Strong Quarterly Financial Performance
Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $473 million and adjusted free cash flow of $350 million; adjusted EBITDA more than doubled year-over-year and adjusted free cash flow quadrupled year-over-year following the Freedom and Guernsey acquisitions.
Reaffirmed 2026 Guidance
Reaffirmed full-year 2026 ranges: adjusted EBITDA $1.75B–$2.05B and adjusted free cash flow $980M–$1.18B (guidance excludes pending Cornerstone contribution).
Material Balance Sheet and Financing Actions
Raised $4.0 billion in senior unsecured notes at a blended rate just above 6.25% and retired $1.2 billion of senior secured notes (8.625% coupon), delivering >$40 million per year in interest savings (roughly +$1 of FCF/share). Secured increased liquidity commitments (revolver to $1.35B and L/C to $1.5B).
Healthy Leverage Position
Forecasted 2026 net leverage ratio of 3.1x, below the company target of 3.5x, with expectation to remain below 3.5x upon closing Cornerstone.
Robust 2027–2028 Outlook and Shareholder Returns
Preliminary outlook (including Cornerstone) projects ~ $34/ share FCF in 2027 and ~$36/share in 2028 (a 15% improvement vs January); with assumed 70% FCF used for buybacks, 2028 FCF per share ~ $41 (approx. 30% improvement vs January). Stated program supports continued share repurchases (Q1 buyback $100M).
Operational Performance and Safety
Fleet generated ~16 TWh in Q1 with a 55% fleet capacity factor; recordable incident rate of 0.37 (below industry average). Susquehanna Unit 1 refueling outage completed and synced back to the grid after leveraging prior learnings.
Commercial and Market Tailwinds
Noted appreciation in spark spreads for 2026–2028, summer spark spreads increasing, and ~3% incremental deliveries (weather-adjusted) in PJM in Q1 vs 2025—supporting higher dispatch of flexible assets and upside to merchant revenues (management cited ~ $5/MWh improvement since Mar 31 as additional upside).
Development Pipeline and Strategic M&A
Cornerstone transaction signed (financing closed), pending regulatory approvals (FERC and Indiana expected by summer); development pipeline includes up to ~3,000 acres supporting 3–4 GW of data center capacity and >2 GW of prospective gas+storage projects; >2 GW recently submitted into PJM interconnection cluster.