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Celestica (TSE:CLS)
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Celestica (CLS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CLS

Celestica

(NYSE:CLS)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$313.00
▲(12.99%Upside)
Celestica's high overall score is driven by strong financial performance and a positive earnings call. The robust growth in the CCS segment and increased annual outlook support future success. However, valuation concerns and overbought technical indicators are notable risks.
Positive Factors
Customer Relationships
Celestica has benefited from the ramp in AI-related spending in the data center switch market as two of the top-five cloud SPs (Google and Amazon) were the company’s largest customers and accounted for ~40% of sales.
Financial Performance
Celestica's revenue and earnings per share have significantly surpassed consensus estimates, which reflects the company's strong financial performance.
Market Position
Celestica holds a market-leading position in the 400G/800G sectors and is expected to sustain this position with advancements like 1.6T, along with its exposure to AI, indicating strong potential for future growth.
Negative Factors
Customer Dependence
Downside risks include loss of a program with either of Celestica’s two top customers or lower gross margins due to competitive pressures.
Technology Transition
The technology transition in an AI/ML compute program with its largest customer remains on track but is expected to continue to be a year-over-year headwind through the first half of the year.

Celestica (CLS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Celestica Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCelestica Inc. (CLS) is a multinational electronics manufacturing services (EMS) company based in Canada. It operates in various sectors including aerospace and defense, communications, enterprise, healthtech, industrial, and smart energy. Celestica provides a range of services from design and engineering to manufacturing, supply chain management, and after-market services, helping its customers bring their products to market efficiently and effectively.
How the Company Makes MoneyCelestica generates revenue primarily through its electronics manufacturing services, which include the design, assembly, and testing of electronic components and systems. The company's key revenue streams involve long-term contracts with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) across different industries, providing comprehensive solutions that cover the entire product lifecycle. Celestica also benefits from its strategic partnerships and collaborations with leading technology firms, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its market reach. Additionally, the company's supply chain management and after-market services contribute to its earnings by offering value-added solutions that improve operational efficiencies for its clients.

Celestica Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 16.36%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in Q2 2025 with record revenues and EPS, driven by demand in the CCS segment and improvements in operating margins. Despite challenges in the enterprise end market and anticipated moderation in the capital equipment business, the company's overall guidance and outlook were raised, indicating a positive trajectory.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
Celestica achieved revenues of $2.89 billion in Q2 2025, up 21% year-over-year, exceeding the high end of guidance.
Strong Adjusted EPS Growth
Adjusted EPS for Q2 2025 was $1.39, marking a 54% increase year-over-year and exceeding the high end of guidance.
Highest Ever Adjusted Operating Margin
The adjusted operating margin reached 7.4%, the highest in company history.
CCS Segment Growth
CCS segment revenue grew by 28%, driven by strong demand in the communications end market, particularly from hyperscaler customers.
Increased Annual Outlook
Celestica raised its 2025 annual revenue outlook from $10.85 billion to $11.55 billion and adjusted EPS outlook to $5.50 per share, reflecting a 20% and 42% growth, respectively.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Celestica generated $120 million in free cash flow for Q2 2025 and increased its annual free cash flow outlook from $350 million to $400 million.
Negative Updates
Enterprise End Market Decline
Revenue in the enterprise end market decreased by 37% year-over-year due to an anticipated technology transition with a hyperscaler customer.
Capital Equipment Demand Moderation
Although there was strong growth in the first half, demand in the capital equipment business is expected to moderate in the second half of 2025.
ATS Segment Revenue Flat
The annual outlook for the ATS segment remains approximately flat compared to 2024, with some areas facing lower volumes due to program decisions.
Company Guidance
During the Celestica Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for Q3 2025 and an updated annual outlook for 2025. They projected third-quarter revenues between $2.875 billion and $3.125 billion, with an adjusted EPS anticipated to be between $1.37 and $1.53. This guidance assumes no significant changes to tariffs or trade restrictions. For fiscal year 2025, Celestica raised its revenue outlook to $11.55 billion, representing a 20% year-over-year growth, and increased its non-GAAP adjusted EPS forecast to $5.50 per share, reflecting a 42% increase. The company also anticipates an adjusted operating margin of 7.4%, with free cash flow expected to reach $400 million. The guidance reflects strong demand across both their Communications and Enterprise segments, particularly driven by hyperscale customers and the ramping of 800G networking programs.

Celestica Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Celestica's financial statements reflect strong growth and profitability. The income statement shows robust revenue and profit growth, supported by efficient operations. The balance sheet is well-managed with moderate leverage and high returns on equity. Cash flow demonstrates strong cash generation, ensuring financial flexibility.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Celestica's income statement demonstrates robust growth and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) Gross Profit Margin is 10.7%, showing a stable ability to generate profit from revenue. The Net Profit Margin for TTM is 4.1%, reflecting consistent profitability. Revenue growth is strong, with a 30.5% increase from 2023 to 2024 and a 21.2% increase from 2022 to 2023, indicating impressive top-line expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 5.9% and 7.2% respectively for TTM, showcasing efficient operational performance.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Celestica's balance sheet reveals a stable financial structure with manageable leverage. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.61, indicating moderate leverage which is typical for the industry. The Return on Equity (ROE) is strong at 26.5% for TTM, signifying effective use of equity financing to generate profits. The Equity Ratio stands at 26.7%, which shows a reasonable proportion of equity financing compared to total assets. Overall, the company maintains a healthy balance between debt and equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statements indicate a strong cash-generating ability. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate shows a positive trajectory with a 0.96% increase from 2023 to 2024. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio for TTM is 1.15, highlighting effective cash generation relative to profit. Furthermore, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.74, showing a good conversion of income into cash flow, supporting future investments and financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.09B9.65B7.96B7.25B5.63B5.75B
Gross Profit1.08B1.03B778.50M636.30M487.00M437.60M
EBITDA728.80M736.20M515.70M408.10M294.00M252.60M
Net Income412.50M428.00M244.60M145.50M103.90M60.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.83B5.99B5.89B5.63B4.67B3.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments303.00M423.30M372.60M374.50M394.00M463.80M
Total Debt941.70M796.70M782.80M786.10M794.40M585.90M
Total Liabilities4.28B4.09B4.12B3.95B3.20B2.26B
Stockholders Equity1.56B1.90B1.77B1.68B1.46B1.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow305.90M303.00M304.60M188.90M174.60M186.80M
Operating Cash Flow473.10M473.90M429.70M297.90M226.80M239.60M
Investing Cash Flow-208.80M-212.50M-122.40M-108.90M-364.30M-51.00M
Financing Cash Flow-269.40M-208.50M-311.40M-208.50M67.70M-204.30M

Celestica Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price277.01
Price Trends
50DMA
199.61
Positive
100DMA
162.71
Positive
200DMA
149.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
18.98
Negative
RSI
78.10
Negative
STOCH
82.64
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 277.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 230.01, above the 50-day MA of 199.61, and above the 200-day MA of 149.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 18.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.10 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.64 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CLS.

Celestica Risk Analysis

Celestica disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Celestica reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Celestica Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$31.87B43.2030.28%24.07%61.63%
72
Outperform
C$10.69M7.7532.72%23.10%25.40%
71
Outperform
C$1.04B46.5323.14%4.42%64.01%
62
Neutral
$35.05B6.90-11.57%2.06%6.28%-15.90%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CLS
Celestica
277.01
212.76
331.14%
TSE:ZTE
ZTEST Electronics
0.29
0.04
16.00%
TSE:PNG
Kraken Robotics Systems Inc
3.42
2.23
187.39%

Celestica Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Celestica Surpasses Q2 2025 Expectations and Raises Annual Outlook
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

Celestica reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, with revenue reaching $2.89 billion, a 21% increase from the previous year, and adjusted EPS of $1.39, a 54% rise. The company exceeded its guidance ranges and has raised its 2025 annual outlook, expecting revenue to hit $11.55 billion and adjusted EPS to reach $5.50. This performance reflects robust demand from CCS customers and improved operating margins, positioning Celestica favorably in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CLS) stock is a Buy with a C$150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Celestica stock, see the TSE:CLS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2025