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Ultra Clean Holdings (UCTT)
NASDAQ:UCTT

Ultra Clean Holdings (UCTT) AI Stock Analysis

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Ultra Clean Holdings

(NASDAQ:UCTT)

62Neutral
Ultra Clean Holdings showcases strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and improved profitability. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the high P/E ratio indicates overvaluation concerns. Earnings call insights suggest stable growth with challenges in the China market. The recent board appointment could positively impact future growth. Overall, the stock reflects stability with caution due to liquidity and valuation concerns.
Positive Factors
AI and HBM Demand
Positive AI, HBM related demand are driving growth in UCTT's CMP & chemistry plating business.
Leadership Transition
Ultra Clean has put the best possible plan in place for leadership transition, and no disruption to its business is expected.
Operational Efficiencies
Recent improvements in operational efficiencies are expected to pay dividends down the road.
Negative Factors
China Business Weakness
Ultra Clean reported a surprise miss-and-cut quarter, due to a large step down of the direct China business.
Gross Margins
Gross Margins compressed 100bps Q/Q in the Dec '24 quarter to 16.8% due in part to a poor product mix.
Tax Profile
Higher portion of sales from Czech Republic and Shanghai facilities result in a less favorable tax profile.

Ultra Clean Holdings (UCTT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ultra Clean Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUltra Clean Holdings, Inc. develops and supplies critical subsystems, components and parts, and ultra-high purity cleaning and analytical services for the semiconductor industry in the United States and internationally. The company provides ultra-clean valves, high purity connectors, industrial process connectors and valves, pneumatic actuators, manifolds and safety solutions, hoses, pressure gauges, and gas line and component heaters; chemical delivery modules that deliver gases and reactive chemicals in a liquid or gaseous form from a centralized subsystem to the reaction chamber; and gas delivery systems, such as weldments, filters, mass flow controllers, regulators, pressure transducers and valves, component heaters, and an integrated electronic and/or pneumatic control system. It also offers various industrial and automation production equipment; fluid delivery systems consist of one or more chemical delivery units, including PFA tubing, filters, flow controllers, regulators, component heaters, and an integrated electronic and/or pneumatic control system; precision robotic systems; top-plate assemblies; frame assemblies; process modules, a subsystem of semiconductor manufacturing tools that process integrated circuits onto wafers; and other high-level assemblies. In addition, the company provides tool chamber parts cleaning and coating services; micro-contamination analysis services for tool parts, wafers and depositions, chemicals, cleanroom materials, deionized water, and airborne molecular contamination; and analytical verification services for process tool chamber part cleaning. It primarily serves original equipment manufacturing customers in the semiconductor capital equipment and semiconductor integrated device manufacturing industries, as well as display, consumer, medical, energy, industrial, and research equipment industries. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Hayward, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyUltra Clean Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its critical subsystems and modules to semiconductor capital equipment manufacturers. These products are essential components in the semiconductor manufacturing process, helping equipment operate efficiently and reliably. Additionally, UCTT provides ultra-high purity cleaning and analytical services, which are crucial for maintaining the cleanliness and performance of semiconductor fabrication facilities. The company benefits from long-term partnerships with leading semiconductor equipment manufacturers, which contributes significantly to its revenue. UCTT's earnings are also influenced by the overall demand for semiconductor devices, as increased production typically leads to higher demand for their manufacturing equipment and services.

Ultra Clean Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ultra Clean Holdings displayed strong revenue growth and improved profitability, benefiting from increased demand in the semiconductor sector. The company's balance sheet is robust with reduced leverage and a solid equity position. However, the decline in cash flow generation from operations and reduced free cash flow pose potential risks to liquidity management. Overall, the financial health of the company is stable, with positive growth trends tempered by cash flow challenges.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Ultra Clean Holdings demonstrated strong revenue growth of 20.93% year-over-year in 2024, indicating robust demand in the semiconductor industry. The gross profit margin improved to 16.99% from 15.99% in 2023, reflecting improved cost management. The net profit margin turned positive at 1.13%, a significant turnaround from the previous year's negative margin, suggesting enhanced profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins, at 4.35% and 4.35% respectively, highlight potential areas for operational improvement.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio improved significantly to 0.19 in 2024 from 0.76 in 2023, indicating reduced leverage and enhanced financial stability. The equity ratio remained relatively stable at 45.49%, reflecting a solid equity base. Return on equity was modest at 2.71%, suggesting room for improving shareholder returns. Overall, the balance sheet is healthy with a strong equity position and reduced debt levels.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow decreased to $65 million from $135.9 million in the previous year, indicating a potential decline in cash generation from operations. Free cash flow remained positive at $1.5 million, albeit much lower than the previous year's $60.1 million, highlighting the impact of capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was strong at 2.74, reflecting good cash conversion from earnings. However, the decline in overall cash flow metrics suggests potential liquidity concerns.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.10B1.73B2.37B2.10B1.40B
Gross Profit
356.30M277.30M465.00M429.98M291.76M
EBIT
91.20M35.20M199.60M185.67M121.37M
EBITDA
189.80M99.20M266.20M253.20M166.20M
Net Income Common Stockholders
23.70M-31.10M40.40M119.50M77.60M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
313.90M307.00M358.80M466.45M200.27M
Total Assets
1.92B1.87B1.96B2.03B1.10B
Total Debt
167.80M639.90M611.20M635.21M311.75M
Net Debt
-146.10M332.90M252.40M168.76M111.48M
Total Liabilities
984.10M970.50M1.02B1.13B551.33M
Stockholders Equity
873.60M838.90M887.90M848.88M532.65M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.50M60.10M-52.90M153.72M60.85M
Operating Cash Flow
65.00M135.90M47.20M213.06M97.28M
Investing Cash Flow
-63.50M-119.70M-96.20M-406.76M-29.83M
Financing Cash Flow
9.80M-69.90M-56.00M460.83M-31.11M

Ultra Clean Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price22.49
Price Trends
50DMA
24.59
Negative
100DMA
30.94
Negative
200DMA
34.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.02
Negative
RSI
53.91
Neutral
STOCH
95.23
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UCTT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 22.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.04, below the 50-day MA of 24.59, and below the 200-day MA of 34.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.23 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UCTT.

Ultra Clean Holdings Risk Analysis

Ultra Clean Holdings disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ultra Clean Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ultra Clean Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Neutral
$1.12B15.7410.43%7.63%
63
Neutral
$1.21B15.199.11%3.95%-4.43%57.01%
62
Neutral
$1.02B43.432.77%20.92%
59
Neutral
$10.72B10.22-6.67%3.02%7.42%-11.38%
50
Neutral
$727.63M-3.30%4.68%55.72%
48
Neutral
$785.60M-7.73%-36.86%-351.11%
MXMXL
39
Underperform
$875.83M-39.36%-33.12%-39.38%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UCTT
Ultra Clean Holdings
22.49
-20.18
-47.29%
COHU
Cohu
16.88
-14.19
-45.67%
HIMX
Himax Technologies
7.08
2.17
44.20%
MXL
Maxlinear
10.14
-11.03
-52.10%
VECO
Veeco
19.36
-16.49
-46.00%
ICHR
Ichor Holdings
21.33
-18.63
-46.62%

Ultra Clean Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 24, 2025 | % Change Since: -37.63% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in 2024 with significant revenue growth and improved operating efficiency driven by AI and advanced packaging demand. However, challenges in the China market and a decline in gross margin present near-term headwinds, leading to expectations of flat revenue in the first half of 2025.
Highlights
Significant Revenue Growth
UCT experienced a 21% revenue growth over the prior year, outperforming the overall WFE market and closest competitors. Total revenue for the year reached $2.1 billion compared to $1.7 billion in 2023.
Strong AI and Advanced Packaging Demand
Revenue from Products increased due to demand for advanced packaging applications and AI-related processes, with Products revenue reaching $503.5 million in Q4.
Improved Operating Efficiency
Operating expense as a percentage of revenue decreased from 11.6% in 2023 to 10.6% in 2024, and operating margin increased to 6.9% from 4.9% in 2023.
Earnings Per Share Growth
Earnings per share for the year increased to $1.44 compared to $0.56 in 2023.
Lowlights
Softening Demand in China
Unexpected demand softness was experienced from the China market due to extended qualification timelines and inventory digestion issues.
Gross Margin Decline
Total gross margin for Q4 decreased to 16.8% from 17.8% in the previous quarter, with product gross margin dropping from 16.1% to 15.2%.
Reduced Services Revenue
Services revenue decreased to $59.8 million in Q4 from $61.4 million in Q3.
Flat Revenue Expectations in First Half of 2025
The company expects flat revenue in the first half of 2025 due to ongoing challenges in the China market and inventory digestion.
Company Guidance
In their earnings call, Ultra Clean Technology (UCT) provided guidance reflecting some challenges and areas of growth. For the first quarter of 2025, UCT projected total revenue between $505 million and $555 million and expected earnings per share (EPS) in the range of $0.22 to $0.42. Despite experiencing a 21% growth in 2024, the company anticipates some demand softness, especially from their China operations, due to extended qualification timelines and inventory digestion. UCT's revenue for Q4 2024 was $563.3 million, with a total gross margin of 16.8%, slightly lower than the previous quarter. The company aims to maintain profitability by closely monitoring cost structures and expects its tax rate to be in the low to mid-20s for 2025. Additionally, UCT plans to outperform the wafer fab equipment (WFE) market by 5% to 10%, targeting a potential growth of five points in WFE in 2025.

Ultra Clean Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ultra Clean Holdings CEO Resigns Due to Health Reasons
Neutral
Mar 5, 2025

On March 5, 2025, Ultra Clean Holdings announced the resignation of CEO James P. Scholhamer due to personal health reasons, effective March 4, 2025. Clarence L. Granger, the Chairman of the Board, will serve as interim CEO while the board searches for a permanent replacement. Granger, who has extensive experience with the company, will also continue as Chairman. The company has entered into a Separation Agreement with Scholhamer, providing him a lump sum payment. Ultra Clean has been expanding its portfolio and is well-positioned to support significant demand increases in the semiconductor industry.

Executive/Board Changes
Ultra Clean Holdings Appoints Joanne Solomon to Board
Positive
Jan 31, 2025

Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. announced the appointment of Joanne Solomon to its Board of Directors, effective February 3, 2025. Ms. Solomon brings over 35 years of financial and corporate leadership experience, having served in significant roles such as Chief Financial Officer for multiple publicly traded companies. Her extensive background in the technology industry, particularly her tenure at Amkor Technology, is expected to contribute valuable insights to Ultra Clean’s growth strategy.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.