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Telesat Corp (TSE:TSAT)
TSX:TSAT
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Telesat Corp (TSAT) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TSAT

Telesat Corp

(TSX:TSAT)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$31.00
▲(1.11% Upside)
Telesat Corp's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which shows significant profitability challenges and high leverage. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are weak due to negative earnings. While the earnings call and corporate events provide some positive insights, they are overshadowed by the company's financial difficulties.

Telesat Corp (TSAT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Telesat Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTelesat Corporation, a satellite operator, provides mission-critical communications services to broadcast, enterprise, and consulting customers worldwide. The company's satellite-based services allow direct-to-home (DTH) service providers to deliver television programming, audio, and information channels directly to customers' homes; and enables broadcasters, cable networks, and DTH service providers to transmit television programming services. It offers value-added services, such as satellite capacity, digital encoding of video channels, authorization, and uplinking and downlinking services; and occasional use services for the broadcast of video news, sports, and live event coverages. The company also provides satellite capacity and end-to-end services, including space segment services and terrestrial facilities for enterprise connectivity, and internet and cellular backhaul; and rural telephony to telecommunications carriers and network services integrators. In addition, it offers broadband communication services to maritime and aeronautical markets comprising commercial airplanes and vessels; services to the U.S. government through government service integrators, and satellite services to the Canadian government; and direct-to-consumer broadband services. Further, the company operates satellite and hybrid satellite/terrestrial networks; and communications services for the oil and gas and mining industries. Additionally, it provides satellite operator services; and consulting services related to space and earth segments, government studies, satellite control, and research and development services. The company offers its services primarily through a direct sales force. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a fleet of 14 in-orbit geostationary satellites and a Canadian payload on the ViaSat-1 satellite. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelesat Corp generates revenue primarily through the leasing of satellite bandwidth and capacity to clients across various industries, including television broadcasters, internet service providers, telecom companies, and government agencies. The company offers managed network services, satellite backhaul solutions, and secure communications for remote and underserved regions. Additionally, Telesat is expanding its revenue streams by developing the Telesat Lightspeed LEO satellite constellation, which aims to provide low-latency, high-speed internet connectivity worldwide. Key partnerships with technology firms and government contracts also contribute significantly to Telesat's earnings.

Telesat Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -8.80%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed outlook for Telesat with significant achievements in debt management and LEO segment performance. However, it faces challenges in revenue decline, particularly in the GEO segment, and uncertainties in debt refinancing. The company maintains a strong cash position but has reduced net income. Overall, the highlights and lowlights appear balanced.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong LEO Segment Performance
Telesat Lightspeed's committed backlog was above CAD 1 billion at the end of the second quarter, showing slight growth adjusted for FX movements. Robust pipeline of opportunities with strong interest from aero and government segments.
Debt Repurchase and Interest Savings
The company repurchased USD 857 million in debt at USD 462 million, achieving interest savings of approximately USD 53 million annually and reducing overall debt by 36%.
Operating Expense Management
Operating expenses decreased by $6 million to $51 million due to higher capitalized engineering costs, lower consulting and share-based compensation costs.
Strong Cash Position
Telesat ended the quarter with CAD 547 million in cash and has $2.2 billion available under funding agreements with the Canadian and Quebec governments.
Positive Foreign Exchange Impact
The company recorded a foreign exchange gain of $115 million in Q2 2025 compared to a loss of $34 million in Q2 2024.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Consolidated revenues decreased by $46 million to $106 million, primarily due to lower rates on renewal of a long-term agreement with a North American direct-to-home customer and reductions in enterprise services.
Decreased Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA decreased by $45 million to $59 million with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 55%.
Challenges in GEO Segment
Revenue decreases in the GEO segment due to lower rates on renewals and reductions in services for certain enterprise customers, particularly in the Indonesian rural broadband program.
Uncertainty in Debt Refinancing
The company has not yet engaged with restricted group debt holders for refinancing, with no clear timeline for conclusion.
Net Income Drop
Net income for the second quarter was $76 million compared to $129 million for the same period in the prior year, driven by lower revenues and smaller gains on debt repurchases.
Company Guidance
During Telesat's Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Call, the company reiterated its 2025 guidance, anticipating full-year revenues between $405 million and $425 million, with adjusted EBITDA projected to range from $170 million to $190 million. Operating expenses for Telesat Lightspeed are expected to be approximately $110 million to $120 million. The company plans capital expenditures between CAD 900 million to CAD 1.1 billion, primarily for Telesat Lightspeed. The call highlighted a slight increase in the committed backlog for Telesat Lightspeed, now over CAD 1 billion, adjusted for currency fluctuations. Telesat ended the quarter with CAD 547 million in cash, maintaining a total leverage ratio of 7.51x under their credit agreements. The company also noted progress in debt refinancing and CFO recruitment.

Telesat Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Telesat Corp faces significant profitability challenges with consistent net losses impacting its financial health. Despite strong gross margins, operational inefficiencies and high leverage pose risks. Cash flow improvements are promising, but strategic actions are needed to enhance profitability and reduce debt levels.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement indicates declining revenue over the years, with a revenue drop of approximately 5% TTM compared to the previous year. Gross profit margin is strong at 85.54% TTM, but the net profit margin is negative due to substantial net losses, worsening from -15.36% to -16.52% TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect negative figures, indicating operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.73, indicating high leverage. However, the equity ratio is 9.94%, suggesting some financial stability. Return on equity is negative due to net losses, but stockholders' equity has increased slightly in recent periods, showing some resilience.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a substantial improvement in free cash flow, turning positive in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.42 TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to net losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is only 0.51, reflecting challenges in converting revenue to free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue535.62M571.04M704.16M759.17M758.21M820.47M
Gross Profit458.18M533.07M665.65M705.16M728.00M787.10M
EBITDA-104.53M67.02M1.14B394.71M626.05M634.74M
Net Income-88.50M-87.72M157.12M-80.12M157.76M244.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.13B6.95B6.27B6.48B6.37B5.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments798.06M552.63M1.67B1.68B1.45B818.83M
Total Debt3.35B3.13B3.23B3.85B3.79B3.22B
Total Liabilities4.68B4.45B3.88B4.64B4.67B4.12B
Stockholders Equity708.62M710.28M661.92M480.37M416.52M1.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow45.48M-2.39M29.58M164.27M260.61M355.35M
Operating Cash Flow125.80M62.46M169.09M228.85M296.39M371.68M
Investing Cash Flow-1.30B-1.09B211.93M74.00K-272.86M-92.23M
Financing Cash Flow164.58M-170.20M-354.65M-104.86M605.24M-450.24M

Telesat Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price30.66
Price Trends
50DMA
31.39
Negative
100DMA
27.62
Positive
200DMA
25.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.66
Positive
RSI
43.62
Neutral
STOCH
24.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TSAT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 30.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.02, below the 50-day MA of 31.39, and above the 200-day MA of 25.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:TSAT.

Telesat Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
€1.69B12.241.59%3.67%2.96%-106.86%
49
Neutral
$455.69M8.35-14.04%-24.21%-440.28%
46
Neutral
C$38.24M24.42-5.22%5.56%-51.54%-164.01%
$249.16K
68
Neutral
C$251.66M68.051.61%2.13%9.13%-77.24%
43
Neutral
C$2.84M27.31%-33.92%96.67%
41
Neutral
C$6.73M
48.22%54.09%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TSAT
Telesat Corp
30.66
18.16
145.28%
TSE:CMI
C-Com Satellite Systems
0.90
-0.28
-23.73%
TSE:MMAX
Metamaterial
0.25
-0.75
-75.00%
TSE:LTE
Lite Access Technologies
0.08
0.00
0.00%
TSE:NVI
Novra Technologies
0.08
0.05
166.67%
TSE:VCM
Vecima Networks
10.30
-9.86
-48.91%

Telesat Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Telesat Reports Decline in Revenue Amid Strategic Progress
Negative
Aug 6, 2025

Telesat Corporation reported a significant decrease in revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the quarter and six months ending June 30, 2025, compared to the previous year. The decline was attributed to a lower rate on a long-term agreement with a North American television customer, reductions in services for other customers, and lower LEO consulting revenues. Despite these challenges, Telesat is making progress with its Telesat Lightspeed project, maintaining a backlog of over $1 billion, and continues to focus on expanding opportunities across its target segments.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TSAT) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telesat Corp stock, see the TSE:TSAT Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Telesat Corporation Reports 2025 AGM Results, Reinforces Strategic Direction
Positive
Jun 19, 2025

Telesat Corporation announced the results of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where shareholders approved all business items, including the appointment of Deloitte LLP as auditors and the election of director nominees. This meeting underscores the company’s stable governance and ongoing commitment to its strategic goals, potentially reinforcing its industry position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TSAT) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telesat Corp stock, see the TSE:TSAT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 13, 2025