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Vital Energy Inc (TSE:VUX)
:VUX
Canadian Market

Vital Energy (VUX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:VUX

Vital Energy

(VUX)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.17
▲(73.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/09/26
Overall score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—strong operating profitability and improved leverage are offset by declining revenue and significant free-cash-flow weakness. Technicals are supportive with the price above major moving averages and positive MACD, but overbought readings (RSI 70.85, Stoch 100) temper the outlook. Valuation is a relative positive due to the low P/E (6.425).
Positive Factors
Operational efficiency
A very high EBITDA margin indicates durable operating leverage and cost efficiency across Vital Energy's projects. This sustained margin provides resilience against revenue volatility, supports internal funding for project development and technology investment, and enhances competitive positioning long-term.
Negative Factors
Severe free cash flow weakness
Deeply negative FCF growth and a negative FCF-to-net-income ratio point to poor cash conversion despite accounting profits. Over months, weak cash generation limits ability to fund capex, service debt, and pursue projects organically, raising financing risk and potential reliance on external capital.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Operational efficiency
A very high EBITDA margin indicates durable operating leverage and cost efficiency across Vital Energy's projects. This sustained margin provides resilience against revenue volatility, supports internal funding for project development and technology investment, and enhances competitive positioning long-term.
Read all positive factors

Vital Energy (VUX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Vital Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Vital Energy (VUX) is a leading provider in the renewable energy sector, specializing in the development and management of sustainable energy solutions. The company focuses on harnessing solar, wind, and energy storage technologies to deliver clea...
How the Company Makes Money
Vital Energy generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling electricity produced from its renewable energy projects to utility companies and direct consumers. The company also offers energy management services, which include cons...

Vital Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: solid profitability metrics (TTM gross margin 29.95%, strong EBITDA margin 57.96%) and reasonable leverage (debt-to-equity improved to 0.88), but pressured trends in revenue (-6.35%), net margin (down to 14.44%), and especially cash generation (free cash flow growth -417.69%, FCF to net income -0.18).
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Dec 2022Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.38M20.90M14.43M19.68M13.49M4.94M
Gross Profit5.44M7.02M2.56M7.19M8.41M2.13M
EBITDA11.59M12.05M57.75K8.78M11.81M-5.22M
Net Income2.06M4.00M-5.37M4.71M8.95M-7.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.86M37.06M29.74M21.61M16.28M10.89M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.10M1.02M7.11M2.10M1.66M713.46K
Total Debt27.14M15.03M9.09M203.26K253.03K3.84M
Total Liabilities33.73M21.48M18.16M4.66M4.15M7.70M
Stockholders Equity17.13M15.58M11.58M16.95M12.14M3.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.46M-6.82M-6.06M5.11M4.72M-2.41M
Operating Cash Flow10.77M10.25M5.86M11.66M8.05M1.54M
Investing Cash Flow-12.44M-15.28M-14.94M-12.87M-2.90M-5.69M
Financing Cash Flow11.84M5.94M8.90M52.50K-3.81M3.84M

Vital Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.10
Price Trends
50DMA
0.18
Negative
100DMA
0.15
Positive
200DMA
0.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
40.97
Neutral
STOCH
6.84
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:VUX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.18, below the 50-day MA of 0.18, and below the 200-day MA of 0.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.84 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:VUX.

Vital Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
C$13.23M180.9012.30%16.71%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
50
Neutral
C$12.03M-1.71-36.60%295.02%78.28%
49
Neutral
C$14.56M-4.39-18.37%-32.11%66.67%
45
Neutral
C$10.80M-4.61431.16%
44
Neutral
C$9.05M-0.40-575.47%-920.00%
41
Neutral
C$10.15M-3.53-43.43%-1150.00%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:VUX
Vital Energy
0.16
-0.02
-11.11%
TSE:BDR
Bird River Resources
0.14
0.08
125.00%
TSE:BNG
Bengal Energy
0.03
<0.01
50.00%
TSE:CWV
Crown Point Energy
0.17
-0.01
-8.33%
TSE:CEC
Pan Orient Energy
0.09
<0.01
5.88%
TSE:SNV
Sonoro Energy
0.05
-0.02
-25.00%

Vital Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Vital Energy Expands Grande Prairie Footprint With $6 Million Crown Land Acquisition
Positive
Jan 6, 2026
Vital Energy Inc. has acquired seven sections, or roughly 1,792 hectares, of Alberta Crown petroleum and natural gas rights in the Elmworth area of the Grande Prairie region for about $6 million, expanding its land position there to nine sections....
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026