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Orbit Garant Drill (TSE:OGD)
TSX:OGD
Canadian Market

Orbit Garant Drill (OGD) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:OGD

Orbit Garant Drill

(TSX:OGD)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.00
▲(41.84% Upside)
The score is driven by mixed financial performance (pressure on revenue growth, low net margins, and weaker free cash flow) balanced by clearly improving technical momentum. Valuation appears reasonable on P/E, while the latest earnings call tempers optimism with near-term revenue/margin weakness and higher debt despite a better demand outlook and a share buyback.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
A D/E of 0.48 with a TTM ROE of 11.49% indicates a balanced capital structure and competent use of equity. This financial flexibility supports equipment financing and geographic operations through cycles, reducing the risk of forced asset sales or capital rationing over coming quarters.
Scalable operational capacity
Management states existing operational capacity and a modern fleet allow higher utilization without heavy incremental capex. That structural advantage enables margin expansion as bid wins convert, letting the company scale revenue more efficiently than competitors requiring heavy capital outlays.
Favourable commodity-driven demand
Sustained high gold and copper prices structurally boost mining exploration and development budgets, which increases multi-quarter drilling demand. This commodity tailwind supports a deeper project pipeline and higher utilization rates, improving medium-term revenue visibility for drilling contractors.
Negative Factors
Weak profitability / low margins
Thin net margins (under 4%) and only moderate gross margins limit retained earnings and reinvestment capacity. Persistently low profitability reduces the firm's ability to absorb cost shocks, finance growth internally, or improve returns, making earnings sensitive to project mix and pricing pressure.
Revenue volatility from project timing
Reliance on project timing and customer scheduling creates recurring revenue volatility, as seen with project completions and client delays. Structural exposure to lumpy contracts can compress utilization and extend recovery times, complicating predictable cash flows and planning over several quarters.
Cash generation pressure and higher leverage
Negative FCF growth and an OCF-to-net-income of 0.58 point to weak cash conversion, while long-term debt increased to fund equipment shipments. Structurally weak cash generation plus rising leverage can limit reinvestment, constrain liquidity buffers, and raise financing costs in a tighter credit environment.

Orbit Garant Drill (OGD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Orbit Garant Drill Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrbit Garant Drilling Inc. provides mineral drilling services in Canada, the United States, South America, and West Africa. It provides underground and surface diamond drilling services to mining companies through various stages of mineral exploration, mine development, and production. The company also offers geotechnical and water drilling services to mining or mineral exploration companies, engineering and environmental consultant firms, and government agencies. In addition, it manufactures and sells conventional and specialized drill rigs. As of June 30, 2021, the company operated 223 drill rigs, including 101 underground drills and 122 drill rigs. Orbit Garant Drilling Inc. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Val-d'Or, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrbit Garant Drill generates revenue primarily through its drilling services, which are billed on a per-project basis or through long-term contracts with mining companies and exploration firms. Key revenue streams include surface and underground drilling operations, geotechnical services, and environmental drilling projects. The company benefits from significant partnerships with major mining companies, which provide a steady stream of contracts. Additionally, OGD's focus on maintaining a modern fleet of drilling equipment and investing in technology enhances its operational efficiency and service offerings, further contributing to its earnings.

Orbit Garant Drill Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with both positive and negative aspects. While the company faces short-term challenges, such as decreased revenue and gross margin due to project delays, it is optimistic about future demand driven by high metal prices and increased bidding activities. The company is well-positioned to meet higher demand with its existing operational capacity, and it has strategies to enhance profitability and shareholder value.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Demand in Drilling Services
Demand for drilling services in Canada and South America is increasing due to near record gold prices and elevated copper prices. Bidding activities on new projects have increased significantly in recent weeks.
Operational Capacity for Higher Demand
Orbit Garant Drilling has the operational capacity to accommodate higher customer demand with minimal capital expenditure, which presents an opportunity to expand profitability despite a competitive environment.
Positive Outlook for Metal Prices
Gold prices reached all-time highs, and copper prices hit record levels, supporting favorable demand for Orbit Garant Drilling's services, particularly in Chile.
Share Repurchase Program
Toronto Stock Exchange approved a renewed normal course issuer bid to repurchase up to 500,000 shares, enhancing shareholder value.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue for the first quarter declined by 3.7% compared to Q1 last year, from $48.4 million to $46.7 million, due to project completions and client-initiated project delays.
Decreased Gross Margin
Adjusted gross margin decreased from 20.2% in Q1 last year to 17.0% this quarter, primarily due to project completions and delays.
Lower Net Earnings
Net earnings for the quarter were $0.3 million or $0.01 per share diluted, down from $2.9 million or $0.08 per share in Q1 last year, due to lower operating earnings.
Increased Debt
The long-term debt under the credit facility increased from $14.0 million to $19.3 million, primarily due to shipments of equipment and inventory for operations in Nunavut and Nunavik.
Company Guidance
In the recent conference call, Orbit Garant Drilling provided guidance indicating a challenging first quarter of fiscal 2026, with revenue declining by 3.7% to $46.7 million compared to the same quarter last year. Adjusted gross margin dropped to 17% from 20.2% the previous year, primarily due to project completions and client-initiated delays in Canada and South America. Despite these setbacks, the company remains optimistic about future growth due to near-record gold prices above USD 4,000 an ounce and copper prices exceeding USD 5 per pound. They reported a net increase in long-term debt to $19.3 million as of September 30, 2025, driven by equipment shipments to northern projects. However, Orbit Garant anticipates increased customer demand and a significant rise in bidding activity, with plans to strategically expand their drilling capacity to capitalize on these opportunities. They expect working capital to remain stable for the rest of the year and are cautiously optimistic about improved financial performance in the coming quarters.

Orbit Garant Drill Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: stable gross margin (~14.8%) and a reasonably strong balance sheet (D/E 0.48, ROE 11.49%), but profitability is thin (net margin 3.99%), TTM revenue growth is negative, and cash flow is a concern with negative free cash flow growth and only moderate cash conversion (OCF/NI 0.58).
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. Gross profit margin is stable around 14.8% in TTM, indicating decent cost management. However, the net profit margin is low at 3.99%, suggesting limited profitability. Revenue growth is negative in TTM, reflecting a decline in sales. EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, showing some operational efficiency but room for improvement.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively strong with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48, indicating a balanced capital structure. Return on equity is 11.49% in TTM, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting financial stability. However, there is a need to monitor debt levels to maintain this balance.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a negative free cash flow growth rate in TTM, indicating cash outflows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.58, showing moderate cash generation from operations. Free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, but overall cash flow management needs improvement to support growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue187.28M189.05M181.24M200.98M195.47M163.29M
Gross Profit26.31M28.28M20.37M16.82M13.74M20.29M
EBITDA22.20M20.47M9.16M14.87M9.97M17.58M
Net Income4.72M7.54M-1.32M-669.00K-6.65M2.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets138.55M130.64M119.88M127.56M137.06M138.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.42M3.54M332.00K2.18M1.02M3.26M
Total Debt37.66M32.66M34.12M37.01M40.31M37.30M
Total Liabilities69.60M62.22M59.65M65.92M74.55M67.79M
Stockholders Equity68.95M68.42M60.23M61.64M62.51M70.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-813.00K7.32M481.00K4.92M-6.14M1.93M
Operating Cash Flow12.09M18.52M9.22M14.35M5.86M9.79M
Investing Cash Flow-10.33M-8.57M-5.98M-8.44M-10.78M-6.70M
Financing Cash Flow-1.16M-6.67M-5.56M-4.43M2.71M-3.79M

Orbit Garant Drill Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.41
Price Trends
50DMA
1.47
Positive
100DMA
1.56
Positive
200DMA
1.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
60.89
Neutral
STOCH
63.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OGD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.65, below the 50-day MA of 1.47, and below the 200-day MA of 1.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OGD.

Orbit Garant Drill Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
C$66.32M13.847.13%1.04%107.55%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
C$59.48M-33.46-1.53%5.26%
50
Neutral
C$106.34M-46.34-50.65%62.70%
46
Neutral
C$45.73M-63.49-1.60%88.42%
41
Neutral
C$56.03M-53.4947.56%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OGD
Orbit Garant Drill
1.75
0.75
75.00%
TSE:ESK
Eskay Mining
0.57
0.38
200.00%
TSE:PX
Pelangio Exploration
0.23
0.19
475.00%
TSE:TK
Tinka Resources
0.45
0.05
11.53%
TSE:AZT
Aztec Minerals
0.38
0.19
100.00%
TSE:CNRI
Canadian North Resources, Inc.
0.40
-0.60
-60.00%

Orbit Garant Drill Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orbit Garant Reports Decline in Q1 2026 Earnings Amid Project Delays
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

Orbit Garant Drilling Inc. reported a decrease in revenue and net earnings for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, attributed to the completion of certain projects and temporary delays in Canada and South America. Despite the current financial results, the company remains optimistic about future growth due to increasing demand for drilling services, supported by high gold and copper prices, and anticipates benefiting from the resumption of delayed projects and new contract bids.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OGD) stock is a Buy with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orbit Garant Drill stock, see the TSE:OGD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026