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Vital Energy Inc (TSE:VUX)
:VUX
Canadian Market
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Vital Energy (VUX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:VUX

Vital Energy

(VUX)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
C$0.11
▲(5.00% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:06/19/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (revenue decline, large net losses, negative free cash flow) and elevated balance-sheet leverage, which reduces financial flexibility. Technicals add further pressure as the price is below key moving averages with negative MACD. Valuation provides limited offset because the negative P/E reflects loss-making operations and no dividend yield data is available.
Positive Factors
Positive operating cash flow
Consistent positive operating cash flow (TTM ~3.9M) shows the core E&P operations generate cash even while net income is weak. That recurring cash from production supports near-term working capital, funds some investment, and provides a stabilizer during commodity cycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue decline
A durable revenue decline (-17.2% TTM) signals either lower production, price realization issues, or customer/marketing challenges. Falling top-line reduces scale, limits margin absorption, and constrains reinvestment capacity absent meaningful operational turnarounds or higher commodity prices.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Positive operating cash flow
Consistent positive operating cash flow (TTM ~3.9M) shows the core E&P operations generate cash even while net income is weak. That recurring cash from production supports near-term working capital, funds some investment, and provides a stabilizer during commodity cycles.
Read all positive factors

Vital Energy (VUX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Vital Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Vital Energy Inc. is a junior oil and gas company focused on the acquisition, exploration, and development of crude oil and natural gas reserves across Western Canada. The firm's flagship asset is the Gull Lake project in Saskatchewan, where it ho...
How the Company Makes Money
Vital Energy primarily makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons—crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs—from its wells. Revenue is generated when production volumes are sold to third-party purchasers/marketers under commodity sales arrangements,...

Vital Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are weak overall: revenue is down TTM (-17.2%) and net losses are large (TTM net margin ~-47.8%). Balance sheet risk is elevated with sharply higher leverage (debt-to-equity ~4.43 in 2025/TTM) and a thinner equity cushion. The main offset is positive operating cash flow (TTM ~3.9M), but free cash flow remains negative (TTM ~-3.5M), limiting self-funding capacity.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Dec 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.67M20.90M14.43M19.68M13.49M
Gross Profit4.01M7.02M2.56M7.19M8.41M
EBITDA791.67K12.05M57.75K8.78M11.81M
Net Income-8.02M4.00M-5.37M4.71M8.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets46.66M37.06M29.74M21.61M16.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.43M1.02M7.11M2.10M1.66M
Total Debt33.52M15.03M9.09M203.26K253.03K
Total Liabilities39.09M21.48M18.16M4.66M4.15M
Stockholders Equity7.56M15.58M11.58M16.95M12.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-410.38K-6.82M-6.06M5.11M4.72M
Operating Cash Flow6.89M10.25M5.86M11.66M8.05M
Investing Cash Flow-18.73M-15.28M-14.94M-12.87M-2.90M
Financing Cash Flow18.25M5.94M8.90M52.50K-3.81M

Vital Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.10
Price Trends
50DMA
0.12
Negative
100DMA
0.14
Negative
200DMA
0.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
36.37
Neutral
STOCH
66.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:VUX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.10, below the 50-day MA of 0.12, and below the 200-day MA of 0.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:VUX.

Vital Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
49
Neutral
C$32.71M-11.24-53.45%-380.43%
44
Neutral
C$9.05M-1.43-575.47%-669.60%
43
Neutral
C$9.71M-4.44-18.37%-16.66%26.74%
43
Neutral
C$51.63M-0.78-36.60%120.98%-393.88%
40
Underperform
C$8.27M-0.8112.30%-37.96%-294.75%
39
Underperform
C$7.21M-10.34431.16%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:VUX
Vital Energy
0.10
-0.04
-31.03%
TSE:BDR
Bird River Resources
0.14
0.09
170.00%
TSE:BNG
Bengal Energy
0.02
0.00
0.00%
TSE:CWV
Crown Point Energy
0.17
0.06
54.21%
TSE:CEC
Pan Orient Energy
0.29
0.19
190.00%
TSE:SNV
Sonoro Energy
0.03
-0.08
-71.43%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 19, 2026