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Microbix Biosystms J (TSE:MBX)
TSX:MBX
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Microbix Biosystms (MBX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MBX

Microbix Biosystms

(TSX:MBX)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.50
▲(108.33% Upside)
Microbix Biosystems has a stable financial position with strong revenue growth and improving profitability, but faces challenges in maintaining revenue momentum. Technical indicators show neutral momentum, and valuation metrics suggest potential overvaluation. The earnings call provided a mixed outlook, with significant revenue setbacks but promising future growth prospects.
Positive Factors
Product Line Expansion
The introduction of the QUANTDx product line represents a strategic expansion into higher-value offerings, potentially increasing revenue and embedding the company more deeply with customers, enhancing long-term growth prospects.
Financial Stability
A strong balance sheet with low leverage and significant cash reserves provides financial stability, enabling the company to weather short-term challenges and invest in future growth opportunities.
Growth in Core Business
Strong growth in core business areas like QAPs and antigens indicates robust demand and market acceptance, supporting long-term revenue potential and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Significant revenue decline from major clients highlights dependency risks and challenges in maintaining growth momentum, which could impact financial performance if not addressed.
Margin Pressure
Margin pressure from fixed costs and product mix challenges could limit profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments to improve cost efficiency and product offerings.
Market Demand Uncertainty
Uncertainty in market demand, particularly in key regions like China, poses risks to revenue stability and growth, requiring diversification and strategic market engagement to mitigate impacts.

Microbix Biosystms (MBX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Microbix Biosystms Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMicrobix Biosystems Inc., a life science company, develops and commercializes proprietary biological and technological solutions for human health and wellbeing in North America, Europe, and internationally. It manufactures a range of critical biological materials for the diagnostics industry, notably antigens for immunoassays and its laboratory quality assessment and proficiency (QAPs) that support clinical lab proficiency testing, assay development and validation, or clinical lab workflows. The company also applies its biological expertise and infrastructure to develop other proprietary products, primarily viral transport medium (DxTM) to stabilize patient samples for lab-based testing and Kinlytic Urokinase, a biologic thrombolytic drug used to treat blood clots. It sells QAPs to lab accreditation organizations, diagnostics companies, and clinical labs through a network of regional distributors. Microbix Biosystems Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMicrobix Biosystems generates revenue primarily through the sale of its proprietary products, which include antigens and quality control materials used in diagnostic testing. Their revenue model is based on direct sales to diagnostic laboratories, pharmaceutical companies, and other healthcare providers. Key revenue streams include the sale of viral and bacterial antigens, which are vital for various tests, as well as quality control products that ensure the reliability of laboratory results. Additionally, the company benefits from partnerships with other biotech firms and research institutions, which can lead to collaborative projects and increased sales opportunities. Significant contracts and collaborations with major players in the diagnostics industry further enhance its revenue potential, allowing Microbix to expand its market presence and leverage its product offerings effectively.

Microbix Biosystms Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a challenging quarter for Microbix, marked by significant revenue setbacks with two major clients, leading to the weakest performance in three years. However, the company remains financially stable with promising new product developments and ongoing progress in the Kinlytic project. Despite immediate challenges, the company is poised for future growth, building on strong financials and expanding product lines.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Double-Digit Growth in QAPs and Antigen Business
Excluding two major clients who slowed down, the company saw a 13% growth in its QAPs business and 34% in its antigen business.
Financial Stability
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a current ratio of 9.73%, a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.3, and cash equivalents of $12 million, allowing access to up to $24 million of capital if needed.
New Product Developments
The company announced a new QUANTDx product line, which will sell at higher prices and embed with customers earlier in assay development.
Kinlytic Progress
Kinlytic's development is on track for a 2027 launch with Sequel funding the commercialization, providing a stable future revenue stream.
Negative Updates
Weakest Quarter in Three Years
The third quarter of fiscal 2025 was the weakest in three years due to lower sales from two major clients, resulting in a net loss.
Margin and Revenue Challenges
Fixed manufacturing costs and unfavorable product mix led to lower margins. Revenue shortfalls were due to customer concentration and reduced sales.
Setbacks in China Market
Sales were affected by reduced demand for respiratory infection testing in China, with uncertainty about the future recovery of demand.
Operational and FX Challenges
The quarter faced increased operational expenses with no offsetting OTF funding and unfavorable foreign exchange losses.
Company Guidance
During the call, Microbix provided guidance on their financial and operational outlook following a challenging third quarter in fiscal 2025. The company reported a net loss owing to significant revenue declines from two major clients, which impacted their ability to cover a $5 million to $5.5 million breakeven point. Despite this, they noted a 13% year-to-date growth in their QAPs business excluding those clients, and a 34% growth in their antigen business. The company's balance sheet remains strong, boasting a current ratio of 9.73% and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.3, alongside cash and cash equivalents of $12 million. With access to up to $24 million in capital, they are positioned to withstand a few quarters of losses. Operational efficiencies are being enhanced, with ongoing investments in R&D and capabilities like synthetic biology. The company is optimistic about future growth, aiming to restore margins by boosting sales by a couple of million per quarter and leveraging new products like QUANTDx. They are also advancing the Kinlytic project, anticipating a 2027 launch with no clinical failure expected. Despite the setbacks, Microbix is committed to expanding their client base and product offerings to drive future growth.

Microbix Biosystms Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Microbix Biosystems shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, and cash flows are increasingly positive. However, challenges in maintaining revenue momentum and potential liquidity risks due to past negative free cash flow are concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Microbix Biosystems has shown strong revenue growth from 2020 to 2024, with a significant improvement in net profit margins. The company achieved a positive net income in recent years, contrasting with previous losses. Notably, the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a gross profit margin of 56.1% and a net profit margin of 8.3%, pointing to improved profitability. However, the recent decline in total revenue from the annual report suggests potential challenges in maintaining revenue momentum.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a stable equity base, with a notable decrease in debt levels over the years. The debt-to-equity ratio shows a moderate level of leverage, which is manageable. The equity ratio has been improving, indicating a stronger financial position. However, the biotechnology industry is capital intensive, and continuous investment might affect leverage ratios.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Microbix Biosystems has demonstrated an improvement in operating cash flow, achieving positive free cash flow in the latest periods. The free cash flow to net income ratio suggests healthy cash generation relative to profits. However, past periods of negative free cash flow highlight potential liquidity risks if revenue declines or investment increases unexpectedly.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.13M25.39M16.51M19.08M18.59M10.52M
Gross Profit11.79M15.39M7.48M11.12M11.04M4.66M
EBITDA2.47M6.21M1.96M3.73M5.66M-2.91M
Net Income-324.83K3.52M-39.48K1.79M1.63M-6.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.26M38.10M35.65M33.15M28.83M15.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.10M12.96M11.61M13.49M9.99M92.66K
Total Debt6.41M6.40M6.65M5.82M7.74M6.17M
Total Liabilities8.94M9.80M11.03M8.21M10.27M8.98M
Stockholders Equity29.32M28.30M24.62M24.94M18.56M6.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-270.79K2.44M-2.11M1.44M804.20K-805.34K
Operating Cash Flow601.69K4.35M-1.09M3.47M2.11M8.57K
Investing Cash Flow-872.48K-1.91M-1.02M-2.03M-622.34K-813.91K
Financing Cash Flow-437.09K-1.08M229.21K2.06M8.41M802.43K

Microbix Biosystms Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.24
Price Trends
50DMA
0.25
Negative
100DMA
0.27
Negative
200DMA
0.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
41.39
Neutral
STOCH
<0.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MBX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.26, below the 50-day MA of 0.25, and below the 200-day MA of 0.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of <0.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:MBX.

Microbix Biosystms Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$59.77M25.009.01%13.00%
63
Neutral
C$33.48M24.14-1.13%-9.54%-105.12%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
43
Neutral
41
Neutral
C$62.79M-33.66%-48.89%
33
Underperform
C$55.88M55.88%
33
Underperform
C$157.95M-31.12%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MBX
Microbix Biosystms
0.26
-0.06
-18.75%
ONCY
Oncolytics Biotech
1.18
-0.04
-3.28%
TSE:ONC
Oncolytics Biotech
1.42
-0.28
-16.47%
TSE:COV
Covalon Technologies
2.19
-0.94
-30.03%
TSE:HBP
Helix BioPharma
2.40
1.40
140.00%
TSE:MIR
Medmira
0.09
<0.01
12.50%
TSE:SVA
Sernova
0.16
-0.09
-36.00%

Microbix Biosystms Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Microbix Biosystems to Engage with Investors at Muskoka Capital Event
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

Microbix Biosystems Inc. announced its participation in the Muskoka Capital Event, where its CEO and COO will engage in one-on-one meetings with growth-oriented investors. This event is an opportunity for Microbix to enhance its visibility among investors and potentially secure financing and market support. The company’s participation underscores its proactive approach in engaging with the investment community to bolster its market presence and operational growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MBX) stock is a Buy with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microbix Biosystms stock, see the TSE:MBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Microbix and EMQN Launch EQA Program for Genetic Testing in Clopidogrel Dosing
Positive
Sep 23, 2025

Microbix Biosystems Inc. and EMQN CIC have launched a new external quality assessment (EQA) program to improve the accuracy of genetic testing for patients prescribed the anti-clotting drug Clopidogrel. This initiative aims to ensure that patients with gene variants affecting drug metabolism receive appropriate dosing, thereby reducing the risk of life-threatening bleeding or clots. The program utilizes Microbix’s quality assessment products to help laboratories maintain testing proficiency, ultimately aiding physicians and pharmacists in making informed prescription decisions. This collaboration marks Microbix’s second venture into supporting genetic test accuracy, complementing its established roles in infectious diseases and oncology.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MBX) stock is a Buy with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microbix Biosystms stock, see the TSE:MBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Microbix and Labquality Launch EQA Program for Accurate HPV-Related Cancer Diagnosis
Positive
Sep 17, 2025

Microbix Biosystems Inc. and Labquality Oy have launched a novel external quality assessment (EQA) program to help clinical laboratories accurately identify head and neck cancers associated with HPV. This initiative addresses a critical need in the diagnostics industry by providing proficiency testing for labs, using Microbix’s QAPs that emulate clinical specimens. The program aims to enhance diagnostic accuracy, reduce subjectivity in test interpretation, and prevent inappropriate treatment decisions, thereby supporting labs in achieving high-quality assurance standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MBX) stock is a Buy with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microbix Biosystms stock, see the TSE:MBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Microbix Hosts Ontario Minister to Showcase Biotech Innovations
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

Microbix Biosystems Inc. recently hosted Ontario’s Minister of Public and Business Service Delivery, Stephen Crawford, at its biotechnology manufacturing facilities in Mississauga. The visit highlighted the company’s role in advancing next-generation diagnostics to improve health outcomes and reduce healthcare costs. Supported by Ontario’s government with significant grant funding, Microbix has developed state-of-the-art manufacturing capabilities and world-leading healthcare products. The company’s operations contribute to economic growth and job creation in Ontario, emphasizing its commitment to innovation and quality in the life sciences sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MBX) stock is a Buy with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microbix Biosystms stock, see the TSE:MBX Stock Forecast page.

Microbix Biosystems Navigates Challenges with Strategic Growth
Sep 1, 2025

Microbix Biosystems’ latest earnings call painted a picture of a challenging quarter, marked by significant revenue setbacks with two major clients. This led to the weakest performance in three years. Despite these hurdles, the company remains financially stable, with promising new product developments and ongoing progress in the Kinlytic project. The company is poised for future growth, building on strong financials and expanding product lines.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Microbix Biosystems Faces Revenue Decline Amid Market Challenges
Negative
Aug 14, 2025

Microbix Biosystems reported a challenging third quarter for fiscal 2025, with revenues falling to $3.5 million, a 31% decrease from the previous year, primarily due to reduced sales in China and the cancellation of test-development programs by a key customer. Despite a strong cash position, the company experienced a net loss of $1.64 million, driven by weaker gross margins and increased operating expenses. The year-to-date performance also saw a decline in revenues and margins, leading to an operating loss, although antigen sales showed some growth. The company’s financial ratios improved, indicating a strong liquidity position, but the outlook remains cautious due to ongoing challenges in key markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MBX) stock is a Buy with a C$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microbix Biosystms stock, see the TSE:MBX Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Microbix Biosystems to Announce Q3 Fiscal 2025 Results
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

Microbix Biosystems Inc. announced the upcoming release of its Q3 fiscal 2025 financial results, scheduled for August 14, 2025, followed by a webinar discussion with the company’s executives. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and operational performance, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MBX) stock is a Buy with a C$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microbix Biosystms stock, see the TSE:MBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Microbix Biosystems Expands Diagnostic Support with QUANTDx Launch
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

Microbix Biosystems Inc. has launched QUANTDx™, a new line of characterized reference materials aimed at supporting diagnostic assay manufacturers. This product line, introduced at the ADLM 2025 conference, includes over 80 reference materials covering six common disease panels, addressing a critical need for high-quality, standardized materials in infectious disease diagnostics. The launch is expected to enhance Microbix’s role as a trusted partner in the diagnostics industry, drive revenue growth, and expand its global customer base.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MBX) stock is a Buy with a C$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microbix Biosystms stock, see the TSE:MBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Microbix Biosystems Showcases Pandemic Preparedness at ADLM Conference
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

Microbix Biosystems Inc. announced its participation in the Association for Diagnostic & Laboratory Medicine (ADLM) conference in Chicago, where it will present and exhibit its quality assessment products (QAPs) that ensure the accuracy of diagnostic tests. A key highlight is the presentation of a pilot External Quality Assessment program using novel QAPs for detecting the H5N1 pandemic strain, developed in collaboration with the American Proficiency Institute. This initiative underscores Microbix’s role in pandemic preparedness, showcasing its ability to rapidly deploy solutions for emerging health threats.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MBX) stock is a Buy with a C$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microbix Biosystms stock, see the TSE:MBX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2025