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TMH - ETF AI Analysis

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TMH

Toyota Motor Corporation ADRhedged (TMH)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
TMH’s rating suggests it is a relatively strong, high-quality ETF, largely because it is almost entirely invested in Toyota Motor (TM), whose solid financial performance, consistent revenue growth, and focus on electrified vehicles support the fund’s outlook. The main risk is that TMH is highly concentrated in a single company and sector, so any setback specific to Toyota or the auto industry could significantly impact the ETF’s performance.
Positive Factors
Strong Lead Holding
The ETF’s main position in Toyota Motor has shown strong year-to-date performance, helping drive the fund’s gains.
Recent Performance Momentum
The fund has delivered steady gains over the past month and quarter, indicating positive recent momentum.
Low Expense Ratio
The ETF charges a relatively low fee, which helps investors keep more of their returns over time.
Negative Factors
Extreme Single-Stock Concentration
Almost the entire fund is invested in Toyota Motor, which greatly increases the risk if this one company struggles.
Heavy Sector Concentration
With nearly all assets in the consumer cyclical sector, the ETF is highly sensitive to downturns in consumer spending and the auto industry.
Limited Geographic Diversification
The fund’s exposure is almost entirely tied to one market, offering little protection if that market faces economic or market-specific issues.

TMH vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TMH Summary

TMH is an ETF that gives you targeted exposure to Toyota Motor, one of the world’s largest and best-known car makers. Instead of tracking a broad index, it focuses almost entirely on Toyota through its U.S.-traded shares, and uses currency hedging to reduce the impact of moves between the Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar. Someone might invest in TMH if they believe in Toyota’s long-term growth in areas like hybrid and electric vehicles and want a simple way to invest in the company. A key risk is that your investment is heavily tied to the fortunes of a single automaker, so it can rise or fall with Toyota’s business performance.
How much will it cost me?The TMH ETF has an expense ratio of 0.19%, which means you’ll pay $1.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average for ETFs because it is passively managed and focuses on a specific company, Toyota Motor Corporation, rather than requiring active management of multiple holdings.
What would affect this ETF?Positive drivers for TMH could include increased demand for electric vehicles and advancements in sustainable automotive technology, areas where Toyota is a leader. However, negative factors might arise from global economic slowdowns, higher interest rates affecting consumer spending, or stricter environmental regulations that could increase production costs. TMH's focus on Japan and its currency hedging strategy helps reduce exchange rate risks but ties its performance closely to the Japanese economy and Toyota's success.

TMH Top 10 Holdings

TMH is essentially a one-stock story, with Toyota Motor doing almost all the heavy lifting for the fund. The ETF is highly concentrated in consumer cyclical autos and tightly tied to Japan, though the ADR structure keeps it accessible for U.S. investors. Toyota’s shares have been steadily rising in recent months, helped by solid profits and growing momentum in electrified vehicles, so when Toyota runs, this fund sprints—and when it stumbles, there’s nowhere to hide. Currency hedging helps keep the ride smoother by muting yen swings.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Toyota Motor99.80%$650.02K$321.20B34.76%
81
Outperform

TMH Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
59.23
Positive
100DMA
55.63
Positive
200DMA
50.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.47
Negative
RSI
61.24
Neutral
STOCH
63.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TMH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.00, equal to the 50-day MA of 59.23, and equal to the 200-day MA of 50.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TMH.

TMH Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$631.95K0.19%
$99.16M1.02%
$99.12M0.50%
$28.84M0.18%
$2.57M1.00%
$1.80M0.99%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TMH
Toyota Motor Corporation ADRhedged
64.92
18.55
40.00%
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FDCF
Fidelity Disruptive Communications ETF
IEDI
iShares Evolved US Discretionary Spending ETF
EATZ
AdvisorShares Restaurant ETF
BEDZ
AdvisorShares Hotel ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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