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Microbix Biosystms J (TSE:MBX)
TSX:MBX

Microbix Biosystms (MBX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MBX

Microbix Biosystms

(TSX:MBX)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.21
▼(-10.83% Downside)
Microbix Biosystems faces significant challenges in financial performance, with declining revenues and profitability issues. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while valuation metrics are unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio. However, the earnings call provides some optimism with operational improvements and a strong financial position, aiming for recovery in fiscal 2026.
Positive Factors
Product Line Expansion
The introduction of the QUANTDx product line, which integrates earlier in assay development and sells at higher prices, positions Microbix to enhance its market presence and drive revenue growth, reflecting a strategic expansion of its product offerings.
Financial Stability
A strong balance sheet with a high current ratio and low debt-to-equity ratio provides Microbix with financial resilience, enabling it to withstand temporary setbacks and invest in growth opportunities.
Growth in Core Segments
The robust growth in the QAPs and antigen segments, despite setbacks from major clients, underscores the strength and potential of Microbix's core business areas, supporting long-term revenue expansion.
Negative Factors
Revenue Challenges
Significant revenue declines from key clients highlight customer concentration risks, which can impact financial performance and necessitate diversification to stabilize future earnings.
Margin Pressures
Persistent margin pressures from fixed costs and product mix challenges could constrain profitability, requiring strategic adjustments to improve cost efficiency and product offerings.
Market Uncertainty in China
The decline in demand for respiratory infection testing in China introduces uncertainty in a key market, potentially affecting future revenue streams and necessitating strategic market adjustments.

Microbix Biosystms (MBX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Microbix Biosystms Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMicrobix Biosystems Inc., a life science company, develops and commercializes proprietary biological and technological solutions for human health and wellbeing in North America, Europe, and internationally. It manufactures a range of critical biological materials for the diagnostics industry, notably antigens for immunoassays and its laboratory quality assessment and proficiency (QAPs) that support clinical lab proficiency testing, assay development and validation, or clinical lab workflows. The company also applies its biological expertise and infrastructure to develop other proprietary products, primarily viral transport medium (DxTM) to stabilize patient samples for lab-based testing and Kinlytic Urokinase, a biologic thrombolytic drug used to treat blood clots. It sells QAPs to lab accreditation organizations, diagnostics companies, and clinical labs through a network of regional distributors. Microbix Biosystems Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMicrobix Biosystems generates revenue primarily through the sale of its proprietary products, which include antigens and quality control materials used in diagnostic testing. Their revenue model is based on direct sales to diagnostic laboratories, pharmaceutical companies, and other healthcare providers. Key revenue streams include the sale of viral and bacterial antigens, which are vital for various tests, as well as quality control products that ensure the reliability of laboratory results. Additionally, the company benefits from partnerships with other biotech firms and research institutions, which can lead to collaborative projects and increased sales opportunities. Significant contracts and collaborations with major players in the diagnostics industry further enhance its revenue potential, allowing Microbix to expand its market presence and leverage its product offerings effectively.

Microbix Biosystms Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 18, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted substantial achievements in product development and operational efficiencies, positioning Microbix for future growth. However, the company faced significant revenue declines and profitability challenges in the second half of the year due to unexpected client losses and market conditions in China. Despite these setbacks, the company maintains a strong financial position and a positive outlook for recovery in fiscal 2026.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
New Product Launches and Collaborations
Microbix announced several new product lines and collaborations, including the QUANTDx reference materials product line and partnerships with companies like SEKISUI and Seegene. These initiatives are expected to drive future growth and expand addressable markets.
Operational Efficiency Improvements
The company achieved significant improvements in batch yields and reduced failure rates, leading to lower costs and higher margins. Investments in automation and electronic quality management systems are expected to further enhance efficiencies.
Strong Financial Position
Microbix ended the fiscal year with a strong cash balance of over $12 million and access to additional funds through an undrawn mortgage facility and line of credit, totaling up to $24 million.
Support for Industry Needs
The company continued its support for public health with new products for emerging respiratory pandemics and collaborations for cervical cancer screening in multiple countries.
Negative Updates
Significant Revenue Decline
Overall revenues for the year decreased by 27%, impacted by the abrupt termination of a major client's project and reduced sales to China due to epidemiological reasons.
Profitability Challenges
The company experienced a profitable first half but faced a sizable loss in the second half of the fiscal year due to unexpected events and project cancellations.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Microbix provided guidance that highlighted both challenges and opportunities for fiscal 2025 and the outlook for 2026. The company experienced a 27% decline in revenue, primarily due to a 100% reduction in Kinlytic revenues from $4.1 million in the previous year, as well as a slowdown in sales to China and the cancellation of a multi-hundred-million-dollar program with a major client. Despite these setbacks, other revenue areas increased by 12%. The gross margin decreased from 61% to 53%, attributed largely to the absence of Kinlytic sales. Operational improvements were noted, with batch yields increasing and failures decreasing significantly. For fiscal 2026, Microbix is targeting a 30% revenue growth from the low point of Q3, aiming to regain quarterly profitability by Q4. The company maintained a strong cash position of over $12 million and has access to up to $24 million in additional funds through undrawn credit facilities, ensuring financial resources to execute its plans without issuing new equity.

Microbix Biosystms Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Microbix Biosystems is facing challenges in revenue growth and profitability, as reflected in the income statement. The balance sheet remains stable with manageable leverage, but recent profitability issues are concerning. Cash flow analysis indicates liquidity challenges despite improvements in free cash flow growth. Overall, the company needs to address revenue and profitability pressures to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Microbix Biosystems has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -12.06% in the latest year. The company also reported negative net income, resulting in a negative net profit margin. The gross profit margin remains relatively healthy at 53.01%, but the negative EBIT margin indicates operational challenges. Overall, the income statement reflects a company facing revenue and profitability pressures.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24, indicating manageable leverage. However, the return on equity has turned negative, reflecting recent profitability issues. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet is stable but highlights concerns about recent profitability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant increase in free cash flow growth, but the company still reports negative free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. Despite improvements in free cash flow growth, the cash flow statement suggests liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.59M18.59M25.39M16.51M19.08M18.59M
Gross Profit9.85M9.85M15.39M7.48M11.12M11.04M
EBITDA428.23K428.23K6.21M1.96M3.73M5.66M
Net Income-2.25M-2.25M3.52M-39.48K1.79M1.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.41M37.41M38.10M35.65M33.15M28.83M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.11M12.11M12.96M11.61M13.49M9.99M
Total Debt6.77M6.77M6.40M6.65M5.82M7.74M
Total Liabilities9.62M9.62M9.80M11.03M8.21M10.27M
Stockholders Equity27.79M27.79M28.30M24.62M24.94M18.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-877.58K-877.58K2.44M-2.11M1.44M804.20K
Operating Cash Flow-80.29K-80.29K4.35M-1.09M3.47M2.11M
Investing Cash Flow-797.30K-797.30K-1.91M-1.02M-2.03M-622.34K
Financing Cash Flow27.00K27.00K-1.08M229.21K2.06M8.41M

Microbix Biosystms Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.24
Price Trends
50DMA
0.24
Negative
100DMA
0.24
Negative
200DMA
0.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
51.85
Neutral
STOCH
30.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MBX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.24, below the 50-day MA of 0.24, and below the 200-day MA of 0.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:MBX.

Microbix Biosystms Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
C$33.31M-15.19-8.01%-26.81%-161.24%
45
Neutral
C$32.84M-8.9072.92%
44
Neutral
C$12.70M-0.09-409.25%62.01%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MBX
Microbix Biosystms
0.24
-0.20
-45.45%
TSE:BCT
BriaCell Therapeutics
6.25
-76.25
-92.42%
TSE:RVX
Resverlogix
0.10
0.04
58.33%
TSE:GSD
Devonian Health Group
0.17
0.01
6.25%
TSE:DTC
Defence Therapeutics
0.63
-0.04
-5.97%
TSE:TTI
Thiogenesis Therapeutics Corp
0.61
0.06
10.91%

Microbix Biosystms Corporate Events

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Microbix Tightens EBITDA Disclosure After OSC Review
Neutral
Jan 9, 2026

Microbix Biosystems Inc., a Canadian life sciences manufacturer specializing in antigens, quality assessment products, and reference materials for the global diagnostics market, has operations spanning over 30 countries and also develops proprietary therapeutics and molecular diagnostic reagents under stringent international regulatory accreditations. The company has updated the investor presentation on its website to add required disclosures explaining its use of EBITDA, after Ontario Securities Commission staff flagged that earlier slides referenced this non-IFRS financial measure without sufficient detail on its composition, usefulness, and reconciliation to IFRS figures; the move reflects an effort to align its continuous disclosure materials more closely with Canadian securities rules and enhance transparency for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MBX) stock is a Hold with a C$0.21 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microbix Biosystms stock, see the TSE:MBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Microbix Launches First Recombinant SARS-CoV-2 Antigen for QAPs and Test Makers
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

Microbix Biosystems has commercialized its first recombinant antigen product, the SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid protein, for use in its QAPs quality assessment line and for sale at commercial scale to test manufacturers, marking the first market-ready output from its recombinant antigen development program launched in 2025. By adding internally produced synthetic antigens to its long-established native antigen capabilities, the company aims to strengthen supply-chain security, cost control, and technical flexibility for quality assessment materials used in proficiency testing and clinical lab quality management, particularly for enduring SARS-CoV-2 testing needs, where related QAPs already represent a meaningful share of its C$5.6 million fiscal 2025 QAPs revenue.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MBX) stock is a Hold with a C$0.21 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microbix Biosystms stock, see the TSE:MBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Microbix Swings to Loss as China Demand Softens and Key Programs Are Cancelled
Negative
Dec 18, 2025

Microbix reported a challenging fiscal 2025, with full-year revenue falling 27% to $18.6 million and the company swinging from net income of $3.5 million in the prior year to a net loss of $2.2 million. The downturn was driven by the absence of prior-year licensing revenue from its Kinlytic asset, weaker antigen sales into China amid fewer respiratory infections, and the cancellation of test-development programs by a major QAPs client, all of which compressed gross margins from 61% to 53% and increased pressure from operating expenses. Fourth-quarter revenue declined 41% to $3.7 million, led by a 55% drop in antigen sales as Chinese demand softened and shipments to a large European customer were delayed, resulting in a quarterly net loss of $1.5 million and a sharp margin deterioration. Despite these setbacks, the company highlighted ongoing investments in manufacturing efficiency, new product development, and expanded client relationships, and it ended the year with a strong liquidity position, including $12.1 million in cash and a high current ratio, positioning it to pursue new products and customers to rebuild revenue above breakeven levels.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MBX) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microbix Biosystms stock, see the TSE:MBX Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Microbix Biosystems to Announce Q4 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

Microbix Biosystems Inc. has announced the upcoming release of its financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, scheduled for December 18, 2025. The company will host a webinar to discuss these results, featuring its CEO, CFO, and COO. This announcement highlights Microbix’s commitment to transparency and engagement with its stakeholders, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MBX) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microbix Biosystms stock, see the TSE:MBX Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related Announcements
Microbix Biosystems Launches New Products to Enhance H3N2 Flu Testing
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

Microbix Biosystems Inc. has launched new QAPs™ quality assessment products and QUANTDx™ reference materials to support testing for the H3N2 strain of Influenza A, which is experiencing an antigenic drift, affecting immunity and test accuracy. The company’s new products are designed to ensure reliable detection of H3N2 variants, providing stability and accuracy for laboratories and test developers, thus supporting effective public health responses and improving healthcare outcomes globally.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MBX) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microbix Biosystms stock, see the TSE:MBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Microbix and Seegene Mexico Collaborate to Enhance HPV Test Accuracy
Positive
Dec 3, 2025

Microbix Biosystems Inc. and Seegene Mexico have partnered to enhance the accuracy of HPV tests across Mexico by utilizing Microbix’s quality assessment products with Seegene’s molecular multiplex assays. This collaboration aims to improve public health efforts for cervical cancer surveillance and ensure high international quality standards in clinical labs, with potential expansion into other infectious disease diagnostics.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MBX) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microbix Biosystms stock, see the TSE:MBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Microbix Partners with SEKISUI for U.S. Launch of COVID/Flu Test
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

Microbix Biosystems Inc. has partnered with SEKISUI Diagnostics to support the U.S. commercialization of a molecular point-of-care assay for COVID/Flu diagnosis using the Metrix platform from Aptitude Medical Systems. Microbix will provide its REDxFLOQ QAPs to support SEKISUI’s distribution of the test, which is available under an Emergency-Use Authorization from the U.S. FDA. This collaboration aims to enhance the accuracy and reliability of the test by providing operator-training materials and ensuring compliance with quality systems, thereby strengthening Microbix’s position in the diagnostics industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MBX) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microbix Biosystms stock, see the TSE:MBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Microbix Biosystems Addresses Ransomware Attack with Enhanced Cybersecurity Measures
Negative
Nov 5, 2025

Microbix Biosystems Inc. announced it is addressing a cybersecurity incident involving a ransomware attack that resulted in data theft but did not impact operations. The company has been enhancing its cybersecurity measures since 2022, including adopting Center for Internet Security frameworks, conducting regular employee training, and implementing real-time threat monitoring. Microbix’s policy is to not pay ransoms, aiming to discourage cybercrime. The incident underscores the importance of robust cybersecurity in the life sciences industry, and Microbix continues to improve its IT security to adapt to increasing cyber threats.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MBX) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microbix Biosystms stock, see the TSE:MBX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 22, 2025