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Methanex (MX) Earnings Dates, Call Summary & Reports

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Earnings Data

Report Date

Aug 05, 2026

TBA (Confirmed)

Period Ending

2026 (Q2)

Consensus EPS Forecast

5.39

Last Year’s EPS

1.34

Same Quarter Last Year

Analyst Consensus

Moderate Buy

Based on 7 Analysts Ratings

Earnings Call Summary

Q1 2026

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026|

% Change Since:

Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive

The call presented a cautiously optimistic near-term outlook: strong Q1 results, a pronounced and favorable spike in methanol prices with management expecting materially higher Q2 earnings and cash flow, solid cash position and clear deleveraging plans, and strategic advantages such as owned shipping and ammonia price upside. Offsetting this optimism are meaningful operational and geopolitical risks (Middle East supply uncertainty), rising input and freight costs that will partly flow into results with a lag, localized production risks (Chile, Trinidad, New Zealand), and temporary integration cost carry. On balance, the potential upside from much higher prices and deleveraging progress outweigh the highlighted risks in the short term, though the company emphasizes continued uncertainty and monitoring.

Company Guidance

Methanex guided to materially stronger Q2 earnings and cash flow versus Q1 (which had a $351/tonne average realized price, ~2.2 million tonnes of produced methanol sales, $220 million adjusted EBITDA and $23 million adjusted net income), noting April–May realized prices of roughly $500–$525/tonne and saying if that holds through June with produced sales similar to Q1 they expect a significant increase in adjusted EBITDA; operational metrics cited included total equity Q1 production of 2.4 million tonnes (Geismar 934k, Beaumont [inaudible] in Q1, NatGasoline equity 203k, Chile 398k, New Zealand 158k) and 2026 equity production guidance of 9 million tonnes, while financial priorities are deleveraging (Q1 repaid $60 million of Term Loan A, ending cash ~ $380 million, and they expect to repay the remaining ~$290 million term loan this quarter and then target the 2027 bond with most free cash flow plus selective buybacks), with tax guidance at a 25% rate (cash vs. deferred moving toward ~50/50 in a higher‑price environment), a ~45‑day inventory lag (30–40 days of which will flow into Q3), higher working capital driven by receivables, elevated ocean freight and integration dynamics (OCI synergies ~ $30 million with double IT costs in 2026 and synergies phasing from Jan‑2027), and asset‑specific cautions (planning to idle one Chile plant mid‑Q2; Trinidad gas contract up Sept; New Zealand faces structural gas challenges).

Q1 Financial Results

Average realized price of $351/tonne; produced methanol sales of ~2.2 million tonnes; adjusted EBITDA of $220 million; adjusted net income of $23 million. Cash on balance sheet nearly $380 million and $60 million of Term Loan A repaid in Q1.

Production and Operations

Total equity methanol production of 2.4 million tonnes in Q1 (slightly higher vs Q4). U.S. Geismar production 934k tonnes and NatGasoline JV equity share 203k tonnes. Egypt plant operated at full rates; Chile produced 398k tonnes and New Zealand produced 158k tonnes.

Material Pricing Upswing and Q2 Outlook

Rapid methanol price escalation through March–April due to Middle East disruptions. Management estimates realized price of ~$500–$525/tonne for April and May (an increase of roughly +42% to +50% vs Q1 realized price of $351/tonne). Company expects significantly stronger earnings and cash flows in Q2 versus Q1 and forecasts a meaningful increase in adjusted EBITDA if prices hold through June at similar volumes.

Deleveraging and Capital Allocation Plan

Plan to repay remaining term loan of ~ $290 million in the quarter and then direct majority of free cash flow to repayment of the 2027 bond; evaluating smaller share buybacks only if accretive. Demonstrated deleveraging with $60M repayment already completed in Q1.

Strategic and Structural Advantages

Advantaged asset base operating reliably; ownership of shipping fleet provides competitive advantage vs spot freight market volatility. Management reiterates 2026 equity production guide of 9.0 million tonnes (subject to quarter-to-quarter variance).

Ammonia Earnings Upside

Ammonia production ~80k tonnes/quarter. Tampa price used at acquisition was ~$450/tonne; current price ~$775/tonne implying uplift of ~$20M+ EBITDA per quarter vs prior baseline—material incremental contribution to earnings.

OCI Integration and Synergies

OCI integration progressing with estimated synergies of about $30 million. Some synergy realization already achieved; temporary higher fixed-cost carry in 2026 with expected synergies beginning January 2027.

Methanex (TSE:MX) Earnings, Revenues Date & History

The upcoming earnings date is based on a company’s previous reporting, and may be updated when the actual date is announced

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TSE:MX Earnings History

Report Date	Fiscal Quarter	Forecast / EPS	Last Year's EPS	EPS YoY Change	Slides	Play Transcript
Aug 05, 2026	2026 (Q2)	5.39 / -	1.341	―	―	―
Apr 29, 2026	2026 (Q1)	0.53 / 0.41	1.799	-77.32% (-1.39)	―
Mar 05, 2026	2025 (Q4)	0.92 / -0.19	1.787	-110.69% (-1.98)	―
Oct 29, 2025	2025 (Q3)	0.52 / 0.08	1.678	-94.99% (-1.59)	―
Jul 30, 2025	2025 (Q2)	0.39 / 1.34	0.856	56.66% (+0.48)	―
Apr 30, 2025	2025 (Q1)	1.80 / 1.80	0.891	101.91% (+0.91)	―
Jan 29, 2025	2024 (Q4)	1.57 / 1.79	0.698	156.02% (+1.09)	―
Nov 06, 2024	2024 (Q3)	0.78 / 1.68	0.028	5892.86% (+1.65)	―
Jul 30, 2024	2024 (Q2)	0.72 / 0.86	0.792	8.08% (+0.06)	―
Apr 24, 2024	2024 (Q1)	0.41 / 0.89	1.511	-41.03% (-0.62)	―

The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.

Beat

Missed

TSE:MX Earnings-Related Price Changes

Report Date	Price 1 Day Before	Price 1 Day After	Percentage Change
Apr 29, 2026	C$86.36	C$88.59	+2.57%
Mar 05, 2026	C$77.46	C$67.06	-13.42%
Oct 29, 2025	C$46.95	C$46.86	-0.19%
Jul 30, 2025	C$44.72	C$45.57	+1.89%

Earnings announcements can affect a stock’s price. This table shows the stock's price the day before and the day after recent earnings reports, including the percentage change.

FAQ

When does Methanex (TSE:MX) report earnings?

Methanex (TSE:MX) is schdueled to report earning on Aug 05, 2026, TBA (Confirmed).

What is Methanex (TSE:MX) earnings time?

Methanex (TSE:MX) earnings time is at Aug 05, 2026, TBA (Confirmed).

Where can I see when companies are reporting earnings?

You can see which companies are reporting today on our designated earnings calendar.

What companies are reporting earnings today?

You can see a list of the companies which are reporting today on TipRanks earnings calendar.

What is TSE:MX EPS forecast?

TSE:MX EPS forecast for the fiscal quarter 2026 (Q2) is 5.39.