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Trisura Group Ltd (TSE:TSU)
TSX:TSU
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Trisura Group Ltd (TSU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TSU

Trisura Group Ltd

(TSX:TSU)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
C$46.00
▲(11.92% Upside)
Trisura Group Ltd's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, which highlight robust growth and strategic advancements. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the valuation is moderate, limiting the score. The absence of a dividend yield also impacts its attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Trisura Specialty net premium earned growth showed solid performance with a 21% increase.
Revenue Growth
Net premiums earned, a better indicator of revenue growth, was up an impressive 87% year-over-year.
Valuation
Valuation is seen as attractive with a 2.2x for a 17-18% ROE.
Negative Factors
Operational Costs
Higher corporate expenses and a higher tax rate were the main contributors to the EPS miss.
Underwriting Income
Modestly weaker underwriting income as higher combined ratio more than offsets positive impact of better net premium earned.
Weather-Related Claims
U.S. Programs experienced weaker net underwriting income due to adverse weather-related claims and some reserve development.

Trisura Group Ltd (TSU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Trisura Group Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrisura Group Ltd., a specialty insurance company, operates in the surety, risk solutions, corporate insurance, and reinsurance businesses in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company offers contract surety bonds, such as performance, and labor and material payment bonds primarily for the construction industry; commercial surety bonds, including license and permit, tax and excise, and fiduciary bonds to governments, regulatory bodies, or courts to guarantee compliance with legal or fiduciary obligations; and developer surety bonds comprising bonds to secure real estate developers' legislated deposit and warranty obligations on residential projects. It provides risk solutions, including warranty programs to program administrators, managing general agents, captive insurance companies, affinity groups, and reinsurers. The company also offers corporate insurance products that comprise directors' and officers' insurance for public, private, and non-profit enterprises; errors and omissions liability insurance for enterprises and professionals; business office package insurance for enterprises and professionals; and fidelity insurance for commercial and financial institutions. Trisura Group Ltd. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrisura Group Ltd generates revenue primarily through underwriting insurance policies and collecting premiums in its specialty sectors. The company earns money by assessing and pricing risk for its clients, and then collecting premiums in exchange for providing insurance coverage. In addition to underwriting activities, Trisura also earns investment income from its insurance float, which is the pool of premiums collected that can be invested until claims are paid out. Key revenue streams include premiums from surety bonds, corporate insurance policies, and reinsurance agreements. Strategic partnerships with brokers and agencies play a significant role in distributing their products and expanding their market reach, contributing to their overall earnings.

Trisura Group Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.63%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed strong growth in core segments like surety and warranty, coupled with strategic expansion in the U.S. market. However, challenges such as competitive pressures in Canadian fronting and increased expense ratios were noted. Overall, the positive achievements in key growth areas outweigh the challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Book Value and Strong Operating ROE
Book value grew 21% to a new record of $843 million, and operating ROE was 18%, showcasing strong financial performance.
Significant Growth in Surety and Warranty Lines
Surety gross premiums written grew 61%, with underwriting income increasing over 150%. Warranty premiums grew 39%, highlighting robust performance in these segments.
Expansion of U.S. Surety Business
The U.S. Surety balance sheet was increased to $100 million, enhancing the size of bonds that can be issued, demonstrating confidence in the platform.
Record Admitted Business Premiums
Admitted business in the U.S. programs now contributes over $150 million of premium, marking a record quarter.
Investment Portfolio Growth
The investment portfolio increased to $1.6 billion, generating $18.9 million in interest and dividend income, up 12% over the previous year.
Negative Updates
Reduction in Gross Premiums Written
A reduction in GPW was observed due to nonrenewed U.S. programs in 2024, although it was offset by growth in primary lines.
Softening Canadian Fronting Market
The Canadian fronting market is experiencing elevated competition, contributing to lower premium growth in this line.
Higher Combined and Expense Ratios
The combined ratio was slightly higher at 85.6%, with an increase in expense ratios due to a shift towards Trisura Specialty.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Trisura Group Limited demonstrated robust growth and strategic advancements, with an operating return on equity of 18% and a 21% increase in book value, reaching a record $843 million. Operating net income rose by 6% year-over-year to $33.3 million, with significant contributions from the surety line, where gross premiums written surged by 61%. The warranty line also saw a 39% increase in premiums. The U.S. programs business grew its ongoing portfolio by 12%, while the investment portfolio generated $18.9 million in interest and dividend income, reflecting a 12% increase compared to the previous year. The company strategically injected $40 million into its U.S. Surety balance sheet, enhancing its capacity for issuing larger bonds. Despite some competitive pressures, particularly in Canadian fronting lines, Trisura remains focused on profitable growth in specialty lines, leveraging a strong capital base and sophisticated infrastructure.

Trisura Group Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trisura Group Ltd demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth and effective cash flow management. The balance sheet reflects prudent leverage and strong returns on equity, though there is potential to enhance equity levels. While profitability margins have room for improvement, the company's financial trajectory remains positive, positioning it well for future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Trisura Group Ltd shows a strong revenue growth rate of 8.69% in the TTM period, indicating positive momentum. The gross profit margin is robust at 63.20%, though it has decreased from the previous year's 100% due to changes in revenue recognition or cost structure. The net profit margin of 6.19% is moderate, suggesting room for improvement in cost management or pricing strategy. EBIT and EBITDA margins have declined compared to the previous year, reflecting potential operational inefficiencies or increased competition.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19, indicating prudent leverage management. Return on equity is strong at 15.20%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio of 18.15% suggests a stable capital structure, though there is room to increase equity to enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Trisura Group Ltd exhibits impressive free cash flow growth of 24,618.18% in the TTM period, highlighting significant improvements in cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, indicating efficient conversion of profits into cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is unavailable, which could provide additional insights into cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.21B3.22B2.84B2.06B349.88M226.63M
Gross Profit1.62B197.19M2.84B2.06B349.88M226.63M
EBITDA168.52M163.19M94.49M38.39M86.01M43.22M
Net Income121.46M118.92M66.94M27.80M62.56M32.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.64B4.59B3.58B4.28B3.00B1.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.52B1.36B611.52M1.17B341.32M136.52M
Total Debt157.97M107.57M84.70M86.74M84.68M36.35M
Total Liabilities3.80B3.81B2.97B3.80B2.64B1.42B
Stockholders Equity843.02M785.27M619.43M493.65M358.79M289.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow314.17M115.89M257.20M148.80M303.39M82.05M
Operating Cash Flow317.11M119.73M257.91M150.93M306.85M83.34M
Investing Cash Flow-493.36M-471.81M-117.34M-241.99M-148.65M-94.40M
Financing Cash Flow34.23M22.04M48.06M141.59M45.15M63.63M

Trisura Group Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price41.10
Price Trends
50DMA
42.75
Negative
100DMA
39.93
Positive
200DMA
38.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.48
Positive
RSI
41.13
Neutral
STOCH
30.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TSU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 41.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.11, below the 50-day MA of 42.75, and above the 200-day MA of 38.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TSU.

Trisura Group Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
C$1.95B16.1615.79%5.02%34.52%
68
Neutral
$17.86B12.0210.34%3.75%9.68%0.49%
$985.18M10.355.38%6.07%
61
Neutral
C$964.61M12.73-5.18%469.58%-150.58%
60
Neutral
C$2.89B15.7324.57%6.79%13.53%-19.41%
$2.43B12.3623.77%2.49%
$800.08M7.3111.83%4.27%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TSU
Trisura Group Ltd
41.10
-0.60
-1.44%
LRCDF
Laurentian Bank
22.28
3.48
18.51%
TSE:FN
First National Financial
48.17
12.84
36.34%
TSE:WED
Westaim
28.75
5.05
21.31%
EHMEF
goeasy
151.26
15.78
11.65%
SGCFF
Sagicor Financial
5.90
1.93
48.61%

Trisura Group Ltd Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Trisura Group Achieves 21% Growth in Q2 2025 with Surety Expansion
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Trisura Group Ltd. reported a strong financial performance in the second quarter of 2025, with a 21% growth in book value per share and significant progress in its surety expansion. The company achieved an operating return on equity of 17.8% and operating net income of $33.3 million, driven by growth in primary lines and increased investment income. The surety platform saw a 60.7% growth in quarterly premiums, enhancing Trisura’s capacity to underwrite in the US and Canada. The company’s strong underwriting and investment returns contributed to a new record book value of $843 million, positioning it well for continued growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TSU) stock is a Buy with a C$51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trisura Group Ltd stock, see the TSE:TSU Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Trisura Group Ltd. Schedules Q2 2025 Results Release and Conference Call
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

Trisura Group Ltd., a leading specialty insurance provider, announced the release schedule for its second quarter 2025 results and the timing of its earnings conference call. The results will be made public after market close on August 7, 2025, with a conference call for analysts and investors scheduled for the following day. This announcement provides stakeholders with a timeline for when they can expect to receive updates on the company’s financial performance, which is crucial for assessing its market position and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TSU) stock is a Buy with a C$51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trisura Group Ltd stock, see the TSE:TSU Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Trisura Group Ltd. Announces Shareholder Meeting Results
Positive
Jun 27, 2025

Trisura Group Ltd. announced the results of its virtual annual and special meeting of shareholders, where all nine nominees proposed for election to the board of directors were successfully elected. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support for the current management and board, potentially reinforcing the company’s strategic direction and stability in the specialty insurance market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TSU) stock is a Buy with a C$51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trisura Group Ltd stock, see the TSE:TSU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025