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Lobe Sciences (TSE:LOBE)
:LOBE

Lobe Sciences (LOBE) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:LOBE

Lobe Sciences

(LOBE)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.06
▼(-3.33% Downside)
The score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses, and persistent cash burn with funding risk). Technicals are somewhat supportive with a mild uptrend and neutral momentum, but valuation remains unattractive due to losses and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Lower leverage trend
Modest recent leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.19 TTM and ~0.12 latest annual) reduces near-term refinancing pressure and gives management flexibility to prioritize R&D and partnerships. Lower debt improves resilience through multi-year development timelines and limits default risk.
Improving cash-flow direction
Although absolute cash flow remains negative, the directionally improving free cash flow in the TTM suggests better operating efficiency or cost control. Sustained improvement would materially reduce funding frequency and dilution risk, aiding long-term execution of clinical programs.
Focused psychedelic/mental-health R&D
Concentration on mental-health and psychedelic/psilocybin therapies aligns with a structural industry trend toward novel CNS treatments and growing clinical/regulatory interest. A clear therapeutic focus can create differentiated IP and partnerships if clinical progress validates the approach.
Negative Factors
No revenue and ongoing losses
Persistent zero revenue and multi‑million operating losses mean the company cannot self-fund development. This structural deficit forces reliance on external capital, increasing execution risk if markets or financing conditions tighten and potentially delaying clinical timelines.
Sustained cash burn
Meaningful negative operating and free cash flow (~-$1.75M TTM) and multi‑year cash burn create a structural runway constraint. Continued outflows elevate dilution risk, may force accelerated financing, and can compromise long-term program continuity absent durable funding sources.
Historical equity volatility & past negative equity
Past negative equity and volatile shareholders' equity signal historical recapitalizations or losses that erode investor confidence. This structural record increases the likelihood of future dilutive financing or distressed terms, complicating long-term capital planning for R&D.

Lobe Sciences (LOBE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Lobe Sciences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLobe Sciences Ltd., a life sciences company, focuses on the research and development of psychedelic medicines. It develops psilocybin-based therapeutics in combination with N-acetylcysteine for the treatment of mild traumatic brain injuries and post-traumatic stress disorder, as well as devices for the efficient application of medications. The company was formerly known as Greenstar Biosciences Corp. and changed its name to Lobe Sciences Ltd. in November 2020. Lobe Sciences Ltd. is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyLobe Sciences generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary therapeutic products. The company's revenue model is based on advancing its research and development pipeline to create marketable treatments for mental health disorders. It engages in partnerships and collaborations with other biotechnology firms, research institutions, and healthcare providers to enhance its research capabilities and facilitate the commercialization process. Additional revenue streams may include licensing agreements, joint ventures, and strategic alliances that enable the company to leverage its intellectual property and technological advancements. Significant factors contributing to Lobe Sciences' earnings include successful clinical trials, regulatory approvals, and the establishment of distribution channels for its therapeutic products.

Lobe Sciences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials remain very weak: 2025 revenue is effectively zero, losses are persistent (about -4.4M net loss), and cash burn continues (about -1.4M free cash flow). The balance sheet is a relative bright spot with positive equity (~2.36M) and modest debt (~273k), but prior instability (negative equity in 2023–2024 and large asset swings) elevates risk.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
Revenue is highly inconsistent and effectively absent in the latest year (2025 annual revenue of 0 vs. 136k in 2024 and 841k in 2023), indicating a weak and volatile top-line base. Profitability is persistently negative with large operating losses (2025 EBIT of about -4.2M and net loss of about -4.4M), and historical margins are deeply negative in years with revenue (e.g., 2024 net margin around -32x revenue). The main positive is that net losses have narrowed materially from 2021–2022 levels (e.g., 2022 net loss ~-12.3M vs. 2025 ~-4.4M), but the business still lacks sustainable revenue and earnings power.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
The latest balance sheet shows modest debt (2025 total debt ~273k) and positive equity (~2.36M), which is a clear improvement versus prior years where equity was negative (2023–2024). However, the balance sheet has been unstable: total assets fell dramatically in 2024 (~259k) before rebounding in 2025 (~7.6M), suggesting significant changes in asset base or capitalization. Returns on equity are poor due to ongoing losses (2025 ROE about -1.88), and the historical period includes negative equity and distorted leverage/return signals, which elevates financial risk despite currently low debt-to-equity (~0.12 in 2025).
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation remains weak with ongoing cash burn: 2025 operating cash flow was about -1.4M and free cash flow was about -1.4M, following negative figures in every year shown. There is improvement versus the worst burn years (e.g., 2021 operating cash flow about -5.0M), but cash flow still does not support self-funding operations. Free cash flow has also been volatile (e.g., 2024 free cash flow ~-0.46M vs. 2025 ~-1.4M), highlighting execution and funding risk.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.00136.21K840.53K0.000.00
Gross Profit0.00134.45K772.83K-10.22K0.00
EBITDA-4.27M-4.12M-4.40M-11.96M-6.16M
Net Income-4.43M-4.42M-4.71M-12.25M-22.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.59M258.57K2.30M1.75M12.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.54M237.77K140.29K907.54K7.43M
Total Debt273.35K1.75M332.64K0.000.00
Total Liabilities2.70M3.37M2.46M1.30M804.70K
Stockholders Equity2.36M-3.11M-160.13K445.69K11.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.42M-462.29K-1.72M-2.73M-5.04M
Operating Cash Flow-1.42M-462.29K-1.72M-2.73M-5.04M
Investing Cash Flow6.56M0.000.001.74M1.07M
Financing Cash Flow514.40K563.51K950.01K753.12K4.92M

Lobe Sciences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.06
Price Trends
50DMA
0.05
Positive
100DMA
0.05
Positive
200DMA
0.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
54.40
Neutral
STOCH
20.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:LOBE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, above the 50-day MA of 0.05, and above the 200-day MA of 0.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:LOBE.

Lobe Sciences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
C$7.57M-50.0011.57%-1.14%
49
Neutral
C$21.16M-28.07-7.43%19.66%84.34%
46
Neutral
C$24.18M-12.50-77.67%2.41%74.61%
45
Neutral
C$27.35M-3.37-19.10%18.06%34.58%
44
Neutral
C$16.17M-2.86-100.00%-8.70%
44
Neutral
C$13.85M-2.5115.64%58.47%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:LOBE
Lobe Sciences
0.06
0.03
140.00%
TSE:LABS
MediPharm Labs
0.07
<0.01
8.33%
TSE:PCLO
PharmaCielo
0.09
0.00
0.00%
TSE:OILS
Nextleaf Solutions
0.05
-0.03
-35.71%
TSE:AVCN
Avicanna
0.21
-0.07
-24.07%
TSE:GWAY
Greenway Greenhouse Cannabis Corp.
0.16
-0.13
-44.83%

Lobe Sciences Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Lobe Sciences Bolsters Board with Capital Markets Expert as It Builds on 2025 Momentum
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

Lobe Sciences has strengthened its board of directors with the appointment of corporate and securities lawyer Nick Karakochuk, whose expertise in mergers and acquisitions, capital markets, and governance is expected to support the company’s strategic growth initiatives following momentum built in fiscal 2025. As part of his appointment, Karakochuk received 3.5 million restricted share units, underscoring the company’s intent to align governance and capital markets capabilities with its clinical-stage biopharmaceutical ambitions in rare and orphan neurological and psychiatric diseases, including the development of its proprietary L-130 compound through majority-owned Cynaptec Pharmaceuticals.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LOBE) stock is a Hold with a C$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lobe Sciences stock, see the TSE:LOBE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Lobe Sciences Strengthens Balance Sheet and Refocuses Pipeline After Leadership Overhaul
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

Lobe Sciences reported a substantial improvement in its fiscal 2025 financial position following a leadership transition and board renewal, with cash rising to $5.9 million, new short-term investments of $1.7 million, and working capital swinging from a deficit to a $5.2 million surplus, while eliminating its current portion of convertible notes and significantly reducing derivative liabilities. Despite a slightly higher net loss attributable to the parent company, the strengthened balance sheet, simplified corporate structure, and focused investment in core subsidiaries are expected to reduce liquidity risk and better support business development, as the company advances its L-130 CNS therapeutic program under Cynaptec and prioritizes S-100 for sickle cell disease through Altemia, positioning Lobe to pursue value-accretive transactions and partnerships aligned with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LOBE) stock is a Hold with a C$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lobe Sciences stock, see the TSE:LOBE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 02, 2026