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Travelzoo Inc (TZOO)
NASDAQ:TZOO

Travelzoo (TZOO) AI Stock Analysis

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Travelzoo

(NASDAQ:TZOO)

59Neutral
Travelzoo's stock is rated moderately, reflecting strong profitability and cash generation offset by financial stability concerns due to negative equity. Technical indicators suggest caution due to downward momentum. Valuation appears fair, but the lack of dividend yield limits appeal. The earnings call provided a cautiously optimistic outlook, though challenges in revenue growth and regional performance must be addressed.
Positive Factors
Profitability
Steps to reduce the cost base of the business have helped to grow profitability.
Revenue Growth
The company expects Q1 revenue to improve, in part supported by the shift to providing a paid membership product, which management indicated as providing a 5% tailwind.
Share Repurchase
Travelzoo has been active in repurchasing shares, buying back $18.9 million in stock in 2024.
Negative Factors
Earnings
Fourth quarter revenues of $20.8 million were below estimates and below the year-ago level, with management having expected growth in the period.
Geopolitical Challenges
There are concerns about consumer price sensitivity and geopolitical challenges affecting advertiser sentiment.
Market Transition
There is meaningful uncertainty created by the shift in its model to prioritize a subscription-based service.

Travelzoo (TZOO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Travelzoo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTravelzoo, an Internet media company, provides travel, entertainment, and local deals from travel and entertainment companies, and local businesses in the Asia Pacific, Europe, and North America. Its publications and products include Travelzoo Website; Travelzoo iPhone and Android apps; Travelzoo Top 20 email newsletter; and Newsflash email alert service. The company also operates the Travelzoo Network, a network of third-party Websites that list travel deals published by the company; and Local Deals and Getaway listings, which allow its members to purchase vouchers for deals from local businesses, such as spas, hotels, and restaurants. It serves airlines, hotels, cruise lines, vacations packagers, tour operators, destinations, car rental companies, travel agents, theater and performing arts groups, restaurants, spas, and activity companies. Travelzoo Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyTravelzoo generates revenue primarily through advertising fees paid by travel, entertainment, and local businesses that wish to promote their offers to Travelzoo's extensive member base. The company's key revenue streams include listing fees charged to businesses for featuring their deals in Travelzoo's publications and performance-based fees that depend on the success of the promotions. Additionally, Travelzoo leverages partnerships with airlines, hotels, cruise lines, and local businesses to secure exclusive deals that attract users. These partnerships are significant contributors to Travelzoo's earnings, as they enhance the value proposition for its members and drive engagement across its platforms.

Travelzoo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Travelzoo shows strong profitability and cash flow performance, with efficient cost and cash management. However, the negative equity on the balance sheet raises concerns about financial stability, despite a slight revenue decline.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Travelzoo's income statement reveals a strong gross profit margin of 87.5% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The company shows a solid net profit margin of 16.1% for TTM, reflective of profitability. While the revenue has slightly decreased by 0.68% from the previous year, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved to 22.0% and 22.7% respectively, showcasing enhanced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet highlights a concerning negative stockholders' equity of -$462,000, raising red flags about financial stability. Despite a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio in the past, the current negative equity skews this metric unfavorably. With an equity ratio now nonexistent due to negative equity, the company's asset financing is primarily through debt, posing potential risks.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis shows robust free cash flow growth of 99% year-over-year, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is a healthy 1.54, and the free cash flow to net income ratio stands at an impressive 1.53, both suggesting effective cash conversion from earnings.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
83.90M84.48M70.60M63.19M53.60M
Gross Profit
73.43M73.54M60.60M51.66M43.04M
EBIT
18.50M15.57M7.56M-972.00K-11.15M
EBITDA
18.50M17.46M9.75M507.00K-8.95M
Net Income Common Stockholders
13.56M12.37M6.63M911.00K-11.18M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
17.06M15.71M18.69M43.81M63.06M
Total Assets
54.72M55.38M67.27M100.08M102.40M
Total Debt
8.12M9.25M11.30M12.29M18.02M
Net Debt
-8.95M-6.47M-7.39M-31.52M-45.04M
Total Liabilities
50.37M46.50M58.42M99.45M95.90M
Stockholders Equity
-462.00K4.19M4.26M-3.98M1.89M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
20.92M10.42M-24.63M-8.11M46.56M
Operating Cash Flow
21.10M10.68M-23.12M-8.08M46.82M
Investing Cash Flow
-177.00K-39.00K-1.31M104.00K2.07M
Financing Cash Flow
-18.97M-14.15M1.28M-11.16M-6.78M

Travelzoo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.02
Price Trends
50DMA
16.22
Negative
100DMA
18.05
Negative
200DMA
15.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.98
Negative
RSI
35.17
Neutral
STOCH
21.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TZOO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.33, below the 50-day MA of 16.22, and below the 200-day MA of 15.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TZOO.

Travelzoo Risk Analysis

Travelzoo disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Travelzoo reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Travelzoo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$20.83B18.0779.84%0.25%6.64%69.85%
72
Outperform
$151.49B26.73-146.32%0.78%11.11%47.03%
67
Neutral
$36.34B15.9112.91%0.51%18.12%69.44%
61
Neutral
$1.77B764.240.55%2.63%-58.77%
59
Neutral
$140.56M11.88494.69%-0.68%34.16%
58
Neutral
$26.94B3.15-10.67%4.32%2.14%-43.11%
43
Neutral
$961.31M20.22%4.19%53.84%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TZOO
Travelzoo
12.02
2.46
25.73%
TCOM
Trip.com Group Ltd. Sponsored ADR
54.19
4.32
8.66%
EXPE
Expedia
149.52
16.58
12.47%
BKNG
Booking Holdings
4,494.64
886.90
24.58%
TRIP
TripAdvisor
11.44
-15.57
-57.65%
SABR
Sabre
2.27
-0.47
-17.15%

Travelzoo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 25, 2025 | % Change Since: -29.21% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights Travelzoo's growth in operating income and strong cash position, driven by the success of JAX Flight Club and growing membership fee revenue. However, the decline in consolidated revenue and challenges in the Europe segment, particularly in Germany, present concerns. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic focus on membership growth and disciplined development of new initiatives like Travelzoo Meta support a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Highlights
Increased Operating Income
Q4 operating profit increased 8% year over year to $4.9 million or 24% of revenue, up from $4.5 million in the prior year.
Strong Cash Position
Consolidated cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash grew to $17.7 million as of December 31, 2024, even after repurchasing shares.
Positive Growth in JAX Flight Club
JAX Flight Club expanded the team and increased marketing spend, growing revenue by 19% year over year.
Club Membership Revenue Growth
Revenue from membership fees is expected to contribute 5% incremental growth in Q1 2025, with further growth anticipated throughout the year.
High Engagement from Travel Enthusiasts
Travelzoo's affluent and active member base shows high engagement, with 91% open to new destinations and travel ideas.
Lowlights
Decline in Consolidated Revenue
Q4 revenue was $20.7 million, down 2% from the prior year, with Europe segment performance impacted by fluctuations in Germany.
Decreased EPS
The EPS was slightly lower compared to last year due to the strong dollar and negative other income impacting earnings.
Challenges in Europe Segment
Operating profit decreased in the Europe segment, with specific issues in Germany due to political turmoil and delayed advertising revenue.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter of 2024, Travelzoo reported consolidated revenue of $20.7 million, a 2% decrease year-over-year, with operating income rising by 8% to $4.9 million, accounting for 24% of revenue. Despite a decrease in outstanding shares, EPS was slightly lower due to the absence of last year's extraordinary income and unfavorable foreign exchange impacts. The North America and JAX Flight Club segments saw operating profit increases, while the Europe segment experienced a decline. Advertising revenue reached $19.1 million, while revenue per membership increased to $1.6 million, with expectations for substantial growth in 2025. The introduction of a membership fee is anticipated to contribute a 5% incremental growth in Q1 2025. The GAAP operating margin in North America improved to 33%, and the company repurchased 135,792 shares, closing the year with $17.7 million in cash and equivalents. Overall, Travelzoo is optimistic about higher revenue growth and profitability in 2025, driven by the recognition of recurring membership fee revenue.

Travelzoo Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Travelzoo Reports Q4 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Feb 25, 2025

Travelzoo reported its financial results for Q4 2024, with a revenue of $20.7 million, a slight decrease of 2% year-over-year, but an 8% increase in consolidated operating profit to $4.9 million. The North American segment saw a 1% revenue increase, while the European segment experienced a 13% decline due to fluctuations in Germany. Jack’s Flight Club, in which Travelzoo holds a 60% stake, reported a 19% revenue increase. The company also highlighted its new membership fee structure, which is expected to drive future revenue growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.