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STLLR Gold (TSE:STLR)
TSX:STLR

STLLR Gold (STLR) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:STLR

STLLR Gold

(TSX:STLR)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.50
▼(-14.29% Downside)
The score is most constrained by weak financial performance (no revenue, continued losses and cash burn despite low leverage). Offsetting this are constructive technical trends and supportive corporate events (resource milestone and fresh financing), while valuation remains limited by negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Extremely low leverage gives STLLR financial resilience during the pre-revenue stage, lowering near-term insolvency risk and improving flexibility to time financings or seek partners. This durable strength supports project development despite ongoing operating losses.
Recent project financing
A large, recent C$36.6M financing materially extends runway to advance Hollinger Tailings and other projects, reducing immediate funding pressure. Durable impact: enables continued de-risking, permitting and capital work that can turn resources into cash-generating assets.
Maiden resource milestone
A formal maiden resource is a structural de-risking event: it converts exploration upside into an assessed asset, supports permitting efficiencies for tailings recovery, and improves access to project finance or offtake/joint-venture partners over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue with sizable losses
Persistent, sizable operating and net losses without revenue mean the business model has yet to prove cash generation. Over 2-6 months this structural deficit necessitates external funding and raises execution risk until projects can meaningfully generate revenue or be monetized.
Negative cash generation
Meaningful negative OCF and FCF indicate losses are translating into real cash burn, not just accounting items. This persistent cash outflow forces repeated financing, dilutes shareholders over time, and constrains the company’s ability to fund development or respond to delays.
Eroding returns on equity
A sustained negative ROE shows the equity base is not generating returns and can be eroded by continued losses. Structurally, this weakens investor confidence, raises the cost of capital, and limits ability to attract strategic equity partners or favorable financing terms long-term.

STLLR Gold (STLR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

STLLR Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSTLLR Gold Inc., a gold development company, focuses on the exploration and development of mineral resource properties in Canada. The company explores for gold deposits. Its flagship projects are the Tower gold project, which is located in the Timmins region of Northeastern Ontario; and the Colomac Gold project located on the Indin Lake Property in the Northwest Territories. The company was formerly known as Moneta Gold Inc. and changed its name to STLLR Gold Inc. in February 2024. STLLR Gold Inc. was incorporated in 1910 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMoneta Gold makes money through the exploration and development of gold mining projects. The company's primary revenue model involves discovering and expanding gold mineral resources and eventually bringing these resources into production. Revenue is generated from the sale of gold extracted from its mining operations. Additionally, Moneta Gold may engage in joint ventures or partnerships with other mining companies to share exploration costs and risks, potentially benefiting from shared revenues from these collaborations. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by the market price of gold, operational efficiency, and successful project development and expansion.

STLLR Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pre-revenue profile with continued sizable losses (TTM EBIT about -$10.2M; net loss about -$24.2M) and significant cash burn (TTM FCF about -$24.0M). The key offset is a conservative balance sheet with minimal leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.01) and a sizable equity base, providing flexibility while funding needs persist.
Income Statement
14
Very Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show no revenue and continued operating losses (EBIT of about -$10.2M; net loss about -$24.2M), consistent with an early-stage/pre-production profile. Losses remain sizable and profitability is not yet visible, though the TTM operating loss is smaller than the 2024 annual EBIT loss, indicating some cost improvement. Overall, earnings quality is weak due to the absence of revenue and persistent net losses.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively levered with low debt (TTM total debt about $1.2M) against a sizable equity base (about $101.1M), resulting in very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.01). Assets are predominantly equity-funded, which helps resilience for an exploration-stage miner. The key weakness is ongoing negative returns on equity (TTM ROE about -22%), reflecting continuing losses that can erode the equity base over time if not offset by funding or asset value creation.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is weak with meaningfully negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in TTM (about -$23.7M and -$24.0M, respectively), and free cash flow also declined versus the prior period (negative growth). Cash burn broadly tracks the accounting loss (free cash flow to net income near ~1.0), suggesting losses are translating into real cash outflows rather than being mostly non-cash. The main strength is consistency (cash flow and earnings are directionally aligned), but the clear risk is sustained funding needs until operations generate revenue.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-347.82K-299.13K-106.06K-57.53K-17.62K0.00
EBITDA-33.43M-27.43M-21.46M-23.00M-15.09M-5.79M
Net Income-24.18M-20.98M-16.21M-18.79M-13.54M-4.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets109.12M128.97M68.92M64.65M68.82M8.18M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.51M32.31M12.05M8.34M13.35M5.91M
Total Debt1.22M0.000.0060.00K60.00K60.00K
Total Liabilities8.05M10.45M9.17M9.11M7.08M2.55M
Stockholders Equity101.07M118.53M59.75M55.54M61.74M5.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-24.01M-24.91M-20.30M-20.58M-15.99M-5.00M
Operating Cash Flow-23.71M-24.76M-19.75M-19.90M-13.85M-4.97M
Investing Cash Flow-260.10K21.71M-774.12K-679.55K-2.15M-30.29K
Financing Cash Flow23.54M23.31M24.24M15.61M23.44M6.13M

STLLR Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.75
Price Trends
50DMA
1.61
Negative
100DMA
1.50
Negative
200DMA
1.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
37.86
Neutral
STOCH
15.91
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:STLR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.61, above the 50-day MA of 1.61, and above the 200-day MA of 1.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.91 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:STLR.

STLLR Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
C$313.82M-33.33-10.89%44.76%
58
Neutral
C$243.19M-35.19-19.45%80.28%
57
Neutral
C$234.36M-7.26-23.72%15.32%
56
Neutral
C$329.94M-106.35-2.02%-40.00%
52
Neutral
C$287.18M-32.79-47.58%32.22%
49
Neutral
C$517.86M-11.99-39.84%-141.86%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:STLR
STLLR Gold
1.42
0.40
39.22%
TSE:GRZ
Gold Reserve
4.15
1.56
60.23%
TSE:LN
Loncor Gold
1.33
0.76
133.33%
TSE:BSX
Belo Sun Mining
0.60
0.36
150.00%
TSE:ELO
Eloro Resources
2.60
1.43
122.22%
TSE:WGO
White Gold
1.34
1.14
570.00%

STLLR Gold Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
STLLR Gold Files NI 43-101 Report for Hollinger Tailings and Strengthens HR Leadership
Positive
Jan 10, 2026

STLLR Gold has filed an NI 43-101 technical report for its Hollinger Tailings Project in Timmins, Ontario, formalizing the maiden mineral resource estimate and providing an independent validation of the project’s geological and resource data, which supports the company’s strategy to unlock near-term value from this asset. The company also promoted Kristen Picavet to Vice President, Human Resources, a move aimed at strengthening its organizational and human capital capabilities as it advances multiple Canadian gold projects through key development milestones.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:STLR) stock is a Hold with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on STLLR Gold stock, see the TSE:STLR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
STLLR Gold Unveils Promising Resource Estimate for Hollinger Tailings Project
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

STLLR Gold Inc. has announced a maiden Mineral Resource Estimate for its Hollinger Tailings Project in the Timmins Mining Camp, Ontario. This development marks a significant milestone for the company, highlighting the project’s potential for near-term cash flow and environmental rehabilitation. The project benefits from consistent gold grades, minimal capital requirements, and strong metallurgical recoveries, positioning it as a rare opportunity in the mining industry. The company has initiated permitting under Ontario’s new Recovery of Minerals Regime, aiming to streamline development and deliver value through environmental and community benefits.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025