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Cielo Waste Solutions Inc (TSE:CMC)
:CMC
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Cielo Waste Solutions (CMC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CMC

Cielo Waste Solutions

(CMC)

Rating:25Underperform
Price Target:
Cielo Waste Solutions' stock faces significant challenges, with its financial instability being the most critical factor. The lack of revenue, high losses, and weak balance sheet pose severe risks. Technical analysis supports a bearish outlook, while valuation metrics and recent corporate events further highlight the stock's precarious position.

Cielo Waste Solutions (CMC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Cielo Waste Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCielo Waste Solutions Corp. operates as a waste-to-fuel environmental technology company in Canada. It converts and transforms waste feedstocks, including organic material and wood derivative waste into fuel, such as diesel, naphtha, and kerosene. The company was formerly known as Cielo Gold Corp. and changed its name to Cielo Waste Solutions Corp. in August 2013. Cielo Waste Solutions Corp. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCielo Waste Solutions generates revenue through the sale of renewable diesel and other byproducts created from their waste-to-fuel conversion process. The company's revenue model primarily revolves around the commercialization of its renewable fuel products, which are sold to various industries seeking to reduce their carbon footprint and meet regulatory requirements for renewable energy consumption. Additionally, Cielo may engage in strategic partnerships with waste management companies and municipalities to secure a steady supply of feedstock materials, thus ensuring continuous production and sales. These partnerships and the increasing demand for sustainable energy solutions are significant factors contributing to Cielo's earnings.

Cielo Waste Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 02, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted a significant transaction with Expander Energy and receipt of a non-dilutive grant, suggesting strategic advancements. However, financial challenges such as a net loss and working capital deficiency indicate ongoing financial hurdles.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
IP Licensing Agreement with Expander Energy
Closed a transaction with Expander Energy, resulting in the issuance of 906 million common shares valued at $45 million.
Receipt of Non-Dilutive Grant
Approved for a $0.5 million grant by Alberta Innovates for the feedstock trial in Aldersyde.
Shareholder Approval for Reverse Consolidation
Received shareholder approval for the reverse consolidation of shares at the Annual General Meeting.
Negative Updates
Net Loss for the Quarter
Reported a net loss of $1.4 million for the 3-month period ending October 31, 2023.
Working Capital Deficiency
Reported a working capital deficiency of $2.1 million.
Unsold Property and Termination of Promissory Notes
In the event the Fort Saskatchewan property is not resold, the $2 million promissory notes will be terminated, resulting in no further proceeds.
Company Guidance
During the Cielo Waste Solutions Second Quarter 2024 earnings call, several key financial metrics and transactions were discussed. The company reported total assets of $13.9 million and total liabilities of $5.3 million as of October 31, 2023, with a working capital deficiency of $2.1 million. The quarter saw financing costs of $60,000, general and administrative expenses of $616,000, research and development costs of $221,000, and a non-cash stock-based compensation of $187,000, leading to a net loss of $1.4 million. A significant transaction was the sale of the Fort Saskatchewan property, which involved retiring an $11 million second mortgage. Additionally, a licensing agreement with Expander Energy resulted in the issuance of 906 million common shares valued at $45 million. The company also launched a private placement of flow-through shares to raise up to $6 million and received a $0.5 million grant from Alberta Innovates for a feedstock trial. Management is considering strategic timing for a reverse share consolidation and aims to minimize future dilution by exploring non-dilutive funding opportunities for upcoming projects.

Cielo Waste Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cielo Waste Solutions is facing significant financial challenges with zero revenue, increasing losses, and a weakened balance sheet. Negative cash flows highlight its struggle to generate cash, indicating financial instability.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
Cielo Waste Solutions has consistently reported zero revenue over the past years, indicating a lack of operational success. The company is also suffering from negative net income and growing operating losses, as evidenced by the significant negative EBIT and EBITDA figures. The company has not shown any revenue growth, which is a critical concern for future profitability and sustainability.
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
The company's balance sheet reveals a substantial decrease in total assets and equity over recent periods. The debt-to-equity ratio is concerning, with total debt exceeding equity in recent years. However, the debt levels have decreased, which is a positive sign. The equity ratio has also deteriorated, indicating reduced financial stability and a potential risk for creditors.
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
Cielo Waste Solutions has been experiencing negative operating and free cash flows, highlighting its struggle to generate cash from operations. The company relies heavily on financing activities to support its cash needs, which is unsustainable in the long term. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, underscoring the inability to improve cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.004.20K3.00K
Gross Profit-3.41M-634.00K-443.00K-187.00K-200.00K
EBITDA-8.05M-33.13M-13.36M-37.99M-3.79M
Net Income-36.18M-14.45M-14.45M-39.71M-4.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets54.95M29.37M53.53M45.19M17.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments376.00K1.33M2.68M17.18M81.61K
Total Debt4.19M10.04M14.84M1.74M10.46M
Total Liabilities13.71M14.57M19.93M20.69M14.91M
Stockholders Equity41.24M14.80M33.60M24.51M2.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.97M-8.97M-35.96M-7.69M-8.45M
Operating Cash Flow-4.20M-4.75M-16.38M-1.27M-3.36M
Investing Cash Flow-1.49M-5.06M-19.64M-6.12M-5.09M
Financing Cash Flow4.92M8.31M21.52M24.49M8.18M

Cielo Waste Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.06
Price Trends
50DMA
0.06
Positive
100DMA
0.06
Positive
200DMA
0.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
52.31
Neutral
STOCH
66.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CMC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, above the 50-day MA of 0.06, and below the 200-day MA of 0.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CMC.

Cielo Waste Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.31B6.290.71%2.95%3.36%-36.41%
46
Neutral
C$44.23M-2752.20%153.17%43.51%
44
Neutral
C$30.95M-321.92%25.24%34.24%
41
Neutral
C$44.60M1,685.71-3.01%63.49%-133.70%
25
Underperform
C$8.16M-168.76%-66.57%
22
Underperform
C$8.69M55.19%57.84%
C$73.91M10.6838.06%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CMC
Cielo Waste Solutions
0.06
-0.08
-57.14%
TSE:BAC
BacTech Environmental
0.04
0.00
0.00%
TSE:BLM
BluMetric Environmental
1.19
0.65
120.37%
TSE:BQE
BQE Water
57.64
3.14
5.76%
TSE:ECM
Ecolomondo Corporation
0.21
0.03
16.67%
TSE:YES
CHAR Technologies
0.24
-0.04
-14.29%

Cielo Waste Solutions Corporate Events

Legal ProceedingsShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cielo Waste Solutions Reaches Settlement and Sets Shareholder Meeting
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

Cielo Waste Solutions has reached a settlement agreement with Expander Energy and related parties to unwind certain transactions, which includes the cancellation of up to 60 million common shares and the termination of various agreements. This move is expected to stabilize Cielo’s operations by resolving legal disputes and financial obligations, potentially improving its market position. Additionally, Cielo has scheduled its annual shareholder meeting for June 24, 2025, where incumbent directors will be nominated for re-election.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CMC Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CMC is a Underperform.

Cielo Waste Solutions is grappling with severe financial distress, highlighted by zero revenue and increasing losses. The technical outlook is bleak, with indicators pointing to bearish momentum. Valuation remains a concern due to negative P/E and lack of dividends. Recent corporate events add further instability, making the stock highly risky.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CMC stock, click here.

Product-Related AnnouncementsLegal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cielo Waste Solutions Shifts Focus to Green Hydrogen Amid Dispute with Expander Energy
Neutral
Apr 14, 2025

Cielo Waste Solutions has announced a strategic shift in its operations, relocating its first commercial waste-to-fuel facility from Alberta to British Columbia and transitioning its production focus from renewable diesel to green hydrogen. This move aligns with the company’s broader strategy to capitalize on the growing demand for renewable fuels and explore funding opportunities through the British Columbia Low Carbon Fuel Standard credit program. Additionally, Cielo is engaged in a dispute resolution process with Expander Energy Inc. following the termination of several agreements, and is working with legal advisors to protect shareholder interests.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CMC Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CMC is a Underperform.

Cielo Waste Solutions is significantly challenged by its poor financial health, weak technical performance, and negative valuation metrics. The proposed board overhaul adds further uncertainty and potential instability. Overall, the stock faces substantial risks, and its prospects appear dim.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CMC stock, click here.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cielo Waste Solutions Responds to Expander Energy’s Misleading Claims
Negative
Apr 10, 2025

Cielo Waste Solutions Corp. has issued a statement to counter what it claims are misleading assertions made by Expander Energy Inc. in a recent press release. Cielo argues that Expander’s statements contain material misstatements and are detrimental to the company and its shareholders. The company is taking steps to protect its interests and invites constructive dialogue with all shareholders, including Expander. Cielo has retained legal advisors and continues to review a requisition from Expander seeking shareholder approval for Expander to become a ‘Control Person’ of the company, which Cielo views as a concerning move.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CMC Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CMC is a Underperform.

Cielo Waste Solutions is significantly challenged by its poor financial health, weak technical performance, and negative valuation metrics. The proposed board overhaul adds further uncertainty and potential instability. Overall, the stock faces substantial risks, and its prospects appear dim.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CMC stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Cielo Waste Solutions Faces Shareholder Requisition for Board Overhaul
Negative
Apr 2, 2025

Cielo Waste Solutions has received a shareholder meeting requisition from Expander Energy, its largest shareholder, to address significant changes in the company’s board of directors and governance structure. Expander seeks to replace the current board with its nominees and gain control of the company, attributing Cielo’s share price decline to the existing board. Cielo’s management, however, attributes the decline to broader market conditions and is committed to its turnaround strategy for long-term growth, emphasizing ongoing dialogue with shareholders and good governance.

Product-Related AnnouncementsLegal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cielo Waste Solutions Shifts Focus to Green Hydrogen in British Columbia
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

Cielo Waste Solutions announced the relocation of its first planned waste-to-fuel facility from Alberta to British Columbia, shifting its production focus from Renewable Diesel to Green Hydrogen. This strategic move aligns with the company’s commitment to renewable energy and allows it to leverage financial incentives from the British Columbia Low Carbon Fuel Standard credit program. Additionally, Cielo has decided not to proceed with the acquisition of the Enhanced Gas to Liquids facility due to market uncertainties and regulatory challenges. The company remains focused on sustainable fuel production and is exploring new partnerships and funding opportunities. Cielo is also engaged in a dispute resolution process with Expander Energy regarding disagreements over a license agreement.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2025