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Xylem Inc (XYL)
NYSE:XYL

Xylem (XYL) AI Stock Analysis

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Xylem

(NYSE:XYL)

74Outperform
Xylem's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings outlook, underpinned by strategic growth initiatives and successful integration efforts. While technical indicators and high valuation present some caution, the company's robust revenue growth and favorable guidance for 2025 suggest a promising future.
Positive Factors
Management Strategy
Management's 80/20 efforts are expected to be successful.
Operational Efficiency
80/20 program should continue increasing on-time delivery, which has increased ~500bps with another ~700bps to hit the target.
Order Growth
Strong order close with sights on 80/20 manifestation and resumption of growth in water meters.
Negative Factors
Earnings Guidance
The current forward earnings valuation is not seen as a great entry point.
Market Conditions
China still weak and not expected to flip to neutral in the near term.
Revenue Trends
Forward estimates likely don't have material upside, further near-term re-rating seems unlikely, and revenue/margin trends are decelerating.

Xylem (XYL) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Xylem Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXylem Inc. (XYL) is a leading global water technology company committed to solving critical water and infrastructure challenges through innovative solutions. The company operates in the water infrastructure, applied water, and measurement and control solutions sectors, offering a wide range of products and services, including water and wastewater pumps, treatment and testing equipment, and smart metering technologies. Xylem serves a diverse customer base across industries such as utilities, industrial, commercial, and residential markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyXylem generates revenue through the sale of its water and wastewater products and services. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of pumps, valves, and controls for water infrastructure applications, as well as the provision of treatment and testing solutions for water and wastewater applications. Additionally, Xylem offers advanced metering and network technologies that enable water utilities to optimize resource management and efficiency. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with municipal and industrial customers, which help drive demand for its comprehensive solutions. Xylem's revenue is further supported by ongoing investments in research and development, allowing it to continuously innovate and offer state-of-the-art technologies to its global customer base.

Xylem Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Xylem demonstrates commendable financial performance with strong revenue growth and stable profitability. The balance sheet indicates low leverage risk with a solid equity base. Cash flow generation is robust, supporting operational and investment needs. However, missing data for 2024 limits a complete assessment of the company's most recent financial standing.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Xylem has demonstrated strong revenue growth over recent years, with the revenue increasing from $5.5 billion in 2022 to $7.36 billion in 2023, indicating a robust growth rate. The company maintains healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 36.9% in 2023 and a solid net profit margin of 8.3%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect stable profitability. However, the lack of revenue data for 2024 limits a complete assessment of the latest performance.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Xylem's balance sheet shows a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23 in 2023, suggesting low financial leverage. The company's return on equity (ROE) is impressive at 6.0%, indicating efficient use of equity. However, the absence of total assets and equity data for 2024 restricts a full evaluation of the latest financial condition.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statements reveal a positive trend in free cash flow growth in 2023, with free cash flow increasing from $388 million in 2022 to $566 million. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. However, the cash flow data for 2024 is incomplete, preventing a comprehensive analysis for the most recent period.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
8.56B7.36B5.52B5.20B4.88B
Gross Profit
3.21B2.72B2.08B1.98B1.83B
EBIT
1.07B652.00M622.00M585.00M495.00M
EBITDA
1.63B1.15B755.00M853.00M736.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
890.00M609.00M355.00M427.00M254.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.12B1.02B944.00M1.35B1.88B
Total Assets
16.50B16.11B7.95B8.28B8.75B
Total Debt
2.02B2.39B1.95B2.44B3.08B
Net Debt
895.00M1.37B1.00B1.09B1.21B
Total Liabilities
5.62B5.94B4.45B5.05B5.77B
Stockholders Equity
10.64B10.17B3.49B3.22B2.97B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
942.00M566.00M388.00M330.00M641.00M
Operating Cash Flow
1.26B837.00M596.00M538.00M824.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-482.00M-628.00M-191.00M-183.00M-169.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-615.00M-157.00M-790.00M-855.00M473.00M

Xylem Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price103.69
Price Trends
50DMA
124.01
Negative
100DMA
122.40
Negative
200DMA
127.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.67
Positive
RSI
40.61
Neutral
STOCH
40.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XYL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 103.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 117.96, below the 50-day MA of 124.01, and below the 200-day MA of 127.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XYL.

Xylem Risk Analysis

Xylem disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xylem reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Xylem Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
XYXYL
74
Outperform
$25.45B28.628.55%1.41%16.23%34.42%
PNPNR
73
Outperform
$12.99B21.0418.45%1.19%-0.53%0.13%
72
Outperform
$4.00B22.6414.53%1.16%-2.12%-6.07%
WMWMS
72
Outperform
$7.84B16.9134.07%0.63%3.67%-5.03%
VMVMI
68
Neutral
$5.32B15.4324.05%0.93%-2.38%141.60%
AOAOS
63
Neutral
$8.90B17.0928.63%2.13%-0.90%-1.69%
62
Neutral
$7.24B12.393.08%3.39%3.63%-14.35%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XYL
Xylem
103.69
-23.81
-18.67%
FELE
Franklin Electric Co
85.51
-17.06
-16.63%
PNR
Pentair
77.53
-5.31
-6.41%
AOS
A. O. Smith Corporation
60.64
-24.36
-28.66%
VMI
Valmont
263.86
41.32
18.57%
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
100.08
-68.70
-40.70%

Xylem Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 4, 2025 | % Change Since: -15.30% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Xylem reported a strong finish to 2024 with record revenue and earnings, driven by successful integration of Evoqua and robust demand across segments. However, challenges such as margin pressure in Measurement and Control Solutions, softness in emerging markets, and restructuring impacts on free cash flow present some concerns. Overall, the positive momentum and strategic initiatives suggest a favorable outlook for 2025.
Highlights
Record-Breaking 2024 Performance
Xylem achieved record revenue, EBITDA margins, and EPS in 2024. Revenue grew by 6%, EBITDA margins expanded by 170 basis points, and EPS increased by double digits.
Strong Order Growth
All segments delivered Q4 orders growth, with Water Infrastructure leading at 10% orders growth. Overall orders were up 7% in Q4.
Evoqua Integration Success
The integration of Evoqua is delivering cost synergies significantly faster than expected, contributing to margin improvements.
Water Infrastructure Segment Performance
Water Infrastructure segment saw a revenue increase of 8% and an outstanding EBITDA margin increase of 360 basis points.
Water Solutions and Services Growth
Water Solutions and Services segment saw robust demand with orders increasing 8% and revenue growth up 11%.
Lowlights
Measurement and Control Solutions Margin Pressure
EBITDA margin for MCS decreased by 120 basis points due to mix, inflation, and investments, although orders were up 6%.
Applied Water Segment Challenges
Applied Water segment experienced flat revenue growth, primarily due to softness in emerging markets, despite some strength in developed markets.
Free Cash Flow Impacted by Restructuring
Free cash flow will be impacted in 2025 by restructuring actions, potentially dropping below long-term goals.
China Market Weakness
Weakness in China's utility market is expected to be a headwind for the Water Infrastructure segment in 2025.
Company Guidance
In the recent conference call, Xylem provided substantial guidance for 2025, indicating a positive outlook despite certain challenges. The company expects full-year revenue to be between $8.6 billion to $8.7 billion, reflecting organic growth of 3% to 4%. They anticipate an EBITDA margin expansion of 70 to 120 basis points, driven largely by productivity and price actions offsetting inflation. Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to range from $4.50 to $4.70, representing an 8% increase at the midpoint. Notably, they expect cash flow to be impacted slightly due to restructuring actions, which are anticipated to yield $75 million in savings in 2025. Orders grew by 7% in the fourth quarter, with Water Infrastructure leading at 10% growth, and the company is confident about maintaining healthy demand through 2025.

Xylem Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Xylem Appoints New Leader for Applied Water Segment
Neutral
Oct 15, 2024

Xylem Inc., a leading global water solutions company, has appointed Meredith Emmerich as Senior Vice President and President of its Applied Water segment, effective October 21, 2024. Emmerich, with over 20 years of experience in smart building solutions, succeeds Franz Cerwinka, who will remain as a senior advisor until March 2025. Emmerich’s leadership aims to enhance sustainable growth and customer-centric solutions in industrial and commercial water management.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.