Operational Resilience During Winter Storm
No shut-in volumes during a severe winter storm with subzero temperatures and heavy snowfall; field teams turned in-line a seven-well pad during the event, demonstrating strong operational execution and reliability.
Strategic HG Energy Acquisition and Asset Growth
Closed HG Energy acquisition ahead of schedule, adding 385,000 net acres and over 400 drilling locations; increased production base by over 30% and extended Marcellus core inventory life by five years, materially expanding high‑confidence development optionality.
Strong Free Cash Flow and Capital Deployment
Generated over $750,000,000 of free cash flow in 2025; used proceeds to reduce debt by over $300,000,000, repurchase $136,000,000 of stock, and invest more than $250,000,000 in accretive acquisitions, supporting a flexible, opportunistic capital return strategy.
Balance Sheet and Financing Milestones
Issued inaugural investment grade bonds in January to increase financial flexibility; company expects leverage by 2026 to be similar to pre-acquisition levels (just below 1x).
Operational Productivity and Cost Improvements
Set operational records: single completion crew achieved 19 stages/day; full-year average stages/day exceeded 14 (an 8% increase vs. 2024). Drilling averaged under 5 drilling days per 10,000 feet (≈4% faster than 2024). Transaction lowers cash cost structure by nearly 10%, expanding margins and reducing breakeven prices.
Production and Capital Outlook
Forecasted production growth from 3.4 Bcfe/d in 2025 to 4.1 Bcfe/d in 2026 (≈+20.6%), with 2027 guidance to 4.3 Bcfe/d and a discretionary growth option up to 4.5 Bcfe/d. 2026 drilling & completion capital budget set at $1,000,000,000 (including $900,000,000 maintenance and $100,000,000 incremental WI), with up to $200,000,000 incremental optional growth capital (primarily second half).
Hedge Program and Revenue Protection
For 2026, approximately 60% of natural gas volumes hedged (≈40% swaps at $3.92/MMBtu and ≈20% wide collars $3.24–$5.70/MMBtu), protecting cash flow while preserving upside; 2027 has ~30% of volumes hedged at attractive high‑$3 levels with ability to hedge local basis (~$0.75–$0.76 back) to lock in strong wellhead realizations.
Favorable Regional Demand Trends
Residential and commercial demand averaged nearly 42 Bcf/day Nov–Feb (+~350 Bcf incremental vs five‑year avg); January ResCom demand >50 Bcf/day (third strongest on record), and industrial demand highest since 2005. LNG export demand is up >5 Bcf/day year‑over‑year, tightening regional market dynamics and supporting local pricing.
Local Basis Strength and Commercial Opportunities
TGP 500L delivery premium for 2026 is +$0.66 vs Henry Hub (annualized high for the company); local pricing for 2026 is ~$0.74 back of Henry Hub (tighter than 5‑yr avg of $0.88), enhancing economics for additional in‑basin development and commercial sales to utilities, power, and data center customers.