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Kraken Robotics Systems Inc (TSE:PNG)
:PNG

Kraken Robotics Systems Inc (PNG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PNG

Kraken Robotics Systems Inc

(PNG)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
C$9.00
▲(12.22% Upside)
The score is primarily supported by strong revenue growth, healthy profitability, and a conservatively leveraged balance sheet, but is held back by negative operating/free cash flow and a very high P/E valuation. Technically, the trend is bullish, yet overbought momentum signals increase near-term downside risk.
Positive Factors
Consistent revenue growth
Sustained 13% TTM revenue growth indicates expanding demand for Kraken's AUVs, sonar and sensor solutions. Combined with recurring service and software licensing revenues, this trend supports durable top-line expansion and the ability to invest in product development and partnerships over the medium term.
High gross and net margins
Elevated gross margin (53.9%) and a healthy net margin (16.4%) reflect strong product-level pricing and cost structure, while ROE near 14% shows effective capital use. These profitability metrics suggest sustainable economics for R&D and competitive positioning in specialized marine and defense markets.
Conservative leverage and capital structure
Low debt-to-equity (0.31) and a high equity ratio indicate a conservatively financed balance sheet. This provides flexibility to fund development, absorb contract timing variability, and pursue strategic partnerships without excessive refinancing risk during multi-month government or offshore procurement cycles.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow despite profits undermines internal funding capacity and raises reliance on external financing. Over a multi-month horizon this constrains capital allocation for production scale-up, service deployment, and working capital during long contract lead times.
Declining operating efficiency
Declining EBIT/EBITDA margins point to rising operating costs or scaling inefficiencies. If not reversed, margin erosion can reduce reinvestment capacity and weaken pricing leverage, pressuring long-term profitability and the firm's ability to sustain investment in advanced sensor and AUV R&D.
Concentrated end-market exposure
Heavy exposure to defense, marine and offshore sectors concentrates revenue sensitivity to government procurement cycles and cyclic offshore spending. Such concentration can lengthen sales cycles and amplify demand volatility, complicating revenue predictability and multi-quarter planning.

Kraken Robotics Systems Inc (PNG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Kraken Robotics Systems Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKraken Robotics Inc., a marine technology company, engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of software-centric sensors, batteries, and underwater robotic systems for unmanned underwater vehicles used in military and commercial applications. It operates in two segments, Sensors and Platforms, and Power. The company offers AquaPix Miniature interferometric synthetic aperture sonar (MINSAS), a configurable MINSAS; and SeaVision, an underwater laser imaging system. It also provides Kraken Active Towed Fish (KATFISH), a towed underwater vehicle for high speed and high resolution seabed mapping; ThunderFish, an autonomous underwater vehicle; and ALARS, an autonomous launch and recovery system that enable an unmanned vehicle and its payloads to be brought aboard to a host ship. In addition, the company designs and manufactures pressure tolerant thrusters, drives, batteries, battery management systems, and electronics; and robotics as a service, as well as implements digital signal processing and user interface software for anti-submarine warfare sonar applications. It has operations in Canada, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Kraken Sonar Inc. and changed its name to Kraken Robotics Inc. in September 2017. Kraken Robotics Inc. is headquartered in Mount Pearl, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyKraken Robotics generates revenue through multiple streams, including the sale of its robotic systems and associated technologies, service contracts for maintenance and support, and licensing agreements for its proprietary software solutions. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of AUVs and sonar systems to government and commercial clients, as well as recurring revenue from maintenance services and software upgrades. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with defense contractors and research institutions, which enhance its technological capabilities and expand its market reach, contributing significantly to its earnings.

Kraken Robotics Systems Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Kraken Robotics demonstrated significant growth and achieved record financial performance in 2024, with strong contributions from both products and services segments. The company also improved its financial position through successful financing activities. However, there were challenges such as flat revenue in Q4 and a decline in specific product areas, as well as softness in the U.S. offshore wind market. Despite these challenges, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Growth
Total revenue for fiscal 2024 grew 31% year-over-year to $91.3 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased 47% to $20.7 million, and the adjusted EBITDA margin was 22.7% for the year.
Strong Balance Sheet and Financing
Closed over $70 million of equity financings during the year, as well as $45 million of new committed credit facilities and an uncommitted $30 million accordion facility.
Significant Growth in Services Segment
Service revenue in 2024 saw a great growth at 47% and increased to $25 million, driven by an increased number of Sub-Bottom Imager jobs and Acoustic Corer projects.
Increased Defense Spending Driving Growth
Increased defense spending across the globe is driving growth in both products and services, with a sales pipeline growing significantly to over $2 billion from $900 million.
Expansion of Subsea Power Business
Signed a lease for an approximate 60,000 square foot of space in Nova Scotia, which will allow Kraken to triple its battery production capacity.
Negative Updates
Flat Quarterly Revenue
Consolidated revenue for Q4 was flat at $28.1 million over the prior year, despite growth in subsea batteries and sonar revenue.
Decline in Catfish and Remote Mine Disposal System Revenue
Catfish and remote mine disposal system revenue declined on a year-over-year basis in Q4.
Challenges in U.S. Offshore Wind Market
The U.S. administration’s policies towards offshore wind is causing some softness in the U.S. market.
Company Guidance
During the Kraken Robotics 2024 financial results conference call, the company provided guidance for fiscal 2025, highlighting expectations of substantial growth. The company projects revenues to range between $120 million and $135 million, indicating a midpoint growth of 40% compared to 2024. Adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be between $26 million and $34 million, with a midpoint growth of 45% over the previous year. Capital expenditures are estimated to be between $13 million and $17 million. Kraken reported record financial results for 2024, with total revenue of $91.3 million, a 31% year-over-year increase, and adjusted EBITDA of $20.7 million, up 47% from 2023, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.7%. The company's sales pipeline has grown significantly to over $2 billion, driven by defense and offshore energy markets, supporting the optimistic outlook for 2025 and beyond.

Kraken Robotics Systems Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kraken Robotics Systems Inc demonstrates solid revenue growth and profitability with strong margins and a conservative balance sheet. However, cash flow management remains a concern, with negative operating cash flow indicating potential liquidity challenges.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kraken Robotics Systems Inc has shown consistent revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth rate of 4.20%. The gross profit margin is strong at 50.95%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 20.95% from the previous year, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16, indicating a conservative leverage position. The return on equity is robust at 26.68%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio stands at 64.60%, suggesting a balanced but slightly lower reliance on equity financing compared to total assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Kraken Robotics Systems Inc faces challenges in cash flow management, with a negative operating cash flow and free cash flow. Despite a positive free cash flow growth rate of 24.82%, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating potential liquidity issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.35, suggesting that free cash flow generation is relatively strong compared to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue90.18M91.29M69.58M40.91M25.63M12.28M
Gross Profit48.62M44.69M33.96M17.04M11.32M5.82M
EBITDA13.68M18.12M11.72M825.00K-176.00K-3.86M
Net Income14.82M20.09M5.55M-4.24M-3.54M-5.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets184.27M164.20M76.42M71.36M65.47M34.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.87M58.52M5.17M8.27M6.75M12.92M
Total Debt37.43M19.34M16.20M16.27M15.26M5.02M
Total Liabilities65.26M42.46M44.36M47.71M37.86M18.81M
Stockholders Equity119.01M121.73M32.06M23.66M27.60M16.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.78M-16.06M870.00K93.00K-16.54M612.26K
Operating Cash Flow-3.79M-12.46M8.43M5.24M-11.01M2.79M
Investing Cash Flow-36.00M-5.15M-9.81M-3.37M-7.24M-3.24M
Financing Cash Flow53.65M69.88M-2.15M-41.00K11.92M11.10M

Kraken Robotics Systems Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.02
Price Trends
50DMA
6.23
Positive
100DMA
5.62
Positive
200DMA
4.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.59
Negative
RSI
66.67
Neutral
STOCH
56.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PNG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.02, above the 50-day MA of 6.23, and above the 200-day MA of 4.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PNG.

Kraken Robotics Systems Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$11.64M11.5818.01%-17.91%-54.21%
62
Neutral
C$2.46B131.2611.18%11.77%45.13%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
48
Neutral
C$20.06M-2.5640.24%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PNG
Kraken Robotics Systems Inc
8.02
5.21
185.41%
TSE:HEAT
Hillcrest Energy Technologies
0.20
0.08
66.67%
TSE:ZTE
ZTEST Electronics
0.32
-0.09
-21.25%
TSE:NSCI
Nanalysis Scientific
0.17
-0.16
-47.69%

Kraken Robotics Systems Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Kraken Robotics Lands $35 Million in SeaPower Battery Orders as UUV Demand Surges
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

Kraken Robotics has secured $35 million in SeaPower battery sales from three undisclosed customers, underscoring growing demand for its high energy density power systems used in unmanned underwater vehicles across defence, commercial, and research markets. The company is bringing new battery manufacturing capacity online in North America in early 2026, complementing its European operations and positioning Kraken to capitalize on rapid growth in the UUV segment, from extra-large to small platforms, by enabling longer, deeper, and more complex subsea missions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PNG) stock is a Buy with a C$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kraken Robotics Systems Inc stock, see the TSE:PNG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Kraken Robotics Strengthens Leadership Team with New Chief People Officer
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

Kraken Robotics Inc. has appointed Terra Penrose as its new Chief People Officer, based in Nova Scotia, as the company navigates a period of strong growth. Penrose brings more than two decades of human resources experience across sectors such as defense, aerospace, shipbuilding, oil and gas, and municipal government, and previously served as Chief HR Officer at Airbus subsidiary Stelia Aerospace North America. The company expects her to strengthen its organizational structure, culture, and leadership practices, reinforcing Kraken’s ability to scale its global subsea robotics and sensor business and support its expanding, highly specialized workforce.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PNG) stock is a Buy with a C$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kraken Robotics Systems Inc stock, see the TSE:PNG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Kraken Robotics and TKMS ATLAS UK Showcase Advanced USV Launch and Recovery System
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

Kraken Robotics Inc. has successfully demonstrated its KATFISH Unmanned Surface Vessel Launch and Recovery System (USV-LARS) in collaboration with TKMS ATLAS UK on an ARCIMS USV of the UK Royal Navy. This system provides a comprehensive autonomous survey package for maritime security, enhancing mine countermeasure operations and underwater infrastructure inspections. The integration of ARCIMS and KATFISH USV-LARS marks a significant advancement in delivering agile and cost-effective naval capabilities, allowing for faster deployment of advanced technologies and strengthening maritime security. The demonstration, conducted for NATO navies, showcased the system’s ability to autonomously navigate and collect high-resolution sonar data, which was streamed in real-time to shore-based command centers.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PNG) stock is a Hold with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kraken Robotics Systems Inc stock, see the TSE:PNG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Kraken Robotics Strengthens Leadership with Key Appointments
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

Kraken Robotics has announced strategic additions to its leadership team with the appointment of Kim Butler to its Board of Directors and Bernard Mills as Executive Vice President, Defence. Kim Butler brings extensive experience in financial leadership and corporate governance, which will support Kraken’s mission to deliver innovative marine technology solutions globally. Bernard Mills, with his expertise in the defence and aerospace sectors, will enhance Kraken’s capability to manage complex integrated systems programs, positioning the company for significant expansion in the maritime defence industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PNG) stock is a Hold with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kraken Robotics Systems Inc stock, see the TSE:PNG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Kraken Robotics Secures $12 Million in Orders for Sonar and Battery Systems
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

Kraken Robotics has announced receiving $12 million in orders for its synthetic aperture sonar and subsea batteries from multiple organizations, including Teledyne Marine, Terradepth, and two NATO navies. This highlights the company’s dual-use technology’s critical role across maritime security and offshore energy applications. The orders, which include integration on autonomous underwater vehicles, underscore Kraken’s platform-agnostic solutions’ versatility and their impact on expanding the company’s market reach in defense and commercial sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PNG) stock is a Hold with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kraken Robotics Systems Inc stock, see the TSE:PNG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Kraken Robotics Achieves Record Q3 2025 Financial Performance
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

Kraken Robotics reported record financial results for Q3 2025, with a 60% increase in revenue to $31.3 million, driven by strong sales of subsea batteries and synthetic aperture sonar to defense customers, as well as the acquisition of 3D at Depth Inc. The company’s gross margin improved to 59%, and its adjusted EBITDA rose by 92% to $8.0 million, reflecting robust growth in both product and service revenues. The financial performance underscores Kraken’s strategic positioning in the maritime defense and offshore energy sectors, as it continues to expand its capabilities and market reach.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PNG) stock is a Hold with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kraken Robotics Systems Inc stock, see the TSE:PNG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Kraken Robotics Expands Reach in Australia and New Zealand with BlueZone Partnership
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

Kraken Robotics has appointed BlueZone Group as an authorized reseller for its Synthetic Aperture Sonar (SAS) and KATFISH towed SAS platform in Australia and New Zealand. This partnership enhances Kraken’s regional support, particularly for the Royal Australian Navy, and signifies a strategic move to strengthen local partnerships for critical naval operations. The collaboration is expected to bolster Kraken’s market presence in the region and ensure the Australian Defence Force has access to advanced maritime technologies, thereby safeguarding maritime interests and critical shipping lanes.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PNG) stock is a Hold with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kraken Robotics Systems Inc stock, see the TSE:PNG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026