Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$7.93B
• Dividend Yield: 0.78%
• Average Volume (3M): 223.38K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 32.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.96
• Revenue Growth: 43.27%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: CA
• Employees: 13
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Other Precious Metals
• EPS (TTM): 0.34
• Shares Outstanding: 206,495,360
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 163,418
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 223,382
• PEG Ratio: 0.81
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.74
• Price to Sales (P/S): 11.24
• P/FCF Ratio: 19.38
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$48.16
• Price Target Upside: 20.28% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 73 Outperform
• Price Target: C$43.00 ▲(7.39% Upside)

Triple Flag Precious Metals scores well due to its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, highlighting robust growth and strategic investments. However, technical analysis and valuation metrics indicate potential risks, with the stock appearing overvalued and lacking short-term momentum. Legal and operational challenges also pose risks, tempering the overall score.

Positive Factors

Strong Financial Performance

Triple Flag's record GEOs and adjusted EBITDA highlight its strong financial performance, indicating robust operational efficiency and profitability.

Balance Sheet Health

With nearly zero net debt and $1 billion in liquidity, Triple Flag shows strong financial stability, supporting future growth and investment opportunities.

Strategic Investments

Investments in diverse projects enhance Triple Flag's growth potential and revenue streams, positioning it well for long-term success in the mining sector.

Negative Factors

Legal Proceedings

Ongoing legal proceedings with Steppe Gold could lead to financial uncertainties, impacting cash flow and diverting management focus from core operations.

Operational Challenges

Challenges at Minera Florida, including lower-grade ore issues, could affect production targets and revenue, highlighting potential operational risks.

Gross Profit Margin Pressure

Decreasing gross profit margins suggest rising costs or pricing pressures, which may impact long-term profitability if not addressed.

Triple Flag Precious Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., a gold-focused streaming and royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing precious metals and other streams and royalties in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the United States. The company has a portfolio of streams and royalties providing exposure primarily to gold and silver. It has 78 assets, including 9 streams and 69 royalties. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. is a subsidiary of Triple Flag Mining Elliott and Management Co-Invest LP.

How the Company Makes Money

Triple Flag Precious Metals generates revenue primarily through its streaming and royalty agreements with mining companies. In a streaming agreement, TFPM provides upfront capital to a mining company in exchange for the right to purchase a percentage of the mine's future production at a predetermined price, typically below market value. The company earns revenue as the mines produce and deliver the precious metals. Additionally, through royalty agreements, TFPM receives a percentage of the revenue generated from the sale of metals produced by the mines, which creates a steady income stream with minimal operational risk. Key revenue streams for TFPM include payments from active mines in their portfolio, along with any potential new streams or royalties established through partnerships or acquisitions in the mining sector. Collaborations with established mining companies and strategic investments in high-potential mining projects further contribute to TFPM's earnings potential.

Triple Flag Precious Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Triple Flag Precious Metals demonstrates strong financial health with impressive profitability and growth metrics. The company benefits from low leverage and efficient cash flow management. While there are minor concerns regarding gross profit margins and free cash flow volatility, the overall financial position is robust, positioning the company well for future growth.

Income Statement

Triple Flag Precious Metals shows strong revenue growth with a 10.39% increase in TTM, and a robust net profit margin of 53.09%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also impressive at 56.86% and 108.88% respectively, indicating high operational efficiency. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, suggesting potential cost pressures.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0009, reflecting minimal leverage and strong financial stability. The return on equity is healthy at 9.83%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a solid capital structure.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow is strong with a high coverage ratio of 9.18, and free cash flow has grown by 20.66%. The free cash flow to net income ratio is solid at 0.55, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, fluctuations in free cash flow in previous years suggest potential volatility.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	324.21M	268.99M	204.02M	151.88M	150.42M	112.59M
Gross Profit	216.81M	230.76M	167.18M	87.00M	83.25M	50.10M
EBITDA	351.42M	68.75M	109.19M	118.17M	123.48M	96.16M
Net Income	172.19M	-23.08M	36.28M	55.09M	45.53M	55.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.85B	1.77B	1.89B	1.34B	1.30B	1.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	86.27M	39.26M	23.63M	76.47M	54.34M	48.21M
Total Debt	1.60M	1.69M	59.15M	1.92M	1.13M	276.38M
Total Liabilities	40.58M	34.26M	83.72M	18.55M	8.79M	281.98M
Stockholders Equity	1.81B	1.74B	1.81B	1.32B	1.29B	1.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	145.90M	156.01M	-36.76M	66.10M	68.75M	-645.30M
Operating Cash Flow	267.24M	213.50M	154.14M	118.38M	120.02M	84.38M
Investing Cash Flow	-124.06M	-81.96M	-212.98M	-48.92M	-48.15M	-651.65M
Financing Cash Flow	-82.41M	-112.60M	5.12M	-38.75M	-51.84M	577.13M

Triple Flag Precious Metals Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 40.04
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TFPM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.04, below the 50-day MA of 40.20, and above the 200-day MA of 32.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TFPM.

Triple Flag Precious Metals Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TFPM	73 Outperform	C$7.93B	32.09	11.27%	0.78%	43.27%	―
EMPR	70 Outperform	$114.18M	21.65	20.32%	―	224.65%	―
VOXR	69 Neutral	$387.52M	―	-4.19%	1.27%	-9.25%	-2386.36%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
GMIN	53 Neutral	$6.38B	39.39	16.17%	―	―	―
SLS	31 Underperform	$1.46B	-15.43	―	―	―	-28.38%

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corporate Events

Triple Flag Announces Q4 2025 Dividend

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. has announced a cash dividend of US$0.0575 per common share for Q4 2025, payable on December 15, 2025, to shareholders recorded by December 1, 2025. This dividend declaration reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to delivering shareholder value and may enhance its attractiveness to investors by providing a steady income stream.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TFPM) stock is a Buy with a C$44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Triple Flag Precious Metals stock, see the TSE:TFPM Stock Forecast page.

Triple Flag Announces Q4 2025 Dividend

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. has announced a cash dividend of US$0.0575 per common share for the fourth quarter of 2025, payable on December 15, 2025, to shareholders on record as of December 1, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and could enhance its attractiveness to investors seeking stable returns in the precious metals market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TFPM) stock is a Buy with a C$44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Triple Flag Precious Metals stock, see the TSE:TFPM Stock Forecast page.

Triple Flag Achieves Record Cash Flow Amid Strategic Acquisitions

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. reported record operating cash flow per share for Q3 2025, driven by strategic acquisitions and a strong performance across its portfolio. The company has deployed over $350 million in capital this year, acquiring royalties and streams in significant projects, which positions it well in the current high gold price environment. The announcement reflects Triple Flag’s robust financial health and its strategic focus on expanding its asset base, benefiting stakeholders through increased dividends and a strong balance sheet.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TFPM) stock is a Buy with a C$44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Triple Flag Precious Metals stock, see the TSE:TFPM Stock Forecast page.

Triple Flag Reports Strong Q3 2025 Revenue and New Mine Productions

Triple Flag Precious Metals announced a strong financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, reporting revenue of $93.5 million from the sale of 27,037 gold equivalent ounces. The company remains on track to meet its annual guidance, benefiting from record gold prices and the commencement of production at Johnson Camp Mine and Tres Quebradas. These developments are expected to enhance the company’s portfolio and deliver long-term value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TFPM) stock is a Buy with a C$35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Triple Flag Precious Metals stock, see the TSE:TFPM Stock Forecast page.

Triple Flag’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment with strong financial performances and strategic acquisitions setting the stage for future growth. However, the call was not without its concerns, particularly regarding payment arrears from Steppe Gold and potential production declines anticipated in 2026.

Triple Flag Precious Metals Boosts Quarterly Dividend by 5%

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. has announced a 5% increase in its quarterly dividend, raising it to US$0.0575 per common share, to be paid on September 15, 2025. This marks the fourth consecutive annual increase since its IPO in 2021, reflecting the company’s consistent financial growth and commitment to returning value to shareholders. The increase in dividends underscores Triple Flag’s robust performance in the precious metals market, potentially enhancing its attractiveness to investors and strengthening its position within the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TFPM) stock is a Buy with a C$30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Triple Flag Precious Metals stock, see the TSE:TFPM Stock Forecast page.

Triple Flag Precious Metals Raises Quarterly Dividend by 5%

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. has announced a 5% increase in its quarterly dividend, raising it to US$0.0575 per common share, to be paid on September 15, 2025. This marks the fourth consecutive annual increase since its IPO in May 2021, reflecting the company’s stable financial performance and commitment to returning value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TFPM) stock is a Buy with a C$30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Triple Flag Precious Metals stock, see the TSE:TFPM Stock Forecast page.

Triple Flag Reports Record Cash Flow and Increases Dividend Amid Strategic Acquisitions

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. reported record operating cash flow per share for Q2 2025 and announced a 5% increase in its quarterly dividend, marking the fourth consecutive annual increase since its IPO. The company completed significant acquisitions, including a 1.0% NSR royalty on the Arthur gold project and a 1.5% GR royalty on the Johnson Camp Mine, enhancing its growth potential and strengthening its market position. These developments are expected to positively impact Triple Flag’s operations, with several projects anticipated to commence production in the latter half of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TFPM) stock is a Buy with a C$30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Triple Flag Precious Metals stock, see the TSE:TFPM Stock Forecast page.