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GoldMoney (TSE:XAU)
TSX:XAU

GoldMoney (XAU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:XAU

GoldMoney

(TSX:XAU)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$13.00
▲(29.48% Upside)
The score is driven mainly by improved financial performance (strong TTM growth, margins, and ROE) and a very low P/E valuation. Offsetting these positives, technical indicators point to weak near-term momentum with the stock trading below key shorter-term moving averages.
Positive Factors
Revenue and profitability rebound
Sustained TTM revenue growth with healthy gross and net margins indicates the core platform and fee mix are driving improving unit economics. This strengthens durable earnings capacity, funds reinvestment in product and storage infrastructure, and supports longer-term scalability of the business model.
Improved return on equity and equity base
A meaningful recovery to positive ROE and an expanding equity base signal more efficient capital deployment and better loss absorption capacity. Improved ROE supports investor confidence and provides a more resilient capital foundation for funding operations and strategic partnerships over the medium term.
Positive cash generation and FCF quality
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow, with FCF tracking reported earnings (~1.0x), demonstrates earnings quality and internal funding ability. Reliable FCF supports ongoing storage and platform investments, reduces reliance on external capital, and underpins long-term financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Earnings volatility and prior loss
Material swings in profitability, including a sizable loss in 2024, make future earnings less predictable and raise execution risk. Persistent volatility can increase cost of capital, complicate strategic planning, and limit confidence from customers and partners over a multi-quarter horizon.
Low operating cash coverage of debt
Operating cash flow covering only ~39% of debt reduces financial resilience and raises refinancing risk if conditions tighten. Limited coverage constrains the company’s ability to service or reduce debt during downturns, potentially forcing asset sales, higher borrowing costs, or reduced investment capacity.
Small scale and limited trading liquidity
A very small workforce and modest trading volume suggest limited operational scale and market liquidity, which can slow product development, restrict customer service bandwidth, and hamper rapid expansion. Scale constraints make it harder to compete with larger fintech or custody providers over time.

GoldMoney (XAU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

GoldMoney Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGoldmoney Inc. operates as a precious metal financial service and technology company worldwide. It is involved in the custody and storage of physical precious metals through Goldmoney.com online platform; and coin retailing and lending. The company also acts as dealer in the purchase and sale of physical precious metals in the form of bars, coins, and wafers through SchiffGold.com. In addition, it designs, manufactures, and sells gold and platinum jewelry through Mene.com. The company was formerly known as BitGold Inc. and changed its name to Goldmoney Inc. in July 2015. Goldmoney Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyGoldMoney generates revenue primarily through fees associated with its services. This includes transaction fees for buying and selling gold, storage fees for holding physical metals, and premium account services for enhanced features. The company may also earn interest on customer holdings and investment products linked to gold. Significant partnerships with banks and financial institutions can enhance its offerings and market reach, contributing to its earnings. Additionally, fluctuations in gold prices can impact the volume of transactions and customer interest, further influencing revenue.

GoldMoney Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TTM results show a strong rebound with revenue up 24.6%, solid profitability (~27% gross margin, ~20% net margin), and improved ROE (~14.7%). However, results have been volatile across years (including a sizable 2024 loss) and cash flow coverage of debt is relatively low (~0.39x), which tempers confidence.
Income Statement
78
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show a strong rebound, with revenue up 24.6% and healthy profitability (about 27% gross margin and ~20% net margin). Annual results were more volatile: 2024 posted a sizable loss with negative margins despite decent gross margin, but 2025 returned to solid profitability with improved margins. Key watchout is this earnings variability across years, which lowers confidence versus consistently profitable peers.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Leverage is moderate in the latest period (debt-to-equity ~0.47 TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), and equity has grown versus prior years, supporting the balance sheet. Returns on equity have improved to ~14.7% TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) after being negative in 2024, indicating a meaningful recovery in profitability. Risk factors include the step-up in absolute debt since 2024 and the company’s history of earnings swings, which can pressure capital durability in weaker periods.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is positive in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with operating cash flow and free cash flow both around $32M, and free cash flow up ~7.3%. Free cash flow closely tracks reported earnings (near 1.0x), suggesting earnings quality is solid. The main weakness is that operating cash flow covers a relatively small portion of debt in the latest period (coverage ~0.39x), and cash flow has shown meaningful variability year-to-year (including negative operating cash flow in 2022).
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue126.91M65.57M101.83M84.84M662.25M458.87M
Gross Profit34.49M21.26M31.89M19.72M27.24M9.07M
EBITDA31.62M-5.71M20.88M7.03M13.80M-8.02M
Net Income25.24M-24.52M14.57M6.80M11.65M-9.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets343.88M185.48M341.92M176.05M190.22M190.22M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.21M13.33M12.73M43.27M28.56M28.56M
Total Debt83.38M38.84M84.11M0.001.55M1.55M
Total Liabilities164.80M44.30M178.94M3.93M9.72M9.72M
Stockholders Equity179.09M141.18M162.98M172.54M180.49M180.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.03M67.06M49.73M20.98M-7.23M371.62K
Operating Cash Flow32.09M67.07M49.74M20.99M-7.18M411.80K
Investing Cash Flow-66.40M-126.03M-64.04M1.93M10.55M-3.04M
Financing Cash Flow33.37M31.95M37.85M-10.03M-1.25M-6.26M

GoldMoney Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.04
Price Trends
50DMA
10.61
Positive
100DMA
10.85
Positive
200DMA
9.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Negative
RSI
76.14
Negative
STOCH
90.49
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:XAU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.49, below the 50-day MA of 10.61, and above the 200-day MA of 9.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.14 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.49 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:XAU.

GoldMoney Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
C$143.79M5.1911.44%113.25%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
C$16.87B-2.77%-121.84%
52
Neutral
C$24.51M-1.63-63.28%36.80%9.34%
52
Neutral
C$57.70M-5.12-10.10%39.64%-70.96%
46
Neutral
C$2.01B-10.05-17.06%51.69%28.00%
45
Neutral
C$86.46M-2.96-90.12%972.76%-192.94%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:XAU
GoldMoney
11.98
3.45
40.45%
TSE:DEFI
DeFi Technologies
0.83
0.00
0.00%
TSE:BIGG
BIGG Digital Assets
0.07
-0.11
-62.86%
TSE:BITF
Bitfarms
3.32
1.20
56.60%
TSE:GLXY
Galaxy Digital
40.39
11.91
41.82%
TSE:DMGI
DMG Blockchain Solutions
0.27
-0.09
-25.35%

GoldMoney Corporate Events

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Goldmoney Inc. Reports Q2 2026 Financial Results with Increased Equity but Lower Net Income
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

Goldmoney Inc. reported its financial results for the fiscal second quarter of 2026, showing a 5.2% increase in Group Tangible Equity to $166.1 million and a 4.6% rise in Tangible Equity per share. Despite these gains, the company experienced a 31.2% decrease in Non-IFRS Adjusted Net Income, highlighting challenges in maintaining profitability. The repurchase and cancellation of 59,900 shares at an average price of $9.06 indicate a strategic move to enhance shareholder value. These results reflect the company’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its financial position amid fluctuating market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XAU) stock is a Buy with a C$13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GoldMoney stock, see the TSE:XAU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026