tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Trisura Group Ltd (TSE:TSU)
TSX:TSU

Trisura Group Ltd (TSU) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
143 Followers

Top Page

TS

Trisura Group Ltd

(TSX:TSU)

78Outperform
Trisura Group Ltd demonstrates strong financial health and strategic growth initiatives, particularly in the U.S. market, supporting a positive outlook. While technical indicators show momentum, valuation remains fair, and challenges in profitability and cash flow conversion need addressing. The positive earnings call and corporate events further bolster confidence in the stock's potential.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Trisura Specialty net premium earned growth showed solid performance with a 21% increase.
Revenue Growth
Net premiums earned, a better indicator of revenue growth, was up an impressive 87% year-over-year.
Valuation
Valuation is seen as attractive with a 2.2x for a 17-18% ROE.
Negative Factors
Adverse Claims
U.S. Programs experienced weaker net underwriting income due to adverse weather-related claims and some reserve development.
Operating Expenses
Higher corporate expenses and a higher tax rate were the main contributors to the EPS miss.
Underwriting Income
Modestly weaker underwriting income as higher combined ratio (85.2% versus our perhaps aggressive 81.5% estimate) more than offsets positive impact of better net premium earned.

Trisura Group Ltd (TSU) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Trisura Group Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrisura Group Ltd (TSU) is a specialty insurance provider headquartered in Canada with operations in both Canada and the United States. The company focuses on providing a range of insurance products and services, including surety, risk solutions, corporate insurance, and reinsurance. Trisura aims to offer innovative and comprehensive insurance solutions tailored to meet the specific needs of its clients across various industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrisura Group Ltd generates revenue primarily through underwriting and issuing insurance policies and collecting premiums from its clients. The company's key revenue streams include surety bonds, which provide a financial guarantee of performance or compliance, and various forms of corporate insurance products such as directors and officers liability insurance, professional liability insurance, and property and casualty insurance. Trisura also generates income through its reinsurance segment, in which it assumes risk from other insurance companies in exchange for a portion of the premium income. The company's earnings are further influenced by investment income derived from the management of premiums collected until claims are paid out. Significant partnerships with brokers and agents who distribute their products also play a crucial role in driving Trisura's revenue growth.

Trisura Group Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trisura Group Ltd exhibits strong revenue growth and prudent leverage. However, challenges in converting income to cash and improving net profitability remain.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Trisura Group Ltd has demonstrated strong revenue growth with the latest TTM revenue at 1806.04M, significantly up from the previous period. The gross profit margin is impressive, showing efficient management of costs. However, the net profit margin has decreased, indicating rising expenses or lower profitability relative to revenue. EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect a solid operational performance, but the decrease in net income suggests room for improvement in managing non-operational costs or taxes.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy equity ratio, showing a strong asset base supported by equity. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, reflecting prudent leverage use, which mitigates financial risk. ROE indicates that the company is generating reasonable returns on equity, although there is potential for enhancing shareholder value further. The balance sheet reflects stability with sufficient liquidity, but continued focus on increasing equity returns is advisable.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow has seen a decline in the most recent period, impacting the cash flow score negatively. Free cash flow remains positive, but its growth rate has slowed. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting that a significant portion of reported income is not translating into cash. Improving cash conversion and managing capital expenditures effectively will be crucial to enhancing cash flow robustness.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
778.83M2.84B526.10M349.88M226.63M
Gross Profit
778.83M2.84B526.10M349.88M226.63M
EBIT
158.49M2.83B38.08M80.44M39.48M
EBITDA
163.19M94.49M38.39M86.01M43.22M
Net Income Common Stockholders
118.92M66.94M27.80M62.56M32.44M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.36B611.52M1.17B341.32M136.52M
Total Assets
4.59B3.58B4.28B3.00B1.71B
Total Debt
107.57M84.70M86.74M84.68M36.35M
Net Debt
-162.80M-519.32M-319.63M-256.64M-100.17M
Total Liabilities
3.81B2.97B3.80B2.64B1.42B
Stockholders Equity
785.27M619.43M483.29M358.79M289.86M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
115.89M257.20M148.80M303.39M82.05M
Operating Cash Flow
119.73M257.91M150.93M306.85M83.34M
Investing Cash Flow
-471.81M-117.34M-241.99M-148.65M-94.40M
Financing Cash Flow
22.04M48.06M141.59M45.15M63.63M

Trisura Group Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price36.08
Price Trends
50DMA
34.25
Positive
100DMA
35.03
Positive
200DMA
38.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.90
Positive
RSI
51.67
Neutral
STOCH
41.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TSU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 36.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.11, above the 50-day MA of 34.25, and below the 200-day MA of 38.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:TSU.

Trisura Group Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSTSU
78
Outperform
C$1.77B15.9015.04%9.35%22.59%
TSGSY
75
Outperform
$2.55B9.6623.56%3.44%18.04%2.48%
TSSFC
70
Outperform
$1.08B8.3110.10%4.88%34.48%-81.02%
64
Neutral
$12.60B9.737.92%16985.68%12.21%-5.55%
TSWED
61
Neutral
C$1.11B12.73-3.32%100.87%-110.30%
TSFN
57
Neutral
C$2.23B12.7724.01%6.53%13.85%-33.76%
TSLB
54
Neutral
$1.19B-0.24%6.88%-3.68%-111.41%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TSU
Trisura Group Ltd
36.08
-8.33
-18.76%
TSE:GSY
goeasy
143.49
-29.43
-17.02%
TSE:LB
Laurentian Bank
27.25
1.55
6.02%
TSE:WED
Westaim
33.02
9.44
40.03%
TSE:FN
First National Financial
37.84
3.61
10.55%
TSE:SFC
Sagicor Financial
7.92
1.48
22.94%

Trisura Group Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.65%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights Trisura Group's strong growth in primary lines, successful U.S. Surety expansion, and record book value per share. However, challenges such as a slight reduction in GPW and a higher combined ratio were noted. While the highlights indicate significant achievements, the lowlights reflect some areas of concern.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in Primary Lines
Primary lines, including surety, corporate insurance, and warranty, grew 28%, with surety showing particular strength at 38% growth.
Record Book Value per Share
Book value per share grew 24% to a record $17.16, and equity exceeded $819 million, continuing a track record of capital generation.
U.S. Surety Expansion Success
The U.S. Surety platform expanded to 33 state licenses and Washington, D.C., contributing to profitability with a comparable combined ratio to the Canadian practice.
Net Insurance Revenue Increase
Net insurance revenue increased 13%, with a strong combined ratio of 82.7%, indicating profitability across all segments.
Investment Income Growth
Investment income rose 9% to $18.2 million, supported by higher reinvestment yields in the U.S.
Negative Updates
Slight Reduction in Gross Premiums Written (GPW)
GPW was $711 million, reflecting a slight reduction over the prior year due to non-renewed U.S. programs in 2024.
Higher Combined Ratio
The combined ratio was slightly higher than the prior year due to a higher loss ratio from Trisura’s Specialty, reflecting more normalized results from Surety operations.
Market Challenges and Competition
The competitive environment in Canadian fronting and potential economic sensitivity in surety and corporate insurance lines due to broader trade policy and geopolitical volatility.
Company Guidance
During Trisura Group Limited's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance across several metrics, reflecting its strong start to the fiscal year. The call highlighted a 28% growth in primary lines, with particular strength in Surety, which grew 38% as the company expanded its operations in the U.S. and enhanced its Canadian practice. Additionally, the portfolio of ongoing U.S. programs grew by 17%, and net insurance revenue increased by 13%. The combined ratio stood at 82.7%, indicating profitability across all segments. Trisura's book value per share grew by 24% to a record $17.16, and equity exceeded $819 million. Investment income rose 9% to $18.2 million, supported by a $1.6 billion investment-grade bond portfolio. The company expressed confidence in its ability to grow profitably through its conservative approach, maintaining a 10.7% debt-to-capital ratio, and emphasized its strategic focus on scaling U.S. infrastructure. Trisura anticipated premium growth and operating ROE exceeding 15% for 2025, with a goal of achieving $1 billion in book value by the end of 2027.

Trisura Group Ltd Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Trisura Group Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results with Record Book Value
Positive
May 1, 2025

Trisura Group Ltd. reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with an Operating ROE of 18.4% and operating net income of $34.2 million. The company’s growth was driven by a 28.1% increase in Primary lines and a strong underwriting performance, reflected in a combined ratio of 82.7%. Despite a slight decrease in gross premiums written due to non-renewed US programs, Trisura’s book value reached a record $820 million, supported by a conservative debt-to-capital ratio of 10.7%. These results underscore Trisura’s strategic execution and capacity for future growth.

Spark’s Take on TSE:TSU Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:TSU is a Outperform.

Trisura Group Ltd demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability and low leverage, despite revenue challenges. Positive earnings call sentiment and strategic corporate events indicate future growth potential, although valuation is fair. Technical indicators suggest short-term momentum, yet caution is advised due to potential market fluctuations.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:TSU stock, click here.

Financial Disclosures
Trisura Group Ltd. Schedules Q1 2025 Results Release and Conference Call
Neutral
Apr 24, 2025

Trisura Group Ltd., a leading specialty insurance provider, has announced the release date for its first quarter 2025 results, which will be available after market close on May 1, 2025. The company will also host an earnings conference call on May 2, 2025, featuring key executives to discuss the financial results, providing insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction.

Spark’s Take on TSE:TSU Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:TSU is a Outperform.

Trisura Group Ltd demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability and low leverage, despite revenue challenges. Positive earnings call sentiment and strategic corporate events indicate future growth potential, although valuation is fair. Technical indicators suggest short-term momentum, yet caution is advised due to potential market fluctuations.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:TSU stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Trisura Group Achieves Record Annual Results and Expands US Market Presence
Positive
Feb 13, 2025

Trisura Group Ltd. reported record-breaking annual financial results for 2024, with operating net income reaching $135.8 million. The company’s growth was driven by strong underwriting, increased net investment income, and strategic expansion in the US market. Despite challenges from non-renewed US programs, Trisura achieved significant increases in book value and net income. The company’s financial health is underscored by a conservative debt-to-capital ratio, supporting its capacity for further growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.