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Minera Alamos Inc (TSE:MAI)
:MAI
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Minera Alamos (MAI) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MAI

Minera Alamos

(MAI)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.50
▲(25.00% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily impacted by financial performance challenges, including declining revenues and consistent losses. Technical analysis suggests short-term bearish momentum with potential for a rebound. Valuation is weak due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield, further weighing down the score.

Minera Alamos (MAI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Minera Alamos Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMinera Alamos Inc., a junior mining exploration company, acquires, explores for, and develops mineral properties in Mexico. The company explores for gold, silver, molybdenum, and copper deposits. Its principal property is the 100% owned Santana project consisting of 9 mining claims with an area of approximately 3,100 hectares located in the east-southeast of Hermosillo, Sonora; 100% owned Cerro de Oro project covering an area of 6,500 hectares situated in Zacatecas, Mexico; and 100% owned La Fortuna project covering an area of 6,100 hectares located in Durango State, Mexico. The company was formerly known as Virgin Metals Inc. and changed its name to Minera Alamos Inc. in April 2014. Minera Alamos Inc. was incorporated in 1934 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMinera Alamos makes money primarily through the extraction and sale of gold from its mining operations. The company generates revenue by mining gold ore, processing it to extract gold, and then selling the refined gold to the market at prevailing prices. Key revenue streams include direct gold sales and potential future revenues from silver and copper by-products associated with their projects. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other mining firms or investors may also contribute to funding and operational efficiency, enhancing the company's ability to bring projects to production and increasing overall profitability.

Minera Alamos Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Minera Alamos is facing financial difficulties, with declining revenues and consistent losses impacting its profitability and shareholder value. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage but declining equity ratios, raising concerns about financial stability. Cash flow issues persist, with negative free cash flow highlighting challenges in operational cash generation.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a declining revenue trend over the last few years, with a significant drop from 2022 to 2023. Gross profit and net income have also been negative, indicating operational challenges. The company has been experiencing negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, highlighting ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the equity ratio has been decreasing, indicating potential risks of financial stability. Return on equity has been negative due to consistent net losses, impacting shareholder value.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals negative free cash flow, signaling challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, further demonstrating inefficiencies in translating income into cash. Despite these challenges, the company has maintained some financing activities to support cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.58M8.92M13.42M21.73M897.91K0.00
Gross Profit-31.32M1.56M348.88K3.21M842.86K-33.08K
EBITDA-45.32M-17.24M-1.98M6.21M-1.67M6.41M
Net Income-45.69M-17.57M-2.86M5.61M-1.75M6.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.12M47.43M51.62M53.28M36.42M33.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.65M11.76M13.75M13.18M9.38M23.44M
Total Debt6.51M6.38M6.27M371.97K440.74K101.39K
Total Liabilities23.16M14.01M13.93M10.08M4.47M1.48M
Stockholders Equity26.97M33.43M37.69M43.21M31.95M31.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-13.92M-10.00M-4.93M-1.76M-18.22M-6.81M
Operating Cash Flow-13.76M-9.65M-4.57M2.61M-5.45M-185.63K
Investing Cash Flow-407.66K-347.68K-366.49K-2.31M-8.24M-2.25M
Financing Cash Flow8.16M8.18M6.19M5.37M815.04K20.59M

Minera Alamos Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.40
Price Trends
50DMA
0.39
Positive
100DMA
0.39
Positive
200DMA
0.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
47.59
Neutral
STOCH
28.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MAI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.43, above the 50-day MA of 0.39, and above the 200-day MA of 0.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:MAI.

Minera Alamos Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
C$190.07M7.7614.79%3.45%20.44%4.03%
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
$397.90M-109.18-7.40%-13.95%
C$528.03M-7.27%-23.08%
C$270.07M-156.63%54.01%-254.83%
C$279.76M-30.04-37.04%58.22%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MAI
Minera Alamos
0.40
0.04
11.11%
TSE:ITH
International Tower Hill Mines
2.54
1.74
217.50%
TSE:GGA
Goldgroup Mining
1.23
1.13
1130.00%
TSE:DNG
Dynacor Gold Mines
4.54
-1.03
-18.55%
TSE:SIG
Sitka Gold Corp.
1.06
0.65
158.54%
TSE:MFG
Mayfair Gold
2.07
-0.16
-7.17%

Minera Alamos Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Minera Alamos Reaffirms 2025 Guidance and Updates on Pan Mine Progress
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

Minera Alamos has reaffirmed its 2025 production and cost guidance for the Pan Mine, following its acquisition of the complex on October 1, 2025. The company successfully completed its first gold pour under new ownership on October 7, 2025, and is on track to meet or exceed its Q4 production targets. The Pan Mine is expected to produce 30,000-40,000 ounces of gold in 2025 at an all-in sustaining cost of $1,600-$1,700 per ounce. The acquisition and subsequent production milestones mark a significant step in Minera Alamos’ growth as a US precious metals producer, leveraging strong gold prices to enhance cash flow and expand mining capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MAI) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Minera Alamos stock, see the TSE:MAI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Minera Alamos Strengthens Leadership and Financial Position Amidst Growth
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

Minera Alamos Inc. has appointed Darren Blasutti as Executive Vice President of Corporate Development, marking a significant step as the company transitions from a development company to a gold producer. Blasutti’s extensive experience in mining finance and executive roles is expected to drive the company’s next phase of growth. The company also announced a $3.5 million private placement offering to key personnel, including Blasutti, and a debt settlement agreement involving the issuance of common shares. These strategic moves aim to strengthen Minera Alamos’s financial position and support its ongoing development projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MAI) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Minera Alamos stock, see the TSE:MAI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Minera Alamos Expands Gold Production with Strategic Acquisition in Nevada
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

Minera Alamos has completed the acquisition of Equinox Gold Corp.’s Pan Gold Mine, Gold Rock Project, and Illipah Project in Nevada, marking a significant expansion in its operations. This acquisition is expected to provide immediate production and cash flow, enhancing the company’s growth potential and long-term shareholder value. Additionally, the company has appointed Jason Kosec as the new Chairman of the Board, while Kevin Small transitions to a senior management role. The transaction was funded through a private placement, and the company has also entered into a $25 million gold prepay agreement with Auramet International, Inc., further strengthening its financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MAI) stock is a Buy with a C$0.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Minera Alamos stock, see the TSE:MAI Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Minera Alamos Completes C$135 Million Funding for Strategic Acquisition
Positive
Sep 17, 2025

Minera Alamos has successfully completed a C$135 million bought deal offering, issuing over 380 million subscription receipts. This funding will support the acquisition of Equinox Gold Corp.’s Pan Mine, Gold Rock Project, and Illipah Project, aiming to significantly grow the company’s production capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MAI) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Minera Alamos stock, see the TSE:MAI Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Minera Alamos Secures Funding for Strategic Nevada Acquisition
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

Minera Alamos has successfully closed its C$110 million private placement due to strong investor demand, which will fund the acquisition of the Pan Complex mining assets in Nevada. This acquisition, including the Pan Gold Mine and Gold Rock Project, is expected to enhance the company’s growth trajectory and position it as a leading Americas-focused gold producer. The transaction involves acquiring Calibre USA Holdings from Equinox Gold Corp for $115 million, with the funds primarily used for cash consideration and operational support at the Pan complex.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Minera Alamos Acquires Gold Complex and Strengthens Leadership for Strategic Growth
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Minera Alamos has announced the acquisition of Calibre USA Holdings Ltd. from Equinox Gold Corp. for $115 million, which includes the Pan Gold Mine and other projects in Nevada. This acquisition positions Minera Alamos as a growing precious metals producer with immediate production and cash flow, enhancing its strategic growth initiatives. The company has secured financing to fund this acquisition and plans to leverage internal cash flow to expand its production profile, benefiting from the current high gold price environment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 02, 2025