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Telesat Corp (TSE:TSAT)
TSX:TSAT
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Telesat Corp (TSAT) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TSAT

Telesat Corp

(TSX:TSAT)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
C$34.00
▼(-5.29% Downside)
Telesat Corp's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance and valuation concerns. The company's significant financial challenges, including declining revenue, high leverage, and weak cash generation, are major risks. The technical analysis suggests a neutral to slightly bearish outlook, while the negative P/E ratio highlights valuation issues. Despite some positive developments in the LEO segment, the overall outlook remains cautious.
Positive Factors
LEO Segment Progress
Advancements in the LEO segment indicate Telesat's commitment to innovation and potential market expansion, enhancing long-term growth prospects.
Capital Structure Optimization
Optimizing capital structure can improve financial flexibility and access to financing, supporting sustainable growth and strategic initiatives.
Debt Reduction
Successful debt reduction enhances financial health by lowering interest expenses, freeing up resources for investment and growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue indicates challenges in maintaining customer contracts, which could impact long-term financial stability and growth.
High Leverage
High leverage poses risks to financial stability, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Weak Cash Generation
Weak cash generation limits the ability to fund operations and investments, posing a threat to long-term sustainability and growth.

Telesat Corp (TSAT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Telesat Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTelesat Corporation, a satellite operator, provides mission-critical communications services to broadcast, enterprise, and consulting customers worldwide. The company's satellite-based services allow direct-to-home (DTH) service providers to deliver television programming, audio, and information channels directly to customers' homes; and enables broadcasters, cable networks, and DTH service providers to transmit television programming services. It offers value-added services, such as satellite capacity, digital encoding of video channels, authorization, and uplinking and downlinking services; and occasional use services for the broadcast of video news, sports, and live event coverages. The company also provides satellite capacity and end-to-end services, including space segment services and terrestrial facilities for enterprise connectivity, and internet and cellular backhaul; and rural telephony to telecommunications carriers and network services integrators. In addition, it offers broadband communication services to maritime and aeronautical markets comprising commercial airplanes and vessels; services to the U.S. government through government service integrators, and satellite services to the Canadian government; and direct-to-consumer broadband services. Further, the company operates satellite and hybrid satellite/terrestrial networks; and communications services for the oil and gas and mining industries. Additionally, it provides satellite operator services; and consulting services related to space and earth segments, government studies, satellite control, and research and development services. The company offers its services primarily through a direct sales force. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a fleet of 14 in-orbit geostationary satellites and a Canadian payload on the ViaSat-1 satellite. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelesat generates revenue primarily through the leasing of satellite capacity to commercial and government clients. This includes long-term contracts with telecom operators for broadband services and partnerships with media companies for television distribution. Additionally, Telesat earns income from its data services and managed network solutions. The company has strategic partnerships with various industry players, enhancing its service offerings and market reach. Factors contributing to Telesat's earnings include the increasing demand for high-speed internet access, particularly in remote and underserved areas, and the growing reliance on satellite communications for secure and resilient connectivity.

Telesat Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call revealed a mixed performance for Telesat, with significant progress in the LEO segment and capital structure optimization being overshadowed by decreased revenues, increased operating expenses, and a notable net loss. While there are positive developments, the financial challenges present a balanced outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Progress in LEO Segment
Telesat is making strong progress on the development of satellites, ground infrastructure, and software for its LEO network, with the first launch planned for late next year.
Capital Structure Optimization
In September, Telesat distributed 62% of the equity in Telesat Lightspeed to a wholly-owned subsidiary, aiming to optimize the company's capital structure and enhance financing options.
Successful Debt Reduction
Interest expense in the third quarter decreased by $5 million compared to the same period in 2024, with a cumulative principal amount of debt repurchases at $857 million, resulting in interest savings of approximately $53 million annually.
Partnership and Investment in User Terminal Portfolio
Telesat announced a partnership and investment in Farcast to enhance its planned user terminal portfolio for the Lightspeed constellation.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenues decreased by $37 million to $101 million, primarily due to a lower rate on the renewal of a long-term agreement with a North American direct-to-home customer and the expiration of a separate agreement.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by $12 million to $58 million, attributed to higher Telesat Lightspeed headcount growth and higher legal and professional fees.
Net Loss
Telesat reported a net loss of $121 million in the quarter compared to net income of $68 million in the third quarter of 2024.
Challenges in Indonesian Market
Reductions in services for certain enterprise customers, particularly in the Indonesian rural broadband program, contributed to the revenue decline.
Company Guidance
During Telesat's third quarter 2025 financial results call, the company reaffirmed its guidance for the year, projecting full-year revenues between $405 million and $425 million, adjusted EBITDA ranging from $170 million to $190 million, and capital expenditures between $900 million and $1.1 billion, primarily for the development of Telesat Lightspeed. The guidance assumes a Canadian dollar to U.S. dollar exchange rate of $1.42. Operating expenses for Telesat Lightspeed are anticipated to fall between $75 million and $85 million, reflecting higher capitalized engineering and hiring timing. As of September 30, Telesat had $483 million in cash, with a total leverage ratio of 8.676x, and was in compliance with all credit covenants. Additionally, the company completed its third draw on financing facilities with the Canadian and Quebec governments, bringing the total draw to $540 million.

Telesat Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Telesat Corp faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and profitability, high leverage, and weak cash generation. The negative net profit margin and high debt levels pose risks to financial stability and future growth prospects.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Telesat Corp's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced a decline in revenue over the TTM period, with a negative revenue growth rate of -13.46%. The gross profit margin remains strong at 85.18%, but the net profit margin is negative at -21.04%, indicating profitability issues. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. Overall, the income statement shows declining revenue and profitability, which are concerning for future growth.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet of Telesat Corp highlights high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.71, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is negative at -14.49%, reflecting poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting limited equity financing. The company's high debt levels pose a risk to financial stability, and the negative ROE indicates challenges in generating shareholder value.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Telesat Corp's cash flow statement shows a troubling picture. The free cash flow growth rate is significantly negative at -9285.96%, indicating a substantial decline in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.61, suggesting limited cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.01, highlighting challenges in converting earnings into cash. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects weak cash generation and liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue423.41M571.04M704.16M759.17M758.21M820.47M
Gross Profit360.27M533.07M665.65M705.16M728.00M787.10M
EBITDA-231.87M67.02M1.14B394.71M626.05M678.31M
Net Income-146.18M-87.72M157.12M-80.12M157.76M244.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.93B6.95B6.27B6.48B6.37B5.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments482.61M552.63M1.67B1.68B1.45B818.83M
Total Debt3.31B3.13B3.23B3.88B3.83B3.22B
Total Liabilities4.68B4.45B3.88B4.64B4.67B4.12B
Stockholders Equity667.02M710.28M661.92M480.37M416.52M1.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-119.05M-2.39M29.58M164.27M260.61M355.35M
Operating Cash Flow95.22M62.46M169.09M228.85M296.39M371.68M
Investing Cash Flow-1.10B-1.09B211.93M74.00K-272.86M-92.23M
Financing Cash Flow376.36M-170.20M-354.65M-104.86M605.24M-450.24M

Telesat Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.90
Price Trends
50DMA
39.41
Negative
100DMA
35.83
Positive
200DMA
30.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.52
Negative
RSI
45.50
Neutral
STOCH
72.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TSAT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.69, below the 50-day MA of 39.41, and above the 200-day MA of 30.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TSAT.

Telesat Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
54
Neutral
C$239.74M-12.17-8.77%2.26%-11.70%-199.55%
47
Neutral
C$2.30M6.63-16.93%
46
Neutral
C$33.81M-4.10%1.56%-46.11%-149.26%
41
Neutral
$531.61M-21.63%-25.79%-413.48%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TSAT
Telesat Corp
35.90
17.65
96.71%
TSE:CMI
C-Com Satellite Systems
0.80
-0.44
-35.48%
TSE:NVI
Novra Technologies
0.06
-0.02
-25.00%
TSE:VCM
Vecima Networks
9.86
-6.85
-40.99%

Telesat Corp Corporate Events

Telesat’s Earnings Call: Mixed Results with LEO Progress
Nov 6, 2025

The recent earnings call for Telesat Corporation painted a picture of mixed performance, highlighting both significant advancements and financial challenges. While the company made notable strides in its LEO segment and capital structure optimization, these were tempered by decreased revenues, increased operating expenses, and a substantial net loss, resulting in a balanced outlook for the firm.

Telesat Corporation Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 5, 2025

Telesat Corporation is a leading global satellite operator known for its innovative solutions in the telecommunications sector, providing critical connectivity services worldwide. The company recently released its financial results for the quarter and nine months ending September 30, 2025, highlighting significant developments and financial metrics.

Telesat Corporation Releases Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Telesat Corporation released its quarterly report for the three and nine-month periods ending September 30, 2025. The report, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, includes certifications from the CEO and CFO, highlighting the company’s commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance. This release is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and operational status, which are crucial for assessing its market position and future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TSAT) stock is a Hold with a C$43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telesat Corp stock, see the TSE:TSAT Stock Forecast page.

Telesat Reports Financial Decline Amid Strategic Changes
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Telesat announced its financial results for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2025. The company reported a 27% decrease in revenue for both periods compared to 2024, primarily due to lower rates and expired agreements with North American customers. Operating expenses increased by 26% for the quarter, driven by higher legal fees and LEO headcount growth. Telesat also reported a net loss of $121 million for the quarter, compared to a net income of $68 million in 2024, due to lower revenue and foreign exchange losses. The company distributed 62% of the equity in Telesat Lightspeed to an indirect subsidiary and appointed Donald Tremblay as CFO in August 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TSAT) stock is a Hold with a C$43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telesat Corp stock, see the TSE:TSAT Stock Forecast page.

Telesat Completes Major Equity Distribution of Lightspeed Business
Sep 12, 2025

On September 12, 2025, Telesat announced the completion of a significant equity distribution, transferring 62% of the equity of its Telesat Lightspeed business to an indirect subsidiary wholly owned by Telesat Canada’s parent entities. This transaction does not affect the company’s operations, but it marks a strategic move in managing its business structure, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TSAT) stock is a Hold with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telesat Corp stock, see the TSE:TSAT Stock Forecast page.

Telesat Appoints Donald Tremblay as New CFO
Aug 27, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Telesat Corporation announced the appointment of Donald Tremblay as its new Chief Financial Officer, effective October 20, 2025. Tremblay, who brings over 35 years of financial expertise, will succeed Andrew Browne, who is retiring. Tremblay’s extensive experience in financial leadership and capital markets is expected to support Telesat’s growth plans and enhance its market position. The transition marks a pivotal moment for Telesat as it continues to innovate and expand its satellite services, with implications for stakeholders as the company aims to deliver high-quality services and create significant value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TSAT) stock is a Sell with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telesat Corp stock, see the TSE:TSAT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025