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Winnebago Industries (WGO)
NYSE:WGO

Winnebago Industries (WGO) AI Stock Analysis

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WGO

Winnebago Industries

(NYSE:WGO)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(10.09% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/11/26
The score reflects strong cash flow and a low-debt balance sheet, supported by an upbeat earnings outlook and leverage-reduction actions. These positives are tempered by very weak price momentum (below all major moving averages with negative MACD) and a high P/E that limits valuation appeal despite the strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Generation
Sustained FCF growth (51.96% TTM) indicates durable cash conversion and liquidity. This strengthens the company's ability to fund capital expenditure, product development, dividends, and opportunistic debt repayment without relying on external financing, improving long-term financial resilience.
Leverage Reduction / Balance Sheet Strength
A deliberate $100M partial redemption reduces interest burden and improves leverage metrics, increasing financial flexibility. Lower debt levels bolster resilience through demand cycles, enabling strategic investment and smoothing cash flow demands over the medium term.
Product Innovation and Dealer Acceptance
Repeated successful launches and award-winning designs signal strong product-market fit and dealer traction. A steady pipeline of well-received models supports market share, pricing power, and brand differentiation, underpinning sustainable revenue growth and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Low Profitability
A low net margin (1.27%) shows limited earnings buffer against cost inflation or demand softness. Even with healthy revenue, thin profitability constrains reinvestment and capital returns, and makes operating performance more sensitive to commodity, labor, or warranty cost shifts over time.
Marine Segment Headwinds
Persistent weakness in marine sales highlights revenue concentration and uneven segment performance. Slower marine recovery limits diversification of revenue streams and could depress aggregate cash generation and margin resilience if marine conditions remain adverse over multiple quarters.
Rising Warranty Costs
Increasing warranty expense (3.6% of revenue, +40bps) signals quality-related costs that directly erode gross margins and cash flow. If persistent, higher warranty provisioning can reduce free cash flow and require structural improvements in quality control or higher pricing to restore margin sustainability.

Winnebago Industries (WGO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Winnebago Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWinnebago Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells recreation vehicles and marine products primarily for use in leisure travel and outdoor recreation activities. The company operates in six segments: Grand Design Towables, Winnebago Towables, Winnebago Motorhomes, Newmar motorhomes, Chris-Craft Marine, and Winnebago Specialty Vehicles. It provides towable products that are non-motorized vehicles to be towed by automobiles, pickup trucks, SUVs, or vans for use as temporary living quarters for recreational travel, such as conventional travel trailers, fifth wheels, folding camper trailers, and truck campers under the Winnebago and Grand Design brand names. The company also offers motorhomes, which are self-propelled mobile dwellings used primarily as temporary living quarters during vacation and camping trips, or to support active and mobile lifestyles under the Winnebago and Newmar brand names. In addition, it offers other specialty commercial vehicles for law enforcement command centers, mobile medical clinics, and mobile office spaces; commercial vehicles as bare shells to third-party up fitters; and boats in the recreational powerboat industry under the Chris-Craft and Barletta brand names. Further, the company is involved in the original equipment manufacturing of parts for other manufacturers and commercial vehicles. The company sells its products primarily through independent dealers in the United States, Canada, and internationally. Winnebago Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1958 and is based in Forest City, Iowa.
How the Company Makes MoneyWinnebago Industries primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling outdoor recreation products to dealers, with revenue largely recognized from wholesale shipments of finished units. The company’s key revenue streams are (1) RVs—covering both motorhomes and towable RVs—sold under its various RV brands through independent RV dealerships, and (2) marine products—boats sold under its marine brands through marine dealers. In addition to unit sales, the company generates revenue from related parts, accessories, and services tied to its products (where offered and reported), and its earnings are influenced by product mix (e.g., higher-priced or higher-margin models), production volume, raw-material and component costs, dealer inventory levels, retail demand, and financing conditions that affect consumer affordability. The company’s distribution model relies heavily on third-party dealer relationships, and its ability to deliver products depends on its supply chain and manufacturing footprint; specific partnership terms or material counterparty details are not available in the provided prompt, so null.

Winnebago Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 19, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Winnebago Industries reported strong financial performance with revenue growth across all segments and notable market share gains in the motorhome segment. New product launches have been successful, and the company received several industry awards. However, the RV retail market saw a decline in registrations, and the marine segment faced headwinds. Higher warranty expenses were also noted. Overall, despite some challenges, the company appears optimistic about its strategic initiatives and financial outlook.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth Across All Segments
Winnebago Industries posted strong top and bottom line results in the first quarter with revenue increasing in all three segments. Towable RV and Motorhome RV segments each posted double-digit growth, while the Marine segment saw low single-digit growth.
Market Share Gains in Motorhome RV
Winnebago Industries grew its market share in Class A gas, Class A diesel, and Class C over recent periods, achieving a 33.9% share in Class A diesel, 21.4% in Class B, 13.7% in Class C, and 12.3% in Class A gas.
Successful New Product Launches
The Grand Design Imagine, Reflection, and Winnebago's New Thrive are resonating well with dealers. The Thrive line is particularly popular as an entry-level travel trailer.
Recognition and Awards
Winnebago, Newmar, and Grand Design brands earned multiple top honors for the 2026 model year, including RV of the Year awards and Innovation of the Year for Grand Design's Lineage Shower System.
Improved Financial Position
Net revenue growth exceeded 12%, and adjusted EBITDA more than doubled year over year to $30.2 million, with a reduced net leverage ratio to 2.7x at the end of the quarter.
Negative Updates
Decline in Industry RV Retail Registrations
Industry RV retail registrations declined 7.6% year over year in October, following a 2.2% net increase in the prior month.
Challenges in Marine Segment
The Marine segment posted only modest sales improvement amid ongoing industry headwinds. Despite this, Barletta and Chris Craft brands maintained strong dealer relationships.
Higher Warranty Expenses
Warranty expense was 3.6% of net revenues, up 40 basis points from the previous quarter, reflecting ongoing commitment to product quality and customer service.
Company Guidance
During the Winnebago Industries First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results Conference Call, several key metrics and guidance updates were provided. Winnebago Industries reported a 12% increase in net revenue, driven by higher unit volume and selective price increases. The company raised its fiscal 2026 full-year guidance, projecting consolidated net revenues between $2.8 billion to $3 billion, up from the previous range of $2.75 billion to $2.95 billion. Adjusted earnings per diluted share are now expected to be between $2.10 to $2.80, compared to the prior range of $2.20 to $2.70. The Towable RV segment saw a 15.5% increase in net revenues, while the Motorhome RV segment posted a 13.5% growth. The Marine segment also experienced a modest 2.2% rise in net revenues. Winnebago Industries aims for a net leverage ratio of approximately two times by the end of 2026 and continues to focus on operational improvements, strategic sourcing, and product innovation to drive future growth.

Winnebago Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are solid overall: strong cash flow (51.96% free cash flow growth and strong cash conversion) and a low-leverage balance sheet (debt-to-equity 0.018) offset modest profitability (1.27% net margin) and only moderate revenue growth (2.76% TTM).
Income Statement
65
Positive
Winnebago Industries has shown a modest revenue growth rate of 2.76% in the TTM, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin is stable at 13.12%, but the net profit margin is relatively low at 1.27%, suggesting limited profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also modest, reflecting operational challenges. Overall, the income statement shows moderate performance with room for improvement in profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.018 in the TTM, indicating low leverage and financial stability. Return on equity is modest at 2.52%, suggesting moderate efficiency in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio is healthy, reflecting a solid capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet is stable with low financial risk.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Winnebago Industries has demonstrated strong cash flow performance with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 51.96% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.59, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 0.80, highlighting efficient cash conversion. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects strong liquidity and cash management.
BreakdownTTMAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.88B2.80B2.97B3.49B4.96B3.63B
Gross Profit377.30M365.10M433.50M586.10M929.34M650.36M
EBITDA131.30M94.50M118.10M351.70M609.69M440.70M
Net Income36.40M25.70M13.00M215.90M390.60M281.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.13B2.26B2.38B2.51B2.48B2.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments181.70M174.00M330.90M309.90M282.17M434.56M
Total Debt578.60M595.40M741.80M649.30M598.66M563.91M
Total Liabilities893.60M1.04B1.11B1.14B1.22B1.06B
Stockholders Equity1.23B1.22B1.27B1.37B1.26B1.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow136.00M89.50M98.90M211.30M312.65M192.39M
Operating Cash Flow171.00M128.90M143.90M294.50M400.62M237.28M
Investing Cash Flow-32.30M-34.80M-45.90M-170.00M-315.67M-33.01M
Financing Cash Flow-219.50M-251.00M-77.00M-96.80M-237.34M-62.28M

Winnebago Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price32.70
Price Trends
50DMA
43.25
Negative
100DMA
40.48
Negative
200DMA
36.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.13
Positive
RSI
18.89
Positive
STOCH
9.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WGO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 32.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.36, below the 50-day MA of 43.25, and below the 200-day MA of 36.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 18.89 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WGO.

Winnebago Industries Risk Analysis

Winnebago Industries disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Winnebago Industries reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Winnebago Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$2.94B15.9913.76%3.72%5.74%39.40%
63
Neutral
$922.81M46.392.98%3.42%1.38%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$4.58B-35.47-7.80%2.27%-4.78%-189.89%
55
Neutral
$4.10B82.807.01%1.94%1.43%34.76%
52
Neutral
$1.92B7.2610.26%3.47%-15.99%-6.76%
51
Neutral
$2.93B-42.42%3.99%-9.39%-173.86%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WGO
Winnebago Industries
32.70
-0.81
-2.41%
BC
Brunswick
70.59
15.69
28.57%
LCII
LCI Industries
121.33
36.26
42.62%
HOG
Harley-Davidson
17.19
-7.26
-29.69%
PII
Polaris
51.70
11.64
29.05%
THO
Thor Industries
78.00
-0.46
-0.59%

Winnebago Industries Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Winnebago Announces Partial Redemption of Senior Secured Notes
Positive
Feb 5, 2026

On February 5, 2026, Winnebago Industries announced that it would redeem $100 million of the $200 million outstanding principal of its 6.25% Senior Secured Notes due 2028 on February 20, 2026, at par plus accrued and unpaid interest, with notice of redemption sent the same day to record holders by the trustee, U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association. Management framed the partial debt redemption as a deliberate move to improve balance sheet leverage while preserving strong cash balances and cash flow, positioning the company for greater financial flexibility in what it expects to be a seasonally stronger second half of its fiscal year and underscoring an ongoing commitment to leverage reduction within a balanced capital allocation strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (WGO) stock is a Buy with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Winnebago Industries stock, see the WGO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Winnebago Shareholders Approve Key Governance Amendments
Neutral
Dec 17, 2025

At its annual meeting on December 16, 2025, Winnebago Industries‘ shareholders approved amendments to the company’s 2019 Omnibus Incentive Plan and Employee Stock Purchase Plan, which included authorizing additional shares for issuance and extending the plans’ terms. Other major decisions included the reelection of directors, advisory approval of executive compensation, and the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accountant for fiscal 2026, reflecting ongoing stakeholder engagement in corporate governance and operational planning.

The most recent analyst rating on (WGO) stock is a Buy with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Winnebago Industries stock, see the WGO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 11, 2026