Vital Energy (VUX) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$12.40M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 3.75K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 3.1
• Beta (1Y): -0.46
• Revenue Growth: 55.98%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: CA
• Employees: 326
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 47
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.05
• Shares Outstanding: 82,699,974
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 6,850
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 3,750
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• Price to Cash Flow (P/CF): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

Vital Energy's stock is influenced by solid revenue growth and operational efficiency, but high leverage and negative free cash flow pose significant risks. Technical analysis indicates a bearish momentum, while valuation metrics suggest potential undervaluation. The absence of earnings call data and notable corporate events makes financial performance and technical analysis the primary drivers of this score.

Vital Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vital Energy Inc., a junior oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of crude oil and natural gas in Western Canada. The company primarily holds a 50% working interest in the Gull Lake project that includes 9 wells producing crude oil from the Roseray, Cantuar, and Upper Shaunavon formations located in Saskatchewan. It also holds a 100% working interest in the Pennant project, which includes 14 contiguous sections of land located in the southwest Saskatchewan; and Baxter Lake project situated in east Alberta. Vital Energy Inc. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Vital Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company's key revenue streams include the production and sale of these hydrocarbons, which are extracted from its developed properties. Vital Energy may also engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its exploration and production capabilities, thereby increasing its revenue potential. Additionally, fluctuations in commodity prices, operational efficiencies, and cost management play significant roles in determining the company's profitability and overall earnings.

Vital Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Vital Energy is navigating a challenging financial landscape, marked by negative profitability and high leverage. While there are strengths in revenue generation and cash flow from operations, the company's overall financial health is burdened by inefficiencies and high costs. Strategic improvements in cost management and capital structure are essential to enhance profitability and financial stability.

Income Statement

Vital Energy's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) financials show a challenging period with negative net income and EBIT, resulting in negative margins. The revenue growth shows volatility over the years, with a significant decline in total revenue from 2022 to 2023. The gross profit margin has been positive but is not strong enough to offset the high operating costs, indicated by negative EBIT and net profit margins. This suggests efficiency issues and cost management challenges.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating leverage risk. Stockholders' equity has shown growth, but the equity ratio has weakened, pointing to increased liabilities. Return on equity is negative, reflecting recent net income losses. The company needs to focus on improving its capital structure for better financial stability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis indicates a negative free cash flow trend, with free cash flow declining significantly in the TTM period. Operating cash flow has been positive, but the high capital expenditures have led to negative free cash flow. This suggests potential cash management and investment efficiency challenges. The ratios of operating and free cash flow to net income are unfavorable, highlighting a mismatch between cash flow generation and reported earnings.

Breakdown
Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020	Dec 2019
Income Statement		Total Revenue
14.43M	19.68M	15.07M	4.94M	7.59M
	Gross Profit
2.56M	7.19M	8.41M	2.13M	4.23M
	EBIT
1.31M	6.37M	7.50M	-738.89K	852.14K
	EBITDA
129.14K	8.78M	11.81M	-5.22M	2.86M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
-5.37M	4.71M	8.95M	-7.56M	852.14K
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
7.11M	2.10M	1.66M	713.46K	413.66K
	Total Assets
29.74M	21.61M	16.28M	10.89M	15.50M
	Total Debt
9.09M	203.26K	253.03K	3.84M	0.00
	Net Debt
8.98M	-91.94K	-1.20M	3.73M	-413.66K
	Total Liabilities
18.16M	4.66M	4.15M	7.70M	4.75M
	Stockholders Equity
11.58M	16.95M	12.14M	3.19M	10.76M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
-6.06M	5.11M	4.72M	-2.41M	-572.37K
	Operating Cash Flow
5.86M	11.66M	8.05M	1.54M	2.10M
	Investing Cash Flow
-14.94M	-12.87M	-2.90M	-5.69M	-2.72M
	Financing Cash Flow
8.90M	52.50K	-3.81M	3.84M	0.00

Vital Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.15
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:VUX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.17, below the 50-day MA of 0.19, and below the 200-day MA of 0.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.31 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:VUX.

Vital Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TVE	80 Outperform	$1.82B	11.91	7.57%	4.21%	-0.17%	76.67%
CJ	78 Outperform	C$922.11M	8.40	11.78%	12.54%	3.79%	3.87%
WCP	77 Outperform	$4.58B	5.05	16.40%	9.23%	5.56%	35.85%
POU	74 Outperform	$2.25B	6.82	9.38%	28.33%	3.08%	-30.22%
BNE	65 Neutral	$118.32M	11.59	1.93%	―	-12.01%	-77.35%
VUX	58 Neutral	C$12.40M	3.10	29.46%	―	55.98%	―
Sector *	56 Neutral	$6.92B	3.31	-4.49%	6.03%	-0.35%	-47.83%