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Steppe Gold (TSE:STGO)
TSX:STGO

Steppe Gold (STGO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:STGO

Steppe Gold

(TSX:STGO)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.50
▼(-21.47% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/06/26
The score is driven primarily by strong recent financial performance—rapid revenue growth, healthy gross margins, and robust free cash flow—partly offset by historical volatility in earnings/cash flow and still-meaningful leverage. Technicals weigh on the score due to a broad downtrend (price below key moving averages and negative MACD), while valuation is moderately supportive with a ~11.6 P/E but no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Steppe Gold generated strong operating cash (~114M) and free cash (~85M) in 2025, a durable source of internal funding. High-quality FCF supports sustaining and growth capex, debt reduction and optionality for exploration or returns, improving long-term financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow and Earnings Volatility
Historic swings in operating cash flow (weak in 2023 and negative in 2021) demonstrate low consistency across cycles. This variability undermines long-term planning, increases the chance of external financing in downturns, and raises execution risk for multi‑year projects.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Steppe Gold generated strong operating cash (~114M) and free cash (~85M) in 2025, a durable source of internal funding. High-quality FCF supports sustaining and growth capex, debt reduction and optionality for exploration or returns, improving long-term financial flexibility.
Read all positive factors

Steppe Gold (STGO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Steppe Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Steppe Gold Ltd. acquires, explores for, develops, and operates precious metals in Mongolia. Its principal projects are the Altan Tsagaan Ovoo gold and silver project comprising one mining license covering an area of approximately 5,492.63 hectare...
How the Company Makes Money
Steppe Gold makes money primarily by producing and selling gold and silver from its mining operations. Revenue is generated when mined ore is processed into saleable metal (or metal-bearing products) and sold to customers/offtakers at prevailing m...

Steppe Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong recent operating momentum and cash generation: 2025 revenue grew sharply (+81%) with solid gross margins (~54%) and robust free cash flow (~85M). Offsetting this, profitability and cash flow have been volatile across years, and while leverage improved (debt-to-equity ~0.91 in 2025), the balance sheet remains meaningfully levered for a cyclical gold producer.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Mar 2025Mar 2024Dec 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue254.13M178.13M54.24M62.37M24.05M
Gross Profit139.17M96.28M29.41M30.82M9.65M
EBITDA99.68M109.85M23.08M26.52M3.68M
Net Income32.73M61.35M56.34M15.96M-22.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets358.38M352.14M98.29M72.66M146.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments172.08M144.18M6.01M2.88M4.07M
Total Debt129.47M187.15M36.05M9.52M81.50M
Total Liabilities215.55M242.08M50.29M55.44M139.26M
Stockholders Equity142.89M110.09M48.59M17.72M7.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow84.59M67.66M3.14M12.79M-15.95M
Operating Cash Flow114.33M81.83M8.20M18.71M-7.04M
Investing Cash Flow-25.51M-11.99M-5.23M-5.92M-3.88M
Financing Cash Flow-67.66M-37.61M592.00K-13.19M-1.47M

Steppe Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.91
Price Trends
50DMA
1.68
Negative
100DMA
1.80
Negative
200DMA
1.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
48.78
Neutral
STOCH
78.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:STGO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.32, above the 50-day MA of 1.68, and above the 200-day MA of 1.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:STGO.

Steppe Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$337.45M3.7531.06%78.96%376.52%
65
Neutral
C$359.01M10.6325.27%104.75%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
48
Neutral
C$654.74M-8.68-149.35%119.95%-79.81%
46
Neutral
C$651.95M-11.34-76.97%0.31%
44
Neutral
C$461.75M-36.7946.54%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:STGO
Steppe Gold
1.42
0.72
102.86%
TSE:LGD
Liberty Gold
1.25
0.93
284.62%
TSE:MAI
Minera Alamos
6.06
2.66
78.24%
TSE:MMY
Monument Mining
0.98
0.59
151.29%
TSE:GGA
Goldgroup Mining
1.40
0.61
77.22%
TSE:FDR
Founders Metals
4.01
-0.60
-13.02%

Steppe Gold Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Steppe Gold Posts Record 2025 Revenue and Strengthens Balance Sheet Amid ATO Expansion Push
Positive
Apr 1, 2026
Steppe Gold reported record 2025 revenue of $254.1 million and strong operating metrics, with gold production of 76,059 ounces, adjusted EBITDA of $173.9 million and full-year net income of $32.8 million, underpinned by robust output and higher re...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Steppe Gold CFO Resigns as Miner Launches Financial Review
Negative
Feb 24, 2026
Steppe Gold Ltd. announced that Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Jeremy South has resigned effective March 10, 2026, after playing a central role in the company’s transition from developer to multi-asset gold producer and in...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Steppe Gold Completes CAD$12 Million Tres Cruces Asset Sale
Positive
Feb 19, 2026
Steppe Gold Ltd. has received the final instalment of approximately CAD$3 million from the sale of its Aurifera Tres Cruces asset in Peru, completing an approximately CAD$12 million transaction agreed in August 2024. The payment, made by Minera Bo...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Steppe Gold Beats Q4 Output Guidance, Extends Intercompany Debt and Secures Royalty Option
Positive
Jan 22, 2026
Steppe Gold reported a strong operational performance in the fourth quarter of 2025, producing 29,280 ounces of gold, above its revised guidance of 23,000 ounces, and achieving unaudited gold sales of 37,357 ounces for the quarter, bringing full-y...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 06, 2026