Vital Energy (VUX) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$10.34M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 9.46K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 5.2
• Beta (1Y): -1.02
• Revenue Growth: 16.71%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: CA
• Employees: 326
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.00
• Shares Outstanding: 82,699,974
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 3,250
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 9,455
• PEG Ratio: -0.02
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.04
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.77
• P/FCF Ratio: -2.37
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 61 Neutral
• Price Target: C$0.10 ▲(0.00% Upside)

Vital Energy's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. The strong EBITDA margin and undervalued P/E ratio are positive factors, but they are offset by declining profitability, negative revenue growth, and cash flow challenges. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, further impacting the score.

Positive Factors

EBITDA Margin

A strong EBITDA margin reflects Vital Energy's operational efficiency, suggesting the company can maintain profitability despite revenue challenges.

Leverage Management

Improved leverage management indicates Vital Energy's ability to manage debt effectively, enhancing financial stability and reducing risk.

Renewable Energy Focus

Focusing on renewable energy positions Vital Energy well for long-term growth, aligning with global sustainability trends and increasing demand for clean energy.

Negative Factors

Negative Revenue Growth

Negative revenue growth indicates difficulties in expanding market reach, potentially impacting long-term profitability and market position.

Cash Flow Challenges

Significant negative free cash flow growth suggests cash generation issues, which could hinder Vital Energy's ability to invest in future projects and growth.

Declining Profit Margins

Declining profit margins indicate reduced profitability, which may affect Vital Energy's ability to sustain competitive pricing and invest in innovation.

Vital Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vital Energy (VUX) is a leading provider in the renewable energy sector, specializing in the development and management of sustainable energy solutions. The company focuses on harnessing solar, wind, and energy storage technologies to deliver clean and efficient energy to both residential and commercial customers. By prioritizing innovation and sustainability, Vital Energy aims to reduce carbon footprints while providing reliable energy services.

How the Company Makes Money

Vital Energy generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling electricity produced from its renewable energy projects to utility companies and direct consumers. The company also offers energy management services, which include consulting for energy efficiency improvements and the implementation of smart grid technologies. Additionally, Vital Energy engages in power purchase agreements (PPAs) with large corporations seeking to meet their renewable energy goals, providing a stable source of income. Strategic partnerships with technology providers and local governments further enhance its capabilities and market reach, contributing significantly to its overall earnings.

Vital Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Vital Energy demonstrates strong profitability with healthy margins and return on equity. However, challenges include declining revenue and negative free cash flow, which need addressing to sustain financial health.

Income Statement

Vital Energy's income statement shows a strong EBIT and EBITDA margin, indicating efficient operations. However, the recent revenue decline of 7.09% in TTM suggests potential challenges in market conditions or operational issues. The net profit margin remains healthy at 21.54%, but the negative revenue growth rate is a concern.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.88, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is robust at 32.70%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio suggests a moderate reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if market conditions worsen.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a negative free cash flow, which is concerning despite a 13% growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating potential cash flow constraints. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights the need for improved cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	20.38M	20.90M	14.43M	19.68M	13.49M	4.94M
Gross Profit	5.44M	7.02M	2.56M	7.19M	8.41M	2.13M
EBITDA	11.59M	12.05M	57.75K	8.78M	11.81M	-5.22M
Net Income	2.06M	4.00M	-5.37M	4.71M	8.95M	-7.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	50.86M	37.06M	29.74M	21.61M	16.28M	10.89M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	15.10M	1.02M	7.11M	2.10M	1.66M	713.46K
Total Debt	27.14M	15.03M	9.09M	203.26K	253.03K	3.84M
Total Liabilities	33.73M	21.48M	18.16M	4.66M	4.15M	7.70M
Stockholders Equity	17.13M	15.58M	11.58M	16.95M	12.14M	3.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	6.46M	-6.82M	-6.06M	5.11M	4.72M	-2.41M
Operating Cash Flow	10.77M	10.25M	5.86M	11.66M	8.05M	1.54M
Investing Cash Flow	-12.44M	-15.28M	-14.94M	-12.87M	-2.90M	-5.69M
Financing Cash Flow	11.84M	5.94M	8.90M	52.50K	-3.81M	3.84M

Vital Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 0.10
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:VUX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.11, below the 50-day MA of 0.12, and below the 200-day MA of 0.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.11 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:VUX.

Vital Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
VUX	61 Neutral	C$10.34M	5.22	12.78%	―	16.71%	―
CWV	49 Neutral	C$16.26M	-6.67	-16.40%	―	295.02%	78.28%
CEC	44 Neutral	C$7.90M	-2.55	-43.43%	―	―	-1150.00%
PEI	41 Neutral	C$18.47M	-2.44	―	―	-0.63%	-47.75%
AVN	29 Underperform	C$16.83M	-3.73	-15.60%	―	―	68.98%

Vital Energy Corporate Events

Vital Energy Secures AU$20 Million Loan to Boost Operations

Vital Energy Inc. has secured a AU$20 million loan from an independent lender, which will be disbursed in two installments and bears a 15% annual interest rate, maturing in September 2027. This financial move is expected to support the company’s operational activities and potentially strengthen its position in the oil and gas industry, impacting stakeholders by providing additional capital for growth and development.