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Jaguar Mining (TSE:JAG)
TSX:JAG

Jaguar Mining (JAG) AI Stock Analysis

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Jaguar Mining

(TSX:JAG)

63Neutral
Jaguar Mining's overall score reflects a stable financial position with strong balance sheet metrics amidst profitability challenges. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, with short-term momentum but long-term challenges. Valuation remains a downside due to negative earnings and lack of dividends. Positive corporate events, such as increased mineral reserves and resolution of community issues, provide growth potential and enhance the company's industry positioning.

Jaguar Mining (JAG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Jaguar Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJaguar Mining Inc. is a Canada-based junior gold mining, development, and exploration company operating in Brazil with a focus on its rich mineral properties in the Iron Quadrangle, a prolific greenstone belt located in the state of Minas Gerais. The company is primarily engaged in the production of gold, with additional exploration projects aimed at discovering new resources and expanding existing reserves.
How the Company Makes MoneyJaguar Mining generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold. The company operates two main mining complexes, Turmalina and Caeté, which produce gold that is sold in the international market. Revenue is generated based on the volume of gold produced and the prevailing market prices for gold. The company also invests in exploration activities to discover new gold deposits, which can enhance future production capabilities and revenue potential. Additionally, Jaguar Mining may engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to optimize operations and expand its asset base, contributing to its earnings.

Jaguar Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Jaguar Mining demonstrates a solid financial position with strong profitability margins and a stable balance sheet characterized by low leverage. The company shows potential for future growth with improving cash flows, though it may benefit from accelerating its revenue growth trajectory to enhance its financial standing further.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Jaguar Mining shows a strong gross profit margin of 33.5% and a net profit margin of 19.3% for the TTM period, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. However, the revenue growth is modest at 11.4% from the previous year, and the EBIT margin is 22.96%, with an EBITDA margin of 38.65%, reflecting healthy operational performance but highlighting room for improvement in revenue expansion.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, showcasing financial stability, and a robust equity ratio of 78.1%, indicating a strong capital base. The return on equity is commendable at 11.3%, although not at its peak levels from previous years, suggesting steady but not exceptional profitability relative to shareholder investment.
Cash Flow
67
Positive
Jaguar Mining's free cash flow has improved significantly from a negative position, with a substantial free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.74, indicating effective cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.64, reflecting a decent conversion of profits into cash, although there's room for further improvement.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
152.14M136.53M142.50M151.47M160.25M97.23M
Gross Profit
51.00M56.41M38.10M60.04M85.74M23.21M
EBIT
34.94M21.21M20.56M44.93M86.93M14.33M
EBITDA
58.81M42.97M49.70M69.14M103.02M18.76M
Net Income Common Stockholders
29.30M15.85M21.44M34.19M72.28M-148.00K
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
6.28M22.04M25.21M40.37M38.91M10.92M
Total Assets
178.67M309.12M288.13M270.01M249.77M200.91M
Total Debt
9.74M5.84M7.00M6.89M5.78M8.58M
Net Debt
3.47M-16.20M-18.20M-33.48M-33.13M-2.34M
Total Liabilities
74.81M68.85M71.11M58.58M60.07M72.33M
Stockholders Equity
103.86M240.27M217.02M211.43M189.70M128.58M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
18.86M-687.00K-3.40M10.81M43.91M-7.86M
Operating Cash Flow
50.98M36.04M40.77M45.04M78.67M24.37M
Investing Cash Flow
-27.41M-35.78M-43.72M-27.00M-34.75M-32.03M
Financing Cash Flow
-2.93M-3.45M-9.78M-16.30M-17.17M12.26M

Jaguar Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.11
Price Trends
50DMA
2.93
Positive
100DMA
2.70
Positive
200DMA
3.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Positive
RSI
54.03
Neutral
STOCH
33.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:JAG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.11, above the 50-day MA of 2.93, and below the 200-day MA of 3.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:JAG.

Jaguar Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSJAG
63
Neutral
$240.32M5.84-2.38%18.33%-138.14%
TSOMG
56
Neutral
C$250.72M-125.73%18.12%
TSTAU
55
Neutral
C$225.12M53.85-0.81%12.63%
TSITH
51
Neutral
C$191.25M-6.29%-5.56%
50
Neutral
$1.98B-1.12-21.33%3.61%1.68%-30.56%
TSGRZ
41
Neutral
C$243.03M-32.43%55.93%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:JAG
Jaguar Mining
3.11
0.33
11.87%
TSE:ITH
International Tower Hill Mines
0.92
-0.01
-1.08%
TSE:GRZ
Gold Reserve
2.11
-2.44
-53.63%
TSE:TAU
Benchmark Metals Inc
0.96
0.18
23.08%
TSE:OMG
Omai Gold Mines
0.42
0.28
200.00%

Jaguar Mining Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Jaguar Mining Navigates Transition with Resilience Amidst Operational Challenges
Negative
May 8, 2025

Jaguar Mining reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a challenging period as the company operated solely from its Pilar mine due to the temporary suspension of the Turmalina mine. Gold production and revenue decreased compared to the previous year, but higher gold prices helped offset some losses. The company reported a net loss for the quarter but maintained a strong cash position, which provides flexibility to address ongoing challenges and continue development efforts. Rehabilitation work has also begun at the Santa Isabel mine, with potential for future production.

Spark’s Take on TSE:JAG Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:JAG is a Neutral.

Jaguar Mining’s overall score reflects a stable financial position with strong balance sheet metrics and improved cash flow amidst profitability challenges. Positive corporate events, such as increased mineral reserves and resolution of community issues, offer growth potential. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, and valuation remains a downside due to negative earnings and lack of dividends.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:JAG stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Jaguar Mining Reports Q1 2025 Production Results Amid Turmalina Mine Suspension
Neutral
Apr 8, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. reported a decrease in gold production for the first quarter of 2025, producing 9,923 ounces solely from the Pilar mine, down from 16,177 ounces in the same period last year due to the suspension of operations at the Turmalina mine. Despite this, the Pilar mine showed improved performance with a 6% increase in production and a 15% improvement in head grade. The company is actively working on development and drilling at the Pilar mine to increase production and offset the loss from Turmalina. The incident at Turmalina highlighted the safety and environmental benefits of dry-stack tailings disposal, with no injuries or significant environmental impacts reported. Jaguar is also advancing rehabilitation work at the Santa Isabel mine to initiate a test mining program, aiming to deliver Paciência tonnes to the Caeté plant by the third quarter of 2025.

Spark’s Take on TSE:JAG Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:JAG is a Neutral.

Jaguar Mining’s strong balance sheet and improved cash flow are significant strengths, though profitability challenges weigh on the overall score. Corporate events such as increased mineral reserves offer positive long-term growth prospects. However, the bearish technical indicators and poor valuation metrics reflect current market skepticism.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:JAG stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Jaguar Mining Reports 2024 Financial Results Amid Operational Challenges
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

Jaguar Mining reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, highlighting the impact of a significant incident at its MTL complex, which led to a temporary suspension of operations at the Turmalina mine. Despite this setback, the company achieved increased revenues due to higher gold prices and managed to maintain strong financial health through effective cost management and favorable exchange rates. The incident resulted in a net loss for the quarter, but adjusted net income was positive when excluding specific expenses. The company is actively working to resume operations safely and continues to demonstrate resilience in challenging circumstances.

Business Operations and Strategy
Jaguar Mining Boosts Mineral Reserves by 63%, Strengthening Growth Prospects
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has announced a significant 63% increase in its Proven and Probable Mineral Reserves, bringing the total to 764,000 ounces, largely due to the addition of reserves from the Onças de Pitangui project. This update aligns with the company’s organic growth strategy, despite operational challenges at the MTL Complex, and suggests a promising future for increased gold production, which is expected to extend well beyond 2030, benefiting stakeholders and enhancing the company’s industry positioning.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Jaguar Mining Reaches Compensation Agreement for Satinoco Incident
Positive
Mar 26, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has reached an agreement with the Public Defender’s Office of Minas Gerais to compensate local community members affected by an incident at its Satinoco dry-stacked pile in Brazil. The agreement ensures compensation for various damages and losses, reinforcing Jaguar’s commitment to responsible mining and community relations. This step is seen as a positive move towards reopening the Turmalina mine, benefiting the local community and stakeholders.

Business Operations and Strategy
Jaguar Mining to Hold Investor Presentation in Toronto
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. will host an in-person investor presentation on March 4, 2025, in Toronto, where CEO Vernon Baker will provide a corporate update and engage in a Q&A session. This event signifies Jaguar’s proactive approach to engaging with investors, potentially enhancing its industry positioning and stakeholder relations, given its significant gold land holdings in the Iron Quadrangle.

Business Operations and Strategy
Jaguar Mining Announces Investor Presentation in Toronto
Neutral
Feb 20, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. announced it will host an in-person investor presentation on March 4, 2025, in Toronto, where CEO Vernon Baker will provide a corporate update. This event offers limited seating on a first-response basis, reflecting Jaguar’s proactive engagement with its investors and stakeholders, and signifies potential developments in the company’s operations and strategic plans.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.