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Jaguar Mining Inc. (TSE:JAG)
:JAG
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Jaguar Mining (JAG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:JAG

Jaguar Mining

(OTC:JAG)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
C$6.50
▲(7.79% Upside)
Jaguar Mining's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including declining revenue and profitability. Technical analysis provides some positive signals with a strong upward trend, but valuation concerns due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield weigh heavily on the score.

Jaguar Mining (JAG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Jaguar Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJaguar Mining Inc. is a Canada-based mining company that operates in the gold sector, primarily focused on the exploration, development, and production of gold in Brazil. The company owns and operates several high-grade gold mining operations, including the Turmalina and Paciência mines, and is engaged in various stages of the mining process from exploration to production, ensuring a diverse portfolio in the gold mining industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyJaguar Mining generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold produced from its mining operations. The company extracts gold ore from its mines, processes it to produce gold doré bars, and sells these bars to jewelers, bullion dealers, and other buyers in the commodities market. Key revenue streams include gold sales, which are influenced by global gold prices, and potentially by the sale of by-products or secondary minerals extracted during the mining process. The company may also engage in hedging strategies to manage price volatility. Partnerships with local suppliers and service providers enhance operational efficiency and cost management, contributing to its overall profitability.

Jaguar Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Jaguar Mining's financial performance is challenged by declining revenue and profitability, with a negative net profit margin and declining free cash flow. While the balance sheet is stable with low leverage, profitability issues persist, impacting the overall financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Jaguar Mining's income statement shows a declining trend in revenue with a negative revenue growth rate of -5.84% TTM. The company has struggled with profitability, as indicated by a negative net profit margin of -3.73% TTM. Despite a reasonable gross profit margin of 43.28% TTM, the EBIT margin is negative, reflecting operational challenges. The EBITDA margin of 17.79% TTM suggests some operational efficiency, but overall, the income statement reflects financial instability and declining performance.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet of Jaguar Mining is relatively stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0216 TTM, indicating low leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -2.30% TTM, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears strong relative to its assets. Overall, the balance sheet suggests financial stability but highlights concerns about profitability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth at -17.56% TTM, indicating cash generation challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, suggesting that operating cash flow is nearly equivalent to net income, which is a positive sign. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.39 TTM indicates limited free cash flow relative to net income. Overall, the cash flow statement shows mixed results with potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue144.39M158.63M136.53M142.50M151.47M160.25M
Gross Profit68.84M59.50M32.48M38.10M60.04M85.74M
EBITDA2.16M35.43M42.97M49.70M53.93M103.02M
Net Income-25.81M-1.29M15.85M21.44M24.05M72.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets347.40M345.00M309.12M288.13M259.88M249.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.71M47.80M22.04M25.21M40.37M38.91M
Total Debt5.54M6.95M5.84M7.00M6.89M5.78M
Total Liabilities115.48M105.46M68.85M71.11M58.58M60.07M
Stockholders Equity231.92M239.53M240.27M217.02M201.29M189.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.88M23.76M-687.00K-3.40M10.81M43.91M
Operating Cash Flow40.55M57.35M36.04M40.77M45.04M78.67M
Investing Cash Flow-25.94M-30.68M-35.78M-43.72M-27.00M-34.75M
Financing Cash Flow-3.15M-2.74M-3.45M-9.78M-16.30M-17.17M

Jaguar Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.03
Price Trends
50DMA
5.54
Positive
100DMA
4.69
Positive
200DMA
3.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Positive
RSI
50.78
Neutral
STOCH
23.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:JAG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.32, above the 50-day MA of 5.54, and above the 200-day MA of 3.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:JAG.

Jaguar Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
C$758.70M-70.07%-175.00%
55
Neutral
C$481.88M53.85-0.48%50.00%
53
Neutral
C$512.69M-10.56%2.33%-185.29%
51
Neutral
C$623.66M-7.27%-23.08%
41
Neutral
$229.47M-48.98%21.61%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:JAG
Jaguar Mining
6.20
1.42
29.71%
TSE:GRZ
Gold Reserve
1.85
-1.53
-45.19%
TSE:ITH
International Tower Hill Mines
2.64
1.72
186.96%
TSE:OMG
Omai Gold Mines
1.20
1.02
566.67%
TSE:TAU
Thesis Gold Inc
1.75
0.84
92.31%
TSE:WRLG
West Red Lake Gold Mines
0.98
0.32
48.48%

Jaguar Mining Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jaguar Mining Raises C$28 Million in Private Placement
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has successfully closed a bought deal private placement, raising C$28 million by selling over 5 million common shares at C$5.50 each. The proceeds will be used to restart the Turmalina Mine, fund exploration activities, and for general corporate purposes. Eric Sprott, a major shareholder, increased his stake in the company through this transaction. The offering was managed by Red Cloud Securities Inc. and included participation from other underwriters.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:JAG) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jaguar Mining stock, see the TSE:JAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Jaguar Mining Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Progress on MTL Complex Resumption
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. reported its third-quarter 2025 operating results, highlighting a solid performance at the Pilar mine with a production of 10,002 ounces of gold. The company is making significant progress in resuming operations at its MTL complex, particularly with the Turmalina mine, following a suspension due to a previous incident. Strategic development and drilling activities at Pilar have been prioritized, with notable increases in secondary development and drilling productivity. Additionally, Jaguar has made substantial advancements in stabilizing the Satinoco dry-stacked facility, ensuring long-term structural integrity. The company’s cash position remains strong, benefiting from favorable gold prices.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:JAG) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jaguar Mining stock, see the TSE:JAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jaguar Mining Secures Major Investment from Eric Sprott in Private Placement
Positive
Oct 7, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. announced a significant participation from major shareholder Eric Sprott in its C$25 million bought deal private placement, contributing C$10 million for 1,818,812 shares. The proceeds will be used to restart the Turmalina Mine, fund exploration activities, and support general corporate purposes, highlighting Jaguar’s strategic focus on enhancing its Brazilian operations and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:JAG) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jaguar Mining stock, see the TSE:JAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jaguar Mining Secures C$25 Million for Turmalina Mine Restart
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has announced a bought deal private placement to raise C$25 million, led by Red Cloud Securities Inc. The funds will be used to restart the Turmalina Mine and enhance exploration activities, strengthening the company’s financial position and supporting its growth strategy in the Iron Quadrangle.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:JAG) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jaguar Mining stock, see the TSE:JAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Jaguar Mining Strengthens Leadership with Key Appointments
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has announced key appointments to its senior leadership team, promoting Carla Moura Tavares to Vice President, Corporate Affairs, and appointing Juliana Esper as Vice President, Sustainability. These strategic moves underscore Jaguar’s commitment to governance, operational excellence, and sustainability, aligning with its long-term growth strategy and ESG priorities. The appointments are expected to enhance Jaguar’s focus on responsible mining practices, strengthen its leadership in sustainability, and support its growth in the competitive mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:JAG) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jaguar Mining stock, see the TSE:JAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Jaguar Mining Uncovers Promising Open-Pit Gold Potential at Chamé Target
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has reported promising results from its exploration program at the Chamé target in Brazil’s Iron Quadrangle, indicating potential for a significant open-pit gold deposit. The discovery of widespread, near-surface gold mineralization, combined with the site’s proximity to existing processing facilities, positions Chamé as a strategic growth opportunity for Jaguar. The company plans to accelerate its exploration efforts with a comprehensive drilling campaign to further define the mineralized zones, which could significantly contribute to its long-term growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:JAG) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jaguar Mining stock, see the TSE:JAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Jaguar Mining Unveils Ambitious Five-Year Gold Exploration Plan in Brazil
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has announced a five-year exploration plan aimed at expanding its gold resources across its Brazilian tenements. The plan involves a comprehensive exploration strategy, including significant drilling campaigns and targeted exploration across key project areas, with the goal of unlocking potential gold resources between 4-7 million ounces. The initiative emphasizes environmental stewardship and utilizes advanced exploration techniques to support sustainable growth and strengthen Jaguar’s position as a leading gold producer in Brazil.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:JAG) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jaguar Mining stock, see the TSE:JAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Jaguar Mining Resolves Satinoco Incident Legal Matters, Strengthening Financial Outlook
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has successfully resolved all outstanding legal matters related to the Satinoco incident, which involved community compensation, environmental fines, and a significant Public Civil Lawsuit. This resolution strengthens the company’s financial stability, allowing it to focus on its core gold mining operations and future growth plans, thereby enhancing overall shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:JAG) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jaguar Mining stock, see the TSE:JAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Jaguar Mining’s Pilar Mine Drives Solid Q2 2025 Performance Amid Turmalina Suspension
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

Jaguar Mining reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a solid performance from its Pilar mine, the sole operational site following the temporary suspension of the Turmalina mine. Despite a year-over-year decrease in total production due to Turmalina’s absence, Pilar’s output increased by 11% compared to the first quarter of 2025, driven by higher head grades and operational efficiency improvements. The company experienced a net loss of $6.6 million, but adjusted net income, excluding expenses from an incident at the MTL complex, was $16.8 million. The realized gold price increased significantly, partially offsetting the impact of lower sales volumes on revenue and margins.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Jaguar Mining Receives Authorization to Resume Work at Turmalina Mine
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has received federal authorization from Brazil’s National Mining Agency to begin essential preparatory work at its Turmalina mine, which has been suspended since December 2024 due to an incident. This approval, along with a municipal permit, allows Jaguar to proceed with safety prerequisites necessary for a phased restart of production, expected in early 2026. The company is also finalizing an agreement with the Public Prosecutor’s Office to confirm safety and settle a lawsuit related to the incident. These developments mark significant progress in Jaguar’s efforts to resume operations, reflecting its commitment to regulatory safety and environmental responsibility.

Business Operations and Strategy
Jaguar Mining Reports High-Grade Gold Intercepts at Pilar Mine
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has announced significant progress in its exploration activities at the BA zone within the Pilar mine in Brazil, reporting high-grade gold intercepts. The latest drilling results have confirmed the presence of substantial gold mineralization at depth, with the BA zone expected to contribute approximately 50% of the mine’s total production. This development underscores the zone’s potential as a key growth driver for Jaguar, enhancing its resource base and strengthening its position in the mining industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025