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Triumph Gold (TSE:TIG)
:TIG

Triumph Gold (TIG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TIG

Triumph Gold

(TIG)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.79
▲(25.71% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (minimal revenue, recurring losses, and ongoing cash burn). Technical conditions are comparatively strong with an upward trend and positive momentum, while valuation remains constrained by negative earnings. The recent private placement modestly improves funding runway but underscores continued dependence on financing.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Zero reported TTM debt materially reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk for an exploration company. Low leverage provides flexibility to fund drilling and technical programs from equity or modest financing, preserving solvency while projects advance over the medium term.
Focused Exploration Business Model
A clear, disciplined exploration mandate concentrates capital on defining resources and de‑risking projects via geology, geochemistry and drilling. This model can generate long-term value if discoveries are made, aligning spending with milestone-driven de‑risking over months to years.
Positive Equity Trend
Improving shareholder equity provides a balance‑sheet cushion against continued exploration losses. A stronger equity base supports solvency and underpins the company’s ability to sustain multi‑period exploration programs without immediate liquidation risk.
Negative Factors
Absence of Revenue
Lack of recurring revenue means the business cannot self‑fund operations or demonstrate operating leverage. Persistent net losses erode equity over time and force reliance on capital markets, making long‑term project development contingent on external funding availability.
Negative Cash Generation
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow indicate ongoing cash burn from exploration activities. This structural cash outflow pattern constrains project timelines, increases dilution risk from frequent raises, and limits ability to scale operations without fresh capital.
Dependence on External Financing
Regular recourse to equity financing ties the company’s pace of exploration to capital‑market access and creates dilution risk for shareholders. Dependence on placements may limit strategic flexibility if market conditions deteriorate, impacting long‑term project advancement.

Triumph Gold (TIG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Triumph Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTriumph Gold Corp., a junior natural resource company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties. The company explores for gold, silver, copper, molybdenum, stungsten, lead, and zinc deposits. Its flagship project is the Freegold Mountain project located in Yukon, Canada. The company was formerly known as Northern Freegold Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Triumph Gold Corp. in January 2017. Triumph Gold Corp. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyTriumph Gold makes money primarily through the exploration and development of its mineral properties, with a focus on identifying and advancing gold and copper resources. The company's revenue model is centered around increasing the value of its properties through exploration and drilling activities, which can lead to increased resource estimates and potential partnerships or joint ventures with larger mining companies. Triumph Gold may also generate revenue through the sale of its properties or by entering into royalty agreements. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships, such as option agreements, that provide funding and share exploration costs while retaining interest in its projects. As a junior mining company, Triumph Gold relies heavily on raising capital through equity financing to fund its exploration activities until its projects reach a stage where they can generate revenue through production or asset sales.

Triumph Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are weak: revenue is largely absent and losses are persistent, with ongoing negative operating and free cash flow (cash burn). The balance sheet is a relative positive with minimal-to-zero debt and positive equity, but negative returns and continued cash outflows remain the dominant risk.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Financial performance is very weak: revenue is effectively absent in most periods (including TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), while losses are persistent and sizable (TTM net loss of about $2.5M; 2024 net loss about $0.7M). Profitability is structurally negative with negative gross profit in multiple years, indicating limited operating scale and ongoing cost pressure. A relative positive is that losses are meaningfully smaller than 2020–2021 levels, but the business still lacks a consistent revenue base to demonstrate operating leverage.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet is a clear strength versus the income statement: debt is minimal-to-zero in recent periods (TTM total debt reported at $0), resulting in very low leverage and reduced refinancing risk. Equity remains positive and has improved from 2024 to TTM, supporting solvency. The main weakness is value creation: returns on equity are consistently negative (TTM return on equity around -0.68), reflecting ongoing losses that can continue to erode equity over time if not funded externally.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is weak, with negative operating cash flow and negative free cash flow across all periods (TTM operating cash flow about -$1.6M; TTM free cash flow about -$1.9M). Cash burn improved significantly in 2024 versus 2023, but TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) burn has re-accelerated, pointing to renewed spending or working-capital pressure. While free cash flow is not worse than net income (free cash flow to net income is above 1x), that largely reflects losses being accompanied by ongoing cash outflows rather than strong cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.0021.92K0.000.000.00
Gross Profit-2.72K-4.15K13.87K-85.47K-111.90K-66.16K
EBITDA-2.50M-735.41K-1.18M-1.33M-5.02M-4.96M
Net Income-2.51M-741.32K-1.19M-1.52M-5.15M-5.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.15M3.82M4.02M3.70M3.92M7.97M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.99K2.41K193.48K2.75K41.68K4.27M
Total Debt0.000.000.00662.00106.22K198.47K
Total Liabilities568.02K815.44K308.31K2.53M1.22M453.07K
Stockholders Equity3.58M3.01M3.71M1.17M2.69M7.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.89M-213.31K-2.88M-388.51K-4.26M-3.31M
Operating Cash Flow-1.60M-213.31K-2.73M-378.56K-4.06M-3.23M
Investing Cash Flow-285.70K-12.76K-147.49K-9.94K-192.67K-80.89K
Financing Cash Flow1.90M35.00K3.07M349.57K30.90K6.65M

Triumph Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.63
Price Trends
50DMA
0.56
Positive
100DMA
0.44
Positive
200DMA
0.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
55.89
Neutral
STOCH
51.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TIG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.66, above the 50-day MA of 0.56, and above the 200-day MA of 0.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TIG.

Triumph Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
C$41.79M-14.00-72.48%-204.88%
52
Neutral
C$21.64M-7.34-468.03%13.49%
50
Neutral
C$55.40M-24.63-25.92%44.28%
47
Neutral
C$17.49M-35.7130.00%
45
Neutral
C$36.04M-23.85-494.44%-18.18%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TIG
Triumph Gold
0.70
0.43
159.26%
TSE:BVA
Bravada Gold
0.10
0.07
185.71%
TSE:DAU
Desert Gold Ventures
0.08
0.02
23.08%
TSE:EMNT
Eminent Gold Corp.
0.66
0.22
48.31%
TSE:TNR
TNR Gold Corp (new)
0.16
0.11
244.44%
TSE:AUX
Golden Cross Resources
0.32
0.18
133.58%

Triumph Gold Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Triumph Gold Corp. Completes $1.9 Million Private Placement
Positive
Nov 27, 2025

Triumph Gold Corp. has successfully closed a non-brokered private placement, raising $1,937,000 through the issuance of 6,456,664 units at $0.30 per unit. The funds will be used for general working capital and further exploration of the Freegold Mountain Project. The placement includes common shares and warrants, with a portion purchased by Executive Chair John Anderson, constituting a related party transaction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025