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Radiopharm Theranostics Limited (AU:RAD)
ASX:RAD
Australian Market

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited (RAD) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:RAD

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited

(Sydney:RAD)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.02
▲(15.00% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:12/30/25
The score is primarily held back by weak financial quality—large losses and significant negative free cash flow—despite improving revenue and gross margin and a debt-free balance sheet. Technical signals are modestly supportive, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings and the absence of a dividend.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Margin Improvement
A large revenue inflection paired with a ~73% gross margin materially improves unit economics and indicates the company can generate positive contribution per sale. If sustained, this supports future operating leverage, reduces break-even risk and improves prospects for self-funded growth over months.
Debt-free Balance Sheet
Absence of debt lowers bankruptcy and interest-rate risk and preserves financial flexibility during a multi-year development cycle. A clean capital structure enables management to fund clinical programs via equity, partnerships or grants without near-term leverage constraints, supporting strategic optionality.
Clinical Progress & JV Control
Advancing a first-in-human trial is a durable de-risking event that can create value through clinical readouts and licensing interest. Increasing JV ownership to 87.5% gives Radiopharm greater control over development and economics, concentrating upside if the program achieves positive outcomes.
Negative Factors
High Cash Burn
Material negative operating and free cash flow is a persistent structural risk: ongoing burn consumes equity, forces frequent capital raises, and limits runway. Over a 2–6 month horizon it pressures management to secure funding or partner deals, constraining strategic freedom and diluting holders.
Large Operating & Net Losses
Very large losses relative to revenue show the business has limited operating leverage to date. Even with revenue acceleration, persistent negative EBIT and net margins indicate a long path to sustainable profitability and make the company dependent on external capital or partnerships to fund operations.
Reliance on External Funding
When cash outflows track losses closely the firm is structurally funding operating deficits externally. This increases execution risk: future financing conditions, dilution, or unfavorable deal terms can impede R&D timelines and commercialization, affecting long-term strategy and shareholder returns.

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited (RAD) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRadiopharm Theranostics Limited develops radiopharmaceutical products for diagnostic and therapeutic uses. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Carlton, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyRadiopharm Theranostics Limited generates revenue primarily through the development, licensing, and commercialization of its radiopharmaceutical products. The company's revenue streams include sales of diagnostic and therapeutic radiopharmaceuticals, milestone payments, and royalties from licensing agreements with pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. Additionally, Radiopharm may enter into strategic partnerships to co-develop products, sharing both the costs and revenues. The company also invests in research and development to expand its product pipeline, aiming to introduce new and innovative solutions to the market, thereby increasing its revenue potential.

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FY2025 shows a meaningful revenue inflection and a strong swing to positive gross margin (~73%), but overall fundamentals remain weak due to very large operating and net losses and substantial ongoing cash burn. Balance sheet leverage is a positive (no debt, positive equity), yet negative returns and funding reliance remain key risks.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Revenue accelerated sharply in FY2025 (up ~390% YoY) and gross margin turned strongly positive (~73%), a meaningful improvement versus prior years that showed deeply negative gross profit. However, profitability remains very weak: operating losses are large (EBIT about -2.6x revenue) and the company is still generating sizable net losses (net margin ~-2.7x revenue), indicating a business still in heavy investment mode with limited operating leverage to date.
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively clean from a leverage standpoint with zero debt reported from FY2022–FY2025 and positive equity in recent years (FY2025 equity ~44.8M vs. assets ~86.5M). The key weakness is returns: losses drive negative returns on equity (about -82% in FY2025), and while equity improved versus FY2024, the company’s capital base is still being consumed by ongoing losses.
Cash Flow
23
Negative
Cash generation remains a clear pressure point, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both materially negative in FY2025 (about -36.6M). While free cash flow improved modestly versus FY2024, cash burn remains substantial and closely tracks net losses, highlighting continued reliance on external funding over time if the burn rate persists.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.35M13.40M299.23K292.36K8.83K0.00
Gross Profit21.33M9.81M-21.31M-3.00M-2.97M0.00
EBITDA-43.11M-31.65M-45.38M-37.11M-18.04M-484.75K
Net Income-44.94M-36.70M-47.95M-34.61M-30.34M-485.19K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets91.17M86.48M72.04M74.95M83.38M33.44K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.52M29.12M18.58M11.70M26.98M27.09K
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.0059.00K
Total Liabilities41.23M43.61M44.68M29.37M20.42M158.14K
Stockholders Equity51.78M44.79M28.12M44.38M62.96M-124.70K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-37.10M-36.65M-22.98M-24.73M-38.25M-32.91K
Operating Cash Flow-37.10M-36.65M-22.98M-23.20M-9.91M-32.91K
Investing Cash Flow-6.54M1.77M0.00-1.53M-28.37M0.00
Financing Cash Flow42.26M45.43M29.88M9.22M65.11M60.00K

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.02
Negative
100DMA
0.02
Negative
200DMA
0.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
47.25
Neutral
STOCH
-16.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:RAD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, below the 50-day MA of 0.02, and below the 200-day MA of 0.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -16.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:RAD.

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
55
Neutral
AU$81.52M-1.51-100.67%1114.27%85.66%
52
Neutral
AU$156.16M-4.740.66%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
AU$71.50M-6.80-49.72%10.78%
45
Neutral
AU$6.63M-469.35%46.28%
41
Neutral
AU$29.03M-28.33-30.33%
41
Neutral
AU$56.16M-5.40-71.87%7.65%-19.13%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:RAD
Radiopharm Theranostics Limited
0.02
>-0.01
-11.54%
AU:1AI
Living Cell Technologies
0.02
<0.01
70.00%
AU:PTX
Prescient Therapeutics Limited
0.07
0.02
54.55%
AU:PIQ
Proteomics International Laboratories Ltd.
0.34
-0.19
-35.85%
AU:CHM
Chimeric Therapeutics Ltd.
AU:RCE
Recce Pharmaceuticals Ltd.
0.54
0.14
34.66%

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited Corporate Events

Radiopharm Theranostics Narrows Asset Base as Half-Year Loss Widens, Increases Stake in MD Anderson JV
Feb 27, 2026

Radiopharm Theranostics reported a 44% increase in its half-year loss to A$26.97 million for the six months ended 31 December 2025, with net tangible assets per share declining to 0.14 cents from 0.18 cents a year earlier. The company did not declare any dividends, while its interim financial statements received an unmodified review opinion from its independent auditor.

During the period, Radiopharm Theranostics increased its stake in Radiopharm Ventures, LLC, a joint venture with The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, from 75% to 87.5%. The higher ownership in this oncology-focused venture underscores the company’s strategic commitment to expanding its theranostic platform despite widening losses and the absence of shareholder distributions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Radiopharm Theranostics Posts Solid Cash Runway and Positive Interim Data for Lead Brain Metastases Imaging Agent
Jan 27, 2026

Radiopharm Theranostics reported its half-year financial results to 31 December 2025 alongside business updates, highlighting strong clinical progress across its oncology radiopharmaceutical pipeline and a solid cash position of approximately $34.52 million, which is expected to fund operations into 2027 through key clinical and regulatory milestones. Interim Phase 2b data for its lead imaging candidate RAD 101 in patients with recurrent brain metastases showed 92% MRI concordance, reinforcing earlier findings and supporting plans for a potential Phase 3 registrational study if results are confirmed, while additional Phase 1 data for therapeutic candidates RAD 202 and RAD 204 in advanced solid tumors are anticipated in mid-2026, underscoring the company’s focus on advancing multiple programs and enhancing its competitive positioning in radiotheranostics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Radiopharm Theranostics Options Lapse, Trimming Potential Dilution
Dec 23, 2025

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited has notified the ASX that 400,000 options with an exercise price of A$0.60, expiring on 22 December 2025 and trading under the code RADAH, have lapsed unexercised. The expiry slightly reduces the company’s pool of potential dilutive securities but does not involve any new capital raising or share issuance, suggesting a minor housekeeping adjustment to its capital structure rather than a shift in strategy or operations for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Radiopharm Theranostics Increases Director Paul Hopper’s Option Holdings After AGM Approval
Dec 19, 2025

Radiopharm Theranostics has disclosed a change in the interests of director Paul Hopper, who was issued 18,142,000 unlisted options as approved by shareholders at the company’s Annual General Meeting on 20 November 2025. Following this non-cash issuance, Hopper’s direct holdings increased to 53,900,000 shares and 53,642,000 options, with his total direct and indirect option interests rising to 62,659,518, signalling continued alignment of the director’s incentives with shareholder interests and the company’s long-term strategic objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Radiopharm Theranostics Increases Director Ian Turner’s Option Holdings After Shareholder Approval
Dec 19, 2025

Radiopharm Theranostics has disclosed a change in director Ian Turner’s interests in the company’s securities, following shareholder approval at the 20 November 2025 Annual General Meeting. Turner has been issued 6,814,000 additional unlisted options on a non-cash basis pursuant to a shareholder-approved resolution, increasing his total holding to 25,802,350 options (24,981,928 held directly and 820,422 indirectly), while his shareholding remains unchanged at 9,255,292 shares. The issuance reflects ongoing equity-based remuneration and further aligns the director’s incentives with shareholder interests, but does not involve any on-market transactions or changes to contractual interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Radiopharm Theranostics Issues 99.3 Million Unquoted Options Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Dec 19, 2025

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited has notified the market of the issue of 99,294,000 unquoted options under its employee incentive scheme, which are not intended to be quoted on the ASX and have various expiry dates and exercise prices. The issuance of these unquoted equity securities is designed to support the company’s remuneration and retention strategy by aligning employee incentives with shareholder interests, potentially leading to future dilution if the options are exercised, but also signaling a focus on long-term value creation and staff engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Buy with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Radiopharm Theranostics Announces Proposed Share Placement
Dec 18, 2025

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited has announced the proposed issuance of 39,644,767 fully paid ordinary shares through a placement expected to occur on December 31, 2027. This move demonstrates the company’s commitment to further strengthening its capital base, potentially facilitating expansion, innovation in radiopharmaceutical development, and improved positioning within the industry as it continues to pursue technological advancement in cancer treatment and diagnostics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Radiopharm Theranostics Establishes ATM Facility to Expand U.S. Capital Fundraising Opportunities
Dec 18, 2025

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited has announced the establishment of an At-the-Market (ATM) equity facility in the U.S., enabling the sale of American Depositary Shares (ADSs) to raise capital for product development and corporate needs. The ATM facility, which permits flexible, incremental fundraising based on prevailing market conditions, is a strategic move aiming to leverage U.S. capital markets, potentially raising up to $22.4 million initially with a wider $50 million ceiling over three years, enhancing the company’s financial flexibility in line with market trends.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Radiopharm Theranostics Addresses ASX Listing Rule Compliance Issue
Dec 18, 2025

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited recently announced an inadvertent non-compliance with ASX Listing Rule 7.1 due to an oversights regarding the inclusion of milestone shares in its capacity calculation. This led to the company exceeding its placement capacity in October 2025, impacting the validity of certain placement shares for ratification. In response, the company intends to bolster its governance measures, increase awareness among officers, and engage external advisors to ensure full compliance and maintain best practices moving forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Radiopharm Theranostics’ RAD 101 Achieves Key Trial Milestone in Brain Metastases
Dec 15, 2025

Radiopharm Theranostics announced that their Phase 2b trial of RAD 101 in brain metastases achieved its primary endpoint, with 92% of patients showing concordance with MRI imaging. This interim data bolsters confidence in the trial’s success and supports the potential initiation of a pivotal study by the end of 2026. The U.S. market opportunity for RAD 101 is estimated at over $500 million annually, positioning it as a top imaging agent. The trial has reached 50% patient enrollment and has received FDA Fast Track Designation, highlighting its significance in differentiating recurrent disease from treatment effects in brain metastases.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Radiopharm Theranostics Announces Change in Substantial Holder Status
Dec 10, 2025

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited has announced that Paul Hopper has ceased to be a substantial holder in the company as of December 9, 2025. This change was due to a dilution from a placement, which affects the voting securities of the company. The announcement may impact the company’s shareholder structure and could influence its market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Radiopharm Theranostics Expands Share Issuance to Bolster Market Position
Dec 9, 2025

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited has issued 750,960,477 ordinary fully paid shares without disclosure under Part 6D.2 of the Corporations Act. The company has complied with relevant provisions of the Corporations Act and confirms there is no excluded information required to be disclosed, indicating a strategic move to strengthen its financial position and potentially expand its market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Radiopharm Theranostics Announces New Securities Quotation on ASX
Dec 9, 2025

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited has announced the application for quotation of new securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). The company plans to quote 750,960,477 ordinary fully paid shares and 1,166,666,667 options expiring in 2027, which could potentially strengthen its financial position and support its strategic growth initiatives in the radiopharmaceutical sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Radiopharm Theranostics Announces New Securities Quotation on ASX
Dec 9, 2025

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited has announced a new application for the quotation of securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). The company plans to issue 12,599,991 options expiring on October 31, 2027, at an exercise price of $0.039. This move is part of a securities purchase plan, which could potentially strengthen the company’s financial position and support its ongoing projects in the radiopharmaceutical sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited Holdings Concentration Revealed
Dec 9, 2025

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited has released a holdings report indicating that a significant portion of its shares, 99.89%, is held by large stakeholders, with CITICORP NOMINEES PTY LIMITED being the largest shareholder at 36.96%. This concentration of ownership suggests a strong backing by major investors, potentially impacting the company’s strategic decisions and market influence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Radiopharm Theranostics Successfully Passes All Resolutions at General Meeting
Dec 3, 2025

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited announced that all resolutions considered at their recent General Meeting were successfully passed by poll. These resolutions included the ratification of prior share placements and approvals for issuing additional shares and options, which are expected to support the company’s financial strategies and enhance its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Radiopharm Theranostics Completes Share Purchase Plan
Dec 3, 2025

Radiopharm Theranostics Limited has successfully completed its share purchase plan (SPP), raising A$0.4 million, which contributes to a total of A$35.4 million raised alongside a placement announced earlier. The SPP offered new shares at A$0.03 each, and a total of 12,599,991 ordinary shares are scheduled to be issued. The issuance of SPP Attaching Options, with an exercise price of A$0.039 and expiring in October 2027, is also planned, reflecting the company’s strategic efforts to strengthen its financial position and support its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Ceases Substantial Holding in Radiopharm Theranostics
Nov 30, 2025

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates have ceased to be substantial holders in Radiopharm Theranostics Ltd, a company involved in the development of radiopharmaceutical products. The change in substantial holding is due to transactions involving the rehypothecation of client securities and the purchase and sale of securities by J.P. Morgan Securities Australia Limited and J.P. Morgan Securities LLC. This development may impact the company’s shareholder structure and could influence its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RAD) stock is a Buy with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radiopharm Theranostics Limited stock, see the AU:RAD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025