Strong Q1 Financial Results and Affirmed Guidance
Reported Q1 2026 GAAP earnings of $1.37 billion ($1.58/share) versus $906 million ($1.39/share) in Q1 2025 (≈+51% GAAP earnings; ≈+13.7% GAAP EPS). Adjusted earnings were $991 million ($1.51/share) versus $942 million ($1.44/share) a year ago (≈+5.2% adjusted earnings; ≈+4.9% adjusted EPS). Management affirmed full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $4.80–$5.30, 2027 EPS guidance of $5.10–$5.70, and long-term EPS growth of 7%–9%.
Significant Capital Deployment and Large Capital Plan
Deployed $3.0 billion of investment capital in Q1, on track for the ~$13 billion T&D investment target for 2026. Company executing a record $65 billion capital plan with ~11% projected annual rate base growth and ~ $9 billion of incremental capital opportunities beyond the base plan.
Oncor Regulatory Wins Improving Returns
PUCT approved Oncor settlement with higher authorized equity layer (43.5%), authorized ROE of 9.75%, and cost of debt of 4.94%. Approval also allows surcharge recovery for Jan 1–Jun 1, 2026, expected to improve earned returns and credit metrics during elevated capital investment.
Oncor Transmission / Load Opportunity (Texas Upside)
Company reported large-load opportunity (company cited 127 GW of qualifying load) and submitted 102.22 GW of ≥75 MW load plus 5.2 GW medium load in RTP filing. ERCOT queue includes ~289 GW of large load (≈271 GW data-center related). Oncor has a $47.5 billion capital plan and identified ~$10 billion incremental CapEx opportunity; Oncor earnings expected to grow ~30% annually through midpoint of 2027 guidance.
Progress on Infrastructure and LNG Projects
Cimarron Wind declared COD. ECA LNG Phase 1 introduced feed gas and began startup; first LNG expected next month with substantial completion targeted this summer (revenues begin at substantial completion). Port Arthur LNG Phase 1 & Phase 2 construction progressing on time and on budget.
SI Partners Transaction and Capital Recycling
Making progress toward closing SI Partners transaction with key approvals from FERC and antitrust regulators; closing expected in 2026. Proceeds to be used to reinvest in utilities and strengthen balance sheet. Ecogas sale remains on track to close in Q2–Q3 2026.
Operational Improvements and Supply-Chain Progress
Oncor submitted inaugural UTM to incorporate $4.4 billion of T&D assets into rates (reduces regulatory lag; can be filed every 365 days). Oncor is diversifying supply base, expanding logistics/warehousing, securing labor and materials, and increasing contract labor (nearly tripled contract labor usage) to reduce execution risk.