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Lynch Group Holding Ltd (AU:LGL)
ASX:LGL
Australian Market

Lynch Group Holding Ltd (LGL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:LGL

Lynch Group Holding Ltd

(Sydney:LGL)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
AU$2.50
▲(16.28% Upside)
Lynch Group Holding Ltd's stock score is primarily driven by strong technical momentum and stable financial performance, despite valuation challenges due to net losses. The attractive dividend yield provides some support, but the overbought technical indicators suggest caution.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates robust demand for LGL's products and effective market strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Vertically Integrated Business Model
Vertical integration enhances cost control and quality assurance, providing a competitive advantage and supporting sustainable profitability.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial stability and provides flexibility for strategic investments and debt management.
Negative Factors
Net Losses
Ongoing net losses can strain financial resources and hinder investment in growth opportunities, affecting long-term viability.
Operational Efficiency
Decreasing operational efficiency may lead to higher costs and reduced profitability, challenging the company's competitive positioning.
Return on Equity
Negative return on equity indicates inefficient use of shareholder capital, potentially impacting investor confidence and future capital raising.

Lynch Group Holding Ltd (LGL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLynch Group Holding Ltd (LGL) is a diversified holding company based in Australia, primarily engaged in the sectors of agriculture, horticulture, and manufacturing. The company specializes in the production and distribution of high-quality products, including premium timber, agricultural produce, and various consumer goods. LGL focuses on sustainable practices and innovation, operating multiple subsidiaries that enhance its market presence and product offerings across domestic and international markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyLynch Group Holding Ltd generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from the sale of its agricultural and timber products. The company profits by cultivating and harvesting crops, as well as producing and selling value-added goods in the horticulture sector. Additionally, LGL benefits from its manufacturing operations, which involve processing raw materials into finished products for various industries. Strategic partnerships with distributors and retailers enhance LGL's market reach, enabling it to tap into broader consumer bases. The company also explores opportunities in export markets, further diversifying its revenue sources. Overall, LGL's earnings are supported by its commitment to quality, sustainability, and efficient supply chain management.

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lynch Group Holding Ltd shows strong revenue growth and cash flow generation, but faces challenges with net losses and operational efficiency. The balance sheet is stable, but improving return on equity and profitability is crucial.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Lynch Group Holding Ltd has shown a steady revenue growth rate over the years, with a 5.59% increase in the latest period. However, the company is currently experiencing a net loss, as indicated by the negative net profit margin. The gross profit margin remains healthy, but declining EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the return on equity has been negative, reflecting recent net losses. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a solid asset base relative to equity.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Lynch Group Holding Ltd has demonstrated strong free cash flow growth, with a significant increase of 40.76% in the latest period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests room for improvement in converting earnings to free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue430.46M430.46M397.71M395.26M366.50M300.20M
Gross Profit114.00M198.12M185.72M40.04M173.80M143.20M
EBITDA30.20M27.46M7.05M42.31M48.22M45.96M
Net Income-4.03M-4.03M-26.05M9.94M19.58M24.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets342.59M342.59M356.03M401.67M388.81M372.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.83M30.83M32.34M36.41M31.98M48.99M
Total Debt94.86M94.86M99.73M100.58M83.70M82.45M
Total Liabilities160.41M160.41M157.24M163.15M146.05M151.05M
Stockholders Equity182.18M182.18M198.79M238.53M242.75M221.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow20.57M20.57M15.01M16.29M4.55M15.31M
Operating Cash Flow27.73M27.73M26.55M32.49M34.60M25.07M
Investing Cash Flow-7.16M-7.16M-11.53M-16.20M-40.17M-28.38M
Financing Cash Flow-22.09M-22.09M-19.00M-12.39M-10.95M37.08M

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.15
Price Trends
50DMA
2.14
Positive
100DMA
2.07
Positive
200DMA
1.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
67.43
Neutral
STOCH
0.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:LGL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.15, above the 50-day MA of 2.14, and above the 200-day MA of 1.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 67.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:LGL.

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
AU$1.17B15.5312.11%3.96%-2.82%12.29%
66
Neutral
AU$268.18M-65.15-2.12%6.51%8.23%84.54%
66
Neutral
AU$46.16M6.6229.12%2.63%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
55
Neutral
AU$117.69M11.748.91%4.34%
44
Neutral
€11.78M-1.40-122.46%-94.79%82.57%
37
Underperform
AU$1.23M-1.19-130.24%17.85%52.81%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:LGL
Lynch Group Holding Ltd
2.15
0.49
29.52%
AU:WOA
Wide Open Agriculture Ltd.
0.02
<0.01
50.00%
AU:WNR
Wingara Ag Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:FRM
Farm Pride Foods Limited
0.20
0.07
53.85%
AU:SGLLV
Ricegrowers Ltd. Class B
17.19
7.31
73.99%
AU:MCA
Murray Cod Australia Limited
0.95
-0.40
-29.63%

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Corporate Events

Harvest Lane Asset Management Ceases Substantial Holding in Lynch Group
Dec 3, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Limited has announced that Harvest Lane Asset Management and its associated entities have ceased to be substantial holders of the company as of December 2, 2025. This change occurred through a sale under a Scheme of Arrangement, affecting over 6.3 million ordinary shares. The transaction may impact the company’s shareholder structure and influence its market positioning.

FIL Limited Ceases Substantial Holding in Lynch Group Holdings
Dec 1, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Limited has announced that FIL Limited and its entities have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of November 28, 2025. This change in substantial holding is due to a mandatory exchange of shares for cash as part of an acquisition, affecting over 9.8 million shares. The announcement marks a significant shift in the company’s shareholder structure, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Lynch Group Holdings Limited to Undergo Ownership Transition
Nov 28, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Limited (ASX: LGL) announced that its securities will be suspended from quotation following the approval of a scheme of arrangement by the Federal Court of Australia. This arrangement will allow Darwin Aus Bidco Pty Ltd to acquire all issued shares in LGL, marking a significant transition in the company’s ownership structure.

Lynch Group Holdings Expands Market Presence with New Securities Quotation
Nov 28, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Limited has announced the quotation of 2,667,015 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of November 28, 2025. This move, resulting from the exercise of options or conversion of other convertible securities, is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and market positioning, potentially benefiting stakeholders by increasing liquidity and investor interest.

Lynch Group’s Acquisition Scheme Gains Legal Approval
Nov 28, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Limited announced that its scheme of arrangement for the acquisition by Darwin Aus Bidco Pty Ltd has become legally effective following approval from the Federal Court of Australia. As a result, trading of Lynch shares on the ASX will be suspended, and shareholders will receive cash consideration for their shares on the implementation date, marking a significant transition in the company’s ownership structure.

Lynch Group Shareholders Approve Acquisition by Darwin Aus Bidco
Nov 21, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Limited announced that its shareholders have approved the acquisition of all company shares by Darwin Aus Bidco Pty Ltd through a scheme of arrangement. The resolution received overwhelming support, with 99.94% of votes cast in favor. The scheme is pending final court approval, expected to be granted on 27 November 2025, after which Lynch shares will be suspended from trading on the ASX, and the scheme will be implemented on 9 December 2025. This acquisition marks a significant transition for Lynch, potentially impacting its market operations and stakeholder interests.

Lynch Group Holdings AGM Results: Resolutions Carried
Nov 21, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Limited announced the results of its Annual General Meeting, where all resolutions, including the adoption of the Remuneration Report and the re-election of Director Elizabeth Hallett, were carried by poll. This outcome reflects stability in the company’s governance and could positively impact its operations and stakeholder confidence.

Lynch Group Holdings Announces Scheme Meeting Amid Strategic Developments
Nov 20, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Ltd has announced a scheme meeting, highlighting its ongoing corporate activities and strategic initiatives. The release underscores the company’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement, though it warns that forward-looking statements may involve risks and uncertainties.

Lynch Group Holdings Announces Scheme Meeting for Proposed Acquisition
Nov 20, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Limited has announced a Scheme Meeting to discuss the proposed acquisition by Hasfarm Bidco Pty Ltd of all issued shares in Lynch through a scheme of arrangement. The meeting is being held in accordance with ASX Listing Rules, and shareholders can attend in person or view a live webcast. The outcome of the vote will be announced on the ASX after the meeting concludes.

Lynch Group Holdings Releases 2025 Financial Overview
Nov 20, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Limited has released a presentation summarizing its activities and financial performance for the year ending June 2025. The presentation highlights the company’s strategic direction and operational updates, but also includes disclaimers about the accuracy and completeness of the information provided. Stakeholders are advised to consider the inherent risks and uncertainties associated with forward-looking statements made in the presentation.

Lynch Group Holdings Limited Reports Growth in Australian Operations Amidst Challenges in China
Nov 20, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Limited held its 2025 AGM, highlighting the continued growth in its Australian operations with improved sales and margins, despite elevated international freight rates. The company faced challenges in China due to weak domestic demand and increased supply, but improved pricing during key events supported a stronger performance in the second half. The decision to close two domestic farms was made due to marginal profitability and future capital expenditure needs. The company maintains a competitive advantage in China’s floral market and remains cash positive.

Lynch Group’s Acquisition Scheme Approved for Shareholder Vote
Oct 21, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Limited has announced that the Federal Court of Australia has approved the convening of a Scheme Meeting for shareholders to vote on the proposed acquisition by Darwin Aus Bidco Pty Ltd. The Scheme Booklet, which includes an Independent Expert’s Report by KPMG, has been registered with ASIC and will be distributed to shareholders. The Independent Expert and Lynch Directors recommend the Scheme, considering it in the best interests of shareholders, barring any superior proposals. The Scheme Meeting is scheduled for November 21, 2025, and shareholders are encouraged to participate.

Lynch Group Holdings Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting
Oct 16, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Limited has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting, scheduled for November 21, 2025, at 10:00 am AEDT. The meeting will be held at MUFG Pension & Market Services in Sydney and will also be accessible via a webinar. Shareholders are encouraged to attend in person or virtually, with options to submit questions and vote online. The company has outlined procedures for voting, including proxy appointments and corporate representation, ensuring shareholder participation in decision-making processes.

Lynch Group Holdings Releases 2025 Corporate Governance Statement
Oct 16, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Limited has released its corporate governance statement for the financial year ending June 29, 2025, which is available on their website. The statement, approved by the board, outlines the company’s adherence to the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s principles and recommendations, ensuring transparency and accountability in its operations. This announcement highlights Lynch Group’s commitment to maintaining robust governance practices, which is crucial for its stakeholders, including investors and regulatory bodies.

Lynch Group Holdings Affirms Commitment to Corporate Governance
Oct 16, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Limited has issued its Corporate Governance Statement for the period from July 2024 to June 2025, highlighting its adherence to the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s Principles and Recommendations. The statement outlines the company’s governance policies, including the roles and responsibilities of the board and management, and the processes for selecting and appointing directors. This commitment to governance is aimed at ensuring strategic guidance, financial management, and risk oversight, which are crucial for the company’s operational integrity and stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025