Lynch Group Holding Ltd (LGL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$261.22M
• Dividend Yield: 6.54%
• Average Volume (3M): 271.68K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 124.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.15
• Revenue Growth: 8.23%
• EPS Growth: 84.54%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 390
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 73
• Industry: Agricultural Farm Products
• EPS (TTM): -0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 122,066,110
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 55,843
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 271,678
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: AU$2.00
• Price Target Upside: -6.54% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 66 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$2.50 ▲(16.82% Upside)

Lynch Group Holding Ltd's stock score is primarily driven by strong technical momentum and stable financial performance, despite valuation challenges due to net losses. The attractive dividend yield provides some support, but the overbought technical indicators suggest caution.

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Lynch Group Holdings Limited operates as a grower, wholesaler, retailer, and importer of flowers and potted plants in Australia and China. The company's product portfolio includes gerbera, geraldton wax, phalaenopsis orchids, potted color products, and other wildflowers. It also exports its products. The company sells its products through florists, online marketplaces, supermarkets, and independent retailers. Lynch Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1915 and is based in Moorebank, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

Lynch Group Holding Ltd generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily focusing on the sale of floral and gifting products. The company operates a vertically integrated business model, which allows it to control costs and quality throughout the supply chain—from production to retail distribution. Key revenue streams include wholesale distribution to major supermarket chains, retail sales through its branded stores, and online sales platforms. Strategic partnerships with large retailers in Australia and China enhance its market reach and contribute significantly to its earnings. Additionally, LGL benefits from seasonal demand spikes during holidays and special occasions, which drive higher sales volumes.

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Lynch Group Holding Ltd shows strong revenue growth and cash flow generation, but faces challenges with net losses and operational efficiency. The balance sheet is stable, but improving return on equity and profitability is crucial.

Income Statement

Lynch Group Holding Ltd has shown a steady revenue growth rate over the years, with a 5.59% increase in the latest period. However, the company is currently experiencing a net loss, as indicated by the negative net profit margin. The gross profit margin remains healthy, but declining EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest pressure on operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the return on equity has been negative, reflecting recent net losses. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a solid asset base relative to equity.

Cash Flow

Lynch Group Holding Ltd has demonstrated strong free cash flow growth, with a significant increase of 40.76% in the latest period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests room for improvement in converting earnings to free cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	430.46M	430.46M	397.71M	395.26M	366.50M	300.20M
Gross Profit	114.00M	198.12M	185.72M	40.04M	173.80M	143.20M
EBITDA	30.20M	27.46M	9.50M	42.31M	48.22M	45.96M
Net Income	-4.03M	-4.03M	-26.05M	9.94M	19.58M	24.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	342.59M	342.59M	356.03M	401.67M	388.81M	372.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	30.83M	30.83M	32.34M	36.41M	31.98M	48.99M
Total Debt	94.86M	94.86M	99.73M	100.58M	83.70M	82.45M
Total Liabilities	160.41M	160.41M	157.24M	163.15M	146.05M	151.05M
Stockholders Equity	182.18M	182.18M	198.79M	238.53M	242.75M	221.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	20.57M	20.57M	15.01M	16.29M	4.55M	15.31M
Operating Cash Flow	27.73M	27.73M	26.55M	32.49M	34.60M	25.07M
Investing Cash Flow	-7.16M	-7.16M	-11.53M	-16.20M	-40.17M	-28.38M
Financing Cash Flow	-22.09M	-22.09M	-19.00M	-12.39M	-10.95M	37.08M

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 2.14
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:LGL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.97, above the 50-day MA of 1.80, and above the 200-day MA of 1.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.08 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.89 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:LGL.

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
LGL	66 Neutral	AU$261.22M	124.31	-2.12%	6.54%	8.23%	84.54%
Sector *	64 Neutral	$10.73B	15.74	7.63%	2.01%	2.75%	-15.09%
2WO	―	€4.75M	―	-128.12%	―	―	―
SGLLV	77 Outperform	AU$956.06M	13.85	11.56%	4.56%	-1.58%	6.26%
MCA	47 Neutral	AU$116.59M	13.60	8.91%	―	4.34%	―
WNR	46 Neutral	AU$1.23M	―	-130.24%	―	17.85%	52.81%
FRM	46 Neutral	AU$83.08M	11.92	29.12%	―	2.63%	―

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Corporate Events

Lynch Group Holdings Reports Strong FY25 Growth in Australia and China

Lynch Group Holdings Limited reported strong revenue growth in its Australian operations, particularly during major events like Mother’s Day, with a 6% increase in revenue year-to-date compared to FY24. In China, despite global trade uncertainties, the company saw a 16% revenue increase due to improved pricing and demand for floral products. The Group anticipates a 7% growth in overall revenue for FY25, with EBITDA projected between $42 million and $43 million, excluding certain costs. The company’s performance reflects resilience and strategic management in both markets, positioning it well for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:LGL) stock is a Buy with a A$1.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lynch Group Holding Ltd stock, see the AU:LGL Stock Forecast page.