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Lynch Group Holding Ltd (AU:LGL)
:LGL
Australian Market
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Lynch Group Holding Ltd (LGL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:LGL

Lynch Group Holding Ltd

(Sydney:LGL)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
AU$2.00
▲(11.11%Upside)
Lynch Group Holding Ltd. presents a moderate investment outlook. The primary concern is its profitability challenges, with net losses affecting overall financial stability. However, positive cash flow and a strong dividend yield provide some support. Technical indicators suggest potential price stability, but the high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns.

Lynch Group Holding Ltd (LGL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLynch Group Holdings Limited operates as a grower, wholesaler, retailer, and importer of flowers and potted plants in Australia and China. The company's product portfolio includes gerbera, geraldton wax, phalaenopsis orchids, potted color products, and other wildflowers. It also exports its products. The company sells its products through florists, online marketplaces, supermarkets, and independent retailers. Lynch Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1915 and is based in Moorebank, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyLynch Group Holding Ltd generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily focusing on the sale of floral and gifting products. The company operates a vertically integrated business model, which allows it to control costs and quality throughout the supply chain—from production to retail distribution. Key revenue streams include wholesale distribution to major supermarket chains, retail sales through its branded stores, and online sales platforms. Strategic partnerships with large retailers in Australia and China enhance its market reach and contribute significantly to its earnings. Additionally, LGL benefits from seasonal demand spikes during holidays and special occasions, which drive higher sales volumes.

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lynch Group Holding Ltd. faces profitability challenges with net losses impacting profitability metrics. Stability in revenue and strong gross profit margin are positive indicators. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, while cash flows show resilience despite net income challenges.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Lynch Group Holding Ltd. shows mixed performance in profitability metrics. Gross profit margin improved significantly in 2024, indicating better cost management. However, the net profit margin is negative due to a net loss, which highlights profitability challenges. Revenue growth is modest, suggesting stable but slow revenue expansion.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet indicates moderate leverage with a stable debt-to-equity ratio. Return on equity has deteriorated due to net losses, impacting shareholder returns. The equity ratio remains healthy, indicating a relatively strong asset base compared to liabilities.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive operating cash flow, demonstrating the company's ability to generate cash from operations. Free cash flow has declined but remains positive, suggesting potential for reinvestment or debt reduction. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is under pressure due to net losses.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue397.71M395.26M366.50M300.20M230.43M
Gross Profit185.72M40.04M173.80M143.20M26.91M
EBITDA9.50M42.31M48.22M45.96M23.41M
Net Income-26.05M9.94M19.58M24.87M5.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets356.03M401.67M388.81M372.39M218.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.34M36.41M31.98M48.99M15.24M
Total Debt99.73M100.58M83.70M82.45M98.07M
Total Liabilities157.24M163.15M146.05M151.05M147.65M
Stockholders Equity198.79M238.53M242.75M221.34M70.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.01M16.29M4.55M15.31M19.05M
Operating Cash Flow26.55M32.49M34.60M25.07M22.77M
Investing Cash Flow-11.53M-16.20M-40.17M-28.38M-13.78M
Financing Cash Flow-19.00M-12.39M-10.95M37.08M4.12M

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.80
Price Trends
50DMA
1.70
Positive
100DMA
1.69
Positive
200DMA
1.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
59.15
Neutral
STOCH
71.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:LGL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.74, above the 50-day MA of 1.70, and above the 200-day MA of 1.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:LGL.

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$11.06B15.735.16%1.93%3.12%-25.59%
60
Neutral
AU$219.11M124.650.89%7.24%1.56%
€7.34M-130.28%
70
Outperform
AU$743.84M10.6811.56%5.85%-1.58%6.26%
48
Neutral
AU$113.37M-2.58%12.97%74.18%
46
Neutral
AU$1.23M-130.24%-61.74%69.69%
46
Neutral
AU$69.24M1.33%-0.71%91.71%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:LGL
Lynch Group Holding Ltd
1.80
0.50
38.46%
DE:2WO
Wide Open Agriculture Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:WNR
Wingara Ag Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:FRM
Farm Pride Foods Limited
0.29
0.19
190.00%
AU:SGLLV
Ricegrowers Ltd. Class B
11.12
3.35
43.11%
AU:MCA
Murray Cod Australia Limited
1.07
-0.18
-14.40%

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Corporate Events

Lynch Group Holdings Reports Strong FY25 Growth in Australia and China
Jun 12, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Limited reported strong revenue growth in its Australian operations, particularly during major events like Mother’s Day, with a 6% increase in revenue year-to-date compared to FY24. In China, despite global trade uncertainties, the company saw a 16% revenue increase due to improved pricing and demand for floral products. The Group anticipates a 7% growth in overall revenue for FY25, with EBITDA projected between $42 million and $43 million, excluding certain costs. The company’s performance reflects resilience and strategic management in both markets, positioning it well for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:LGL) stock is a Buy with a A$1.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lynch Group Holding Ltd stock, see the AU:LGL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 22, 2025