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Surge Copper Corp (TSE:SURG)
:SURG

Surge Copper Corp (SURG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:SURG

Surge Copper Corp

(SURG)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.54
▼(-3.93% Downside)
The score is primarily supported by a strong, low-debt balance sheet and positive technical momentum, but is held back by the lack of revenue, ongoing losses and cash burn, and a negative P/E with no dividend yield support.
Positive Factors
Very low leverage and sizable equity base
A very low debt load and a meaningful equity base provide durable financial flexibility for a development-stage miner. This reduces near-term bankruptcy risk, supports funding PFS/permits without heavy interest burden, and gives management optionality on financing timing and structure.
Drilling advanced project toward Pre-Feasibility Study
Technical progress from targeted infill drilling and validation of historic core raises resource confidence and reduces geologic risk ahead of PFS. This structural advancement moves the company from exploration toward development, improving the project's investability and the quality of future economic models.
Strengthened permitting and regulatory capability
Hiring an experienced regulatory leader with provincial permitting reform experience materially strengthens the company's ability to navigate complex approvals and community engagement. This durable capability can shorten permitting timelines and lower regulatory execution risk for Berg's development.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue with recurring net losses
Operating without revenue and with recurring losses means the business model has not yet proven cash-generation capability. Over months this necessitates continued capital raises or strategic partners, which can dilute shareholders and constrain long-term project funding flexibility until commercial production.
Negative operating and free cash flow
Sustained negative cash flow creates a structural need for external financing to fund PFS, permitting and development. Repeated capital raises can raise cost of capital, dilute existing equity, and force timing or scope changes to the project if markets or financing conditions deteriorate.
Remaining resource and development execution risk
While drilling is positive, a meaningful portion of the deposit remains Inferred and the PFS is not complete. Geological, metallurgical, permitting or geotechnical findings during PFS can materially alter economics; this structural development risk can delay or change capital needs and project viability.

Surge Copper Corp (SURG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Surge Copper Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSurge Copper Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Canada. It explores for copper, gold, silver, and molybdenum deposits. The company holds a 100% interest in the Ootsa property that comprises 138 mineral claims covering 87,574.7 hectares located in central British Columbia; and the Berg Property located in British Columbia. It also owns 2% net smelter return royalty on the Auro and Auro South properties located in British Columbia. The company was formerly known as Gold Reach Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Surge Copper Corp. in February 2018. Surge Copper Corp. was incorporated in 1965 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneySurge Copper Corp generates revenue primarily through the exploration and potential development of its copper and precious metals assets. The company seeks to increase the value of its properties by conducting detailed exploration programs, which can lead to the discovery of economically viable mineral deposits. Once a viable resource is confirmed, Surge Copper can either develop the mining project itself, leading to potential future revenue from copper and metal extraction, or enter into joint ventures or partnerships with larger mining companies. These partnerships can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, or royalties, contributing to the company's earnings. Additionally, the company may raise capital through equity financing to fund its exploration activities, which can also impact its financial standing.

Surge Copper Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: the balance sheet is a clear strength with extremely low leverage and a large equity base, but the company is pre-revenue with persistent losses and ongoing cash burn (negative operating and free cash flow), implying continued reliance on external funding until revenues emerge.
Income Statement
22
Negative
The company remains pre-revenue (revenue is 0 across all periods), with recurring losses. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net loss was about -$2.54M versus -$2.05M in the latest annual period, indicating the loss profile has not yet stabilized. While operating losses have been broadly similar over time, there is no visible top-line trajectory yet, which keeps earnings quality and near-term profitability weak.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative strength: leverage is extremely low (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.0006) and total debt is minimal versus a large equity base (TTM equity ~$61.6M). Assets and equity have also increased versus the prior annual period, supporting financial flexibility. The key weakness is that returns remain negative (TTM return on equity ~-4.6%), reflecting ongoing losses despite a strong capital base.
Cash Flow
34
Negative
Cash generation is negative, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow of about -$0.81M and free cash flow of about -$2.17M, implying continued cash burn to fund operations and investment. Free cash flow deterioration is notable (TTM free cash flow growth is sharply negative), even though the latest annual period showed a smaller cash outflow than some prior years. Overall, cash flow trends suggest continued reliance on external funding until revenues emerge.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-32.23K0.00-36.06K-39.33K-48.79K
EBITDA-2.37M-3.10M-2.58M-1.77M-2.27M
Net Income-2.54M-2.05M-1.73M-2.11M-4.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets67.60M57.02M51.34M50.35M47.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.19M1.88M84.66K2.82M7.82M
Total Debt37.27K51.63K80.37K105.03K126.11K
Total Liabilities6.01M4.57M4.91M5.65M5.75M
Stockholders Equity61.58M52.44M46.43M44.70M41.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.17M-1.95M-859.24K-874.71K-1.60M
Operating Cash Flow-807.56K-1.93M-849.75K-871.36K-1.56M
Investing Cash Flow-4.91M-3.56M-2.03M-8.25M-7.84M
Financing Cash Flow10.23M7.29M144.25K4.12M13.95M

Surge Copper Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.56
Price Trends
50DMA
0.46
Positive
100DMA
0.35
Positive
200DMA
0.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
55.73
Neutral
STOCH
44.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SURG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.58, above the 50-day MA of 0.46, and above the 200-day MA of 0.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SURG.

Surge Copper Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
55
Neutral
C$204.54M-46.43-6.27%-60.92%
53
Neutral
C$193.43M-62.92-4.43%-18.67%
52
Neutral
C$176.02M-73.91-4.06%54.00%
51
Neutral
C$120.60M-0.69-49.48%62.30%
49
Neutral
C$271.56M-1.67-525.71%-4.16%-66.82%
47
Neutral
C$144.46M-17.14-52.53%19.92%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SURG
Surge Copper Corp
0.56
0.47
489.47%
TSE:NILI
Surge Exploration Inc
0.73
0.37
102.78%
TSE:ELBM
Electra Battery Materials Corp
1.25
-0.82
-39.61%
TSE:FPC
Falco Resources
0.51
0.31
148.78%
TSE:FPX
FPX Nickel
0.65
0.42
182.61%
TSE:BCM
Bear Creek Mining
0.79
0.42
113.51%

Surge Copper Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Surge Copper Strengthens Executive Team and Aligns Incentives as Berg Project Advances
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

Surge Copper Corp. has appointed Jennifer Anthony as Vice President, Environment & Regulatory Affairs, adding a senior executive with more than two decades of high-level experience in British Columbia’s public sector, particularly in environmental assessment, permitting, and Indigenous and community engagement for major resource projects. Her expertise in navigating complex regulatory frameworks and leading government-to-government negotiations is expected to strengthen Surge’s ability to advance its flagship Berg Project toward project readiness, support upcoming permitting and engagement milestones, and reinforce the company’s commitment to responsible, sustainable development. In parallel, Surge has granted long-term equity-based incentives under its Share Compensation Plan, issuing over 2.1 million restricted share units to employees and executives and about 1.5 million deferred share units to non-executive directors, aligning management and board interests with long-term shareholder value as the company moves through critical de-risking and development stages.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SURG) stock is a Hold with a C$0.68 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Surge Copper Corp stock, see the TSE:SURG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Surge Copper Advances Berg Project Toward Pre-Feasibility After 2025 Drilling Success
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

Surge Copper has completed its 2025 multidisciplinary drilling and data validation program at the Berg Project, generating key technical information to support an updated mineral resource estimate and a pre-feasibility study planned for 2026. The work included infill drilling on the margins of the deposit to convert Inferred resources to higher-confidence categories, resampling 17 historic core holes with modern QA/QC methods to validate and upgrade the historical dataset, and targeted environmental and geotechnical drilling to inform mine design and permitting. Resampling has revealed a significant silver component in the northwest portion of the deposit, boosting copper-equivalent grades in an area earmarked for resource category conversion, which could enhance future resource estimates and strengthen Berg’s economic and strategic positioning as it advances toward the pre-feasibility stage.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SURG) stock is a Hold with a C$0.59 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Surge Copper Corp stock, see the TSE:SURG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Surge Copper Advances Berg Project with Pre-Feasibility Study
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

Surge Copper Corp has announced the advancement of its Berg Project to the Pre-Feasibility Study (PFS) stage, marking a significant milestone in its development. The PFS will refine the project’s engineering and economic parameters, integrating recent technical data and setting the stage for future mineral reserve declarations and environmental assessments. With the engagement of experienced consultants Ausenco and MMTS, the study is expected to be completed by mid-2026, potentially positioning the project to meet global copper and molybdenum market demands.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026