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Jaguar Mining Inc. (TSE:JAG)
:JAG
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Jaguar Mining (JAG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:JAG

Jaguar Mining

(OTC:JAG)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
C$4.50
▼(-18.03% Downside)
Jaguar Mining's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its stable balance sheet and positive technical indicators, which are offset by significant challenges in financial performance and valuation. The lack of profitability and negative earnings are major concerns, but the bullish technical momentum provides some optimism.

Jaguar Mining (JAG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Jaguar Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJaguar Mining Inc. is a Canada-based mining company that operates in the gold sector, primarily focused on the exploration, development, and production of gold in Brazil. The company owns and operates several high-grade gold mining operations, including the Turmalina and Paciência mines, and is engaged in various stages of the mining process from exploration to production, ensuring a diverse portfolio in the gold mining industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyJaguar Mining generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold produced from its mining operations. The company extracts gold ore from its mines, processes it to produce gold doré bars, and sells these bars to jewelers, bullion dealers, and other buyers in the commodities market. Key revenue streams include gold sales, which are influenced by global gold prices, and potentially by the sale of by-products or secondary minerals extracted during the mining process. The company may also engage in hedging strategies to manage price volatility. Partnerships with local suppliers and service providers enhance operational efficiency and cost management, contributing to its overall profitability.

Jaguar Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Jaguar Mining's financial performance is challenged by declining revenue and profitability, with a negative net profit margin and declining free cash flow. While the balance sheet is stable with low leverage, profitability issues persist, impacting the overall financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Jaguar Mining's income statement shows a declining trend in revenue with a negative revenue growth rate of -5.84% TTM. The company has struggled with profitability, as indicated by a negative net profit margin of -3.73% TTM. Despite a reasonable gross profit margin of 43.28% TTM, the EBIT margin is negative, reflecting operational challenges. The EBITDA margin of 17.79% TTM suggests some operational efficiency, but overall, the income statement reflects financial instability and declining performance.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet of Jaguar Mining is relatively stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0216 TTM, indicating low leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -2.30% TTM, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears strong relative to its assets. Overall, the balance sheet suggests financial stability but highlights concerns about profitability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth at -17.56% TTM, indicating cash generation challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, suggesting that operating cash flow is nearly equivalent to net income, which is a positive sign. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.39 TTM indicates limited free cash flow relative to net income. Overall, the cash flow statement shows mixed results with potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue144.39M158.63M136.53M142.50M151.47M160.25M
Gross Profit68.84M59.50M32.48M38.10M60.04M85.74M
EBITDA2.16M35.43M42.97M49.70M53.93M103.02M
Net Income-25.81M-1.29M15.85M21.44M24.05M72.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets347.40M345.00M309.12M288.13M259.88M249.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.71M47.80M22.04M25.21M40.37M38.91M
Total Debt5.54M6.95M5.84M7.00M6.89M5.78M
Total Liabilities115.48M105.46M68.85M71.11M58.58M60.07M
Stockholders Equity231.92M239.53M240.27M217.02M201.29M189.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.88M23.76M-687.00K-3.40M10.81M43.91M
Operating Cash Flow40.55M57.35M36.04M40.77M45.04M78.67M
Investing Cash Flow-25.94M-30.68M-35.78M-43.72M-27.00M-34.75M
Financing Cash Flow-3.15M-2.74M-3.45M-9.78M-16.30M-17.17M

Jaguar Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.49
Price Trends
50DMA
4.16
Positive
100DMA
3.80
Positive
200DMA
3.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Negative
RSI
76.96
Negative
STOCH
80.59
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:JAG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.66, above the 50-day MA of 4.16, and above the 200-day MA of 3.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.96 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.59 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:JAG.

Jaguar Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.37B6.45-0.08%2.84%3.09%-36.03%
56
Neutral
C$416.40M5.84-10.56%2.33%-185.29%
$265.34M-48.98%
$286.16M-7.27%
56
Neutral
C$585.88M-70.07%-175.00%
55
Neutral
C$382.74M53.85-0.48%50.00%
$252.37M-143.63%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:JAG
Jaguar Mining
5.49
0.68
14.14%
GDRZF
Gold Reserve
2.31
-1.41
-37.90%
THM
International Tower Hill Mines
1.59
1.08
211.76%
TSE:OMG
Omai Gold Mines
0.99
0.85
607.14%
TSE:TAU
Thesis Gold Inc
1.47
0.75
104.17%
WRLGF
West Red Lake Gold Mines
0.76
0.26
52.00%

Jaguar Mining Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Jaguar Mining’s Pilar Mine Drives Solid Q2 2025 Performance Amid Turmalina Suspension
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

Jaguar Mining reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a solid performance from its Pilar mine, the sole operational site following the temporary suspension of the Turmalina mine. Despite a year-over-year decrease in total production due to Turmalina’s absence, Pilar’s output increased by 11% compared to the first quarter of 2025, driven by higher head grades and operational efficiency improvements. The company experienced a net loss of $6.6 million, but adjusted net income, excluding expenses from an incident at the MTL complex, was $16.8 million. The realized gold price increased significantly, partially offsetting the impact of lower sales volumes on revenue and margins.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Jaguar Mining Receives Authorization to Resume Work at Turmalina Mine
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has received federal authorization from Brazil’s National Mining Agency to begin essential preparatory work at its Turmalina mine, which has been suspended since December 2024 due to an incident. This approval, along with a municipal permit, allows Jaguar to proceed with safety prerequisites necessary for a phased restart of production, expected in early 2026. The company is also finalizing an agreement with the Public Prosecutor’s Office to confirm safety and settle a lawsuit related to the incident. These developments mark significant progress in Jaguar’s efforts to resume operations, reflecting its commitment to regulatory safety and environmental responsibility.

Business Operations and Strategy
Jaguar Mining Reports High-Grade Gold Intercepts at Pilar Mine
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has announced significant progress in its exploration activities at the BA zone within the Pilar mine in Brazil, reporting high-grade gold intercepts. The latest drilling results have confirmed the presence of substantial gold mineralization at depth, with the BA zone expected to contribute approximately 50% of the mine’s total production. This development underscores the zone’s potential as a key growth driver for Jaguar, enhancing its resource base and strengthening its position in the mining industry.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Jaguar Mining Secures Major Reduction in Environmental Fine, Enhancing Financial Stability
Positive
Jul 14, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has successfully negotiated a significant reduction in an environmental fine with the State of Minas Gerais, Brazil, settling for BRL59,988,878.25 instead of the initial R$320 million. This settlement not only strengthens Jaguar’s financial position but also underscores its commitment to responsible corporate conduct and proactive engagement. The agreement includes provisions for socio-environmental projects and a structured payment plan, providing financial flexibility and operational continuity for the company.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Jaguar Mining Reports Resilient Q2 2025 Results Amid Strategic Focus
Positive
Jul 9, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. reported its second quarter 2025 operating results, highlighting a consolidated gold production of 10,973 ounces, primarily from the Pilar mine. The temporary suspension of operations at the Turmalina mine due to a regulatory incident affected output compared to the previous year. The company demonstrated resilience with improved efficiency at the Pilar mine, strategic development progress, and increased drilling productivity. Jaguar’s cash position improved to $48.3 million, aided by favorable gold prices, reflecting its strong financial management and commitment to stakeholder engagement.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Jaguar Mining Announces Successful Shareholder Meeting Outcomes
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. announced the successful passage of all resolutions at its Annual and Special Meeting of shareholders. The election of directors, appointment of auditors, and re-approval of the company’s stock option plan were all approved by significant margins. This outcome reinforces the company’s governance structure and supports its strategic initiatives as it continues its operations and planned expansions in Brazil.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Jaguar Mining Announces Strategic Management Changes
Positive
May 30, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has announced key management changes to support its growth strategy, appointing Luis Albano Tondo as Deputy CEO, who will transition to CEO in August 2025. The company also named Marina Fagundes de Freitas as Interim CFO following the departure of Alfred Colas. These changes aim to strengthen leadership and ensure a smooth transition, with implications for continued stability and progress in Jaguar’s operations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025