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Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)
NYSE:AAP
AAP Analyst Ratings
Hold
0 Buy
19 Hold
1 Sell
TipRanks enables you to focus on the analyst rating consensus of all analysts or only the top performers in the past 3 months
AAP Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
$47.00
▼(-7.50%Downside)
| Highest Price Target$54.00 | Average Price Target$47.00 | Lowest Price Target$35.00 |
The highest, average, and lowest price target of all analysts. Click on ‘Top Analysts’ to focus on the best performers.
Detailed List of Analyst Forecasts
Detailed List of Analyst Forecasts
TipRanks
$50
Hold
-1.59%
Downside
Reiterated
05/23/25
Advance Auto Parts faces significant financial and operational challenges, reflected in its negative profitability and cash flow. While there are some positive signals in technical analysis and strategic initiatives, valuation concerns and mixed earnings call outcomes weigh on the stock. Improving financial performance and stabilizing cash flows are critical for future prospects.
Citi
$40→$49
Hold
-3.56%
Downside
Reiterated
06/03/25
Redburn Atlantic
$28→$45
Hold
-11.43%
Downside
Upgraded
06/03/25
D.A. Davidson
$45→$47
Hold
-7.50%
Downside
Reiterated
06/02/25
Roth MKM
$40→$50
Hold
-1.59%
Downside
Reiterated
05/28/25
Truist Financial
$34→$51
Hold
0.37%
Upside
Reiterated
05/23/25
UBS
$36→$50
Hold
-1.59%
Downside
Reiterated
05/23/25
Wells Fargo
$35
Hold
-31.12%
Downside
Reiterated
05/23/25
Raymond James
$49.17
Hold
-3.23%
Downside
Reiterated
05/23/25
J.P. Morgan
$41→$44
Hold
-13.40%
Downside
Reiterated
05/23/25
Evercore ISI
$35→$45
Hold
-11.43%
Downside
Reiterated
05/23/25
Goldman Sachs
$43→$48
Hold
-5.53%
Downside
Reiterated
05/23/25
TD Cowen
$40→$53
Hold
4.31%
Upside
Reiterated
05/23/25
Morgan Stanley
$45→$48
Hold
-5.53%
Downside
Reiterated
05/23/25
Cautious Outlook on Advance Auto Parts: Hold Rating Amid Strategic Gains and Growth ChallengesWe are Equal-weight rated. Risk/reward is wide with ~55%/~50% upside/downside to our bull/bear cases and the stock is trading relatively in-line with our raised $48 PT. AAP is performing well on its strategic initiatives and delivering results above expectations (both the Q1'25 comp of -0.6% and adj. EBIT margin of -0.3% beat the Street's expectations for a -2% comp and -2.0% adj. EBIT margin). Although '25 guidance was reiterated, we think upside from here will be dependent on a return to steady comp growth. '25 comps of ~1% at the midpoint implies a ~2% comp in 2H25, following guidance for ~flattish comps in Q2. While headwinds from price investments will be fully lapped by 2H25, there are risks to achieving ~low-single-digit comp growth in 2H25 due to a still pressured DIY consumer and tariff headwinds.
Mizuho Securities
―
Hold
―
Reiterated
05/23/25
Ranks
Any
Analyst Rating
Any
Upside/ Downside
Any
Action
Any
TipRanks
$50
Hold
-1.59%
Downside
Reiterated
05/23/25
Advance Auto Parts faces significant financial and operational challenges, reflected in its negative profitability and cash flow. While there are some positive signals in technical analysis and strategic initiatives, valuation concerns and mixed earnings call outcomes weigh on the stock. Improving financial performance and stabilizing cash flows are critical for future prospects.
Citi
$40→$49
Hold
-3.56%
Downside
Reiterated
06/03/25
Redburn Atlantic
$28→$45
Hold
-11.43%
Downside
Upgraded
06/03/25
D.A. Davidson
$45→$47
Hold
-7.50%
Downside
Reiterated
06/02/25
Roth MKM
$40→$50
Hold
-1.59%
Downside
Reiterated
05/28/25
Truist Financial
$34→$51
Hold
0.37%
Upside
Reiterated
05/23/25
UBS
$36→$50
Hold
-1.59%
Downside
Reiterated
05/23/25
Wells Fargo
$35
Hold
-31.12%
Downside
Reiterated
05/23/25
Raymond James
$49.17
Hold
-3.23%
Downside
Reiterated
05/23/25
J.P. Morgan
$41→$44
Hold
-13.40%
Downside
Reiterated
05/23/25
Evercore ISI
$35→$45
Hold
-11.43%
Downside
Reiterated
05/23/25
Goldman Sachs
$43→$48
Hold
-5.53%
Downside
Reiterated
05/23/25
TD Cowen
$40→$53
Hold
4.31%
Upside
Reiterated
05/23/25
Morgan Stanley
$45→$48
Hold
-5.53%
Downside
Reiterated
05/23/25
Cautious Outlook on Advance Auto Parts: Hold Rating Amid Strategic Gains and Growth ChallengesWe are Equal-weight rated. Risk/reward is wide with ~55%/~50% upside/downside to our bull/bear cases and the stock is trading relatively in-line with our raised $48 PT. AAP is performing well on its strategic initiatives and delivering results above expectations (both the Q1'25 comp of -0.6% and adj. EBIT margin of -0.3% beat the Street's expectations for a -2% comp and -2.0% adj. EBIT margin). Although '25 guidance was reiterated, we think upside from here will be dependent on a return to steady comp growth. '25 comps of ~1% at the midpoint implies a ~2% comp in 2H25, following guidance for ~flattish comps in Q2. While headwinds from price investments will be fully lapped by 2H25, there are risks to achieving ~low-single-digit comp growth in 2H25 due to a still pressured DIY consumer and tariff headwinds.
Mizuho Securities
―
Hold
―
Reiterated
05/23/25
Best Analysts Covering Advance Auto Parts
1 Month
xxx
Success Rate
21/33 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+2.44%
reiterated a xxx
rating 3 months ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 1 Month would result in 63.64% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +2.44% per trade.
3 Months
xxx
Success Rate
17/33 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+4.09%
reiterated a xxx
rating 3 months ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 3 Months would result in 51.52% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +4.09% per trade.
1 Year
Success Rate
17/33 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+8.21%
reiterated a buy rating 3 months ago
Copying Seth Basham's trades and holding each position for 1 Year would result in 51.52% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +8.21% per trade.
2 Years
xxx
Success Rate
23/33 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+16.04%
reiterated a xxx
rating 3 months ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 2 Years would result in 69.70% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +16.04% per trade.
The Best Analyst Covering tool allows you to follow the analysts who have the best success rates and average returns on a specific stock. Only analysts that gave a Buy or Sell rating on the stock in the past 12 months are eligible for inclusion in this tool. Follow the analysts of your choice to receive real-time updates when they publish a new rating.
AAP Analyst Recommendation Trends
Rating
Feb 25
Mar 25
Apr 25
May 25
Jun 25
Strong Buy
0
1
1
1
0
Buy
3
2
1
0
0
Hold
22
22
19
24
25
Sell
1
1
1
1
1
Strong Sell
0
0
0
0
0
total
26
26
22
26
26
Each month's total comprises the sum of three months' worth of ratings.
AAP Financial Forecast
AAP Stock Forecast FAQ
What is AAP’s average 12-month price target, according to analysts?
Based on analyst ratings, Advance Auto Parts Inc’s 12-month average price target is 47.00.
What is AAP’s upside potential, based on the analysts’ average price target?
Currently there's no upside potential for AAP, based on the analysts’ average price target.
Can I see which stocks the top-ranking analysts are rating?
Yes, go to the Analysts’ Top Stocks tool to see stocks with a Strong Buy or Strong Sell analyst rating consensus, according to the top performers.
How can I follow the stock ratings of top Wall Street analysts?
Head over to our Expert Center to see a list of the top 100 Wall Street analysts and follow the analysts of your choice. Visit their profiles for more details about their stock ratings and see how they perform on a stock-by-stock basis.
Is AAP a Buy, Sell or Hold?
Advance Auto Parts Inc has a consensus rating of Hold which is based on 0 buy ratings, 19 hold ratings and 1 sell ratings.
What is Advance Auto Parts Inc’s price target?
The average price target for Advance Auto Parts Inc is 47.00. This is based on 20 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months.
The highest analyst price target is $54.00 ,the lowest forecast is $35.00. The average price target represents -7.50% Decrease from the current price of $50.81.
The highest analyst price target is $54.00 ,the lowest forecast is $35.00. The average price target represents -7.50% Decrease from the current price of $50.81.
What do analysts say about Advance Auto Parts Inc?
Advance Auto Parts Inc’s analyst rating consensus is a Hold. This is based on the ratings of 20 Wall Streets Analysts.
How can I buy shares of AAP?
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