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XTM (TSE:PAID)
:PAID

XTM (PAID) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PAID

XTM

(PAID)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.03
▲(45.00% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by poor financial performance (loss-making operations, negative equity, and negative operating/free cash flow). Technicals offer only partial support with short-term strength but overbought indicators and a weaker long-term trend. Valuation is also unfavorable due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth trend
Sustained ~23% revenue growth indicates expanding customer adoption and market traction for XTM's payment offerings. Over a multi-quarter horizon this top-line momentum can help absorb fixed costs, support scale benefits, and provide runway for reinvestment if cash and margins improve.
Diversified revenue streams
XTM's model earns from transaction fees, subscriptions, partner integrations and interest on held funds, creating multiple recurring revenue vectors. Structural diversification reduces reliance on a single revenue type and supports predictable cash inflows as product adoption broadens.
Market focus on digital payments & gig economy
Targeting gig economy, retail and hospitality aligns XTM with long-term structural trends toward digital payroll and on-demand payments. This market positioning supports durable addressable-market expansion and recurring client needs for payroll and payout solutions over the coming years.
Negative Factors
Negative equity and high leverage
Negative equity and elevated leverage indicate a weakened capital structure that limits financial flexibility. Over months this raises refinancing and covenant risk, constrains ability to fund growth organically, and increases vulnerability to rate shifts or funding stress.
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flow undermine liquidity and require external financing or equity raises to sustain operations. This structural cash deficit pressures investment capacity, increases financing costs, and can dilute shareholders or restrict long-term strategic moves.
Deteriorating margins and loss-making operations
Negative and worsening gross, EBIT and net margins point to unfavorable unit economics or rising costs that impair sustainable profitability. Unless structural cost improvements or pricing power are achieved, prolonged losses will erode capital and hinder the company’s ability to scale profitably.

XTM (PAID) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

XTM Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXTM Inc. is a technology company focused on providing innovative solutions for businesses in the financial services sector. The company specializes in digital payment solutions, including prepaid cards and mobile wallets, catering primarily to the gig economy, retail, and hospitality industries. XTM's core products enable businesses to streamline their payment processes, enhance employee payroll systems, and offer flexible spending options to customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyXTM generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns money by charging transaction fees for the use of its prepaid card services and mobile payment solutions. Additionally, XTM may earn revenue from partnerships with businesses that integrate its payment solutions into their operations, as well as from subscription fees for premium services. The company also benefits from interest on funds held in its prepaid accounts and may explore additional revenue opportunities through value-added services and targeted marketing solutions to its customer base.

XTM Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite strong revenue growth, the company struggles with profitability and financial stability. Persistent operating losses and a heavy reliance on external financing highlight potential risks. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and reducing dependency on debt to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
The company has shown significant revenue growth over the years, with an annual increase from 2019 to 2024. However, it continues to operate at a loss, with negative EBIT and net income margins. These negative margins indicate challenges in achieving profitability despite revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, exacerbated by negative stockholders' equity, indicating potential financial instability. The equity ratio is negative due to liabilities exceeding assets, suggesting financial distress and potential risk for creditors.
Cash Flow
The company has a negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. The financing cash flow is positive, suggesting reliance on external financing to sustain operations. This reliance on external funding poses risks if capital becomes scarce.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.08M9.09M6.78M4.73M2.26M853.17K
Gross Profit-5.31M-148.73K219.29K930.41K755.16K82.51K
EBITDA-17.26M-19.77M-14.81M-7.04M-5.07M-3.20M
Net Income-20.65M-22.94M-16.08M-7.27M-5.45M-3.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.88M77.18M63.55M56.79M37.00M8.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments52.90M64.13K94.10K2.69M8.38M285.85K
Total Debt11.19M16.67M2.89M146.87K236.94K646.59K
Total Liabilities95.91M106.26M70.88M54.60M27.36M7.50M
Stockholders Equity-40.03M-29.08M-7.33M2.19M9.64M843.24K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.82M-10.27M-10.09M-5.94M-4.45M-2.66M
Operating Cash Flow-4.82M-9.57M-1.47M-5.86M-4.38M-2.48M
Investing Cash Flow3.43M-693.76K-10.62M-83.22K-71.77K-181.98K
Financing Cash Flow-2.80M10.32M9.20M271.63K12.55M2.94M

XTM Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.02
Positive
100DMA
0.03
Positive
200DMA
0.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
83.22
Negative
STOCH
77.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PAID, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, below the 50-day MA of 0.02, and below the 200-day MA of 0.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 83.22 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PAID.

XTM Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
51
Neutral
C$4.47M-11.3613.01%20.00%
49
Neutral
C$5.84M-1.1033.92%-402.25%
45
Neutral
C$8.92M-2.63-540.25%-33.97%59.10%
42
Neutral
C$12.57M-0.5022.81%11.13%
41
Neutral
C$5.17M-4.35-3428.85%-15.33%47.13%
40
Underperform
C$8.31M-0.12-18.97%-55.19%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PAID
XTM
0.05
-0.05
-50.00%
TSE:FARM
Deveron UAS
0.04
0.00
0.00%
TSE:VIS
Visionstate
0.02
-0.02
-50.00%
TSE:NERD
Nerds On Site
0.05
-0.02
-33.33%
TSE:PBIT
POSaBIT Systems
0.06
-0.04
-42.11%
TSE:DCSI
Direct Communication Solutions
2.35
-4.95
-67.81%

XTM Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
XTM Inc. Reports Revenue Growth and Strategic Shift in Q3 2025
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

XTM Inc. reported a 19% increase in year-to-date revenue and a 25% reduction in net operating loss for Q3 2025. The company has transitioned to a capital-light, profit-sharing model through a Management Services Agreement with Everyday People Financial Corp., which will manage XTM’s Canadian card and digital wallet programs. This strategic shift is expected to reduce costs and enhance operational efficiency. Additionally, XTM is focusing on expanding its U.S. market presence by pursuing contracts for Earned Wage Access and Early Tip Disbursement services, driven by favorable tax legislation.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAID) stock is a Sell with a C$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on XTM stock, see the TSE:PAID Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
XTM Inc. Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Transition
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

XTM Inc. has reported a 19% increase in year-to-date revenue and a 25% reduction in net operating loss for Q3 2025. The company has completed the sale of its processor assets, retaining essential EWA technology and client contracts, and is transitioning to a capital-light, profit-sharing business model through a Management Services Agreement with Everyday People Financial Corp. This strategic shift is expected to significantly reduce operating costs and enhance XTM’s focus on the U.S. market, where it is pursuing multiple contracts for its EWA and Early Tip Disbursement services.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PAID) stock is a Sell with a C$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on XTM stock, see the TSE:PAID Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
XTM Inc. Partners with AGORACOM for U.S. Subsidiary Tokenization
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

XTM Inc. has signed a binding Letter of Intent with Dubai-based AGORACOM RWA DBX to facilitate the tokenization of Preferred Shares of its U.S. subsidiary, XTM USA. This initiative aims to unlock non-dilutive capital by leveraging digital asset markets and real-world asset tokenization infrastructure. The tokenization will focus on Preferred Shares in a private subsidiary, not affecting XTM’s common equity or public listing. This move is part of XTM’s strategy to explore innovative funding solutions that align with its long-term growth objectives, potentially opening new capital channels while maintaining operational control. The agreement marks XTM as one of the first publicly listed small-cap companies in North America to pursue such a strategy, signaling a shift in traditional financing models for the small-cap market.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Everyday People Financial and XTM Inc. Forge Strategic Partnership to Enhance Canadian Payments Operations
Positive
Oct 24, 2025

Everyday People Financial Corp. and XTM Inc. have entered into a strategic Management Services Agreement to integrate their Canadian payments operations. This collaboration allows EPF to manage XTM’s network branded card and digital wallet programs, leveraging EPF’s regulatory and operational framework. The partnership is expected to enhance compliance, scalability, and profitability for both companies, with XTM benefiting from cost efficiencies and a focus on cross-border expansion. The agreement is structured to be capital-light and profit-sharing, promising significant revenue growth and improved financial performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026