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NanoXplore Inc (TSE:GRA)
TSX:GRA

NanoXplore Inc (GRA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GRA

NanoXplore Inc

(TSX:GRA)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$3.00
▲(9.49% Upside)
NanoXplore Inc's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including negative profitability and revenue decline. While there are promising developments from recent earnings call highlights, such as new contracts and operational improvements, the current market momentum and valuation concerns weigh heavily on the stock's attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Major industrial partnership
A large supply agreement with Chevron Phillips provides durable demand validation from an established chemical industry leader. This enhances NanoXplore's credibility, supports scale-up economics, and can open other industrial channels, improving long-term revenue visibility and OEM adoption.
Contracted recurring revenue (Club Car)
A multiyear customer like Club Car, with ~$15M of expected annual revenue, materially increases predictable sales and helps diversify the customer base. This recurring contract supports capacity utilization, revenue stability, and longer-term margin recovery as volume ramps at the Statesville facility.
Strengthened liquidity for scale-up
The $25.7M equity raise materially improves liquidity to fund dry-process scale-up and capex without adding immediate leverage. This reduces near-term financing risk, enables capacity investments that lower unit costs, and supports execution of long-term commercialization plans.
Negative Factors
Revenue decline & customer concentration
A 30% YoY Q1 revenue decline driven by reduced demand from two largest customers highlights concentration risk and demand volatility. Sustained declines impair utilization and margin leverage, making long-term growth contingent on customer diversification and new program wins.
Ongoing unprofitability
Negative adjusted EBITDA signals the business has not yet converted sales into sustainable operating profit. Persistent losses limit internal cash generation for reinvestment, increase reliance on external financing, and heighten execution risk until margins and volumes scale.
Underutilized expanded capacity
Underused production capacity raises per-unit costs and weakens margin recovery despite investment. Unless demand from new contracts or markets ramps, expected returns on expansion will be delayed, pressuring cash flow and the timeline to achieve scalable manufacturing economics.

NanoXplore Inc (GRA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

NanoXplore Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNanoXplore Inc., a graphene company, manufactures and supplies graphene powder for use in industrial markets. The company offers graphene-based solutions, including GrapheneBlack powder and graphene-enhanced masterbatch pellets. It also provides standard and custom graphene-enhanced plastic and composite products to customers in transportation, packaging, electronics, and other industrial sectors. In addition, the company offers graphene-enhanced sheet molding compounds used to create lightweight composite exterior and battery enclosure parts for cars and trucks, such as hoods, bumpers, roofs, and battery packs. It has operations in the United States, Canada, France, Switzerland, and internationally. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Montréal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyNanoXplore generates revenue primarily through the sale of its graphene products to various industrial sectors. The company's revenue model includes direct sales of graphene powder, composite materials, and graphene-enhanced products. Key revenue streams are derived from contracts with manufacturing companies that seek to incorporate graphene into their products for improved performance. Additionally, NanoXplore benefits from strategic partnerships with industry leaders and research institutions, which facilitate collaborative projects and access to new markets. The ongoing demand for innovative materials that enhance sustainability and performance also contributes to the company's earnings potential.

NanoXplore Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements, including a major sales agreement with Chevron Phillips Chemical and a new contract with Club Car, indicating growth potential. However, the company faced challenges with reduced customer demand and decreased revenues, leading to a negative adjusted EBITDA. While there are promising developments, such as improved operational efficiencies and new production capabilities, the current financial performance is impacted by market volatility.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Graphene Powder Sales Agreement with Chevron Phillips Chemical
NanoXplore announced its largest ever graphene powder sales agreement with Chevron Phillips Chemical. Early volumes are tracking higher than initial projections, with positive customer feedback and marketing to start in December.
New Customer Contract with Club Car
NanoXplore secured a new customer, Club Car, expected to generate approximately $15 million in annual revenues. Production is already underway at the new facility in Statesville, North Carolina.
Successful Equity Financing
NanoXplore completed a $25.7 million equity financing, strengthening its balance sheet and enabling the scale-up of dry process graphene production.
Improved Operational Efficiencies
Since 2021, NanoXplore improved gross margins by 11 percentage points while expanding its customer base.
Dry Process Graphene Module Installation
NanoXplore is on track to install its first fully commercial dry graphene module by March 2026, adding 500 to 1,000 tons per year capacity.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline and Customer Demand Reduction
Total revenues in Q1 were 30% lower than Q1 2025 at $23.4 million due to reduced demand from two largest customers in the transportation sector.
Decreased Gross Margins
Adjusted gross margins decreased to 17.3% from 21% last year due to lower manufacturing overhead cost absorption and volume reductions.
Negative Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $1.4 million, a decrease of $2.5 million compared to last year.
Underutilization of Expanded Capacity
Capacity expansion in Sainte-Clotilde-de-Beauce remains underutilized due to reduced demand in the medium-duty transport sector.
Company Guidance
During the NanoXplore First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call, key guidance metrics were discussed, including a projected revenue range for fiscal year 2026 between $115 million and $125 million, despite a 30% decrease in Q1 revenue to $23.4 million compared to Q1 2025. The company anticipates a recovery in Q2 followed by accelerated growth in the second half of the fiscal year, fueled by new customer programs such as the Club Car contract, which is expected to generate approximately $15 million in annual revenue. NanoXplore also aims to increase graphene powder sales and is on track to install its first fully commercial dry graphene module by March 2026, projected to add between 500 to 1,000 tons per year of new capacity. Adjusted gross margins decreased to 17.3% in Q1 but are expected to improve, reaching upwards of 24% by fiscal year-end. The company completed a $25.7 million equity financing to support its expansion efforts, particularly in scaling dry process graphene production.

NanoXplore Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NanoXplore Inc. is experiencing revenue growth and improving margins, but ongoing net losses and negative free cash flow highlight significant profitability challenges. The balance sheet is stable, with low leverage, but cash flow constraints need attention.
Income Statement
NanoXplore Inc.'s income statement reveals improving revenue growth with a 7% increase in TTM compared to the previous annual report. However, the company continues to face challenges with profitability, evidenced by negative net profit margins and an EBIT margin of -6.3% in TTM. The company did improve its EBITDA margin to 2.4%, indicating better control over operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a stable equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 in TTM, suggesting manageable leverage. The equity ratio of 67.4% in TTM reflects a strong equity position relative to total assets, but returns on equity remain negative due to ongoing net losses.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis indicates a negative free cash flow, although there is a slight improvement in operating cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, highlighting cash constraints. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, showing some strength in cash generation relative to reported losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue137.55M128.92M128.60M122.70M92.33M66.66M
Gross Profit25.16M30.73M20.75M15.41M9.38M7.63M
EBITDA3.35M3.07M1.44M-2.47M-7.92M-4.74M
Net Income-11.12M-9.66M-11.66M-12.80M-15.54M-11.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets151.70M151.20M159.69M165.25M167.26M145.30M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.05M18.59M26.50M36.21M51.23M50.52M
Total Debt22.30M22.62M20.84M24.57M29.33M22.57M
Total Liabilities49.48M51.85M52.04M48.97M49.73M42.32M
Stockholders Equity102.22M99.36M107.65M116.28M117.53M102.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.69M-7.26M-5.35M-5.72M-24.17M-15.08M
Operating Cash Flow4.06M5.95M4.42M2.45M-20.11M-6.13M
Investing Cash Flow-7.51M-12.03M-10.65M-9.84M-5.74M-15.15M
Financing Cash Flow-3.06M-1.94M-3.50M-7.66M26.55M38.09M

NanoXplore Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.74
Price Trends
50DMA
2.34
Positive
100DMA
2.63
Positive
200DMA
2.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
73.24
Negative
STOCH
93.63
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GRA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.39, above the 50-day MA of 2.34, and above the 200-day MA of 2.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.24 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.63 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GRA.

NanoXplore Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
C$1.80B15.7114.30%4.73%10.20%-11.22%
66
Neutral
C$4.85B14.519.35%1.87%-0.65%46.15%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
49
Neutral
C$497.11M-43.63-10.65%-11.90%-0.32%
48
Neutral
C$44.75M-9.40-15.37%61.75%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GRA
NanoXplore Inc
2.74
0.28
11.38%
TSE:MX
Methanex
62.74
-5.09
-7.50%
TSE:CHE.UN
Chemtrade Logistics
15.63
5.99
62.14%
TSE:FAT
Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd
3.10
1.12
56.57%
TSE:FRXI.H
FRX Innovations Inc
0.05
0.00
0.00%
TSE:SWAN
Black Swan Graphene Inc
1.15
0.47
69.12%

NanoXplore Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
NanoXplore Promotes Nima Moghimian to Chief Technology Officer
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

NanoXplore Inc. has announced the promotion of Nima Moghimian to Chief Technology Officer, highlighting his significant contributions to the company’s technology strategy and growth in the graphene sector. Moghimian’s expertise in research and development, intellectual property, and product certification has been pivotal in advancing NanoXplore’s proprietary technologies and market leadership. His promotion is expected to further drive the company’s profitability and reinforce its position in the graphene industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GRA) stock is a Hold with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NanoXplore Inc stock, see the TSE:GRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
NanoXplore Inc. Concludes Successful Annual Shareholder Meeting
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

NanoXplore Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where all resolutions were adopted, including the election of the Board of Directors and the reappointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor. The meeting, attended by shareholders representing 60.99% of outstanding shares, also featured a presentation by the newly appointed CEO, Rocco Marinaccio, highlighting the company’s activities and strategic direction. This meeting underscores NanoXplore’s stable governance and commitment to transparency, potentially reinforcing its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GRA) stock is a Hold with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NanoXplore Inc stock, see the TSE:GRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
NanoXplore Secures $25.7 Million to Boost Graphene Production
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

NanoXplore Inc. has successfully closed a bought deal private placement, raising $25,728,840 through the issuance of 10,720,350 common shares at $2.40 each. The proceeds will be used to expand graphene production capacity and for general corporate purposes. This strategic move, supported by a syndicate of underwriters, including Ventum Financial Corp. and Cormark Securities Inc., aims to bolster NanoXplore’s growth and market positioning. Martinrea International Inc., an insider, participated significantly in the offering, maintaining its stake in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GRA) stock is a Hold with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NanoXplore Inc stock, see the TSE:GRA Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
NanoXplore to Host Webcast on Q1 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 29, 2025

NanoXplore Inc. announced it will host a webcast on November 13, 2025, to discuss its first-quarter financial results, which will be released on November 12, 2025. This event highlights the company’s ongoing transparency and engagement with stakeholders, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GRA) stock is a Hold with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NanoXplore Inc stock, see the TSE:GRA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
NanoXplore Secures $25 Million in Bought Deal Private Placement
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

NanoXplore Inc. announced a bought deal private placement worth $25,000,080, facilitated by Ventum Financial Corp. and a syndicate of underwriters. The proceeds will be used to support the company’s growth, particularly in expanding dry graphene production, and for general corporate purposes. The offering is expected to close by October 30, 2025, pending necessary approvals, and will be available in all Canadian provinces under specific exemptions, with shares being freely tradeable under Canadian securities laws.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GRA) stock is a Hold with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NanoXplore Inc stock, see the TSE:GRA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025