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Fireweed Zinc Ltd. (TSE:FWZ)
:FWZ

Fireweed Zinc (FWZ) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FWZ

Fireweed Zinc

(FWZ)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
C$3.50
▲(6.06% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by pre-revenue operations with large losses and worsening cash burn, despite low leverage. Technicals also lean bearish with price below key moving averages and a negative MACD. Positive corporate updates provide some upside potential, but valuation metrics offer limited support due to negative earnings and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / conservative balance sheet
Extremely low debt materially reduces solvency and refinancing risk for an exploration company. This conservative capital structure gives management more time to advance projects, lowering likelihood of distress financing and supporting long-term project optionality absent near-term revenues.
Growing equity base provides funding capacity
A rising equity base signals the company has been able to source capital to fund exploration and development. Durable access to equity markets supports continued project advancement and reduces immediate solvency risk, enabling multi-stage technical programs without relying solely on operational cash flows.
Positive exploration and development progress
Confirmed mineralization and feasibility-stage work increase the probability of resource conversion and eventual development. These technical milestones reduce geological and execution uncertainty, strengthening the company's long-term asset quality and strategic optionality across zinc and tungsten exposures.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue with materially widening losses
Operating with no revenues and rapidly expanding net losses is a structural weakness for a developer; persistent negative earnings erode capital and raise the bar for future returns. Until commercial production or sustained cash-generating activity occurs, shareholder value depends on successful, uncertain project execution.
Significant and worsening cash burn
Large, increasing negative operating and free cash flows create a durable funding need, forcing recurring capital raises or asset sales. Repeated dilution or reliance on external financing can compress returns, slow project timelines, and constrain the company’s ability to execute multi-year development plans without altering strategy.
Very poor returns on equity
A deeply negative ROE indicates capital is being consumed rather than generating value. Over time this undermines investor confidence, limits retained-capital reinvestment, and signals that current spending is not translating into value creation absent a clear path to production or asset monetization.

Fireweed Zinc (FWZ) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Fireweed Zinc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFireweed Metals Corp. acquires, explores for, and develops mineral properties in Canada. It explores for zinc, lead, and silver, as well as gallium and germanium deposits. The company owns an interest in the Macmillan Pass project located in Yukon, Canada; and the Gayna River project situated in Northwest Territories, Canada. It also has an option to acquire 100% interest in the Mactung Tungsten project that covers an area of 37.6 square kilometers located in Yukon and Northwest Territories, Canada. The company was formerly known as Fireweed Zinc Ltd. and changed its name to Fireweed Metals Corp. in June 2022. Fireweed Metals Corp. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFireweed Zinc makes money through the exploration, development, and potential future production of mineral resources, primarily zinc, lead, and silver. The company raises capital through equity financing to fund its exploration and development activities. Once the projects are sufficiently advanced, Fireweed Zinc may generate revenue through the sale of mineral concentrates or by entering into joint ventures or partnerships with larger mining companies. Additionally, the company aims to enhance shareholder value by increasing the resource base and advancing its projects towards feasibility and production stages. Strategic partnerships and favorable market conditions for zinc, lead, and silver can significantly impact the company's earnings potential.

Fireweed Zinc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fireweed Zinc's financial performance is weak due to significant challenges with profitability, as indicated by negative margins and cash flows. Despite a moderate equity base, the company's reliance on external financing and absence of revenue growth highlights financial instability.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Fireweed Zinc's income statement reflects significant challenges with profitability. The company has not generated any substantial revenue over the past years, with TTM revenue being minimal. Gross profit margins and net profit margins are negative due to high operating expenses and negative gross profit, indicating an unprofitable operation. The substantial negative EBIT and EBITDA margins further highlight inefficiencies and high operational costs.
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Fireweed Zinc maintains a relatively solid equity base with a moderate equity ratio, suggesting some financial stability. However, the company has accumulated considerable debt over the years. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low, indicating low leverage risk, but the negative net income results in weak return on equity. The company appears to be maintaining liquidity through high cash reserves, which is a positive aspect of its financial position.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
The cash flow statement reveals significant cash outflows from operating activities, with the company heavily reliant on financing to sustain operations. Free cash flow is negative, highlighting challenges in generating sufficient cash from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is concerning, indicating inefficiencies in converting earnings to cash. The company’s cash flow situation is precarious, relying on external funding.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-586.12K-701.13K-452.00K-40.50K-42.74K-16.05K
EBITDA-44.41M-33.70M-39.72M-15.90M-9.25M-6.04M
Net Income-45.04M-34.66M-33.26M-13.54M-8.92M-5.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets58.92M41.00M39.46M54.61M21.03M14.22M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.05M19.82M19.22M39.89M8.18M2.26M
Total Debt167.25K314.27K796.90K40.00K40.00K40.00K
Total Liabilities15.54M5.16M6.90M5.45M2.29M506.44K
Stockholders Equity43.38M35.84M32.56M49.16M18.75M13.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-54.75M-44.52M-37.92M-15.32M-8.85M-6.90M
Operating Cash Flow-49.63M-40.75M-36.51M-14.98M-8.75M-6.23M
Investing Cash Flow-5.12M-3.77M-1.42M-1.84M-99.70K-667.75K
Financing Cash Flow59.37M45.11M17.26M48.52M14.76M8.38M

Fireweed Zinc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.30
Price Trends
50DMA
2.89
Positive
100DMA
2.90
Positive
200DMA
2.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Negative
RSI
63.78
Neutral
STOCH
90.87
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FWZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.93, above the 50-day MA of 2.89, and above the 200-day MA of 2.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.87 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:FWZ.

Fireweed Zinc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
C$193.47M-33.33-46.64%-59.57%
54
Neutral
$1.34B-99.75-7.00%7.70%
54
Neutral
C$649.32M-22.03-19.38%-57.63%
53
Neutral
C$345.05M-29.25-129.16%-100.00%-127.82%
46
Neutral
C$712.76M-14.56-106.96%0.74%
43
Neutral
C$66.83M-35.42-1.53%5.26%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FWZ
Fireweed Zinc
3.30
1.88
132.39%
TSE:TMQ
Trilogy Metals
7.89
6.31
399.37%
TSE:OM
Osisko Metals Incorporated
0.91
0.59
184.38%
TSE:CDPR
Cerro de Pasco Resources Inc
0.62
0.35
129.63%
TSE:TK
Tinka Resources
0.51
0.11
27.50%
TSE:ZNG
Group Eleven Resources
0.75
0.58
341.18%

Fireweed Zinc Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Fireweed Extends Tom South Mineralization with 300 m Step-Out Drill Hole at Macpass
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

Fireweed Metals has reported encouraging initial results from a major 300-metre step-out drill hole at the Tom South zone on its Macpass Project in Yukon, intersecting 58.3 metres of laminated sulphide mineralization grading 2.33% zinc, 0.04% lead and 1.79 g/t silver, including a higher-grade 5.24-metre interval. The hole, which extends the down-dip step-out distance at Tom South to 415 metres from previous drilling and remains open at depth, was terminated in mineralization due to winter conditions and will be completed in 2026, underpinning Fireweed’s strategy to test for a feeder-style massive sulphide zone and to build scale through both resource expansion at Tom South and regional zinc and gold exploration across multiple Macpass targets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FWZ) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fireweed Zinc stock, see the TSE:FWZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Fireweed Extends Tom South Mineralization with 300 m Step-Out Hole at Macpass
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

Fireweed Metals reported that step-out drill hole TS25-003 at the Tom South zone of its Macpass Project intersected 58.30 metres of laminated sulphide mineralization grading 2.33% zinc, 0.04% lead and 1.79 g/t silver, including a higher-grade 5.24-metre interval at 7.80% zinc, before drilling was halted in mineralization due to winter conditions. The hole, located 300 metres down-dip from a previously announced high-grade massive sulphide intersection, extends the 2025 step-out distance at Tom South to 415 metres and confirms that the target remains open at depth, with management planning to resume the hole early in the 2026 field season and to use geological indicators from 2025 results to vector toward potential feeder zones and test the down-dip extent of the deposit, while also advancing regional zinc and gold exploration at other Macpass targets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FWZ) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fireweed Zinc stock, see the TSE:FWZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Fireweed Metals Confirms Significant Zinc Mineralization at Gayna Property
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

Fireweed Metals Corp. has successfully completed its 2025 exploration program at the Gayna Property, marking the first drilling activity since the late 1970s. The program, which included approximately 3,800 meters of drilling, confirmed significant zinc and lead mineralization at the Intrepid target. This advancement enhances Fireweed’s understanding of the geological system and supports future exploration efforts. The results indicate potential for further mineralization along reef margins, which could bolster the company’s position in the mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FWZ) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fireweed Zinc stock, see the TSE:FWZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Fireweed Metals Advances Mactung Tungsten Project with Successful Drill Program
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

Fireweed Metals Corp. has successfully completed a comprehensive 11,117-meter multi-purpose drill program at its Mactung tungsten project, which includes geotechnical, hydrogeological, and infill drilling. This program is crucial for the upcoming Feasibility Study, expected to start by the end of 2025. The results confirm the high-grade nature and significant scale of the tungsten deposit, supported by a U.S. Department of War award under the Defense Production Act. The company has also initiated a Mineral Resource Update to convert resources from Inferred to Indicated, and conducted environmental baseline studies for future mine licensing. These efforts are part of a broader strategy to cement Mactung as a leading tungsten deposit globally, enhancing Fireweed’s industry positioning and potentially benefiting stakeholders through increased project viability and future development activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FWZ) stock is a Buy with a C$3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fireweed Zinc stock, see the TSE:FWZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025