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Alfabs Australia Ltd. (AU:AAL)
ASX:AAL
Australian Market

Alfabs Australia Ltd. (AAL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:AAL

Alfabs Australia Ltd.

(Sydney:AAL)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.42
â–²(4.25% Upside)
Alfabs Australia Ltd. presents a mixed investment case. The company's strong financial performance is offset by technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum. The attractive valuation with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield provides a potential opportunity for value investors. However, the negative free cash flow and oversold technical conditions warrant caution.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion and stability.
Operational Efficiency
High margins reflect efficient operations and cost management, enhancing profitability and providing a buffer against market fluctuations.
Capital Structure
A balanced capital structure with improved debt-to-equity ratio enhances financial stability and reduces risk, supporting sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
Gross Profit Margin Decline
A significant decline in gross profit margin could impact future profitability, indicating potential cost pressures or pricing challenges.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow limits the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and may strain liquidity, affecting long-term financial health.
Debt Increase
Rising debt levels can increase financial risk and interest obligations, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest and grow.

Alfabs Australia Ltd. (AAL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlfabs Australia Limited engages in the mining equipment and engineering business in Australia. It operates through Mining, Engineering, and Other segments. The company offers equipment hire services to operators in the underground black coal mining industry; and supplies mining consumables and spare parts to mining operators, as well as offers repair, maintenance, overhaul, and construction of underground mining equipment. It also provides engineering fabrication, engineering services, protective coatings, forklift, access, logistic, and labor hire services for engineering and site-based maintenance and upgrade projects. In addition, the company offers consumables products, such as construction and drilling consumables, ground-engaging tools, industrial hoses and fittings, lubricants and oils, custom engraved decals, PPE and safety supplies, office stationery and supplies, and commercial and industrial cleaning supplies through retail stores. The company was incorporated in 2024 and is headquartered in Kurri Kurri, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlfabs Australia Ltd. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by offering manufacturing and engineering services that cater to the needs of the mining and construction industries. Key revenue streams include the fabrication of custom steel products, sales of mining and construction equipment, and ongoing maintenance and repair services for heavy machinery. The company also benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with major industry players, which provide a steady flow of projects and revenue. Additionally, Alfabs engages in project management services, which contributes to its earnings by providing comprehensive solutions from planning to execution, ensuring that clients receive end-to-end support.

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alfabs Australia Ltd. demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, with efficient operational management reflected in its margins. The balance sheet shows a healthy capital structure, but the rising debt levels need monitoring. Cash flow management is a concern due to negative free cash flow, which could impact future growth and investment capabilities.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Alfabs Australia Ltd. has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase of 4.52% in the latest year. The company maintains a strong EBIT margin of 19.59% and an impressive EBITDA margin of 29.22%, indicating efficient operational management. However, the gross profit margin has decreased significantly from 63.17% to 31.74%, which could be a concern for future profitability. The net profit margin improved to 12.82%, reflecting better cost control and profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.53, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is strong at 18.76%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 49.21%, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains positive, but the free cash flow is negative, which is a concern for liquidity and future investments. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient free cash flow relative to its net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.31, showing moderate cash generation efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue94.95M94.95M96.27M84.42M75.48M
Gross Profit30.13M30.13M60.82M24.54M14.15M
EBITDA27.74M27.74M18.26M14.49M9.75M
Net Income12.17M12.17M3.55M4.90M3.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets131.81M131.81M115.78M74.13M66.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.18M8.18M23.60M2.95M3.87M
Total Debt34.40M34.40M25.54M17.43M20.26M
Total Liabilities66.95M66.95M59.04M48.63M45.44M
Stockholders Equity64.87M64.87M56.74M24.49M20.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.49M-21.49M-2.13M2.12M-1.69M
Operating Cash Flow10.63M10.63M17.34M13.51M12.22M
Investing Cash Flow-30.60M-30.60M-19.81M-11.39M-13.65M
Financing Cash Flow4.56M4.56M23.12M-2.90M4.62M

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.40
Price Trends
50DMA
0.45
Negative
100DMA
0.45
Negative
200DMA
0.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
48.30
Neutral
STOCH
38.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AAL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.42, below the 50-day MA of 0.45, and below the 200-day MA of 0.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AAL.

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
AU$150.94M10.2611.37%5.50%1.33%-11.07%
71
Outperform
AU$2.17B24.658.17%4.87%13.19%14.79%
70
Neutral
AU$461.18M15.798.00%4.69%-9.67%-6.49%
66
Neutral
AU$261.22M-64.85-2.12%6.51%8.23%84.54%
64
Neutral
AU$139.00M11.4120.02%7.53%-1.55%232.03%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
55
Neutral
AU$138.32M-196.15-2.96%9.52%43.14%-136.36%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AAL
Alfabs Australia Ltd.
0.41
0.03
8.00%
AU:CLX
CTI Logistics Limited
1.91
0.06
3.53%
AU:DBI
Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure Ltd.
4.85
1.67
52.52%
AU:HNG
Hancock & Gore Limited
0.21
-0.05
-19.23%
AU:KSC
K & S Corporation Limited
3.40
-0.08
-2.30%
AU:LGL
Lynch Group Holding Ltd
2.15
0.54
33.54%

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Corporate Events

Alfabs Australia Announces Key Management Changes
Dec 4, 2025

Alfabs Australia Limited has announced changes in its key management personnel with the resignation of Mark Harrison as CFO and Finance Director and the appointment of Peter White as Chief Finance & Strategy Officer, effective January 2026. Peter White brings extensive experience in strategic finance and global project delivery, which is expected to significantly contribute to Alfabs’ strategic growth, while Mark Harrison is recognized for his contributions to the company’s growth and governance, particularly during its ASX listing.

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Director Adjusts Shareholding
Nov 28, 2025

Alfabs Australia Ltd. announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving William Wavish, who disposed of 1,000,000 ordinary shares through an off-market trade valued at $400,000. Following this transaction, Wavish holds 5,733,333 ordinary shares and 4,000,000 options, while his spouse, Yvonne Wavish, retains 4,266,667 ordinary shares. This adjustment in shareholding could indicate strategic financial planning or portfolio adjustment by the director, potentially impacting shareholder perceptions and market dynamics.

Alfabs Australia Limited Reports Successful AGM Outcomes
Nov 24, 2025

Alfabs Australia Limited announced the results of its annual general meeting held on November 24, 2025. All resolutions, including the adoption of the remuneration report, election of Mrs. Aimee Travis, and approvals of various employee and director plans, were carried with significant support. This outcome reflects strong shareholder confidence and positions the company to continue its strategic initiatives in the mining and engineering sectors.

Alfabs Australia Reports Strong FY2025 Performance Amid Market Challenges
Nov 24, 2025

Alfabs Australia Limited has reported a successful FY2025, marking its first full year as an ASX-listed company with significant growth in EBITDA and net profit after tax, increasing by 39% and 76% respectively. Despite challenges in market conditions affecting project margins, the company continues to see positive sales volumes, particularly in its Asset Remediation division and Stone Dust ‘Bat Bag’ division. The company is strategically positioned for growth with ongoing projects like the St Mary’s railway station and a strong presence in the Sydney market.

Alfabs Australia Corrects Proxy Voting Deadline
Oct 27, 2025

Alfabs Australia Limited has issued a correction regarding the cut-off time for proxy voting instructions, which must now be received by 2:00pm AEDT on November 22, 2025. This correction ensures that shareholders use the updated proxy form for voting, maintaining the integrity of the voting process and potentially affecting shareholder engagement and decision-making.

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Announces 2025 AGM and Key Resolutions
Oct 24, 2025

Alfabs Australia Limited has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting, scheduled for November 24, 2025, which will be held both in-person and virtually. Key agenda items include the adoption of the Remuneration Report, the election of Mrs. Aimee Travis as a Non-Executive Director, and the approval of the 2025 Employee Gift Plan, which involves issuing up to 550,000 shares. These resolutions indicate the company’s commitment to governance, leadership continuity, and employee engagement, potentially impacting shareholder value and company culture.

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Emphasizes Governance Compliance
Sep 30, 2025

Alfabs Australia Ltd. has released its Corporate Governance Statement, highlighting its commitment to adhering to the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s principles and recommendations. The statement outlines the company’s compliance with these guidelines, detailing the roles and responsibilities of its board and management, the due diligence process for appointing directors or senior executives, and the accountability of the company secretary. This governance framework aims to ensure transparency and accountability in the company’s operations, potentially strengthening its position in the market and providing assurance to stakeholders.

Alfabs Australia Releases Corporate Governance Statement for 2025
Sep 30, 2025

Alfabs Australia Limited has released its corporate governance statement for the financial year ending 30 June 2025, which is available on their website. The statement confirms the company’s adherence to the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s principles and recommendations, highlighting its commitment to transparency and accountability. This announcement underscores Alfabs Australia’s focus on maintaining robust governance practices, which is crucial for its stakeholders and enhances its credibility in the market.

Alfabs Australia Limited Reports Strong FY25 Results, Reinforces Growth Strategy
Sep 30, 2025

Alfabs Australia Limited has reported a strong financial performance for the fiscal year 2025, successfully delivering on its growth strategy. The company’s focus on operational reliability, fleet expansion, and targeted investments in people and technology positions it to deliver long-term value, reinforcing its industry positioning and benefiting its stakeholders.

Alfabs Australia Ltd. Reschedules AGM to November 2025
Sep 29, 2025

Alfabs Australia Limited has announced the rescheduling of its Annual General Meeting (AGM) to November 24, 2025, which will be held as a hybrid meeting, allowing shareholders to attend in person or participate online. This update also includes a new closing date for director nominations, set for October 7, 2025, reflecting the company’s commitment to engaging its stakeholders and ensuring their active participation in corporate governance processes.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 02, 2025