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Standard Lithium Ltd (TSE:SLI)
:SLI

Standard Lithium Ltd (SLI) AI Stock Analysis

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Standard Lithium Ltd

(SLI)

45Neutral
Standard Lithium Ltd's overall stock score reflects its financial challenges, including a lack of revenue and reliance on external funding. Despite strategic partnerships and technological advancements, the company's current financial instability and valuation metrics pose significant risks. Technical indicators further suggest downward momentum, while the earnings call offers a cautiously optimistic outlook, balancing the score.
Positive Factors
Growth Potential
Potential longer-term growth is seen from East Texas properties, which have returned significant high-grade results.
Project Development
The phased development approach, supported by extensive demonstration testing, helps in de-risking project development.
Resource Quality
SLI's premium U.S. lithium brine resources are suitable for direct lithium extraction, supporting its 'Outperform' stock rating.
Negative Factors
Financial Impact
If the 12.5% rate sought by landowners were enacted, it would reduce NPV by ~30%, reduce SWA Stage 1 cash flows, and require additional financing buffer for the Stage 2 expansion.
Funding Challenges
Equinor's full funding is expected to run out over the next quarter, requiring SLI to start making its share of capital contributions.
Royalty Rates
Landowners are seeking a 12.5% royalty rate, which would strain project cash flows.

Standard Lithium Ltd (SLI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Standard Lithium Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStandard Lithium Ltd (SLI) is a technology and lithium development company focused on the extraction of lithium from brine resources in the United States. The company is primarily engaged in the exploration and development of lithium projects, with its flagship project being the Lanxess Project, located in southern Arkansas. Standard Lithium leverages its proprietary lithium extraction technologies to enhance the efficiency and sustainability of lithium production, thereby addressing the growing demand for lithium in the battery and energy storage sectors.
How the Company Makes MoneyStandard Lithium Ltd makes money through the development and commercialization of lithium extraction technologies and the eventual sale of lithium products. The company's revenue model is centered around its proprietary lithium extraction processes, which are designed to be more efficient and environmentally friendly compared to traditional methods. Key revenue streams include the licensing of its technology to other lithium producers, joint ventures, and partnerships with companies in the lithium extraction and battery industries. Additionally, once its projects become fully operational, the company is expected to generate revenue from the sale of lithium extracted from its proprietary projects. Significant partnerships, such as those with chemical company Lanxess, play a crucial role in facilitating project development and commercial-scale production.

Standard Lithium Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Standard Lithium Ltd shows financial stability in terms of equity and low leverage, but lacks revenue generation and operates at a loss. The positive net income in recent TTM data appears anomalous in the absence of revenue. Cash flow issues highlight potential challenges in sustaining operations without external funding, posing risks to long-term viability.
Income Statement
25
Negative
Standard Lithium Ltd has shown consistent losses in gross profit, EBIT, and EBITDA, with no revenue generated over the reported periods. The net income improved significantly to a positive figure in the latest TTM data due to unspecified extraordinary items or accounting changes. However, the absence of revenue and persistent negative operating metrics indicate weak profitability performance.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company maintains a strong equity position relative to its liabilities, with a low debt-to-equity ratio suggesting minimal leverage. However, the equity ratio has fluctuated over time. The firm’s total assets have significantly increased, supported by strong stockholders' equity, but without revenue generation, asset efficiency remains questionable.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Operating cash flow remains negative, reflecting ongoing operational challenges. The free cash flow is also negative, indicating that the company is using more cash than it generates. The positive financing cash flow suggests reliance on external funding sources. Overall, cash flow management presents significant risks due to continuous cash burn.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
-1.19M-10.79M-598.00K-13.65M-11.55M-3.75M
EBIT
-41.42M-45.41M-45.29M-38.42M-25.26M-9.29M
EBITDA
-38.76M-44.75M-48.42M-25.98M-14.40M-5.11M
Net Income Common Stockholders
152.35M147.45M-41.99M-36.55M-25.61M-9.59M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.31M38.62M59.61M129.07M27.99M4.14M
Total Assets
31.29M392.99M173.50M183.65M74.08M57.76M
Total Debt
602.05K989.00K1.25M390.50K0.004.96M
Net Debt
-3.71M-51.90M-58.36M-128.67M-27.99M814.01K
Total Liabilities
1.18M53.21M14.12M7.12M2.53M12.17M
Stockholders Equity
30.11M339.77M159.38M176.53M71.54M45.60M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-54.65M-78.39M-27.74M-19.23M-19.33M
Operating Cash Flow
-25.83M-25.12M-21.48M-8.64M-3.11M
Investing Cash Flow
11.82M-2.82M-53.27M-9.37M-10.60M-16.22M
Financing Cash Flow
19.66M14.44M5.02M131.93M43.08M16.62M

Standard Lithium Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.76
Price Trends
50DMA
1.95
Negative
100DMA
2.12
Negative
200DMA
2.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
49.31
Neutral
STOCH
44.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SLI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.84, below the 50-day MA of 1.95, and below the 200-day MA of 2.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:SLI.

Standard Lithium Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
$7.68B4.29-3.52%6.80%-0.14%-64.60%
TSSLI
45
Neutral
C$341.33M2.2661.89%-132.80%
TSAVL
42
Neutral
$15.37M-5.00%-1118.18%
TSLTH
42
Neutral
C$122.19M-408.27%39.98%
TSLAC
39
Underperform
$841.94M-4.13%
TSCRE
37
Underperform
C$92.59M59.862.13%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SLI
Standard Lithium Ltd
1.63
-0.02
-1.21%
TSE:AVL
Avalon Advanced Materials
0.03
-0.06
-68.75%
TSE:CRE
Critical Elements
0.43
-0.25
-36.57%
TSE:LTH
Lithium Ionic Corp
0.79
0.03
3.95%
TSE:LAC
Lithium Americas Corp.
3.85
-6.16
-61.54%

Standard Lithium Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 24, 2025 | % Change Since: -1.12% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant strategic progress with partnerships, technological advancements, and cost management. However, financial challenges such as asset impairments and future capital requirements were notable concerns.
Highlights
Strategic Partnership with Equinor
Announced a strategic partnership with Equinor, viewed as a validation of the company's progress and a strong signal of its future potential.
DOE Grant Finalization
Finalized a $225 million grant from the Department of Energy, indicating strong governmental support for the Southwest Arkansas project.
Successful DLE Technology Pilot
Field pilot testing of DLE technology in Southwest Arkansas surpassed key performance metrics, with over 99% lithium recovery.
Resource Expansion in East Texas
Secured significant lease positions over 185,000 acres in East Texas, with plans to publish a maiden inferred resource report.
Cost Management and Operational Efficiency
Reduced total quarter-over-quarter burn rate by approximately $6 million due to cost discipline and streamlined processes.
Lowlights
Net Loss and Asset Impairment
Reported a net loss of $24.7 million, largely due to a $19.7 million impairment of California assets.
Future Capital Requirements
Expectation that sole funding from Equinor for projects will run out next quarter, requiring new capital contributions.
LANXESS Project Delayed
Deprioritization of the LANXESS 1A project due to focus on higher-grade, larger-scale assets in Southwest Arkansas and East Texas.
Company Guidance
During the Standard Lithium earnings call, the company provided guidance on several metrics and strategic initiatives for the six-month period ending December 31, 2024. They announced a DOE grant of $225 million, finalized in January 2025, which supports their project in Southwest Arkansas. The company's focus remains on high-grade, large-scale assets in Southwest Arkansas and East Texas, highlighting a significant area of interest of over 185,000 acres in East Texas. They reported a net loss of $24.7 million for the three months ending December 31, 2024, driven by a $19.7 million impairment of California assets. Operational efficiencies resulted in a $6 million reduction in quarter-over-quarter expenses. The company ended 2024 with a working capital of $27.5 million and cash reserves of $31.2 million. They anticipate finalizing the Southwest Arkansas FEED study and DFS by mid-2025, with the royalty rate assumption expected by the Arkansas Oil and Gas Commission around the same time.

Standard Lithium Ltd Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Standard Lithium Advances Key Projects in Arkansas and Texas
Positive
Mar 26, 2025

Standard Lithium Ltd. has announced significant progress in its corporate objectives, focusing on the South West Arkansas Project and mineral leasing in East Texas. The company has initiated a project finance and off-take process for the SWA Project, aiming for substantial lithium carbonate production. Additionally, the Smackover Lithium JV with Equinor is expanding its lease position in East Texas, with plans to publish an Inferred Resource Report. These developments underscore Standard Lithium’s commitment to advancing its lithium projects and enhancing its industry positioning.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Standard Lithium Advances Towards Commercialization with Key Developments
Positive
Mar 24, 2025

Standard Lithium Ltd. reported its financial and operational results for the six-month fiscal period ending December 31, 2024, highlighting significant progress towards a final investment decision for its South West Arkansas project. The company secured a $225 million grant from the U.S. Department of Energy, completed successful reservoir testing and derisking of its DLE technology, and made strategic leadership additions. These developments position Standard Lithium to advance its projects and strengthen its market presence in the lithium extraction industry.

Executive/Board Changes
Standard Lithium Strengthens Board with New Appointment
Positive
Mar 19, 2025

Standard Lithium Ltd. has appointed Karen G. Narwold as an independent member of its board of directors. With over 30 years of executive leadership experience in the manufacturing and chemicals industry, Narwold’s expertise in legal, governance, and operational matters is expected to significantly benefit Standard Lithium as it advances its lithium projects. Her previous role at Albemarle Corporation, a global leader in lithium production, underscores her capability to support Standard Lithium’s growth and industry positioning.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Standard Lithium Achieves Key Milestone in Lithium Extraction Technology
Positive
Mar 11, 2025

Smackover Lithium, a joint venture between Standard Lithium Ltd and Equinor, has successfully completed the final field-test of its Direct Lithium Extraction (DLE) technology at the South West Arkansas project. This milestone marks a significant step towards commercialization, as the field-pilot plant exceeded key performance criteria, recovering over 99% of lithium from brine. Large volumes of the DLE product have been sent to third-party vendors for conversion into battery-quality lithium carbonate, which will be crucial in the qualification process with potential off-take partners. The successful completion of this derisking step enhances Standard Lithium’s industry positioning, demonstrating their capability to reliably process brine and produce high-quality lithium products, potentially impacting stakeholders positively by advancing towards commercialization.

Business Operations and Strategy
Standard Lithium to Participate in 37th Annual Roth Conference
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

Standard Lithium Ltd. announced its participation in the 37th Annual Roth Conference, where senior leadership will engage in one-on-one meetings with investors. This participation highlights the company’s proactive approach to investor relations and its commitment to advancing its lithium development projects, potentially enhancing its market position and stakeholder engagement.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Standard Lithium and Equinor Launch Smackover Lithium Joint Venture
Positive
Jan 30, 2025

Standard Lithium Ltd. and Equinor have announced the establishment of Smackover Lithium as the new brand for their joint venture aimed at developing direct lithium extraction projects in Southwest Arkansas and East Texas. This initiative builds on Standard Lithium’s ongoing work in the area and aims to foster economic development and educational opportunities in the region. Smackover Lithium is set to become one of the world’s first commercial-scale DLE facilities, strengthening the partnership’s position in the critical minerals sector.

Standard Lithium and Equinor Secure $225 Million DOE Grant for Arkansas Lithium Project
Jan 16, 2025

Standard Lithium Ltd. and Equinor have secured a $225 million grant from the U.S. Department of Energy to support the construction of Phase 1 of the South West Arkansas project. This project, anticipated to be one of the first commercial-scale Direct Lithium Extraction facilities, is expected to produce 45,000 tonnes of lithium carbonate annually. The initiative is poised to enhance the U.S. lithium supply chain and create substantial local employment opportunities, reflecting its significant impact on the company’s industry positioning and community engagement.

Standard Lithium Advances South West Arkansas Project with New Drilling Efforts
Jan 15, 2025

Standard Lithium Ltd, through its joint venture SWA Lithium with Equinor ASA, has begun drilling a new well in the Smackover Formation as part of the South West Arkansas Project, aiming to fill data gaps and enhance production modeling. The project involves extensive testing and sampling efforts to improve understanding of the reservoir and brine chemistry, which are crucial for the upcoming engineering and feasibility studies, potentially impacting the company’s operational strategies and positioning in the lithium market.

Standard Lithium Reports Quarterly Equity Program Progress
Jan 10, 2025

Standard Lithium Ltd. reported its quarterly update on the ‘at-the-market’ equity program, issuing a total of 3,551,390 common shares on both the TSX Venture Exchange and NYSE American, generating over C$789,692 and US$6,030,482 in gross proceeds, respectively. This strategic move supports the company’s financial flexibility and strengthens its position in the lithium industry, underscoring its commitment to advancing its lithium extraction projects and enhancing shareholder value.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.