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GoldMoney (TSE:XAU)
TSX:XAU

GoldMoney (XAU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:XAU

GoldMoney

(TSX:XAU)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
C$22.00
▲(119.12% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/06/26
The score is driven by very attractive valuation (P/E ~1.83) and improved TTM financial performance (strong growth, healthy margins, solid ROE and FCF conversion). Offsetting these positives, technicals are stretched (RSI/Stoch elevated) and the fundamentals show historical volatility and higher leverage than earlier years, which adds risk if conditions reverse.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth
Sustained TTM revenue growth (+33.9%) indicates the company is scaling its core metal-buying and custody platform, expanding transactional volumes and customer adoption. Over 2-6 months, this higher base supports durability of revenue streams and better fixed-cost absorption.
High margins and cash conversion
Strong operating and net margins with free cash flow roughly matching net income demonstrate efficient monetization of services and credible cash generation. This margin-to-cash conversion supports reinvestment, product development, and resilience across business cycles.
Niche fintech + precious-metals custody model
The company sits at the intersection of fintech and precious-metals custody, a specialized niche with structural demand for secure storage and digital access. This positioning creates customer stickiness, regulatory barriers to entry, and differentiated product utility over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Historical profitability volatility
Reported history includes prior loss-making periods and swings in profitability, reducing confidence that the current profitable run-rate is durable. For investors, this cyclicality implies earnings can reverse materially if volumes or metal price dynamics change.
Rising leverage versus earlier years
Debt-to-equity around 0.47 marks moderate leverage that has increased from prior low-debt years. Higher leverage reduces financial flexibility, raises interest and covenant risk, and can amplify earnings volatility if revenue or margins weaken.
Inconsistent cash-flow quality historically
While recent TTM FCF is strong, historical periods of negative operating and free cash flow indicate conversion volatility. This variability complicates reliable capital allocation and can force equity issuance or debt draws when cash flow weakens.

GoldMoney (XAU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

GoldMoney Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGoldmoney Inc. operates as a precious metal financial service and technology company worldwide. It is involved in the custody and storage of physical precious metals through Goldmoney.com online platform; and coin retailing and lending. The company also acts as dealer in the purchase and sale of physical precious metals in the form of bars, coins, and wafers through SchiffGold.com. In addition, it designs, manufactures, and sells gold and platinum jewelry through Mene.com. The company was formerly known as BitGold Inc. and changed its name to Goldmoney Inc. in July 2015. Goldmoney Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyGoldMoney generates revenue primarily through fees associated with its services. This includes transaction fees for buying and selling gold, storage fees for holding physical metals, and premium account services for enhanced features. The company may also earn interest on customer holdings and investment products linked to gold. Significant partnerships with banks and financial institutions can enhance its offerings and market reach, contributing to its earnings. Additionally, fluctuations in gold prices can impact the volume of transactions and customer interest, further influencing revenue.

GoldMoney Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Current TTM results are strong (revenue +33.9%, EBIT margin ~24.4%, net margin ~19.9%, solid ROE ~14.7%, and FCF roughly matching net income). The score is tempered by historically volatile profitability/cash flow (including prior loss/negative periods) and rising leverage versus earlier years (debt-to-equity ~0.47), which reduces confidence in durability.
Income Statement
74
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a clear step-up in scale and profitability, with revenue up 33.9% and strong operating and net margins (EBIT margin ~24.4%, net margin ~19.9%). However, the annual history is volatile: prior periods show mixed profitability (including losses and negative margins in earlier years), which lowers confidence in the durability of the current run-rate.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
The balance sheet is reasonably positioned with moderate leverage in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (debt-to-equity ~0.47) and solid profitability on equity (~14.7%). That said, leverage has risen versus earlier years (including periods with minimal debt), and historical returns on equity include negative years, highlighting some cyclicality and balance-sheet risk if earnings soften.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash generation is currently strong: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow is essentially in line with net income (~1.0x) and free cash flow growth is solid (+36.4%). Offsetting this, cash flow quality has been inconsistent across years (including negative operating/free cash flow in the past), and the provided coverage indicator is relatively low in the latest TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), suggesting some variability in cash conversion/coverage depending on the period.
BreakdownTTMMar 2024Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020Mar 2019
Income Statement
Total Revenue169.98M101.83M84.84M662.25M458.87M281.54M
Gross Profit50.32M31.89M19.72M27.24M9.07M6.26M
EBITDA45.86M20.88M7.03M13.80M-8.02M23.07M
Net Income40.19M14.57M6.80M11.65M-9.71M23.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets383.77M341.92M176.05M190.22M190.22M188.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments104.95M12.73M43.27M28.56M28.56M40.26M
Total Debt93.03M84.11M0.001.55M1.55M1.15M
Total Liabilities190.83M178.94M3.93M9.72M9.72M6.26M
Stockholders Equity192.94M162.98M172.54M180.49M180.49M181.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow43.68M49.73M20.98M-7.23M371.62K2.52M
Operating Cash Flow43.74M49.74M20.99M-7.18M411.80K2.59M
Investing Cash Flow-38.91M-64.04M1.93M10.55M-3.04M11.96M
Financing Cash Flow-5.23M37.85M-10.03M-1.25M-6.26M-1.55M

GoldMoney Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.04
Price Trends
50DMA
13.72
Positive
100DMA
12.36
Positive
200DMA
10.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.07
Positive
RSI
63.16
Neutral
STOCH
42.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:XAU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.11, below the 50-day MA of 13.72, and below the 200-day MA of 10.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:XAU.

GoldMoney Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$214.85M1.8322.78%113.25%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
52
Neutral
C$24.51M7.22-63.28%36.80%9.34%
46
Neutral
C$1.75B-4.86-20.47%51.69%28.00%
45
Neutral
C$86.46M44.16-136.30%972.76%-192.94%
45
Neutral
C$12.30B-43.2412.11%-121.84%
44
Neutral
$47.46M-5.39-10.10%39.64%-70.96%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:XAU
GoldMoney
17.72
9.40
112.98%
TSE:DEFI
DeFi Technologies
0.83
0.00
0.00%
TSE:BIGG
BIGG Digital Assets
0.07
-0.05
-39.13%
TSE:BITF
Bitfarms
3.24
1.79
123.45%
TSE:GLXY
Galaxy Digital
32.20
15.11
88.41%
TSE:DMGI
DMG Blockchain Solutions
0.25
-0.01
-3.92%

GoldMoney Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Goldmoney Sells London Property to Fund Strategic Real Estate Push
Positive
Feb 20, 2026

Goldmoney Inc. has sold its St James Place real estate property in the U.K. for gross proceeds of £37.9 million ($70.1 million) to a U.S.-based institutional investor. The divestment is designed to recycle capital into redevelopment projects within the existing property portfolio, pay down debt, and pursue additional strategic property acquisitions, signaling an effort to sharpen its real estate strategy and strengthen its balance sheet while supporting growth in its broader real assets platform.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XAU) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GoldMoney stock, see the TSE:XAU Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Goldmoney Posts Surge in Q3 Earnings and Tangible Equity, Boosts Shareholder Returns
Positive
Feb 5, 2026

Goldmoney Inc. reported a strong fiscal third quarter ended December 31, 2025, highlighted by an 8.3% quarter-over-quarter increase in group tangible equity to $179.9 million and a 10.3% rise in tangible equity per share to $14.45, with the metric excluding its MENE segment up 10.9% to $13.43. Non-IFRS adjusted net income surged 224.7% from the prior quarter to $21.4 million, supported by higher total operating income of $23.9 million and a significant improvement in profitability, while the company continued to return capital to shareholders by repurchasing and cancelling 222,700 shares at an average price of $11.41. These results underscore Goldmoney’s strengthening balance sheet and earnings profile, potentially enhancing its positioning in the precious metals and real assets market and signaling growing financial resilience for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XAU) stock is a Hold with a C$12.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GoldMoney stock, see the TSE:XAU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 06, 2026