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Celestica (TSE:CLS)
TSX:CLS
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Celestica (CLS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CLS

Celestica

(TSX:CLS)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$286.00
▼(-18.46% Downside)
Celestica's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the stock score. The company's robust revenue growth, improved profitability, and raised financial outlook highlight its strategic positioning and operational efficiency. However, the high P/E ratio and absence of a dividend yield impact the valuation negatively. Technical analysis presents a balanced view, with no strong bullish or bearish signals.

Celestica (CLS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Celestica Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCelestica Inc. (CLS) is a Canadian multinational company that provides innovative supply chain solutions, manufacturing services, and engineering support to various sectors, including telecommunications, industrial, aerospace and defense, and healthcare. With a focus on high-tech manufacturing and design, Celestica delivers a broad range of services, such as electronics manufacturing services (EMS), original design manufacturing (ODM), and integrated supply chain solutions, enabling its customers to enhance their efficiency and reduce time-to-market.
How the Company Makes MoneyCelestica generates revenue primarily through its electronics manufacturing services (EMS) and original design manufacturing (ODM). The company operates on a business model that involves manufacturing and assembling electronic components and systems for clients across different industries. Key revenue streams include contracts with major clients in sectors like telecommunications and healthcare, where they provide customized solutions tailored to specific client needs. Celestica also benefits from long-term partnerships with leading technology companies, which provide a steady flow of orders and enable economies of scale. Additionally, the company's integrated supply chain solutions allow it to offer value-added services, such as logistics and inventory management, further enhancing its revenue potential. Factors such as technological advancements and a growing demand for smart devices and IoT solutions also contribute to Celestica's earnings.

Celestica Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was generally positive, with record revenue and EPS, increased operating margins, and strong growth in the CCS segment. However, there were challenges such as a decline in enterprise revenue and increased inventory levels. The company raised its annual financial outlook, indicating confidence in future performance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and EPS
Celestica achieved revenues of $2.89 billion and adjusted EPS of $1.39, both exceeding the high end of guidance ranges with revenues up 21% year-over-year.
High Operating Margins
Adjusted operating margin reached 7.4%, marking the highest performance in company history.
Strong Growth in CCS Segment
The CCS segment experienced very strong growth, driven by a 28% increase in revenue due to demand for networking products from hyperscale customers.
Significant Increase in Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow for the second quarter was $120 million, $54 million higher than the prior year period.
Raising Annual Financial Outlook
The 2025 revenue outlook was increased from $10.85 billion to $11.55 billion, reflecting 20% year-over-year growth, and adjusted EPS outlook was raised from $5 to $5.50.
Strong Demand for Networking Products
Demand for 800G networking switch programs is ramping, complementing strong demand for 400G switches.
Negative Updates
Decline in Enterprise Revenue
Enterprise end market revenue was 37% lower, due to an anticipated technology transition with a hyperscale customer.
Challenges in A&D Business
Lower volumes in A&D business are expected due to the decision not to renew a margin-dilutive program.
Increased Inventory Levels
Inventory balance increased to $1.92 billion, a year-over-year increase of $74 million.
Company Guidance
During Celestica's Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance for Q3 2025 and the full year. For Q3, Celestica projected revenue between $2.875 billion and $3.125 billion, representing 20% growth at the midpoint, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) anticipated to be between $1.37 and $1.53. The company expects its non-GAAP operating margin to be 7.4%, an increase of 60 basis points from the previous year. For the full year 2025, Celestica raised its revenue outlook from $10.85 billion to $11.55 billion, reflecting 20% year-over-year growth. The adjusted EPS outlook was increased from $5 to $5.50 per share, indicating a 42% increase, while the anticipated non-GAAP operating margin remained at 7.4%. Additionally, the company raised its free cash flow outlook from $350 million to $400 million. This guidance assumes no significant changes to tariffs or trade restrictions.

Celestica Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Celestica exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, improving profitability, and effective cash flow management. The company has enhanced its margins and maintains a balanced capital structure, positioning it well for future growth. The strong return on equity and cash flow metrics highlight operational efficiency and financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Celestica has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 4.97% increase in TTM, supported by improving margins. The gross profit margin has increased to 11.27% in TTM from 10.72% in 2024, and the net profit margin has improved to 4.95%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown positive trends, indicating efficient cost management and operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50 in TTM, reflecting moderate leverage. The return on equity is robust at 29.81%, showcasing effective utilization of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio stands at 28.16%, suggesting a balanced but slightly leveraged capital structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Celestica's cash flow performance is strong, with a notable free cash flow growth rate of 11.02% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.17, indicating solid cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.71 further underscores the company's ability to convert earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.59B9.65B7.96B7.25B5.63B5.75B
Gross Profit1.19B1.03B778.50M636.30M487.00M437.60M
EBITDA854.00M736.20M515.70M408.10M294.00M252.60M
Net Income523.90M428.00M244.60M145.50M103.90M60.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.24B5.99B5.89B5.63B4.67B3.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments313.80M423.30M372.60M374.50M394.00M463.80M
Total Debt875.20M796.70M782.80M786.10M794.40M585.90M
Total Liabilities4.48B4.09B4.12B3.95B3.20B2.26B
Stockholders Equity1.76B1.90B1.77B1.68B1.46B1.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow339.60M303.00M304.60M188.90M174.60M186.80M
Operating Cash Flow502.40M473.90M429.70M297.90M226.80M239.60M
Investing Cash Flow-173.70M-212.50M-122.40M-108.90M-364.30M-51.00M
Financing Cash Flow-448.90M-208.50M-311.40M-208.50M67.70M-204.30M

Celestica Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price350.75
Price Trends
50DMA
258.52
Positive
100DMA
207.30
Positive
200DMA
174.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
22.31
Negative
RSI
76.13
Negative
STOCH
87.70
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 350.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 286.64, above the 50-day MA of 258.52, and above the 200-day MA of 174.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 22.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.13 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CLS.

Celestica Risk Analysis

Celestica disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Celestica reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Celestica Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$38.79B52.7330.28%24.07%61.63%
61
Neutral
$36.58B11.16-10.39%1.86%8.71%-7.09%
56
Neutral
C$1.06B60.3816.90%-1.96%24.03%
$6.52M6.6732.72%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CLS
Celestica
350.75
288.90
467.10%
TSE:PNG
Kraken Robotics Systems Inc
4.10
2.54
162.82%
ZTSTF
ZTEST Electronics
0.17
-0.03
-15.00%

Celestica Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Celestica Surpasses Q2 2025 Expectations and Raises Annual Outlook
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

Celestica reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, with revenue reaching $2.89 billion, a 21% increase from the previous year, and adjusted EPS of $1.39, a 54% rise. The company exceeded its guidance ranges and has raised its 2025 annual outlook, expecting revenue to hit $11.55 billion and adjusted EPS to reach $5.50. This performance reflects robust demand from CCS customers and improved operating margins, positioning Celestica favorably in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CLS) stock is a Buy with a C$150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Celestica stock, see the TSE:CLS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2025