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Celestica (TSE:CLS)
TSX:CLS

Celestica (CLS) AI Stock Analysis

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Celestica

(TSX:CLS)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
C$205.00
▲(9.08%Upside)
Celestica's overall stock score is 77, driven primarily by strong financial performance and a positive outlook from the recent earnings call. The technical analysis supports this view with positive momentum indicators. However, the high valuation and lack of dividend limit the score.
Positive Factors
AI infrastructure investments
Celestica's strong relationships with major hyperscalers position it to benefit from tailwinds relative to AI infrastructure investments and drive strong revenue growth.
High-margin revenue growth
Investments in ODM capabilities are bearing fruit in the form of high growth in high-margin HPS revenues, which have expanded at a 42% CAGR over last 5 years.
Negative Factors
AI/ML program transition
The technology transition in an AI/ML compute program with its largest customer remains on track but is expected to continue to be a year-over-year headwind through the first half of the year.

Celestica (CLS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Celestica Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCelestica Inc. (CLS) is a Canadian multinational company operating in the electronics manufacturing services (EMS) industry. The company provides a wide range of design, manufacturing, and supply chain solutions to various sectors, including aerospace and defense, healthcare, industrial, semiconductor, and smart energy. Celestica's core services include product lifecycle management, engineering services, and after-market services, helping its customers bring innovative products to market faster and more efficiently.
How the Company Makes MoneyCelestica makes money primarily through its electronics manufacturing services, which involve designing, building, testing, and distributing electronic components and assemblies. The company's revenue model is centered around long-term contracts with clients in diverse industries such as aerospace, healthcare, and industrial sectors. Key revenue streams include product manufacturing, supply chain management, and engineering services. Celestica also leverages strategic partnerships with leading technology companies to enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach. By providing end-to-end solutions across the product lifecycle, Celestica helps its clients optimize their operations, reduce costs, and improve time-to-market, which in turn drives the company's earnings.

Celestica Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 47.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong start to 2025 with record revenue and EPS, driven by robust performance in the CCS segment and strategic demand planning. However, challenges were noted in the enterprise segment due to technology transitions and in the ATS segment, partly due to macroeconomic uncertainties. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive outlook for the year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Q1 Revenue and EPS
Celestica achieved Q1 2025 revenues of $2.65 billion and adjusted EPS of $1.20, both exceeding the high-end of their guidance ranges.
Highest Adjusted Operating Margin
The company reported an adjusted operating margin of 7.1%, marking the highest performance in its history.
Strong CCS Segment Performance
The CCS segment revenue was $1.84 billion, up 28%, driven by strong demand for networking switches, particularly from hyperscaler customers.
Positive Annual Outlook Revision
Celestica raised its annual revenue outlook to $10.85 billion and non-GAAP adjusted EPS to $5, reflecting 12% year-over-year growth.
Robust Free Cash Flow
Celestica generated $94 million of free cash flow in Q1, $26 million higher than the prior year period.
Negative Updates
Enterprise Revenue Decline
Revenue in the enterprise end market was 39% lower year-over-year, attributed to a technology transition in an AI/ML compute program.
ATS Segment Challenges
ATS segment revenue was up only 5%, with concerns over macroeconomic slowdown impacting the outlook.
Inventory and Cash Flow Challenges
Inventory balance increased sequentially, and cash deposits were down $40 million sequentially and $248 million year-over-year.
Company Guidance
In the Celestica Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance, highlighting several key financial metrics and expectations for the upcoming quarters. The first quarter saw revenues of $2.65 billion and an adjusted EPS of $1.20, both exceeding high-end guidance ranges. The adjusted operating margin reached a historic high at 7.1%, with the CCS segment contributing 70% of revenue at $1.84 billion, reflecting a 28% increase, and the ATS segment contributing 30% with $807 million, marking a 5% rise. The adjusted gross margin stood at 11%, while the adjusted ROIC improved by 770 basis points to 31.5%. Looking ahead, Celestica anticipates Q2 2025 revenues between $2.575 billion and $2.725 billion, with an adjusted EPS between $1.17 and $1.27. For the full year, revenue expectations have been raised to $10.85 billion with a non-GAAP adjusted EPS of $5. The company continues to expect a free cash flow of $350 million, with the adjusted effective tax rate for Q2 projected at 20%.

Celestica Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Celestica's financial statements reflect strong growth and profitability. The income statement shows robust revenue and profit growth, supported by efficient operations. The balance sheet is well-managed with moderate leverage and high returns on equity. Cash flow demonstrates strong cash generation, ensuring financial flexibility.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Celestica's income statement demonstrates robust growth and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) Gross Profit Margin is 10.7%, showing a stable ability to generate profit from revenue. The Net Profit Margin for TTM is 4.1%, reflecting consistent profitability. Revenue growth is strong, with a 30.5% increase from 2023 to 2024 and a 21.2% increase from 2022 to 2023, indicating impressive top-line expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 5.9% and 7.2% respectively for TTM, showcasing efficient operational performance.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Celestica's balance sheet reveals a stable financial structure with manageable leverage. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.61, indicating moderate leverage which is typical for the industry. The Return on Equity (ROE) is strong at 26.5% for TTM, signifying effective use of equity financing to generate profits. The Equity Ratio stands at 26.7%, which shows a reasonable proportion of equity financing compared to total assets. Overall, the company maintains a healthy balance between debt and equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statements indicate a strong cash-generating ability. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate shows a positive trajectory with a 0.96% increase from 2023 to 2024. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio for TTM is 1.15, highlighting effective cash generation relative to profit. Furthermore, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.74, showing a good conversion of income into cash flow, supporting future investments and financial flexibility.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
10.09B9.65B7.96B7.25B5.63B5.75B
Gross Profit
1.08B1.03B778.50M636.30M487.00M437.60M
EBIT
596.00M599.30M383.20M263.30M167.70M127.90M
EBITDA
728.80M736.20M515.70M408.10M294.00M252.60M
Net Income Common Stockholders
412.50M428.00M244.60M145.50M103.90M60.60M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
303.00M423.30M372.60M374.50M394.00M463.80M
Total Assets
5.83B5.99B5.89B5.63B4.67B3.66B
Total Debt
941.70M796.70M782.80M786.10M794.40M585.90M
Net Debt
638.70M373.40M412.40M411.60M400.40M122.10M
Total Liabilities
4.28B4.09B4.12B3.95B3.20B2.26B
Stockholders Equity
1.56B1.90B1.77B1.68B1.46B1.41B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
305.90M303.00M304.60M188.90M174.60M186.80M
Operating Cash Flow
473.10M473.90M429.70M297.90M226.80M239.60M
Investing Cash Flow
-208.80M-212.50M-122.40M-108.90M-364.30M-51.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-269.40M-208.50M-311.40M-208.50M67.70M-204.30M

Celestica Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price187.94
Price Trends
50DMA
145.74
Positive
100DMA
145.95
Positive
200DMA
127.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.84
Negative
RSI
72.20
Negative
STOCH
87.38
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 187.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 169.28, above the 50-day MA of 145.74, and above the 200-day MA of 127.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.20 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.38 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CLS.

Celestica Risk Analysis

Celestica disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Celestica reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Celestica Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSPNG
80
Outperform
C$704.29M37.2223.14%4.42%64.01%
TSCLS
77
Outperform
$21.61B37.3125.87%24.94%42.45%
TSZTE
72
Outperform
$11.05M8.5632.72%23.10%25.40%
62
Neutral
$11.91B9.99-7.22%4.96%7.31%-8.91%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CLS
Celestica
185.88
113.02
155.12%
TSE:ZTE
ZTEST Electronics
0.28
0.03
10.00%
TSE:PNG
Kraken Robotics Systems Inc
2.77
1.82
191.58%

Celestica Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Celestica Surpasses Q1 2025 Expectations and Raises Annual Outlook
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

Celestica Inc. reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with revenue reaching $2.65 billion, a 20% increase from the previous year, and adjusted EPS of $1.20, both exceeding the company’s guidance ranges. The company also raised its annual outlook for 2025, expecting revenue to reach $10.85 billion and adjusted EPS to rise to $5.00, reflecting a positive demand outlook from its CCS customers and a record-high adjusted operating margin.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.