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Jaguar Mining (TSE:JAG)
TSX:JAG

Jaguar Mining (JAG) AI Stock Analysis

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Jaguar Mining

(TSX:JAG)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
C$4.50
▲(23.97%Upside)
Jaguar Mining's strong technical momentum and positive corporate developments are notable strengths. However, financial challenges and valuation concerns due to negative profitability impact the overall score. The company's financial stability and potential for future growth provide a balanced outlook.

Jaguar Mining (JAG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Jaguar Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJaguar Mining Inc., a junior gold mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold producing properties in Brazil. Its principal assets include the Turmalina Gold Mine Complex, Caeté Gold Mine Complex, and the Paciência Gold Mine Complex located in the Iron Quadrangle in the state of Minas Gerais. The company also holds an option agreement to acquire a package of 28 exploration tenements. It currently holds 32,000 hectares of mineral rights in Brazil. Jaguar Mining Inc. is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyJaguar Mining generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold. The company operates two main mining complexes, Turmalina and Caeté, which produce gold that is sold in the international market. Revenue is generated based on the volume of gold produced and the prevailing market prices for gold. The company also invests in exploration activities to discover new gold deposits, which can enhance future production capabilities and revenue potential. Additionally, Jaguar Mining may engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to optimize operations and expand its asset base, contributing to its earnings.

Jaguar Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Jaguar Mining exhibits mixed financial health with challenges in profitability due to declining revenue and a negative net profit margin. However, operational efficiency is noteworthy, and the balance sheet demonstrates financial stability with minimal leverage.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
The company's revenue demonstrated a decline in the TTM period with a negative revenue growth rate of -3.34%. Gross profit margin in TTM is relatively healthy at 43.27%, and the net profit margin is negative at -3.73%, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are at 8.96% and 15.34%, respectively, showing some operational efficiency, albeit with room for improvement.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, suggesting minimal leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is negative due to the net loss, but the equity ratio is robust at 70.16%, indicating a solid capital base. Overall, the balance sheet suggests financial stability but highlights the need to improve profitability.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Free cash flow decreased in the TTM compared to the previous period, with a growth rate of -18.95%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to the net loss, while the free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative. Despite the decline, the company generated positive operating cash flow, indicating operational strength but challenges in translating this into net income.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
153.34M158.63M136.53M142.50M151.47M160.25M
Gross Profit
66.36M59.50M32.48M38.10M60.04M85.74M
EBIT
13.74M13.00M21.21M31.29M34.79M86.93M
EBITDA
27.27M35.43M42.97M49.70M53.93M103.02M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-5.72M-1.29M15.85M21.44M24.05M72.28M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
42.21M47.80M22.04M25.21M40.37M38.91M
Total Assets
339.05M345.00M309.12M288.13M259.88M249.77M
Total Debt
5.15M6.95M5.84M7.00M6.89M5.78M
Net Debt
-35.19M-39.41M-16.20M-18.20M-33.48M-33.13M
Total Liabilities
101.11M105.46M68.85M71.11M58.58M60.07M
Stockholders Equity
237.93M239.53M240.27M217.02M201.29M189.70M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
19.26M23.76M-687.00K-3.40M10.81M43.91M
Operating Cash Flow
48.98M57.35M36.04M40.77M45.04M78.67M
Investing Cash Flow
-31.10M-30.68M-35.78M-43.72M-27.00M-34.75M
Financing Cash Flow
-4.04M-2.74M-3.45M-9.78M-16.30M-17.17M

Jaguar Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.63
Price Trends
50DMA
3.38
Positive
100DMA
3.05
Positive
200DMA
3.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
48.08
Neutral
STOCH
8.75
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:JAG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.83, above the 50-day MA of 3.38, and above the 200-day MA of 3.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.75 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:JAG.

Jaguar Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSJAG
68
Neutral
$295.84M5.84-2.38%18.33%-138.14%
51
Neutral
$2.01B-1.27-21.11%5.15%2.92%-30.46%
$247.54M-53.17%
THTHM
$186.65M-6.29%
TSOMG
56
Neutral
C$343.66M-64.22%18.12%
TSTAU
55
Neutral
C$249.34M53.85-0.81%12.63%
$202.01M-143.63%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:JAG
Jaguar Mining
3.56
1.01
39.61%
GDRZF
Gold Reserve
2.06
-2.50
-54.82%
THM
International Tower Hill Mines
0.90
0.38
73.08%
TSE:OMG
Omai Gold Mines
0.55
0.43
358.33%
TSE:TAU
Benchmark Metals Inc
1.05
0.41
64.06%
WRLGF
West Red Lake Gold Mines
0.59
0.16
37.21%

Jaguar Mining Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Jaguar Mining Announces Strategic Management Changes
Positive
May 30, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has announced key management changes to support its growth strategy, appointing Luis Albano Tondo as Deputy CEO, who will transition to CEO in August 2025. The company also named Marina Fagundes de Freitas as Interim CFO following the departure of Alfred Colas. These changes aim to strengthen leadership and ensure a smooth transition, with implications for continued stability and progress in Jaguar’s operations.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Jaguar Mining Navigates Transition with Resilience Amidst Operational Challenges
Negative
May 8, 2025

Jaguar Mining reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a challenging period as the company operated solely from its Pilar mine due to the temporary suspension of the Turmalina mine. Gold production and revenue decreased compared to the previous year, but higher gold prices helped offset some losses. The company reported a net loss for the quarter but maintained a strong cash position, which provides flexibility to address ongoing challenges and continue development efforts. Rehabilitation work has also begun at the Santa Isabel mine, with potential for future production.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Jaguar Mining Reports Q1 2025 Production Results Amid Turmalina Mine Suspension
Neutral
Apr 8, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. reported a decrease in gold production for the first quarter of 2025, producing 9,923 ounces solely from the Pilar mine, down from 16,177 ounces in the same period last year due to the suspension of operations at the Turmalina mine. Despite this, the Pilar mine showed improved performance with a 6% increase in production and a 15% improvement in head grade. The company is actively working on development and drilling at the Pilar mine to increase production and offset the loss from Turmalina. The incident at Turmalina highlighted the safety and environmental benefits of dry-stack tailings disposal, with no injuries or significant environmental impacts reported. Jaguar is also advancing rehabilitation work at the Santa Isabel mine to initiate a test mining program, aiming to deliver Paciência tonnes to the Caeté plant by the third quarter of 2025.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Jaguar Mining Reports 2024 Financial Results Amid Operational Challenges
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

Jaguar Mining reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, highlighting the impact of a significant incident at its MTL complex, which led to a temporary suspension of operations at the Turmalina mine. Despite this setback, the company achieved increased revenues due to higher gold prices and managed to maintain strong financial health through effective cost management and favorable exchange rates. The incident resulted in a net loss for the quarter, but adjusted net income was positive when excluding specific expenses. The company is actively working to resume operations safely and continues to demonstrate resilience in challenging circumstances.

Business Operations and Strategy
Jaguar Mining Boosts Mineral Reserves by 63%, Strengthening Growth Prospects
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has announced a significant 63% increase in its Proven and Probable Mineral Reserves, bringing the total to 764,000 ounces, largely due to the addition of reserves from the Onças de Pitangui project. This update aligns with the company’s organic growth strategy, despite operational challenges at the MTL Complex, and suggests a promising future for increased gold production, which is expected to extend well beyond 2030, benefiting stakeholders and enhancing the company’s industry positioning.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Jaguar Mining Reaches Compensation Agreement for Satinoco Incident
Positive
Mar 26, 2025

Jaguar Mining Inc. has reached an agreement with the Public Defender’s Office of Minas Gerais to compensate local community members affected by an incident at its Satinoco dry-stacked pile in Brazil. The agreement ensures compensation for various damages and losses, reinforcing Jaguar’s commitment to responsible mining and community relations. This step is seen as a positive move towards reopening the Turmalina mine, benefiting the local community and stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.