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Lynch Group Holding Ltd (AU:LGL)
:LGL
Australian Market

Lynch Group Holding Ltd (LGL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Lynch Group Holding Ltd

(Sydney:LGL)

51Neutral
Lynch Group Holding Ltd. has significant profitability challenges with net losses affecting its financial performance, resulting in a moderate score. The technical analysis indicates mixed signals, with some bearish momentum. The high P/E ratio points to potential overvaluation, despite a strong dividend yield. The overall outlook suggests cautious optimism, with a need for improved profitability and sustained cash flow.

Lynch Group Holding Ltd (LGL) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLynch Group Holding Ltd (LGL) is a leading provider of floral arrangements and potted plants in the Asia-Pacific region. The company operates within the horticulture and floral sectors, offering an array of products including fresh cut flowers, bouquets, and indoor plants. LGL is recognized for its innovative floral designs and efficient supply chain management, catering to both retail and wholesale markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe company makes money through the cultivation, sourcing, and distribution of fresh cut flowers and potted plants. LGL's revenue model primarily revolves around selling these products to major supermarkets, retail chains, and independent florists. Key revenue streams include wholesale contracts, direct retail sales, and strategic partnerships with large retailers that enhance its market reach. Additionally, the company benefits from its vertically integrated supply chain, which reduces costs and increases profitability by managing the process from cultivation to consumer delivery.

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
397.71M395.26M366.50M300.20M230.43M
Gross Profit
185.72M40.04M173.80M143.20M26.91M
EBIT
14.91M18.03M28.18M33.57M9.80M
EBITDA
33.15M42.31M48.22M45.96M23.41M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-26.05M9.94M19.58M24.87M5.84M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
32.34M36.41M31.98M48.99M15.24M
Total Assets
356.03M401.67M388.81M372.39M218.24M
Total Debt
99.73M100.58M83.70M82.45M98.07M
Net Debt
67.39M64.17M51.71M33.46M82.82M
Total Liabilities
157.24M163.15M146.05M151.05M147.65M
Stockholders Equity
198.79M238.53M242.75M221.34M70.60M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
15.01M16.28M4.55M15.31M19.05M
Operating Cash Flow
26.55M32.49M34.60M25.07M22.77M
Investing Cash Flow
-11.53M-16.20M-40.17M-28.38M-13.78M
Financing Cash Flow
-19.00M-12.39M-10.95M37.08M4.12M

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.67
Price Trends
50DMA
1.68
Negative
100DMA
1.71
Negative
200DMA
1.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
44.57
Neutral
STOCH
89.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:LGL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.64, below the 50-day MA of 1.68, and above the 200-day MA of 1.66, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:LGL.

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AURIC
73
Outperform
AU$950.03M20.6012.66%3.97%1.90%-4.00%
64
Neutral
$4.44B11.995.16%249.23%4.01%-11.87%
AUBGA
64
Neutral
€1.70B49.643.35%1.93%4.28%
AUGNC
63
Neutral
$1.66B23.714.61%3.25%2.00%-28.15%
AUSHV
59
Neutral
AU$679.27M372.440.34%64.18%
AULGL
51
Neutral
AU$203.85M115.970.89%7.78%1.56%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:LGL
Lynch Group Holding Ltd
1.67
0.37
28.46%
AU:BGA
Bega Cheese Limited
5.48
1.25
29.58%
AU:SHV
Select Harvests
4.65
1.62
53.31%
AU:RIC
Ridley Corporation Limited
2.59
0.68
35.89%
AU:GNC
Graincorp Limited Class A
7.60
-0.24
-3.10%

Lynch Group Holding Ltd Corporate Events

Lynch Group Reaffirms FY25 Guidance Amid Strategic Farm Closures
Apr 4, 2025

Lynch Group Holdings Limited has reaffirmed its FY25 guidance and announced the closure of two of its three Australian potted farms as part of a strategic review. The decision to close these farms, including the accelerated closure of the Queensland farm due to weather-related damage, is not expected to materially impact the company’s earnings. The closures will result in non-cash costs of $8.5 million to $9.5 million and one-off cash costs of $3.5 million to $4.0 million. Despite these changes, the company anticipates a 6% revenue growth for FY25, driven by strong performance during key event periods.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.