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XTM (TSE:PAID)
:PAID

XTM (PAID) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PAID

XTM

(PAID)

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Underperform 39 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
C$0.03
▲(40.00% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by very weak financial performance (losses, negative equity, and negative cash flows). Technical indicators add downside risk with a bearish longer-term trend and oversold signals. Valuation is constrained by a negative P/E and lack of dividend support.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth
Sustained top-line growth (~22.8%) indicates ongoing customer demand or market expansion, which supports long-term opportunity to scale operations and leverage fixed costs. If maintained, this trend provides a base to pursue margin recovery and strategic investments.
Industry exposure
Exposure to Information Technology Services aligns the company with secular tailwinds such as digital transformation and outsourcing. These structural demand drivers expand the addressable market over years, supporting potential revenue durability even if current profitability is weak.
Low market sensitivity
Very low beta implies limited correlation with broad market swings, which can reduce financing and operational disruption from market volatility. That steadiness aids longer-term planning and may lower short-term refinancing risk while management pursues turnaround execution.
Negative Factors
Balance sheet weakness
Negative shareholders' equity and high leverage create structural solvency risk, limiting the firm’s ability to fund growth organically. Over months this restricts strategic flexibility, raises refinancing risk, and can force dilutive capital raises or asset sales to restore balance.
Persistent cash flow deficits
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flow erode liquidity and reduce runway for investment or restructuring. Over the medium term this necessitates external financing, which may be costly given balance sheet weakness, constraining sustainable operations and recovery plans.
Structural unprofitability
Consistent negative gross and net margins plus declining EBIT/EBITDA suggest the business is not converting revenue into profit. Without durable margin improvement, revenue growth cannot finance operations, undermining long-term viability and ability to achieve positive cash generation.

XTM (PAID) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

XTM Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXTM Inc. is a technology company focused on providing innovative solutions for businesses in the financial services sector. The company specializes in digital payment solutions, including prepaid cards and mobile wallets, catering primarily to the gig economy, retail, and hospitality industries. XTM's core products enable businesses to streamline their payment processes, enhance employee payroll systems, and offer flexible spending options to customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyXTM generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns money by charging transaction fees for the use of its prepaid card services and mobile payment solutions. Additionally, XTM may earn revenue from partnerships with businesses that integrate its payment solutions into their operations, as well as from subscription fees for premium services. The company also benefits from interest on funds held in its prepaid accounts and may explore additional revenue opportunities through value-added services and targeted marketing solutions to its customer base.

XTM Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements indicate severe weakness: ongoing losses with negative/declining margins, negative stockholders’ equity with high leverage risk, and persistent negative operating and free cash flow that pressures liquidity.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
The income statement reveals significant challenges, with consistently negative net profit margins and declining EBIT and EBITDA margins over the years. Despite some revenue growth, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative gross profit margins in recent periods. The TTM data shows a slight revenue increase, but the overall financial performance remains weak.
Balance Sheet
15
Very Negative
The balance sheet highlights a concerning financial structure, with negative stockholders' equity and high debt levels relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio is negative, indicating financial instability. Return on equity is also negative, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is unfavorable, suggesting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows persistent negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, indicating liquidity challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, suggesting cash flow issues are aligned with net losses. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, highlighting inefficiencies in converting income into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.08M9.09M6.78M4.73M2.26M853.17K
Gross Profit-5.31M-148.73K219.29K930.41K755.16K82.51K
EBITDA-17.26M-19.77M-14.81M-7.04M-5.07M-3.20M
Net Income-20.65M-22.94M-16.08M-7.27M-5.45M-3.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.88M77.18M63.55M56.79M37.00M8.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments52.90M64.13K94.10K2.69M8.38M285.85K
Total Debt11.19M16.67M2.89M146.87K236.94K646.59K
Total Liabilities95.91M106.26M70.88M54.60M27.36M7.50M
Stockholders Equity-40.03M-29.08M-7.33M2.19M9.64M843.24K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.82M-10.27M-10.09M-5.94M-4.45M-2.66M
Operating Cash Flow-4.82M-9.57M-1.47M-5.86M-4.38M-2.48M
Investing Cash Flow3.43M-693.76K-10.62M-83.22K-71.77K-181.98K
Financing Cash Flow-2.80M10.32M9.20M271.63K12.55M2.94M

XTM Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.03
Negative
100DMA
0.03
Negative
200DMA
0.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
39.26
Neutral
STOCH
8.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PAID, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.03, below the 50-day MA of 0.03, and below the 200-day MA of 0.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PAID.

XTM Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
C$46.09M13.217.17%-13.43%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
45
Neutral
C$8.92M-2.63-540.25%-33.97%59.10%
44
Neutral
C$104.58M-3,571.43-0.42%-59.23%-100.34%
44
Neutral
C$6.87M-9.3813.01%20.00%
42
Neutral
C$3.87M-3.49-3428.85%-15.33%47.13%
39
Underperform
C$8.38M-0.2822.81%11.13%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PAID
XTM
0.03
-0.05
-66.67%
TSE:KNR
Kontrol Technologies
2.50
0.00
0.00%
TSE:VIS
Visionstate
0.02
-0.02
-50.00%
TSE:NERD
Nerds On Site
0.05
>-0.01
-10.00%
TSE:PBIT
POSaBIT Systems
0.06
-0.03
-35.29%
TSE:PVT
Pivotree
1.75
0.68
63.55%

XTM Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
XTM Inc. Reports Revenue Growth and Strategic Shift in Q3 2025
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

XTM Inc. reported a 19% increase in year-to-date revenue and a 25% reduction in net operating loss for Q3 2025. The company has transitioned to a capital-light, profit-sharing model through a Management Services Agreement with Everyday People Financial Corp., which will manage XTM’s Canadian card and digital wallet programs. This strategic shift is expected to reduce costs and enhance operational efficiency. Additionally, XTM is focusing on expanding its U.S. market presence by pursuing contracts for Earned Wage Access and Early Tip Disbursement services, driven by favorable tax legislation.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAID) stock is a Sell with a C$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on XTM stock, see the TSE:PAID Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
XTM Inc. Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Transition
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

XTM Inc. has reported a 19% increase in year-to-date revenue and a 25% reduction in net operating loss for Q3 2025. The company has completed the sale of its processor assets, retaining essential EWA technology and client contracts, and is transitioning to a capital-light, profit-sharing business model through a Management Services Agreement with Everyday People Financial Corp. This strategic shift is expected to significantly reduce operating costs and enhance XTM’s focus on the U.S. market, where it is pursuing multiple contracts for its EWA and Early Tip Disbursement services.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAID) stock is a Sell with a C$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on XTM stock, see the TSE:PAID Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
XTM Inc. Partners with AGORACOM for U.S. Subsidiary Tokenization
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

XTM Inc. has signed a binding Letter of Intent with Dubai-based AGORACOM RWA DBX to facilitate the tokenization of Preferred Shares of its U.S. subsidiary, XTM USA. This initiative aims to unlock non-dilutive capital by leveraging digital asset markets and real-world asset tokenization infrastructure. The tokenization will focus on Preferred Shares in a private subsidiary, not affecting XTM’s common equity or public listing. This move is part of XTM’s strategy to explore innovative funding solutions that align with its long-term growth objectives, potentially opening new capital channels while maintaining operational control. The agreement marks XTM as one of the first publicly listed small-cap companies in North America to pursue such a strategy, signaling a shift in traditional financing models for the small-cap market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026