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Lions Bay Capital, Inc. (TSE:LBI)
:LBI
Canadian Market

Lions Bay Capital (LBI) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:LBI

Lions Bay Capital

(LBI)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.33
▲(64.00% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (losses, negative revenue, and recent cash burn) and limited valuation support (negative P/E, no dividend). This is partially offset by constructive technical momentum (price above major moving averages with positive MACD) and a modest boost from positive—but execution-dependent—corporate developments.
Positive Factors
Experienced Leadership
The appointment of an experienced director could lead to improved strategic decisions and exploration of new projects, enhancing long-term growth prospects.
Low Debt Reliance
Low reliance on debt provides financial flexibility and reduces risk, allowing the company to navigate through financial challenges more effectively.
Strategic Asset Focus
Focusing on strategic assets in natural resources offers potential for long-term growth and value creation through operational improvements and market opportunities.
Negative Factors
Volatile Revenue Generation
Volatile revenue generation indicates instability in the business model, making it difficult to predict future performance and plan strategic investments.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow limits the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and meet financial obligations, posing a risk to long-term sustainability.
Negative Profit Margins
Consistent negative profit margins reflect operational inefficiencies and challenges in achieving profitability, impacting long-term financial health.

Lions Bay Capital (LBI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Lions Bay Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLions Bay Capital, Inc. (LBI) is a Canada-based investment company focused on acquiring and managing strategic assets in the natural resources sector. The company is engaged in identifying and investing in undervalued or growth-oriented opportunities within the mining and energy industries. Lions Bay Capital aims to leverage its expertise to enhance value through strategic management and operational improvements, primarily in North America and Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyLions Bay Capital, Inc. generates revenue primarily through its investment activities in the natural resources sector. The company makes money by acquiring stakes in mining and energy projects, which can appreciate in value over time. Revenue is also generated through dividends, royalties, and fees associated with these investments. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures, allowing it to expand its asset base and create new revenue streams. Profits can also be realized through the sale of investments when they have appreciated in value or reached a strategic development milestone.

Lions Bay Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lions Bay Capital, Inc. faces significant financial challenges with negative margins and volatile revenue generation. Despite a strong equity base and low debt reliance, the company struggles with profitability and cash flow generation, indicating potential liquidity issues.
Income Statement
The company's income statement reveals a challenging financial position. The Gross Profit Margin is 100% for TTM, indicating that all revenue is gross profit, but this is overshadowed by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, suggesting operational inefficiencies. The Net Profit Margin is also negative, indicating consistent losses. Revenue has been volatile, with significant fluctuations over the years, reflecting instability in revenue generation. These factors suggest financial difficulties in maintaining profitability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a moderate financial position. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is low, suggesting limited reliance on debt financing and a strong equity base. The Equity Ratio is solid at 67.28% for TTM, indicating good financial leverage. However, Return on Equity has been negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from its equity base, raising concerns about long-term financial sustainability.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement indicates cash management challenges. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is negative, showing issues in converting income into cash. Free Cash Flow has been negative in recent periods, suggesting constraints in generating cash after capital expenditures. Despite past fluctuations, the company has struggled to maintain positive cash flow from operations, highlighting potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue-239.38K0.0037.92K191.85K101.28K7.77M
Gross Profit-268.07K0.0015.99K148.08K-16.83K1.02M
EBITDA-2.57M0.00-2.97M-5.85M114.57K7.47M
Net Income-2.86M0.00-3.12M-4.95M-97.84K6.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.35M2.82M5.24M8.13M13.69M12.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.23M1.91M2.31M7.20M12.55M11.64M
Total Debt1.11M845.30K288.59K472.39K529.02K514.20K
Total Liabilities2.83M2.31M1.65M1.41M2.03M1.86M
Stockholders Equity1.64M629.46K3.58M6.72M11.66M11.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-346.41K-469.18K594.62K-102.27K40.02K-1.55M
Operating Cash Flow-399.31K-469.18K594.62K-102.27K40.02K-1.55M
Investing Cash Flow301.57K232.64K0.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow1.34M180.26K-603.73K-417.14K294.68K1.72M

Lions Bay Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$1.08B9.669.85%3.01%11.23%30.44%
74
Outperform
C$934.75M5.219.11%22.33%-25.06%
73
Outperform
C$637.10M3.7436.24%2.20%-1.35%496.34%
69
Neutral
C$1.66B8.7413.82%2.29%58.88%82.03%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
C$648.27M21.0111.26%8.78%-0.88%-52.30%
52
Neutral
C$15.71M-3.98-113.97%-19.49%-25.00%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:LBI
Lions Bay Capital
0.40
0.30
300.00%
TSE:AGF.B
AGF Management B NV
16.67
7.00
72.39%
TSE:QRC
Queen's Road Capital Investment
12.40
5.68
84.52%
TSE:FSZ
Fiera Capital A
6.14
-1.44
-19.00%
TSE:GCG
Guardian Capital
67.20
23.29
53.05%
TSE:SEC
Senvest Capital
375.00
-15.02
-3.85%

Lions Bay Capital Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Lions Bay-Backed LBR Bids C$46.5 Million for South Africa’s Vantage Goldfields Assets
Positive
Dec 24, 2025

Lions Bay Capital Inc. has announced that its 47.39%-owned associate, Lions Bay Resources PTY Ltd. (LBR), has submitted a C$46.5 million offer to acquire all assets of the Vantage Goldfields Group in South Africa’s Barberton region, which includes multiple mining leases, a central metallurgical complex and extensive underground development with a historical gold resource inventory of 4.5 million ounces. The bid, led by the Salamander Mining Group’s experienced gold-mining team, is structured as staged cash, share, and royalty payments and, if completed, is expected to secure long-term ore feed for LBR’s planned gold roaster project and cogeneration power plant modification, potentially strengthening Lions Bay’s strategic position in the gold sector while remaining subject to regulatory approvals and shareholder processes.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Lions Bay Capital Secures $4 Million Insider Loan to Accelerate Gold and Copper Investments
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

Lions Bay Capital Inc. has executed a binding term sheet for a CAD $4.0 million secured promissory note from insider Metals One Plc, with proceeds earmarked for investment and working capital. The one-year loan, carrying 20% annual interest and repayable in full at maturity, will be secured by first-ranking charges over Lions Bay’s holdings in Fidelity Minerals Corp., Lions Bay Resources Pty Ltd., related loan accounts and a US$2.2 million receivable from GNT Mining, and is classified as a related-party transaction requiring customary corporate and regulatory approvals. Executives from both companies said the financing will allow Lions Bay to accelerate plans to build a vertically integrated South African gold business through Lions Bay Resources and to support Fidelity Minerals in advancing a historic gold resource in Peru, positioning the firm to capitalise more quickly on what they describe as attractive precious and critical minerals opportunities.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Lions Bay Capital Expands into South Africa with Strategic Energy Acquisition
Positive
Nov 28, 2025

Lions Bay Capital Inc. has incorporated a South African company, Lions Bay Resources (Pty) Ltd., to hold a purchase option over the KC Energy cogeneration power plant, with plans to modify it for gold recovery. The company has entered into an agreement with Metals One Plc to arrange a convertible note of up to USD $1,800,000, which will secure a 5% equity stake for Metals One and potentially increase their share to 30% if fully converted, impacting Lions Bay’s stake and strategic positioning in the energy and mining sectors.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Lions Bay Capital Increases Stake in Fidelity Minerals
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

Lions Bay Capital Inc. has increased its stake in Fidelity Minerals Corp. by acquiring an additional 3,361,344 common shares through a debt settlement, raising its ownership to approximately 43.80% of the company. This acquisition reflects Lions Bay’s strategic interest in Fidelity’s Las Huaquillas property, a promising gold and porphyry target, and indicates potential future adjustments in their investment based on market conditions.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Lions Bay Capital Completes Final Tranche of Private Placement
Positive
Nov 8, 2025

Lions Bay Capital Inc. announced the closing of the second and final tranche of its non-brokered private placement, raising a total of $1,085,000. Strategic partner Metals One Plc acquired a significant portion of the units, resulting in a substantial stake in Lions Bay. The proceeds will be used for due diligence on a cogeneration power plant, debt reduction, and general working capital, potentially impacting the company’s operational capabilities and market positioning.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Lions Bay Capital Increases Stake in Fidelity Minerals
Positive
Oct 7, 2025

Lions Bay Capital Inc., a company involved in investment activities, has increased its stake in Fidelity Minerals Corp. by acquiring an additional 3,325,000 units through a non-brokered private placement, enhancing its ownership to 38.22% of the issued and outstanding common shares on an undiluted basis. This acquisition reflects Lions Bay’s strategic interest in Fidelity’s Las Huaquillas property, which is considered a significant gold and porphyry target, potentially impacting the company’s investment portfolio and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025