Jaguar Mining (JAG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $295.05M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 94.40K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 5.8
• Beta (1Y): 1.59
• Revenue Growth: 18.33%
• EPS Growth: -138.14%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 1,105
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 73
• Industry: Gold
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 79,313,610
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 76,047
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 94,397
• PEG Ratio: -0.19
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.67
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -42.46
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.27
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.13
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 1.19
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 0.42
• 1Y Price Target: $4.00
• Price Target Upside: 8.35% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: C$4.00 ▲(8.40%Upside)

Jaguar Mining's overall score reflects a blend of strengths and challenges. The strong balance sheet and positive technical indicators are significant strengths, demonstrating financial stability and bullish momentum. However, profitability challenges and negative valuation metrics weigh down the overall score. Corporate events provide a supportive outlook with strategic management enhancements and operational resilience.

Jaguar Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Jaguar Mining Inc., a junior gold mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold producing properties in Brazil. Its principal assets include the Turmalina Gold Mine Complex, Caeté Gold Mine Complex, and the Paciência Gold Mine Complex located in the Iron Quadrangle in the state of Minas Gerais. The company also holds an option agreement to acquire a package of 28 exploration tenements. It currently holds 32,000 hectares of mineral rights in Brazil. Jaguar Mining Inc. is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Jaguar Mining generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold. The company operates two main mining complexes, Turmalina and Caeté, which produce gold that is sold in the international market. Revenue is generated based on the volume of gold produced and the prevailing market prices for gold. The company also invests in exploration activities to discover new gold deposits, which can enhance future production capabilities and revenue potential. Additionally, Jaguar Mining may engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to optimize operations and expand its asset base, contributing to its earnings.

Jaguar Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Jaguar Mining exhibits mixed financial health with challenges in profitability due to declining revenue and a negative net profit margin. However, operational efficiency is noteworthy, and the balance sheet demonstrates financial stability with minimal leverage.

Income Statement

The company's revenue demonstrated a decline in the TTM period with a negative revenue growth rate of -3.34%. Gross profit margin in TTM is relatively healthy at 43.27%, and the net profit margin is negative at -3.73%, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are at 8.96% and 15.34%, respectively, showing some operational efficiency, albeit with room for improvement.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, suggesting minimal leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is negative due to the net loss, but the equity ratio is robust at 70.16%, indicating a solid capital base. Overall, the balance sheet suggests financial stability but highlights the need to improve profitability.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow decreased in the TTM compared to the previous period, with a growth rate of -18.95%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to the net loss, while the free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative. Despite the decline, the company generated positive operating cash flow, indicating operational strength but challenges in translating this into net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	153.34M	158.63M	136.53M	142.50M	151.47M	160.25M
Gross Profit	66.36M	59.50M	32.48M	38.10M	60.04M	85.74M
EBITDA	27.27M	35.43M	42.97M	49.70M	53.93M	103.02M
Net Income	-5.72M	-1.29M	15.85M	21.44M	24.05M	72.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	339.05M	345.00M	309.12M	288.13M	259.88M	249.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	42.21M	47.80M	22.04M	25.21M	40.37M	38.91M
Total Debt	5.15M	6.95M	5.84M	7.00M	6.89M	5.78M
Total Liabilities	101.11M	105.46M	68.85M	71.11M	58.58M	60.07M
Stockholders Equity	237.93M	239.53M	240.27M	217.02M	201.29M	189.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	19.26M	23.76M	-687.00K	-3.40M	10.81M	43.91M
Operating Cash Flow	48.98M	57.35M	36.04M	40.77M	45.04M	78.67M
Investing Cash Flow	-31.10M	-30.68M	-35.78M	-43.72M	-27.00M	-34.75M
Financing Cash Flow	-4.04M	-2.74M	-3.45M	-9.78M	-16.30M	-17.17M

Jaguar Mining Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 3.69
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:JAG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.65, above the 50-day MA of 3.58, and above the 200-day MA of 3.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:JAG.

Jaguar Mining Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JAG	67 Neutral	$295.05M	5.84	-2.38%	―	18.33%	-138.14%
Sector *	44 Neutral	C$969.59M	-6.68	-13.73%	2.50%	17.55%	-32.57%
GDRZF		$388.00M	―	-53.17%	―	―	―
THM		$197.37M	―	-6.29%	―	―	―
OMG	56 Neutral	C$409.35M	―	-64.22%	―	―	18.12%
TAU	55 Neutral	C$252.02M	53.85	-0.95%	―	―	12.63%
WRLGF		$205.44M	―	-143.63%	―	―	―

Jaguar Mining Corporate Events

Jaguar Mining Reports Resilient Q2 2025 Results Amid Strategic Focus

Jaguar Mining Inc. reported its second quarter 2025 operating results, highlighting a consolidated gold production of 10,973 ounces, primarily from the Pilar mine. The temporary suspension of operations at the Turmalina mine due to a regulatory incident affected output compared to the previous year. The company demonstrated resilience with improved efficiency at the Pilar mine, strategic development progress, and increased drilling productivity. Jaguar’s cash position improved to $48.3 million, aided by favorable gold prices, reflecting its strong financial management and commitment to stakeholder engagement.

Jaguar Mining Announces Successful Shareholder Meeting Outcomes

Jaguar Mining Inc. announced the successful passage of all resolutions at its Annual and Special Meeting of shareholders. The election of directors, appointment of auditors, and re-approval of the company’s stock option plan were all approved by significant margins. This outcome reinforces the company’s governance structure and supports its strategic initiatives as it continues its operations and planned expansions in Brazil.

Jaguar Mining Announces Strategic Management Changes

Jaguar Mining Inc. has announced key management changes to support its growth strategy, appointing Luis Albano Tondo as Deputy CEO, who will transition to CEO in August 2025. The company also named Marina Fagundes de Freitas as Interim CFO following the departure of Alfred Colas. These changes aim to strengthen leadership and ensure a smooth transition, with implications for continued stability and progress in Jaguar’s operations.

Jaguar Mining Navigates Transition with Resilience Amidst Operational Challenges

Jaguar Mining reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a challenging period as the company operated solely from its Pilar mine due to the temporary suspension of the Turmalina mine. Gold production and revenue decreased compared to the previous year, but higher gold prices helped offset some losses. The company reported a net loss for the quarter but maintained a strong cash position, which provides flexibility to address ongoing challenges and continue development efforts. Rehabilitation work has also begun at the Santa Isabel mine, with potential for future production.