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Adaptimmune Therapeutics (ADAP)
NASDAQ:ADAP
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Adaptimmune Therapeutics (ADAP) AI Stock Analysis

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ADAP

Adaptimmune Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:ADAP)

Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
$0.00
▼(-100.00% Downside)
The overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including persistent losses and negative equity, which are the most impactful factors. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics indicate potential undervaluation due to financial instability. Despite positive operational achievements, financial concerns and strategic restructuring weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
The company is not experiencing any manufacturing or reimbursement issues, suggesting strong potential for revenue growth.
Revenue Growth
Management anticipates full-year 2025 Tecelra revenue of $35-45M, surpassing the previous sellside consensus estimate of $25M.
Negative Factors
Asset Sale Impact
The sale of key assets leaves the company with preclinical assets that are still in the early stages of development.
Financial Challenges
Concerns around loan repayment and a depressed biotech market are impacting the company's outlook.
Workforce Reduction
The company announced plans to reduce its workforce by 62% as well as the departure of several C-suite executives.

Adaptimmune Therapeutics (ADAP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdaptimmune Therapeutics plc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on the development of T-cell therapies to treat cancer. Headquartered in Oxford, UK, the company specializes in the field of immunotherapy, particularly utilizing its proprietary T-cell receptor (TCR) technology to engineer T-cells that can target and destroy cancer cells. Adaptimmune is primarily engaged in developing therapies for various cancers, including solid tumors and hematological malignancies, with key products like SPEAR T-cell therapies that are designed to enhance the body’s immune response against cancer.
How the Company Makes MoneyAdaptimmune Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through partnerships and collaborations with pharmaceutical companies, as well as through grants and funding from governmental and non-governmental organizations. The company may receive milestone payments as it progresses its therapies through clinical trials, and royalties from any future sales of products that arise from its collaborations. Additionally, Adaptimmune may also explore options for licensing its technology to other companies, which can provide further financial inflows. The success of its therapies in clinical trials and subsequent commercialization efforts are critical for its earning potential.

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong operational achievements with the successful launch of TECELRA, impressive manufacturing metrics, and expansion of treatment centers. However, ongoing financial concerns about cash runway tempered the positive aspects.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful TECELRA Launch and Revenue Guidance
Adaptimmune launched TECELRA and provided full-year 2025 revenue guidance of $35 million to $45 million, with 21 patients apheresed so far in 2025 and 14 treatments invoiced, generating $4 million in Q1 net sales.
Efficient Manufacturing Operations
Achieved 100% manufacturing success rate from the U.S. TECELRA manufacturing center, with no capacity issues and an average turnaround time from apheresis to lot release of 27 days, beating the target of 30 days.
Expansion of Authorized Treatment Centers (ATCs)
Adaptimmune has 28 centers accepting referrals for TECELRA and anticipates having the full network of approximately 30 ATCs operational by the end of 2025, a year earlier than expected.
Regulatory Engagement and Future Plans
Progressed regulatory plans for lete-cel, with rolling BLA initiation anticipated before the end of 2025. Lete-cel has the potential to double the addressable patient population in the sarcoma franchise.
Positive Market Reception
No patient denials for TECELRA have been reported, indicating effective patient access and positive reception from the medical community.
Negative Updates
Financial Concerns and Cash Runway
There is substantial doubt about Adaptimmune's going concern, with less than 12 months of cash runway affected by various factors including costs and strategic options.
Company Guidance
During Adaptimmune's first quarter 2025 business update call, CEO Adrian Rawcliffe provided guidance for TECELRA sales, projecting full-year revenue between $35 million and $45 million. This projection is supported by the 21 patients apheresed so far in 2025, including 13 in Q1 and 8 early in Q2. With 28 authorized treatment centers currently operating and plans to reach 30 by year-end, the company has invoiced for 14 TECELRA treatments, 6 in Q1 contributing to $4 million in net sales, and 8 more invoiced in early Q2. Notably, Adaptimmune achieved a 100% manufacturing success rate with an average turnaround time of 27 days, surpassing their 30-day target. The company anticipates peak sales of $400 million from its TECELRA and lete-cel sarcoma franchise, with lete-cel expected to launch in 2026, targeting broader patient populations without the need for antigen testing in myxoid liposarcoma cases.

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Adaptimmune Therapeutics shows significant revenue growth, but persistent losses, negative equity, and weak cash flows highlight substantial risks. The company's financial health is compromised by high operational costs and liabilities, requiring strategic measures to improve profitability and liquidity.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Adaptimmune Therapeutics shows a significant improvement in revenue over the years, with a recent TTM revenue of $179.6M compared to $3.96M in 2020. However, the company consistently reports negative EBIT and net income, reflecting ongoing challenges in managing operational costs and achieving profitability. Gross profit margins have improved, but the net profit margin remains negative, indicating continued losses. Despite revenue growth, profitability concerns significantly impact the score.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company's balance sheet reveals high financial risk, with negative stockholders' equity in the latest TTM, indicating liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is unfavorable due to negative equity, and the return on equity is also negative, reflecting ongoing losses. Cash reserves have declined, adding to financial instability. The company's high liabilities and negative equity present substantial financial risks.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, indicating the company's operations are not generating cash. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, suggesting increased cash consumption. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, reflecting inefficiencies in cash generation relative to reported losses. Despite some financing inflows, the cash flow position remains weak, impacting stability.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue178.03M60.28M27.15M6.15M3.96M
Gross Profit177.96M50.42M-100.58M-104.94M-87.61M
EBITDA-52.66M-128.20M-155.59M-155.68M-125.81M
Net Income-70.81M-113.87M-165.46M-158.09M-130.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets245.96M282.62M328.92M469.55M451.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments151.60M146.94M204.60M369.58M368.22M
Total Debt74.21M25.23M23.08M25.47M23.71M
Total Liabilities234.11M243.10M247.04M263.58M109.92M
Stockholders Equity11.85M39.51M81.88M205.96M341.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-75.93M-145.76M-171.51M1.95M-56.50M
Operating Cash Flow-73.21M-140.88M-141.77M10.73M-53.59M
Investing Cash Flow-58.95M176.54M89.14M75.80M-278.92M
Financing Cash Flow78.75M880.00K12.87M3.29M340.05M

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.08
Price Trends
50DMA
0.22
Negative
100DMA
0.24
Negative
200DMA
0.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
29.03
Positive
STOCH
18.37
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADAP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.16, below the 50-day MA of 0.22, and below the 200-day MA of 0.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.03 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.37 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ADAP.

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Adaptimmune Therapeutics disclosed 82 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Adaptimmune Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
¥341.96B11.05-0.16%2.40%9.83%-10.32%
44
Neutral
$89.98M-63.24%-87.65%11.76%
40
Underperform
$34.07M91.63%-44.63%26.80%
39
Underperform
$19.80M-1341.37%-53.61%-93.14%
39
Underperform
$121.65M-76.34%-41.69%
37
Underperform
$61.00M-37.25%62.83%
35
Underperform
$42.81M-146.87%-17.96%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADAP
Adaptimmune Therapeutics
0.08
-0.96
-92.31%
CLSD
Clearside Biomedical
0.44
-0.58
-56.86%
CABA
Cabaletta Bio
1.71
-2.67
-60.96%
JSPR
Jasper Therapeutics
2.97
-15.01
-83.48%
ADAG
Adagene
1.65
-0.77
-31.82%
CNTX
Context Therapeutics
0.70
-1.90
-73.08%

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Adaptimmune Announces Termination of Chief Medical Officer
Negative
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Adaptimmune announced the termination of Dr. Elliot Norry as Chief Medical Officer, effective August 8, 2025, due to redundancy. Dr. Norry will receive a severance package including a year’s salary and healthcare coverage. Similarly, Dr. Joanna Brewer’s role as Chief Scientific Officer will end on August 31, 2025, with a similar severance arrangement. Gavin Wood’s termination as Chief Financial Officer, initially announced in December 2024, will also conclude on August 31, 2025, with a severance package including a year’s salary and a pro rata bonus. These changes reflect a strategic restructuring within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADAP) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Adaptimmune Therapeutics stock, see the ADAP Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Adaptimmune Sells Cell Therapy Assets for $55 Million
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Adaptimmune Therapeutics completed a significant transaction involving the sale of its cell therapy assets to USWM CT, LLC, receiving $55 million and potential future milestone payments. This transaction also allowed Adaptimmune to settle its $29.1 million debt with Hercules Capital, thereby improving its financial position and potentially impacting its future operations and market strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADAP) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Adaptimmune Therapeutics stock, see the ADAP Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Adaptimmune Sells Cell Therapy Assets to US WorldMeds
Negative
Jul 28, 2025

On July 27, 2025, Adaptimmune Therapeutics entered into an agreement to sell its cell therapy assets, including TECELRA, lete-cel, afami-cel, and uza-cel, to US WorldMeds for $55 million, with potential additional payments of up to $30 million based on milestone achievements. This transaction is part of a broader restructuring plan by Adaptimmune to maximize value from its remaining assets and involves significant workforce reductions. The restructuring will see key executives depart and is expected to incur pre-tax costs of approximately $7-8 million. The transaction aims to ensure the continued availability of TECELRA to patients and support the development of other therapies by US WorldMeds.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADAP) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Adaptimmune Therapeutics stock, see the ADAP Stock Forecast page.

Legal Proceedings
Adaptimmune Settles Litigation with M.D. Anderson Cancer Center
Neutral
Jul 17, 2025

On July 16, 2025, Adaptimmune Therapeutics plc entered into a settlement agreement with The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center to resolve litigation related to a Strategic Alliance Agreement from 2016. The settlement, which involves financial payment obligations, is not expected to have a material adverse effect on Adaptimmune’s financial position or operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADAP) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Adaptimmune Therapeutics stock, see the ADAP Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Adaptimmune’s Annual Meeting Focuses on Shareholder Engagement
Neutral
May 29, 2025

Adaptimmune Therapeutics held its annual general meeting on May 29, 2025, where shareholders voted on several resolutions, including the re-election of directors and the approval of the company’s 2025 Employee and Non-Employee Share Option Schemes. The meeting also determined that advisory votes on executive compensation will be held annually until 2031, reflecting the company’s commitment to shareholder engagement and governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADAP) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Adaptimmune Therapeutics stock, see the ADAP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025