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Aluminum Corporation of China Limited Class H (ALMMF)
OTHER OTC:ALMMF

Aluminum of China (ALMMF) AI Stock Analysis

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Positive Factors
Market Leadership
Chalco is the largest alumina and aluminium capacity globally, and its leading position in the market is expected to remain firm.
Resource Expansion
Chalco's expansion of bauxite resources is expected to contribute to lower production costs and enhanced long-term profitability for its alumina business.
Negative Factors
Aluminium Price Volatility
Aluminium price volatility and higher than expected alumina capacity expansions could potentially disrupt assumptions.
Earnings Estimate Reduction
The earnings estimates for Chalco are cut by 14-15% for 2025-26E due to a higher China aluminium industry spread and lower alumina price forecast.

Aluminum of China (ALMMF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aluminum of China Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAluminum Corporation of China Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells alumina, primary aluminum, aluminum alloys, and carbon products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Alumina, Primary Aluminum, Trading, Energy, and Corporate and Other Operating. The Alumina segment mines for and purchases bauxite and other raw materials; refines bauxite into alumina; and produces and sells alumina, as well as refined alumina, gallium, and multi-form alumina bauxite. The Primary Aluminum segment procures alumina and other raw materials, supplemental materials, and electrical power; and produces and sells aluminum and aluminum-related products, such as carbon, aluminum alloy, and other electrolytic aluminum products. The Trading segment trades in alumina, primary aluminum, aluminum fabrication products, other non-ferrous metal products, coal products, and raw and supplemental materials; and provides logistics and transport services to external customers. The Energy segment mines for coal deposits; generates and sells electricity using thermal, wind, and solar power sources to regional power grid corporations; and manufactures power related equipment. The Corporate and Other Operating segment provides research and development services; and operates other aluminum-related business activities. The company also acquires, manufactures, and distributes bauxite mines and limestone ore; and provides engineering project management, as well as engages in import and export activities. Aluminum Corporation of China Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes Money

Aluminum of China Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aluminum of China's financial health is robust. The income statement shows strong profitability and revenue growth. The balance sheet is stable, with manageable leverage, though high debt requires monitoring. Cash flow management is solid, despite a recent decline in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company's income statement shows a strong performance with a Gross Profit Margin of 15.86% and a Net Profit Margin of 5.62% for the TTM period. Revenue growth is positive, with a 2.88% increase from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 9.86% and 10.08%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. The company demonstrates a consistent upward trend in revenue and profitability, reflecting robust market positioning and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet exhibits a moderate Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.80, signaling manageable leverage. The Return on Equity stands at 18.72%, showcasing effective utilization of equity to generate profits. With an Equity Ratio of 32.39%, the company maintains a stable capital structure. The balance sheet reflects a solid financial base, though potential risks exist with significant leverage that could impact flexibility in adverse conditions.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a strong Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.99, indicating effective cash generation relative to net income. Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.73, suggesting good cash flow management. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate shows a decrease, which could be a concern, but overall, the company demonstrates solid cash flow generation and management capabilities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
243.89B237.07B225.07B290.99B269.75B185.99B
Gross Profit
38.68B37.34B28.81B31.28B26.48B13.42B
EBIT
24.06B22.32B15.30B16.39B19.21B6.02B
EBITDA
24.59B34.64B28.53B24.66B27.73B14.95B
Net Income Common Stockholders
13.71B12.40B6.72B10.84B7.79B1.57B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
27.08B24.21B26.12B16.82B18.55B10.71B
Total Assets
226.13B215.90B211.76B212.35B192.38B194.90B
Total Debt
58.80B55.13B58.49B86.46B88.60B92.23B
Net Debt
32.72B32.92B37.38B69.64B70.75B82.59B
Total Liabilities
108.39B103.85B112.87B124.59B119.59B123.73B
Stockholders Equity
73.23B69.19B60.60B54.40B57.26B54.33B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
13.53B22.45B20.33B22.99B26.09B9.84B
Operating Cash Flow
9.97B32.81B27.04B27.75B28.23B14.88B
Investing Cash Flow
-10.88B-7.63B-11.18B-3.42B-744.30M1.93B
Financing Cash Flow
-18.69B-22.93B-14.14B-27.04B-18.48B-15.77B

Aluminum of China Risk Analysis

Aluminum of China disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aluminum of China reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
We voluntarily delisted our ADSs from the NYSE, which could reduce the liquidity and market price of our ADSs and underlying shares. Q4, 2022
2.
Changes in facts and circumstances may adversely affect our ability to exercise control over Yunnan Aluminum. Q4, 2022
3.
Our operations are affected by a number of risks relating to conducting business in the PRC. The administrative regulations, departmental rules, and industry regulatory requirements in relation to production safety and environmental protection issued by the Chinese government and relevant government authorities may affect the operations of a China-based company, such as us. The materialization of such risk may result in an adverse change to our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations, and in extreme cases, may cause your investment in our ADSs to significantly decline in value or become worthless. Q4, 2022

Aluminum of China Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$14.78B5.3720.63%3.77%
51
Neutral
$2.02B-1.14-21.37%3.64%2.88%-30.57%
$8.99B6.669.58%4.52%
$65.81B12.4527.63%2.27%
DE3N4
€2.77B7.3219.19%3.92%
81
Outperform
HK$135.42B5.7022.43%11.04%14.65%93.98%
79
Outperform
HK$3.18B3.5514.76%8.48%6.80%1.55%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALMMF
Aluminum of China
0.60
-0.10
-14.29%
JIAXF
Jiangxi Copper Company
1.86
-0.22
-10.58%
ZIJMF
Zijin Mining Group Co
2.34
0.19
8.84%
DE:3N4
China Nonferrous Mining Corp. Ltd.
0.70
-0.11
-13.58%
HK:0098
Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd.
7.55
0.19
2.58%
HK:1378
China Hongqiao Group Ltd.
14.58
3.87
36.13%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.