Volatile Free Cash Flow & Heavy ReinvestmentInconsistent free cash flow from heavy capex and working-capital swings reduces financial flexibility over the medium term. Persistent volatility can constrain debt repayment, delay shareholder returns and force external financing if commodity prices or execution weaken, increasing long-run funding risk.
Unresolved Government Stake/royalty TalksPotential changes to ownership terms or higher government take would structurally reduce project cashflows and alter economics. Political and sovereign negotiation risk can materially change long-term returns, complicate planning, raise perceived sovereign risk and deter long-horizon investors.
Kiaka Power Instability And Fuel Capex ExposureOngoing grid instability forces diesel/HFO reliance, adding operating cost, logistics complexity and capital for power solutions. Persistent energy risk can cap achievable throughput, raise steady-state AISC, and require continued investment until stable, creating a lasting operational headwind.