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South Bow Corp (TSE:SOBO)
TSX:SOBO
Canadian Market

South Bow Corp (SOBO) Earnings Dates, Call Summary & Reports

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Earnings Data

Report Date
May 14, 2026
Before Open (Confirmed)
Period Ending
2026 (Q1)
Consensus EPS Forecast
0.58
Last Year’s EPS
0.64
Same Quarter Last Year
Based on 9 Analysts Ratings

Earnings Call Summary

Q4 2025
Earnings Call Date:Mar 05, 2026|
% Change Since:
|
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call conveyed a constructive and resilient tone: management reported modest beats to guidance (normalized EBITDA +1%), strong distributable cash flow (+>30% vs original guidance), excellent safety and project execution (Blackrod on time/on budget), and clear de-leveraging and capital-allocation priorities. Offsetting these positives are ongoing impacts from the Milepost 171 incident (pressure restrictions limiting spot capacity and near-term upside), residual marketing volatility earlier in the year, elevated leverage (4.7x) until de-leveraging progresses, and uncertainty around the commercialization, financing and permitting timelines for the Prairie Connector. Overall, operational execution and cash generation were emphasized as strengths while regulatory, capacity and commercialization uncertainties remain material near-term challenges.
Company Guidance
South Bow reaffirmed its 2026 outlook after a strong 2025: normalized EBITDA of $1.02B (vs $1.01B expected), distributable cash flow of $709M (>30% above original guidance), and an exit net‑debt/normalized EBITDA ratio of 4.7x (vs 4.8x expected). Management expects Blackrod cash flows to ramp in H2 2026 and will direct free cash flow to de‑leverage toward a 4.0x target (medium term / mid‑2028) while funding sanctioned growth only within its capital and risk limits; the company returned $416M ($2.00/share) in dividends in 2025 and will not consider a dividend increase until leverage targets and a DCF payout profile (targeted low‑60s% on a DCF basis) are met. Operational guidance noted Keystone’s pre‑derate delivered capacity just north of ~600,000 b/d, a base book that is ~94% take‑or‑pay with ~6% spot capacity, and a phased lifting of Milepost 171 pressure restrictions as remedial work progresses (11 ILI runs, 51 digs investigating 68 joints) that could allow modest spot volume upside later in 2026. Safety and execution metrics underpinning the guidance included >2.5M work hours with 0 recordable incidents and Blackrod entering commercial service in <24 months, on time and on budget.
Normalized EBITDA Slightly Above Expectations
Reported normalized EBITDA of $1.02 billion in 2025, modestly ahead of guidance of $1.01 billion (≈1% beat), driven by out-performance in the Marketing segment.
Strong Distributable Cash Flow and Dividend Return
Distributable cash flow of $709 million in 2025 (in line with revised guidance and >30% above original guidance). Returned $416 million to shareholders (equal to $2.00 per share) through the sustainable dividend.
Safety and Execution Track Record
Delivered more than 2.5 million work hours with 0 recordable safety incidents. Blackrod Connection project placed into commercial service in <24 months from sanctioning, on time and on budget with exceptional safety performance.
Progress on Milepost 171 Remedial Actions and Integrity Work
Significant remedial progress: 11 in-line inspection runs and 51 integrity digs investigating 68 pipe joints completed to date; working with vendors to enhance tool performance and detection capabilities; phased lifting of pressure restrictions anticipated as findings are shared with regulators.
Balance Sheet and De-leveraging Momentum
Exited 2025 with net-debt to normalized EBITDA of 4.7x, modestly better than the 4.8x expectation (≈2% improvement). Reaffirmed leverage target of 4x in the medium term and stated intention to prioritize de-leveraging while funding measured growth.
Organic Growth Pathways and Customer-Led Strategy
Advanced first growth initiative (Blackrod) and launched an open season for Prairie Connector to leverage pre-invested corridors. Management emphasized organic projects with expected accretive EV/EBITDA multiples (6x–8x range) and potential inorganic complements.
Operational Stability from Contracted Cash Flows and Tax Optimization
Approximately 90% of business under long-term contracts providing predictable cash flows; tax team delivered notable optimization benefits contributing to free cash flow and de-leveraging capacity.

South Bow Corp (TSE:SOBO) Earnings, Revenues Date & History

The upcoming earnings date is based on a company’s previous reporting, and may be updated when the actual date is announced

TSE:SOBO Earnings History

Report Date
Fiscal Quarter
Forecast / EPS
Last Year's EPS
EPS YoY Change
Press Release
Slides
Play Transcript
May 14, 2026
2026 (Q1)
0.58 / -
0.638
Mar 05, 2026
2025 (Q4)
0.55 / 0.83
0.73312.96% (+0.10)
Nov 13, 2025
2025 (Q3)
0.52 / 0.64
0.39959.86% (+0.24)
Aug 06, 2025
2025 (Q2)
0.53 / 0.57
0.5435.00% (+0.03)
May 15, 2025
2025 (Q1)
0.60 / 0.64
0
Mar 06, 2025
2024 (Q4)
0.59 / 0.73
The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.
Beat
Missed

TSE:SOBO Earnings-Related Price Changes

Report Date
Price 1 Day Before
Price 1 Day After
Percentage Change
Mar 05, 2026
C$45.55C$45.47-0.18%
Nov 13, 2025
C$36.58C$38.45+5.11%
Aug 06, 2025
C$36.29C$36.72+1.18%
May 15, 2025
C$34.83C$33.38-4.16%
Earnings announcements can affect a stock’s price. This table shows the stock's price the day before and the day after recent earnings reports, including the percentage change.

FAQ

When does South Bow Corp (TSE:SOBO) report earnings?
South Bow Corp (TSE:SOBO) is schdueled to report earning on May 14, 2026, Before Open (Confirmed).
    What is South Bow Corp (TSE:SOBO) earnings time?
    South Bow Corp (TSE:SOBO) earnings time is at May 14, 2026, Before Open (Confirmed).
      Where can I see when companies are reporting earnings?
      You can see which companies are reporting today on our designated earnings calendar.
        What companies are reporting earnings today?
        You can see a list of the companies which are reporting today on TipRanks earnings calendar.
          What is TSE:SOBO EPS forecast?
          TSE:SOBO EPS forecast for the fiscal quarter 2026 (Q1) is 0.58.