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Fortune Minerals J (TSE:FT)
TSX:FT

Fortune Minerals (FT) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FT

Fortune Minerals

(TSX:FT)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.12
▲(18.00% Upside)
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance—no revenue, widening losses, accelerating cash burn, and a highly stressed balance sheet with negative equity. Technicals provide partial support as the stock trades above key moving averages, but valuation remains constrained by negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Strategic cobalt-gold-bismuth-copper asset
Owning a development-stage NICO deposit with cobalt, gold, bismuth and copper provides durable exposure to critical and specialty metals. Structural demand for battery and specialty metals supports project optionality and strategic relevance as electrification and supply-security trends persist.
Marked reduction in extreme prior losses
The company’s cumulative loss profile shows a meaningful improvement versus 2022's extreme loss, indicating reduced scale of cash outflows and better cost control. This trend, if sustained, lowers near-term financing pressure and supports longer runway for project development.
Free cash flow less extreme than 2022
Although FCF remains negative, being materially less extreme than the 2022 outflow shows operational de-risking versus that peak. Sustained moderation in cash burn improves financing optionality and reduces immediate dilution risk while management advances permitting and development work.
Negative Factors
No revenue and persistent operating losses
The absence of operating revenue means the company cannot self-fund development; ongoing losses and negative operating cash flow create structural reliance on external financing. Over time this increases dilution risk and can delay project timelines if capital access tightens.
Highly stressed balance sheet; negative equity
Negative equity and debt materially exceeding assets reduce financial flexibility and raise refinancing risk. For a development-stage miner this constrains the company’s ability to secure project financing on favorable terms, potentially slowing permitting and construction timelines.
Accelerating cash burn and worsening FCF trend
Worsening free cash flow across recent years shows rising operational funding needs. Persistent negative operating cash flow forces repeated capital raises or higher borrowing, increasing dilution and interest burden and jeopardizing continuous progress on the NICO development program.

Fortune Minerals (FT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Fortune Minerals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFortune Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and development of specialty metals, base metals, and precious metals in Canada. The company primarily explores for gold, cobalt, bismuth, copper, silver, lead, and zinc deposits. Its primary asset is the NICO gold-cobalt-bismuth-copper project covering an area of 5,140 hectares located in the Northwest Territories. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in London, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFortune Minerals makes money through the exploration, development, and eventual sale of mineral resources extracted from its mining projects. The company's primary revenue streams are anticipated from the sale of cobalt, gold, bismuth, and copper concentrates. These minerals are sold to various industries, including technology, automotive, and renewable energy sectors, where they are used in manufacturing batteries, electronics, and other high-demand products. Additionally, Fortune Minerals may enter into strategic partnerships or off-take agreements with other companies to secure long-term revenue commitments and optimize its supply chain. The company’s earnings are influenced by global commodity prices, operational efficiency, and the successful advancement of its mining projects.

Fortune Minerals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
No revenue with widening losses (TTM net loss -5.39M) and accelerating cash burn (TTM FCF -3.29M). Balance sheet is highly stressed with negative equity (-10.79M) and debt (15.12M) exceeding assets (6.97M), increasing funding and solvency risk.
Income Statement
8
Very Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show no revenue and continued operating losses (EBIT of -2.99M, EBITDA of -4.14M) with a net loss of -5.39M. Losses have generally widened versus 2023–2024 (net loss -2.85M in 2023 and -3.61M in 2024), indicating weakening earnings momentum. A modest positive is that losses in 2022 were far larger (-32.97M), but profitability remains structurally challenged without meaningful revenue generation.
Balance Sheet
6
Very Negative
The balance sheet is highly stressed, with negative equity in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (-10.79M) and total debt of 15.12M against total assets of 6.97M, indicating a thin capital base and elevated refinancing risk. Leverage has deteriorated materially versus 2020–2022 when equity was positive, suggesting cumulative losses have eroded the balance sheet. While debt levels have risen over time, the key weakness is the negative equity position, which reduces financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
10
Very Negative
Cash burn remains significant: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is -2.09M and free cash flow is -3.29M, a clear negative for sustainability absent external funding. Free cash flow has worsened versus 2024 (-1.79M) and 2023 (-1.38M), signaling accelerating cash needs. A relative positive is that free cash flow is not as extreme as the 2022 net loss suggests, but ongoing negative operating cash flow points to continued dilution or borrowing risk.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-67.52K-66.53K-69.86K-58.14K-60.89K-26.42K
EBITDA-4.14M-2.43M-1.48M-360.00K-784.00K-347.00K
Net Income-5.39M-3.61M-2.85M-32.97M-2.41M-1.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.97M4.82M1.56M46.45M78.61M76.34M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.88M1.59M673.63K78.65K1.80M1.08M
Total Debt15.12M12.73M9.50M8.31M13.08M10.34M
Total Liabilities17.76M16.22M10.02M8.57M14.75M12.16M
Stockholders Equity-10.79M-11.40M-8.46M37.87M63.86M64.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.29M-1.79M-1.38M-1.54M-908.04K-614.56K
Operating Cash Flow-2.09M-186.52K-1.21M-1.20M-814.59K-568.22K
Investing Cash Flow-1.21M-1.60M-185.59K-726.33K-1.37M-646.80K
Financing Cash Flow5.31M2.71M1.99M204.32K2.91M189.00K

Fortune Minerals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.10
Price Trends
50DMA
0.09
Positive
100DMA
0.09
Positive
200DMA
0.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
53.83
Neutral
STOCH
63.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.11, above the 50-day MA of 0.09, and above the 200-day MA of 0.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:FT.

Fortune Minerals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
C$94.21M-35.19-4.48%27.68%
51
Neutral
C$56.60M-57.95-3.86%
51
Neutral
C$86.86M-13.85-5.33%16.24%
50
Neutral
C$115.67M-50.41-50.65%62.70%
46
Neutral
C$64.34M-10.78-82.14%
46
Neutral
C$45.73M-63.49-1.60%88.42%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FT
Fortune Minerals
0.11
0.06
120.00%
TSE:LCE
Century Lithium
0.57
0.38
200.00%
TSE:ESK
Eskay Mining
0.62
0.44
235.14%
TSE:NMI
Namibia Critical Metals Inc
0.26
0.22
628.57%
TSE:NKL
Nickel 28 Capital Corp
1.00
0.20
25.00%
TSE:CNRI
Canadian North Resources, Inc.
0.40
-0.62
-60.78%

Fortune Minerals Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Fortune Minerals Boosts NICO Project with Higher-Recovery Cobalt Sulphate Flowsheet
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

Fortune Minerals has completed validation test work on an optimized hydrometallurgical flowsheet for its NICO project, confirming it can produce battery-grade cobalt sulphate heptahydrate with higher metal recoveries and a simplified process. Bench-scale tests at SGS Canada showed improved cobalt, copper, and gold extraction rates compared with a 2008 pilot plant, while also demonstrating that a direct pre-neutralization step can remove nearly all arsenic without cobalt losses, potentially lowering capital and operating costs at the planned Alberta refinery. The resulting cobalt sulphate product met stringent 99.99% purity and impurity specifications from lithium-ion battery manufacturers, reinforcing the NICO project’s potential role as a reliable North American source of critical battery materials, supported by Canadian and U.S. government funding initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FT) stock is a Hold with a C$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortune Minerals stock, see the TSE:FT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Fortune Minerals Acquires Alberta Site for NICO Project Refinery
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

Fortune Minerals has completed the acquisition of a site in Lamont County, Alberta, for C$6 million to construct a hydrometallurgical facility. This facility will process concentrates from the NICO project, which includes a mine and concentrator in the Northwest Territories. The development of the NICO project aims to strengthen North American critical mineral supply chain resilience, providing a reliable source of battery-grade cobalt sulphate, bismuth ingots, and copper cement. The project is strategically positioned to leverage existing infrastructure and expertise in the Alberta Industrial Heartland, enhancing the company’s industry positioning and contributing to supply chain security.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FT) stock is a Buy with a C$0.42 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortune Minerals stock, see the TSE:FT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Fortune Minerals Secures Loan for Alberta Refinery Site Acquisition
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Fortune Minerals has secured a C$3.8 million loan from Prosper NWT to complete the purchase of a refinery site in Alberta, which will host a hydrometallurgical facility for processing concentrates from its NICO Project. This financial support is crucial for advancing the project towards construction, reducing development risks, and enhancing the company’s position in the critical minerals sector, which is vital for Canada’s economy and supply chain security.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FT) stock is a Buy with a C$0.42 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortune Minerals stock, see the TSE:FT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026