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Seabridge Gold (TSE:SEA)
TSX:SEA

Seabridge Gold (SEA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:SEA

Seabridge Gold

(TSX:SEA)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
C$47.00
▲(23.72% Upside)
Score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, persistent losses, and sizable negative free cash flow), despite a supportive technical uptrend and generally positive project-development/news flow that is tempered by legal risk.
Positive Factors
Project development pipeline (KSM, Iskut/Snip North)
Visible progress on large projects (KSM infrastructure milestones and renewable power tie-ins; Iskut/Snip North drilling targeting a maiden resource) materially reduces technical and development risk, raising the odds of partner interest or monetization over the next 2–6 months.
Asset-led value creation business model
Seabridge’s model focuses on building project value rather than operating mines, which is durable: successful de-risking and resource growth can unlock value through transactions or farm-outs, allowing capital-light growth if the company attracts partners or royalties.
Balance sheet equity cushion
A sizable equity base and expanded asset base give Seabridge financial headroom to continue exploration and technical studies without immediate distress, supporting project advancement and negotiation leverage with potential JV partners over the medium term.
Negative Factors
No revenue and persistent net losses
Absence of operating revenue leaves the company reliant on financing or asset transactions for funding. Persistent net losses steadily erode equity and investor optionality, increasing dependency on successful project monetizations to justify continued capital support.
Negative operating and free cash flow
Consistent operating cash burn and large negative free cash flow create structural funding needs. This forces reliance on external capital or asset sales, heightens dilution/refinancing risk, and constrains the firm’s ability to self-fund studies, permits, and development.
Rising debt and permitting/legal execution risk
Material increase in debt raises refinancing and interest-service risk while losses persist. Coupled with legal challenges around KSM tunnel authorizations, this amplifies execution risk: higher leverage reduces flexibility to absorb permitting delays or fund costly remediation.

Seabridge Gold (SEA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Seabridge Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSeabridge Gold Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition and exploration of gold properties in North America. The company also explores for copper, silver, molybdenum, and rhenium deposits. Its principal projects are the Kerr-Sulphurets-Mitchell property and Iskut project located in British Columbia, Canada; Courageous Lake property situated in Northwest Territories, Canada; Snowstorm project located in the Nevada; and 3 Aces project located in the Yukon Territory. The company was formerly known as Seabridge Resources Inc. and changed its name to Seabridge Gold Inc. in June 2002. Seabridge Gold Inc. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneySeabridge Gold makes money by increasing the value of its gold reserves through exploration and project development, aiming to sell or partner with larger mining companies for the actual mining operations. The company's revenue model largely depends on the appreciation of its asset value, which is achieved by demonstrating the potential profitability of its projects through exploration successes. Seabridge Gold's earnings can also be influenced by fluctuations in gold prices and strategic partnerships with other mining companies that may provide capital or expertise for project development. The company does not generate revenue from gold production, as it focuses on exploration and development rather than mining itself.

Seabridge Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: no revenue reported in the periods provided, persistent and recently worsening losses (TTM net loss ~-$50.2M), and consistently negative operating cash flow. Balance sheet provides some cushion via a sizable equity base, but rising debt (~$584M TTM) and deeply negative free cash flow (TTM ~-$126.1M) keep funding risk elevated.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
The company reports no revenue across the annual periods shown and in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), which leaves profitability driven by expenses rather than operating scale. Losses are persistent and widening recently (net loss of about $31.2M in 2024 vs. ~$29.3M in 2023, and a larger ~$50.2M loss in TTM). Operating results remain negative (EBIT and EBITDA below zero throughout), indicating limited near-term earnings power and higher sensitivity to funding conditions; the main positive is that losses were meaningfully smaller in 2022 and included a modest profit in 2021, showing results can fluctuate but have deteriorated again.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
The balance sheet is supported by a sizable equity base (equity rising to ~$1.06B in TTM from ~$0.84B in 2024), and total assets have expanded over time, which provides some financial cushion. However, leverage has increased materially versus earlier years: total debt is now ~$584M in TTM and debt-to-equity, while improved versus 2023, remains moderate at ~0.57 (vs. ~0.67 in 2024 and ~0.79 in 2023). With losses continuing, returns on equity are negative (about -4.9% in TTM), so the balance sheet strength is offset by ongoing value erosion if losses persist.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation remains a key weak spot: operating cash flow is negative in every period shown (about -$10.1M in TTM and -$14.2M in 2024), meaning the business is not self-funding day-to-day costs. Free cash flow is deeply negative and volatile (about -$126.1M in TTM and -$120.5M in 2024, after a much worse -$251.7M in 2023), which points to continued cash burn and reliance on external capital. A relative positive is that free cash flow improved versus 2023 and TTM free cash flow growth is positive, but the absolute cash deficit remains large and persistent.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-44.88M-21.25M-17.06M-22.66M-18.76M-16.53M
Net Income-50.15M-31.25M-29.27M-7.39M895.00K-14.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.71B1.45B1.35B1.10B747.74M647.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments111.28M55.22M86.19M131.54M44.13M41.26M
Total Debt584.44M563.90M575.32M265.17M272.00K248.00K
Total Liabilities650.17M609.72M621.04M355.09M45.41M33.10M
Stockholders Equity1.06B843.02M729.92M740.53M702.33M614.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-126.08M-120.50M-251.70M-191.28M-85.31M-169.32M
Operating Cash Flow-10.15M-14.22M-21.54M-7.98M-11.70M-10.52M
Investing Cash Flow-170.81M-121.24M-202.90M-286.44M-78.68M-180.46M
Financing Cash Flow232.11M101.27M260.45M325.83M84.56M199.72M

Seabridge Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price37.99
Price Trends
50DMA
41.71
Negative
100DMA
37.06
Positive
200DMA
28.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Positive
RSI
36.60
Neutral
STOCH
9.15
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SEA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 37.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.46, below the 50-day MA of 41.71, and above the 200-day MA of 28.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.15 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:SEA.

Seabridge Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
C$3.35B11.4042.97%69.33%253.46%
75
Outperform
$4.60B9.8818.39%1.36%3.93%247.84%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
C$5.33B-93.47-14.03%49.65%71.84%
54
Neutral
C$4.45B-44.63-48.70%-53.84%
52
Neutral
$4.02B-5.19%-267.06%
49
Neutral
C$2.95B-57.21-50.94%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SEA
Seabridge Gold
37.99
19.73
108.05%
TSE:WDO
Wesdome Gold Mines
21.89
7.14
48.41%
TSE:CG
Centerra Gold
23.20
14.18
157.15%
TSE:MAU
Montage Gold Corp.
12.42
10.12
440.00%
TSE:SGD
Snowline Gold Corp.
16.98
11.43
205.95%
TSE:AAUC
Allied Gold Corporation
42.53
28.49
202.92%

Seabridge Gold Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Seabridge Gold Details Spin-Out of Courageous Lake Into Newly Listed Valor Gold
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

Seabridge Gold plans to spin out its 100% interest in the Courageous Lake gold project into a new company, Valor Gold Corp., with all Valor shares to be distributed to Seabridge shareholders via a court-approved plan of arrangement, subject to a shareholder vote expected in June 2026. Valor intends to list on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the OTCQB Venture Market, with trading targeted to begin by the end of the second quarter of 2026, and will be capitalized with C$10 million in cash to fund work programs and corporate overhead, while being led by veteran mining executive Mark J. Ashley as CEO. The move is designed to give dedicated management and capital to one of Canada’s largest undeveloped gold projects, which hosts 11.0 million ounces of measured and indicated gold resources plus 3.3 million ounces inferred, including 2.8 million ounces of proven and probable reserves, potentially enhancing value for Seabridge shareholders by allowing Courageous Lake’s scale and exploration upside to be pursued independently of Seabridge’s flagship KSM project.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SEA) stock is a Hold with a C$46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seabridge Gold stock, see the TSE:SEA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Seabridge Gold Advances KSM, Spins Out Courageous Lake and Expands Iskut Discovery in 2025 Update
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

Seabridge Gold reported substantial 2025 progress at its KSM project, completing its largest-ever geotechnical drilling campaign and key construction milestones on the Treaty Creek Terminal switching station to connect the project to BC Hydro’s renewable power, while maintaining strong environmental performance and Indigenous engagement. Management continues to advance joint venture negotiations for KSM, although its self-imposed year-end partnership announcement target will be missed.

The company also unveiled a plan to spin out its Courageous Lake project into a new listed entity, Valor Gold, distributing shares to existing Seabridge investors so the sizeable high‑grade gold resource can be independently valued and advanced by its own management team. In parallel, aggressive drilling at the nearby Iskut Project’s Snip North discovery has confirmed a large porphyry system with extensive gold-copper mineralization, with a maiden resource estimate expected in early 2026, bolstering Seabridge’s resource base and reinforcing its strategy of enhancing gold resources per share while positioning KSM for permitting and eventual development with a future partner.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SEA) stock is a Buy with a C$63.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seabridge Gold stock, see the TSE:SEA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Seabridge Gold to Spin Out Courageous Lake Project into Valor Gold
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

Seabridge Gold Inc. plans to spin out its Courageous Lake Gold Project into a new entity, Valor Gold, to unlock its value for shareholders. The Courageous Lake project, one of Canada’s largest undeveloped gold projects, will be advanced by Valor Gold through exploration and permitting, while Seabridge continues to focus on its KSM project. The spin-out is expected to highlight the project’s potential and provide more optionality for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SEA) stock is a Buy with a C$63.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seabridge Gold stock, see the TSE:SEA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Seabridge Gold Expands Snip North Deposit with Promising Drilling Results
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

Seabridge Gold announced promising results from its 2025 drilling campaign at the Snip North Deposit within the Iskut project, revealing a substantial and continuous gold and copper mineralization. The findings suggest a large porphyry Cu-Au system with mineralization extending over significant distances, indicating potential for a significant maiden resource estimate by early 2026. The mineralization remains open at depth and along strike, with potential for discovering higher-grade sources, which could enhance the company’s resource base and strengthen its position in the mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SEA) stock is a Buy with a C$65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seabridge Gold stock, see the TSE:SEA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Seabridge Gold’s KSM Mining Wins AME David Barr Award for Safety Leadership
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

Seabridge Gold’s subsidiary, KSM Mining ULC, has been awarded the AME David Barr Award for excellence in health and safety leadership and innovation in mineral exploration. This recognition highlights their efforts in fostering collaboration and enhancing emergency preparedness in British Columbia’s Golden Triangle region, showcasing their commitment to safety and community engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SEA) stock is a Buy with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seabridge Gold stock, see the TSE:SEA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025