Our Mobility segment is our largest segment by total revenue and our customers and fuel retailer partners in this segment primarily purchase or sell gasoline or diesel fuel. Accordingly, a substantial amount of our Company's total revenue is generated through the purchase and/or sale of fuel, making our revenues in this segment subject to the demand for and supply of fuel and historically volatile fuel prices.
A substantial portion of our Mobility segment total revenues, particularly in our North American Fleet business, result from fees paid to us by fuel providers based on a negotiated percentage of the purchase price of fuel purchased by our customers. We currently do not utilize fuel hedging derivatives, and therefore, these revenues are currently exposed to the full impact of fuel price declines and our net income is exposed to fuel price volatility. Therefore, extended declines in the price of fuel, as well as declines in the amount of fuel purchased by our customers or sold by our fuel retailer partners would have a material adverse effect on our total revenues and therefore our business, financial condition, and operating results.
Fuel price volatility is influenced by many factors, all of which are beyond our control. These factors include, but are not limited to:
- domestic and foreign supply and demand for oil and gas, and market expectations regarding such supply and demand;- the demand for trucking and freight hauling services;- investor speculation in commodities;- actions by major oil exporting nations, including members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, and the ability of the same to maintain oil price and production controls;- level of domestic and foreign oil production;- advances in oil production technologies;- excess, or alternatively, lack of adequate, infrastructure;- geo-political conditions, including revolution, insurgency, environmental activism, terrorism, or war, such as, the ongoing conflicts between Russia and Ukraine and Israel and Hamas;- oil refinery capacity and utilization rates;- weather, including climate change and natural disasters;- the value of the U.S. dollar (or other relevant currencies) versus other major currencies;- unexpected events such as global pandemics like the COVID-19 pandemic;- general local, regional, or worldwide economic conditions;- taxes and tariffs; and - governmental regulations and legislation, including those pertaining to greenhouse gases ("GHG") and fuel efficiency standards.
Some of these factors can vary by region and may change quickly, adding to market volatility, while others may have longer-term effects. The long-term effects of these and other factors on prices for fuel could be substantial. For example, although we cannot predict the duration or severity of impact, the ongoing conflicts in Europe and the Middle East, and the resulting sanctions and military actions have significantly impacted and will likely continue to impact volatility in worldwide fuel prices, and we cannot predict the ultimate impact of these conflicts on fuel prices.
Our revenue is also dependent, in part, on the late fees that our customers pay on past due balances. As a result, a decrease in the price of fuel may lead to a decline in the amount of late fees we earn from customers who fail to pay us timely. Alternatively, an increase in the price of fuel could lead to higher amounts of receivables or payables we fund, thereby increasing the risk of, and our exposure to, a failure to pay by our counterparty, as well as an increase in the amount of fraudulent activity. See Part I – Item 1A – Risk Factors – "We have experienced and may in the future experience substantial credit and fraud losses and other adverse effects if we fail to adequately assess and monitor credit risks posed by our counterparties or if there continues to be fraudulent use of our payment cards or systems."
In addition to its impact on the price of fuel, the market demand for and supply of fuel and other vehicle products and services may affect the number of transactions or the volume of fuel sold. Fewer gallons sold equates to a lower total purchase price of fuel on which our negotiated percentage revenue is determined. Our revenues, particularly in the over-the-road business, are also dependent, in part, on a flat fee derived from each fuel purchase transaction. Accordingly, in a soft fuel demand environment, which could be caused by a number of factors beyond our control, including higher prices, general local, regional, or worldwide economic conditions, public health crises, decreased demand for trucking and freight hauling services and governmental regulations and legislation, including those pertaining to GHG and fuel efficiency standards, fewer transactions occur, resulting in less revenue to us. Credit and other standards set by us can also limit demand for the purchase of fuel using our products. In addition, there is a trend toward the development by vehicle manufacturers, and adoption by our Mobility customers and others, of vehicles with greater fuel efficiency or alternative fuel sources, such as electric, hydrogen, or natural gas powered vehicles, including hybrid vehicles. The continued adoption of alternative fuel and hybrid vehicles by our customers or others, an increase in the speed at which such adoption occurs, or any material increase in the use of alternative fuel vehicles in heavier duty vehicle fleets, such as over-the-road truck fleets, would lead to less gasoline or diesel fuels being sold and affect our financial performance. This trend could have a material adverse effect on our financial performance if we are unable to develop products and introduce them to the market to replace any decrease in revenue caused by any resulting decrease in the sale of gasoline or diesel fuels. For further information on any trend toward alternative fuel and hybrid vehicles and how legislation and regulation of GHG could affect our business, see Part I – Item 1A – Risk Factors – "Our failure to adapt to technological and industry changes and effectively implement new technology and products could materially affect our competitive position and our business." and Item 1A – Risk Factors – "Legislation and regulation of, and private business actions related to the reduction of GHG emissions could adversely affect our business."
On the supply side, disruptions to supply caused by factors such as geopolitical issues, war (such as the wars in Europe and the Middle East), weather, environmental considerations, infrastructure, labor shortages, or economic conditions could also affect the amount of fuel purchased by our customers. To the extent that our customers require, or have access to, less fuel, the resulting decline in purchase volume or transactions could reduce our revenues, or any growth in our revenues, and have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and operating results.
Finally, revenue from our European fleet business is primarily derived from transactions in which our revenue is tied to the difference between the negotiated price of the fuel from the supplier and the price charged to the fleet customer. The merchant's cost of fuel and the amount we charge to our fleet customer for fuel are dependent on several factors including, among others, the factors described herein affecting fuel prices. We experience fuel price related revenue contraction when the merchant's cost of fuel increases at a faster rate than the fuel price we charge to our mobility customers, or the fuel price we charge to our mobility customers decreases at a faster rate than the merchant's cost of fuel. If the foregoing scenarios exist or persist we would generate less revenue, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and operating results.