actinogen Medical's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial challenges, including declining revenues and negative profitability, which weigh heavily on the score. The strong technical indicators provide some positive momentum, but the overbought conditions suggest caution. The valuation is weak due to negative earnings and lack of dividends, further impacting the score.
Positive Factors
Innovative Drug Development
Actinogen's focus on developing innovative therapies for Alzheimer's positions it well in a growing market with significant unmet needs.
Market Opportunity
The increasing prevalence of neurodegenerative diseases presents a substantial market opportunity for Actinogen's therapies, supporting long-term growth.
Low Leverage
Low leverage provides financial stability and flexibility, allowing Actinogen to invest in R&D and manage risks associated with biotech ventures.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue indicates challenges in monetizing drug development, which could hinder future growth and sustainability if not addressed.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow highlights operational inefficiencies and could limit Actinogen's ability to fund ongoing R&D and commercialization efforts.
Persistent Losses
Ongoing losses reflect operational challenges and may impact Actinogen's ability to achieve profitability, affecting long-term viability.

Actinogen Medical (ACW) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Actinogen Medical Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionActinogen Medical Limited, a biotechnology company, develops therapies for neurological and neuropsychiatric diseases associated with dysregulated brain cortisol in Australia. It is developing Xanamem, an inhibitor of the 11ß-HSD1 enzyme, which is in Phase 2 clinical trials that achieves target engagement in the central nervous system, Alzheimer's disease, depression with cognitive impairment, and anxiety, sleep, and behavioral problems in fragile X syndrome. The company was formerly known as Actinogen Limited and changed its name to Actinogen Medical Limited in November 2015. Actinogen Medical Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyActinogen Medical generates revenue primarily through funding from clinical trials, partnerships with pharmaceutical companies, and potential licensing agreements for its drug candidates. The company may also receive milestone payments and royalties from collaborators upon reaching specific developmental or commercial milestones. Additionally, any successful outcomes from clinical trials can lead to increased investment and interest from investors, boosting the company's financial standing. Actinogen's focus on innovative therapies in a growing market for neurodegenerative diseases positions it to capitalize on future revenue opportunities as its products advance towards commercialization.

Actinogen Medical Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Actinogen Medical faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and persistent losses. The income statement shows a negative growth rate and deeply negative net profit margin. The balance sheet indicates low leverage but negative returns on equity. Cash flow issues are evident with negative operating and free cash flows.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Actinogen Medical's income statement reveals significant challenges with profitability. The company has experienced a substantial decline in revenue, with a negative growth rate of -39.16% in the most recent year. Gross profit margin remains strong at 100%, but the net profit margin is deeply negative, indicating ongoing losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. The company needs to address its revenue decline and improve cost management to enhance profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, suggesting limited leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating returns for its shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively healthy, but the company needs to improve its profitability to enhance shareholder value.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates significant challenges. The operating cash flow and free cash flow are both negative, with a declining free cash flow growth rate of -13.01%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow issues. The company must focus on improving cash generation to support its operations and future growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.49M5.49M9.93M4.89M3.64M1.98M
Gross Profit5.29M5.49M9.93M4.48M3.24M1.60M
EBITDA-15.01M-15.01M-12.84M-15.22M-12.72M-5.35M
Net Income-14.73M-14.73M-13.04M-10.75M-9.50M-3.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.48M24.48M21.31M15.21M23.31M18.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.50M16.50M9.45M8.46M16.37M13.42M
Total Debt3.26M3.26M319.07K86.93K165.27K236.44K
Total Liabilities6.15M6.15M1.62M1.80M1.57M920.32K
Stockholders Equity18.34M18.34M19.70M13.41M21.74M17.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.59M-7.59M-16.96M-8.73M-9.52M-1.73M
Operating Cash Flow-7.56M-7.56M-16.95M-8.70M-9.52M-1.72M
Investing Cash Flow-38.02K-38.02K-8.16K-36.60K-2.94K-6.19K
Financing Cash Flow14.65M14.65M17.95M824.62K12.42M10.11M

Actinogen Medical Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.06
Price Trends
50DMA
0.04
Positive
100DMA
0.03
Positive
200DMA
0.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
61.69
Neutral
STOCH
28.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ACW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.05, above the 50-day MA of 0.04, and above the 200-day MA of 0.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:ACW.

Actinogen Medical Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
AU$105.20M15.2927.24%2.63%0.65%-9.90%
56
Neutral
$181.39M-75.99%10.91%
56
Neutral
AU$90.43M-9.45-49.72%10.78%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
41
Neutral
AU$87.00M-42.68%63.46%
40
Underperform
AU$106.68M-13.09-47.98%700.00%26.88%
34
Underperform
AU$66.74M-1.35-100.67%1114.27%85.66%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ACW
Actinogen Medical
0.06
0.03
83.87%
AU:ATH
Alterity Therapeutics
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:PTX
Prescient Therapeutics Limited
0.09
0.05
125.00%
AU:RAD
Radiopharm Theranostics Limited
0.02
-0.02
-50.00%
AU:EZZ
EZZ Life Science Holdings Ltd.
1.52
-1.09
-41.76%
AU:ALA
Arovella Therapeutics Limited
0.08
-0.11
-57.89%

Actinogen Medical Corporate Events

Actinogen Medical Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Dec 5, 2025

Actinogen Medical Limited has announced the quotation of 251,050 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of December 5, 2025. This move marks a significant step for the company, potentially enhancing its market presence and providing additional capital for its operations, which could positively impact its stakeholders.

Actinogen Medical Expands Capital with New ASX Quotation
Dec 1, 2025

Actinogen Medical Limited has announced the quotation of 1,078,721 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of December 1, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its capital structure and support ongoing research and development activities, potentially strengthening its position in the biotechnology sector.

Actinogen Medical Expands Capital with New Securities Issuance
Nov 19, 2025

Actinogen Medical Limited has announced the issuance of 2,769,826 fully paid ordinary securities, which are set to be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code ACW. This move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its capital structure and support its ongoing research and development activities, potentially strengthening its position in the biotechnology sector and providing new opportunities for stakeholders.

Actinogen Medical Advances Alzheimer’s and Depression Trials with Positive AGM Outcomes
Nov 19, 2025

Actinogen Medical announced the results of its Annual General Meeting, where all resolutions, including the approval of increased placement capacity, were carried. The company is advancing its clinical trials for Xanamem, a promising treatment for Alzheimer’s and depression, with significant progress in ongoing trials. The XanaMIA Phase 2b/3 trial for Alzheimer’s is set to be fully enrolled by the end of 2025, with initial results expected in early 2026. Actinogen’s efforts in controlling brain cortisol levels through Xanamem have shown promising safety and efficacy in clinical trials, reinforcing its potential impact on the treatment of neurological diseases.

Actinogen Medical Showcases Xanamem at Healthcare Conference
Nov 19, 2025

Actinogen Medical announced that its CEO and CFO will present at the Bell Potter Healthcare Conference 2025, highlighting their lead compound, Xanamem, which targets brain cortisol to slow Alzheimer’s progression and treat depression. The company is conducting multiple clinical trials, including the XanaMIA Phase 2b/3 trial for Alzheimer’s and the XanaCIDD Phase 2a trial for depression, with promising results showing significant benefits on depressive symptoms and cognitive function. These developments could strengthen Actinogen’s position in the biotechnology industry and offer new hope for patients with debilitating neurological conditions.

Actinogen Medical Advances Alzheimer’s and Depression Trials with Promising Results
Nov 19, 2025

Actinogen Medical held its 2025 Annual General Meeting in Sydney, where the Chair and CEO presented updates on their clinical trials and strategic direction. The company is advancing its XanaMIA Phase 2b/3 trial for Alzheimer’s disease, with full enrollment expected by the end of 2025 and initial results in early 2026. The XanaCIDD trial for depression showed significant benefits, reinforcing the potential of Xanamem in treating cognitive and depressive symptoms. These developments position Actinogen as a promising player in the biotechnology industry, with potential implications for stakeholders in terms of future treatment options and market growth.

Actinogen Medical’s Alzheimer’s Trial Receives Positive Continuation Recommendation
Nov 12, 2025

Actinogen Medical announced that the independent Data Monitoring Committee has recommended the continuation of the XanaMIA phase 2b/3 trial for Alzheimer’s without any amendments after reviewing safety data from 153 participants. This decision marks a positive step for the company’s development of Xanamem, a promising therapy targeting elevated cortisol levels in the brain, which is linked to Alzheimer’s progression and depressive symptoms. The trial is expected to be fully enrolled by the end of 2025, with interim results anticipated in early 2026, potentially impacting the company’s position in the neurological treatment market.

Actinogen Medical Showcases Alzheimer’s Treatment Progress at BIO-Europe 2025
Nov 2, 2025

Actinogen Medical announced its participation at the BIO-Europe 2025 conference in Vienna, where its executives will engage with international investors and potential biopharma partners to discuss their late-stage clinical trial program for Alzheimer’s disease. The company is conducting a pivotal phase 2b/3 trial for Alzheimer’s, with interim results expected early next year and final results in late 2026. This conference provides an opportunity to explore regional collaborations to accelerate the development of Xanamem, which has shown promising results in controlling elevated cortisol levels in the brain, a factor linked to Alzheimer’s progression and depressive symptoms.

Actinogen Medical Advances Xanamem Trials for Alzheimer’s and Depression
Oct 27, 2025

Actinogen Medical announced a live webinar to discuss recent progress and upcoming milestones, highlighting the development of their lead compound, Xanamem, for Alzheimer’s Disease and Depression. The company is conducting clinical trials in Australia and the US, with promising results from previous studies showing significant benefits in depression symptoms and cognitive function. The ongoing trials aim to further validate Xanamem’s efficacy and safety, potentially impacting the treatment landscape for these debilitating conditions.

Actinogen Medical to Host Webinar on Progress and Future Milestones
Oct 23, 2025

Actinogen Medical announced a live webinar scheduled for October 28, 2025, where CEO Dr. Steven Gourlay and other leaders will discuss the company’s recent progress and upcoming milestones. The company is advancing its clinical trials for Xanamem, a promising therapy for Alzheimer’s Disease and Depression, with significant developments expected in 2026. This announcement highlights Actinogen’s commitment to addressing unmet medical needs in neurological and neuropsychiatric diseases, potentially impacting its market position and offering hope for stakeholders seeking new treatments.

Actinogen Medical Advances Alzheimer’s Trial and Strengthens Market Position
Oct 22, 2025

Actinogen Medical has announced accelerated enrolment in its XanaMIA phase 2b/3 Alzheimer’s disease trial, with interim analysis scheduled for January 2026 and final results expected in mid-Q4 2026. The company also reported a successful meeting with the FDA, paving the way for a streamlined path to marketing approval and enhancing its potential for partnerships. Additionally, Actinogen has launched an Investor Hub to engage shareholders and successfully completed a pharmacokinetic trial confirming the efficacy of Xanamem’s commercial formulation. These developments signify significant progress in Actinogen’s clinical and commercial strategies, potentially strengthening its position in the Alzheimer’s treatment market.

Actinogen Medical Showcases Xanamem’s Potential at Canaccord Conference
Oct 20, 2025

Actinogen Medical announced that its CEO, Dr. Steven Gourlay, presented at the Canaccord Drug & Device Conference, highlighting the company’s progress with Xanamem, an oral therapy targeting brain cortisol to treat Alzheimer’s and depression. The presentation emphasized the drug’s promising clinical development, upcoming milestones, and its potential to meet the high demand for effective Alzheimer’s treatments. Actinogen’s ongoing clinical trials, including the XanaMIA Phase 2b/3 trial for Alzheimer’s and the XanaCIDD Phase 2a trial for depression, demonstrate significant benefits in managing symptoms, reinforcing Xanamem’s potential impact on the market.

Actinogen Medical Secures Additional R&D Rebate to Advance Alzheimer’s Treatment
Oct 20, 2025

Actinogen Medical has received approval for an Advance Overseas Finding, allowing them to claim an additional $1.9 million in research and development tax incentives for the 2025 financial year. This approval increases their total RDTI rebate to over $7.3 million, which will support their ongoing Alzheimer’s phase 2b/3 clinical trial. The trial is a significant step in their efforts to develop Xanamem as a treatment for Alzheimer’s, with interim results expected in January 2026 and final results in late 2026. This financial boost is crucial as the company approaches key milestones in its clinical trials, potentially strengthening its position in the biotechnology industry and offering hope for stakeholders looking for advancements in Alzheimer’s treatment.

Actinogen Medical Advances Alzheimer’s Trial with Early pTau Screening Completion
Oct 19, 2025

Actinogen Medical has announced the early completion of pTau screening in its XanaMIA Alzheimer’s trial due to strong recruitment, with final results expected by mid-Q4 2026. The increased participant enrollment is set to enhance the trial’s statistical power, potentially strengthening Xanamem’s positioning as a viable oral therapy for Alzheimer’s, offering safety and efficacy advantages over existing treatments.

Actinogen Medical Advances Xanamem Trials for Alzheimer’s and Depression
Oct 15, 2025

Actinogen Medical is advancing its revolutionary oral therapeutic, Xanamem, through pivotal trials aimed at transforming the treatment landscape for Alzheimer’s disease and major depressive disorder. This advancement reflects the company’s commitment to improving lives through precision and innovation, potentially impacting its operations and industry positioning significantly.

Actinogen Medical Schedules 2025 Annual General Meeting
Oct 15, 2025

Actinogen Medical Limited has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM) of Shareholders, scheduled to take place in person on November 19, 2025, at K&L Gates in Sydney. Shareholders are encouraged to lodge their proxy forms online, as hard copies of the meeting notice will not be sent unless specifically requested. This move aligns with recent legislative changes and reflects the company’s commitment to digital communication, potentially enhancing shareholder engagement and operational efficiency.

Actinogen Medical Secures $5.5 Million R&D Tax Rebate Amidst Clinical Trial Progress
Oct 14, 2025

Actinogen Medical has received a $5.5 million R&D tax incentive rebate from the Australian Tax Office, with an additional $1.9 million pending approval. This funding is crucial as the company progresses towards key milestones in its Alzheimer’s phase 2b/3 clinical trial, with interim results expected in January 2026 and final results in Q4 2026. The rebate supports Actinogen’s financial strategy and underscores its commitment to advancing its clinical trials, potentially strengthening its position in the biotechnology industry.

Actinogen Medical Sets AGM Date and Advances Xanamem Trials
Sep 29, 2025

Actinogen Medical announced the date for its Annual General Meeting, set for November 19, 2025, where the re-election and appointment of directors will be discussed. The company is advancing its clinical trials for Xanamem, a promising therapy for Alzheimer’s Disease and Depression, with significant progress in its XanaMIA and XanaCIDD trials, which could impact the treatment landscape for these conditions.

Actinogen Medical Announces Cessation of Securities
Sep 28, 2025

Actinogen Medical Limited announced the cessation of 1,600,000 securities due to the expiry of options or other convertible securities without exercise or conversion. This development may impact the company’s capital structure and could influence investor perceptions regarding its financial strategies and future prospects.

Actinogen Secures FDA Agreement for Xanamem Alzheimer’s Trial
Sep 15, 2025

Actinogen Medical has reached a significant milestone by securing agreement with the FDA on the necessary steps for US marketing approval of Xanamem for Alzheimer’s disease. This includes the design of a pivotal Phase 3 trial and other clinical and nonclinical activities. The FDA’s guidance enables Actinogen to move forward confidently with its development plans and enhances its positioning for discussions with potential partners. This development aligns with global regulatory efforts to find more effective therapies for Alzheimer’s, potentially impacting stakeholders positively by advancing treatment options.

Actinogen Medical Boosts Investor Engagement with New Hub
Sep 11, 2025

Actinogen Medical has launched a new Investor Hub to enhance engagement with shareholders, offering a centralized platform for accessing company updates and interacting with the leadership team. This initiative comes as the company approaches key milestones in its XanaMIA phase 2b/3 Alzheimer’s disease trial, with interim results expected in early 2026, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025